Matty's Soccer Tips 2012

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  • ultrasouth
    SBR MVP
    • 12-23-10
    • 1175

    #211
    Well done mat you have ended your bad run
    Comment
    • MatI
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-17-11
      • 5200

      #212
      Good to cash that one boys! Back on track hopefully. Even better to see the Aussies come back like that. The place went off when we got those 3 quick goals!

      Great game!
      Comment
      • MatI
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-17-11
        • 5200

        #213
        International, WALES vs COSTA RICA
        WALES to WIN @ 1.67 - risking 1 unit

        I wouldn't normally play an international friendly, but this game will be pretty special. As most will be aware, this friendly has been organised as a tribute to the late Gary Speed. I do not see anything other than a Wales win here. I don't think Costa Rica will want to get in the way of a fairytale tribute. Time for another win!
        Comment
        • Jerm3462
          SBR MVP
          • 11-09-09
          • 4454

          #214
          Originally posted by MatI
          International, WALES vs COSTA RICA
          WALES to WIN @ 1.67 - risking 1 unit

          I wouldn't normally play an international friendly, but this game will be pretty special. As most will be aware, this friendly has been organised as a tribute to the late Gary Speed. I do not see anything other than a Wales win here. I don't think Costa Rica will want to get in the way of a fairytale tribute. Time for another win!
          this one's a loser, buddy
          What you think about this Perth game?
          Comment
          • Optional
            Administrator
            • 06-10-10
            • 61609

            #215
            Ha I did worse!

            Parlayed these 4 to win for fun.



            Just another reminder why we don't bet on friendlies
            .
            Comment
            • Jerm3462
              SBR MVP
              • 11-09-09
              • 4454

              #216
              Originally posted by Optional
              Ha I did worse!

              Parlayed these 4 to win for fun.

              [ATTACH]38565[/ATTACH]

              Just another reminder why we don't bet on friendlies
              I hear ya man. I lost my whole bankroll on Italy today.
              Comment
              • MatI
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-17-11
                • 5200

                #217
                Originally posted by Jerm3462
                this one's a loser, buddy
                What you think about this Perth game?
                Big time loser!! I didn't watch the game but Wales obviously didn't show up. Damn Friendlies. Should have controlled myself and stuck with the win I had in the picket.

                To be honest, I didnt realise the Adelaide/Perth game was tonight. I thought it was tomorrow. I havent checked anything yet, but will in the next hour or so. I know forum is going down in 90mins, so I will try and get my thoughts up before then.

                Initial hunch is Adelaide out of form, Perth have a few injuries I think. Under or no play. But I hate taking under's in A-league.
                Comment
                • MatI
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-17-11
                  • 5200

                  #218
                  Originally posted by MatI
                  WC Quals Asia - Australia v Saudi Arabia, Over 2.5 @ 2.15 - 1 unit - WIN
                  Originally posted by MatI
                  International, WALES vs COSTA RICA - WALES to WIN @ 1.67 - risking 1 unit - LOSS
                  Thread Total-
                  22-22-1
                  -7.89
                  Comment
                  • vangend
                    Restricted User
                    • 11-03-11
                    • 111

                    #219
                    Originally posted by Optional
                    Ha I did worse!

                    Parlayed these 4 to win for fun.

                    [ATTACH]38565[/ATTACH]

                    Just another reminder why we don't bet on friendlies
                    I am from South Africa, and that is one team I will never bet on for a win. Even the local soccer I just avoid.
                    Comment
                    • MatI
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-17-11
                      • 5200

                      #220
                      I've changed my mind about the Under in this game. Matt Gillett is ref tonight. I despise him, he makes heaps of terrible decisions and loves flashing the Red card or handing out PK's. He can turn a game on its head in an instant. Might just stay away.

                      That could just be all in my head but I have had plenty of WTF moments while watching games he is involved in. I'm trying to find some stats now on his games..
                      Comment
                      • MatI
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-17-11
                        • 5200

                        #221
                        ok, run down on Matt Gillett. He has refereed 10 games so far this season. Shown 4 red cards, only one was a straight red though. Also only issued one PK.

                        So...40% chance of a red card IMO.

                        Or am I talking crazy?
                        Comment
                        • BigTimeWinner
                          Restricted User
                          • 01-13-12
                          • 1070

                          #222
                          Lol mati, give me the ok for the over and I'm all over it
                          Comment
                          • MatI
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-17-11
                            • 5200

                            #223
                            lol, over looks ok, not going to touch it myself but these two teams should produce a high scoring game. I think Djite isn't starting again for the Reds, and Smeltz and Miller out for Perth which makes me stay off the over. I'd prefer those guys starting!

                            Still plenty of talent in Perth squad though, despite being set back with a few injuries. They should be fired up after getting embarrassed by Brisbane last weekend. Adelaide have only won 3 games at home all year, and have struggled against quality sides. Anything can happen but i'll take my chances with Perth.

                            Perth Glory DNB @ 2.00 - 1 unit
                            Comment
                            • Jerm3462
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-09-09
                              • 4454

                              #224
                              I took Perth DNB also - 1 unit

                              All signs point to a Perth win, but you know how that goes.....

                              Comment
                              • JOHON8
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-28-10
                                • 7712

                                #225
                                Good call guys, woke up to a solid win.
                                Comment
                                • Jerm3462
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-09-09
                                  • 4454

                                  #226
                                  Originally posted by MatI
                                  lol, over looks ok, not going to touch it myself but these two teams should produce a high scoring game. I think Djite isn't starting again for the Reds, and Smeltz and Miller out for Perth which makes me stay off the over. I'd prefer those guys starting!

                                  Still plenty of talent in Perth squad though, despite being set back with a few injuries. They should be fired up after getting embarrassed by Brisbane last weekend. Adelaide have only won 3 games at home all year, and have struggled against quality sides. Anything can happen but i'll take my chances with Perth.

                                  Perth Glory DNB @ 2.00 - 1 unit
                                  Thanks pal!

                                  You even called the red card.
                                  Comment
                                  • MatI
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-17-11
                                    • 5200

                                    #227
                                    Originally posted by Jerm3462
                                    Thanks pal!
                                    You even called the red card.
                                    Nice call yourself on the -1! I didn't think it would be that comfy a win. Shocking game again by Matt Gillett. 5th red card out of 11 games!

                                    Very lucky with the 1st goal, was a clear offside. But there has been plenty of games this has gone against me so i'm more than happy to take the benefits this time.


                                    Originally posted by JOHON8
                                    Good call guys, woke up to a solid win.
                                    glad you cashed.
                                    Comment
                                    • MatI
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-17-11
                                      • 5200

                                      #228
                                      Originally posted by MatI
                                      Perth Glory DNB @ 2.00 - 1 unit - WIN
                                      Thread Total-
                                      23-22-1
                                      -6.89 units
                                      Comment
                                      • Bluedragon
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-30-10
                                        • 3484

                                        #229
                                        Roar roll tonight, MatI?
                                        Comment
                                        • MatI
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-17-11
                                          • 5200

                                          #230
                                          hey bro, i think so, yeah. They look too strong at the moment. Haven't locked it in, still capping the game now. I will most likely parlay the ML with either tennis, rugby or AFL game. Lots to choose from!
                                          Comment
                                          • Bluedragon
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-30-10
                                            • 3484

                                            #231
                                            Originally posted by MatI
                                            hey bro, i think so, yeah. They look too strong at the moment. Haven't locked it in, still capping the game now. I will most likely parlay the ML with either tennis, rugby or AFL game. Lots to choose from!
                                            thanks man. your opinion is always valued
                                            Comment
                                            • MatI
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 02-17-11
                                              • 5200

                                              #232
                                              NRL, BRISBANE BRONCOS ML / A-LEAGUE, BRISBANE ROAR ML @ 2.48 - 1 unit

                                              Parramatta Eels vs Brisbane Broncos - Round 1 of NRL is underway and tonight the Broncos are up against the Eels. The Eels have had a pretty dodgy pre-season, already losing Hayne, Tonga, Loko & Ben Smith. This is going to force them into running an ad-hoc back line for this match, one that I don't think will give the Broncos much to worry about. Broncos are missing 2 key players due to suspension & injury. It's going to be wet but I think Broncos win.

                                              Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Heart - The biggest concern for Roar tonight will be the suspension of Henrique. He has been key to a lot of Roar' success this year but with or without, I am fairly confident they will get up in this one. Berisha is on fire at the moment, and the team has hit their groove at the right time. Heart are finally back to full health and after a run of bad results since the new year, they finally turned it around with 2 wins on the trot. The win against Gold Coast was largely un-impressive IMO, managing to only get up 1-0. They also won 1-0 which is definitely a better sign, but to they seem to be struggling to find any impetus up fwd at the moment. They might run them close, but I don't think they can hold off a Roar who have netted 10 goals in their last 4 games.
                                              Comment
                                              • MatI
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-17-11
                                                • 5200

                                                #233
                                                Missed penalty in injury time means loss for the parlay.

                                                1-1 FT

                                                Really average 2nd half from Roar tonight. Top defending from heart all game and really pressured well in the last half.

                                                Originally posted by MatI
                                                NRL, BRISBANE BRONCOS ML / A-LEAGUE, BRISBANE ROAR ML @ 2.48 - 1 unit - LOSS
                                                Thread Total-
                                                23-23-1
                                                -7.89 units
                                                Comment
                                                • ultrasouth
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 12-23-10
                                                  • 1175

                                                  #234
                                                  In a separate bet i hate unders in the parra/broncos game into overs in brisbane/melbourne so close yet so far
                                                  Comment
                                                  • MatI
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-17-11
                                                    • 5200

                                                    #235
                                                    PARLAY-
                                                    AFL, HAWTHORN -24.5/ NRL, MELBOURNE STORM ML @ 1.98 - 1unit

                                                    Late play here, AFL game starts in 10 mins, time for some winners! I'm still not sure if I will play the early A-league game tonight. It's been raining heavy in melbourne all day.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Bluedragon
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 08-30-10
                                                      • 3484

                                                      #236
                                                      Originally posted by MatI
                                                      PARLAY-
                                                      AFL, HAWTHORN -24.5/ NRL, MELBOURNE STORM ML @ 1.98 - 1unit

                                                      Late play here, AFL game starts in 10 mins, time for some winners! I'm still not sure if I will play the early A-league game tonight. It's been raining heavy in melbourne all day.

                                                      CCM in terrible form. Ahhhh i just really want to take them though, something tells me they get back on it tonight.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • MatI
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-17-11
                                                        • 5200

                                                        #237
                                                        yeah, tough game to predict as well. CCM will be keen for the win, to keep a buffer ahead of Roar, but no consistent form to go on today... still thinking...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Bluedragon
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-30-10
                                                          • 3484

                                                          #238
                                                          If my memory serves me well...wasn't it like a 12pt lead they blew?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MatI
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-17-11
                                                            • 5200

                                                            #239
                                                            It either got to 11 or 12pts, can't remember exactly. They shouldn't even be in this situation that is for sure, but I have a feeling they will lose top spot to Roar once all is said and done.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MatI
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 02-17-11
                                                              • 5200

                                                              #240
                                                              A-League, Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets, Under 2.5 @ 2.06 - 1 unit
                                                              I was thinking of staying away from this game but I couldnt help myself. This play is mostly based on the weather here today. It's been raining consistently all day and I think it will be a struggle for either team to get much control of the ball. While it seems Victory games are usually high scoring, that is not always the case, and Jets games have been consistently hitting the unders lately. Odds here should really be the other way around, so for me, this is a pretty good value bet.


                                                              radar for anyone interested, looks like it will ease off in the next hour or so, but i think conditions will be difficult - http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDR022.loop.shtml#skip
                                                              Comment
                                                              • MatI
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-17-11
                                                                • 5200

                                                                #241
                                                                ha, classic. rain isn't stopping this going over. 1-1 after 23'.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • MatI
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 02-17-11
                                                                  • 5200

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Originally posted by MatI
                                                                  A-League, Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets, Under 2.5 @ 2.06 - 1 unit - LOSS
                                                                  At least I was put out of my misery early. 1-2 after 30'. Got that one hopelessly wrong.

                                                                  Hawks won comfortably over GWS, hopefully Melb Storm can hold on for me to wipe away the loss.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BigTimeWinner
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 01-13-12
                                                                    • 1070

                                                                    #243
                                                                    pathetic, I didn't bet on the over once and it goes over in the first 30'
                                                                    A-league has been soo unpredictable on the over/under lately. I am not betting on it since last few games

                                                                    p.s. did you watch adelaide-perth mati? I had the over 2.5 and I hadn't won a bet(still haven't up to this moment ). Adelaide scored a goal after a corner kick, which got disallowed, but it looked like perfectly clear goal ... dunno if you may remember that moment
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BigTimeWinner
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 01-13-12
                                                                      • 1070

                                                                      #244
                                                                      1-3 already I see 2-3 more goals in this game
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • MatI
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 02-17-11
                                                                        • 5200

                                                                        #245
                                                                        fukn Victory. Defense is a disgrace this year. Pathetic. 1-3 after 40'.

                                                                        Yes, I watched the Adelaide/Perth game. Definitely was a goal that should have been allowed. A-League needs to employ full time refs, I'm sick of them continuing to use semi-amateurs.
                                                                        Comment
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