Playing the over on the Vitesse at Ajax match this friday. Vitesse playing at Ajax is almost a guarantee for a lot of goals being scored (4.2 avg last 5 games, with a 4-2 score last year) and I don't expect this year being any different. I expect Ajax to take this one with a result somewhat like 3-1/4-1. Ajax' last 5 Eredivisie home matches resulted in an average of 4 goals being scored with their last 3 home matches all to go over 3.5 goals.
Vitesse has begun this season quite well with only suffering 1 goal (home win against Utrecht) and gaining 7 points in their first 3 matches, just like Ajax. Looking at Vitesse's last 5 Eredivisie away matches the average goals scored is 3.4 whilst their season opener at ADO ended in a goal-less draw.
Although both teams gained 7 points from their first 3 meetings I expect Ajax to easily win this one with a lot of goals being scored to wash away the horrible match at VVV last weekend, where they had almost 30 shots but didn't manage to get the win.
Just like I said; 4-1.
Comment
escou
SBR MVP
02-17-11
1042
#116
Been doin nice with those overs keep it up
Comment
BigBurk
SBR MVP
02-25-11
3785
#117
Originally posted by BigBurk
All plays for the upcoming weekend, starting tonight with the Ajax match;
08/28/11 AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie)/Groningen (Eredivisie) Over 2½,3 -106**LOCKED* (1 unit) *WINNER* (half stakes)
08/28/11 Excelsior (Eredivisie) no goal by away team -118* /PSV *LOCKED* (2 units) *LOSS*
Two team parlay: 08/27/11 VVV (Eredivisie) /FC Twente -1½* 08/28/11 Excelsior (Eredivisie) /PSV -1½* *LOCKED* (1 unit to win 2 units) *WINNER*
Well, not a bad weekend all together, with +3,64 units!
Comment
BigBurk
SBR MVP
02-25-11
3785
#120
YTD 19-15-1 +0,35 units (54,29%)
Finally back in +units again with a nice 10-3 run the last plays. Too bad we will have a break now with the international games coming up!
Comment
BigBurk
SBR MVP
02-25-11
3785
#121
08/29/11 TOP Oss (Jupiler League)/Emmen (Jupiler League) Over 3 -126* *LOCKED* (1 unit)
Comment
BigBurk
SBR MVP
02-25-11
3785
#122
Starting september we are going to kick up the units a bit, since we now have a nice view on the teams and what (not) to expect from them.
Comment
BigBurk
SBR MVP
02-25-11
3785
#123
Bums from Oss and Emmen can´t even create a shot on goal...
Comment
BigBurk
SBR MVP
02-25-11
3785
#124
What the ...?! Right after I posted my bitching they both score a goal. Let's hope they can score atleast a third in the 2H.
Edit: mofo ref canceled the 2nd goal. But they still score the equalizer before the end of the 1H.
Comment
BigBurk
SBR MVP
02-25-11
3785
#125
Originally posted by BigBurk
08/29/11 TOP Oss (Jupiler League)/Emmen (Jupiler League) Over 3 -126* *LOCKED* (1 unit) *WINNER*
TOP Oss decided to play in the 2H, securing the 1-3 win and giving the win on the over.
Comment
BigBurk
SBR MVP
02-25-11
3785
#126
Wow.. Ruiz moving from Twente to Fulham Can't imagine why except $$$$$
Comment
escou
SBR MVP
02-17-11
1042
#127
Isn't the transfer season closed already ?
Comment
BigBurk
SBR MVP
02-25-11
3785
#128
In like 4 hours and 20 minutes it is.
Comment
escou
SBR MVP
02-17-11
1042
#129
Yeah you are right tonight is the night
Comment
BigBurk
SBR MVP
02-25-11
3785
#130
Finally approaching the "normal" soccer weekends again. Got my leans ready, waiting for 5dimes to release the lines and put in some plays. Let's see if we can expand this nice run as of late. Last 15 plays going 12-3-0!
YTD 20-15-1 +1,35 units (55,69%)
Comment
BigBurk
SBR MVP
02-25-11
3785
#131
Wow.. All the totals are o/u 3 and/or 3,3½!
The bookies sure do expect a heavy scoring weekend.
09/10/11 NEC Nijmegen (HOL-E)/De Graafschap (HOL-E) Over 3 +115* *LOCKED* (1 unit)
09/10/11 De Graafschap (HOL-E) pk -114*vs NEC Nijmegen (HOL-E)*LOCKED* (1 unit)
09/11/11 Utrecht (HOL-E)/Exelsior (HOL-E) Under 3 -123**LOCKED* (1 unit)
That's it for the weekend! Expecting a tough one. Very sharp lines!
Comment
BigBurk
SBR MVP
02-25-11
3785
#134
Added for tonight's match;
09/10/11 Ajax (HOL-E) / Heracles Almelo (HOL-E) no goal by home team +180* *LOCKED* (1 unit)
A lot of value in this one since Ajax hasn't had a clean sheet in the Eredivisie since april 10th; 8 consecutive games plus Heracles at home is almost a guarantee for goals.
I'm taking the risk though. This match is the start of a series of tough matches for Ajax, so I expect them to come out strong and try to close down Heracles early.
First of, I feel this game may have a lot of goals being scored in it. Ajax will be going to look for the win in their home opener which will also mean they will give away some room for Lyon to get some oppurtunities. Ajax at home is almost a guarantee for a lot of goals, plus they can not seem to keep a clean sheet lately. The over 2,2½ imo is a gift.
Although I think Ajax can take Lyon (since Lyon has some key players not playing), Lyon is still capable of getting a good result this Wednesday. I give them the slight edge over Ajax, hence the +points.
BOL!
Comment
BigBurk
SBR MVP
02-25-11
3785
#138
09/12/11 Zwolle (HOL-2)/Helmond Sp. (HOL-2) Over 3 -108**LOCKED* (1 unit)
Comment
BetGrinder
Restricted User
09-06-11
168
#139
Originally posted by BigBurk
Champions League starting this Wednesday for Ajax with the home match against Lyon. Already put in two plays;
09/14/11 Lyon (UCL)/Ajax (UCL) Over 2,2½ -126**LOCKED* (4 units)
First of, I feel this game may have a lot of goals being scored in it. Ajax will be going to look for the win in their home opener which will also mean they will give away some room for Lyon to get some oppurtunities. Ajax at home is almost a guarantee for a lot of goals, plus they can not seem to keep a clean sheet lately. The over 2,2½ imo is a gift.
Although I think Ajax can take Lyon (since Lyon has some key players not playing), Lyon is still capable of getting a good result this Wednesday. I give them the slight edge over Ajax, hence the +points.
BOL!
I just don't get it....why the odd for lyon is so high?? Just bcs Ajax play at home? dutch teams are usually so bad this last few years in the UEFA games......isn't Lisandro playing? injured?
Comment
samitarian
SBR Wise Guy
01-02-10
610
#140
Originally posted by BetGrinder
I just don't get it....why the odd for lyon is so high?? Just bcs Ajax play at home? dutch teams are usually so bad this last few years in the UEFA games......isn't Lisandro playing? injured?
It's cos in the earlier rounds of group stages, when 'biggish' teams are playing away to 'medium strength' teams such as Ajax, they are content with a point. Sure, they will go to get all 3 points but they won't be crying if they get just 1. I think that's reflected in the odds