BigBurk's 2011/2012 Dutch Soccer Thread

[BigBurk]

It's cos in the earlier rounds of group stages, when 'biggish' teams are playing away to 'medium strength' teams such as Ajax, they are content with a point. Sure, they will go to get all 3 points but they won't be crying if they get just 1. I think that's reflected in the odds

I think you are right. But don't underestimate Ajax this season, especially in home games. Ajax is determined to win this first match against a weakened Lyon to get off to a good start in the CL where they are eyeing the 2nd place behind Madrid.

Ajax isn't the Ajax squad of the last years anymore, remember the 2-0 defeat last year at Madrid where they could have been beaten 8-0, with Frank de Boer as head coach. That won't happen again this year. Sure they can catch a 2-0 beating at Madrid but not the way they did last year (worst game I have Ajax ever seen play in my life).

I think they got a good chance to beat Lyon Wednesday, and if they don't; at least it made me some money.

[BigBurk]

09/12/11 Zwolle (HOL-2)/Helmond Sp. (HOL-2) Over 3 -108* *LOCKED* (1 unit)

2 goals in 30 minutes, looking good until now.

[BigBurk]

09/12/11 Zwolle (HOL-2)/Helmond Sp. (HOL-2) Over 3 -108* *LOCKED* (1 unit) *WINNER*

Two goals in the last 5 minutes of the game securing the win.

[BigBurk]

Added for Thursdays EL matches:

09/15/11 Legia Warsaw (UEFA-Europa)/PSV Eindhoven (UEFA-Europa) Over 2½ -137* *LOCKED* (2 units)

09/15/11 Malmo (UEFA-Europa)/AZ Alkmaar (UEFA-Europa) Over 2½,3 -135* *LOCKED* (2 units)

09/15/11 Twente (UEFA-Europa) pk,+½ +105* vs Fulham (UEFA-Europa) *LOCKED* (2 units)

[vaenu]

Added for Thursdays EL matches:

09/15/11 Legia Warsaw (UEFA-Europa)/PSV Eindhoven (UEFA-Europa) Over 2½ -137* *LOCKED* (2 units)

09/15/11 Malmo (UEFA-Europa)/AZ Alkmaar (UEFA-Europa) Over 2½,3 -135* *LOCKED* (2 units)

09/15/11 Twente (UEFA-Europa) pk,+½ +105* vs Fulham (UEFA-Europa) *LOCKED* (2 units)

It doesn't look an over to me (Legia warsaw and PSV), I expect a rather dull game

[BigBurk]

It doesn't look an over to me (Legia warsaw and PSV), I expect a rather dull game

Legia is a dull team yeah, but PSV at home should be able to get at least two goals as I don't expect Legia to be quite the contender.

Could this end with a 2 goal match total? Yeah.. could be. But I expect it to go over with Matavz (PSV new striker) playing his first European match and PSV wanting to get a head start.

[BigBurk]

Early picks for this coming (Eredivisie) weekend;

09/17/11 Vitesse (HOL-E) pk,-½ -130* vs Roda JC (HOL-E) *LOCKED* (2 units)

09/17/11 De Graafschap (HOL-E)/Feyenoord (HOL-E) Over 3 -123* *LOCKED* (1 unit)

09/18/11 PSV Eindhoven (HOL-E) pk,-½ -105* vs Ajax (HOL-E) *LOCKED* (1 unit)

09/18/11 AZ Alkmaar (HOL-E) -½ -130* vs RKC Waalwijk (HOL-E) *LOCKED* (2 units)

Not sure if there will be more plays than the above.

[BigBurk]

Add:

09/14/11 Lyon (UCL)/Ajax (UCL) 1st Half Over 1 -105* *LOCKED* (2 units)

[BigBurk]

Added a non official (won't count it in my YTD) prop bet for the Ajax match; Ajax to win 2-1, 1 unit pays 9,75 units.

[BigBurk]

09/15/11 Twente (UEFA-Europa) pk,+½ +105* vs Fulham (UEFA-Europa) *LOCKED* (2 units)

Martin Jol (Fulham) is said to be going to rest his key players for the match against Twente, since they play Man City this weekend. I might up the above play later tonight after I get some more info.

[BigBurk]

Hehe, Van der Sar as analyst at the Dutch television. Funny to see him like that all dressed up.

[BigBurk]

Damn.. Sulejmani can't get the wide open header in from 5m.. Gomis same story with the shot. Could have been two easy goals to secure the 1H play!

[BigBurk]

Bad Bad Badddd day.

[BigBurk]

09/15/11 Twente (UEFA-Europa) pk,+½ +105* vs Fulham (UEFA-Europa) *LOCKED* (5 units)

Upped with 3 units - to a total of 5. The biggest play so far this season!

[BigBurk]

Champions League starting this Wednesday for Ajax with the home match against Lyon. Already put in two plays;

09/14/11 Lyon (UCL)/Ajax (UCL) Over 2,2½ -126* *LOCKED* (4 units)*LOSS*

09/14/11 Lyon (UCL) pk,+½ -121* vs Ajax (UCL) *LOCKED* (2 units) *WINNER* (half stakes)

09/14/11 Lyon (UCL)/Ajax (UCL) 1st Half Over 1 -105* *LOCKED* (2 units)*LOSS*

Well.. Complete disaster last night!!

[BigBurk]

Very nice line movement for the Fullham - Twente match tonight!

The line, as I got it, was pk,+½ +105 (Twente) and has now dropped to pk,+½ -118.

I'm sure this has got to do with the fact I mentioned earlier, with Jol resting his key players.

[BigBurk]

Added for Thursdays EL matches:

09/15/11 Legia Warsaw (UEFA-Europa)/PSV Eindhoven (UEFA-Europa) Over 2½ -137* *LOCKED* (2 units) *LOSS*

09/15/11 Malmo (UEFA-Europa)/AZ Alkmaar (UEFA-Europa) Over 2½,3 -135* *LOCKED* (2 units) *WINNER*

09/15/11 Twente (UEFA-Europa) pk,+½ +105* vs Fulham (UEFA-Europa) *LOCKED* (5 units) *WINNER* (half stakes)

2-1 tonight, still not good enough! +1,87 units.

[BigBurk]

Pending for this weekends Eredivisie plays:

09/17/11 Vitesse (HOL-E) pk,-½ -130* vs Roda JC (HOL-E) *LOCKED* (2 units)

09/17/11 De Graafschap (HOL-E)/Feyenoord (HOL-E) Over 3 -123* *LOCKED* (1 unit)

09/18/11 PSV Eindhoven (HOL-E) pk,-½ -105* vs Ajax (HOL-E) *LOCKED* (1 unit)

09/18/11 AZ Alkmaar (HOL-E) -½ -130* vs RKC Waalwijk (HOL-E) *LOCKED* (2 units)

[justin81]

Hi BB, what do you think about tonite game Nijmegen-Breda?, home team win?

[BigBurk]

Upping the AZ -½ play to a 5 unit play;

09/18/11 AZ Alkmaar (HOL-E) -½ -130* vs RKC Waalwijk (HOL-E) *LOCKED* (5 units)

Add:

09/16/11 NAC Breda (HOL-E)/NEC Nijmegen (HOL-E) Over 2½ -139* *LOCKED* (1 unit)

[BigBurk]

Hi BB, what do you think about tonite game Nijmegen-Breda?, home team win?

Not touching that one myself to pick a side. NAC has been in terrible form this season but NEC hasn't done much better. The home factor will be a deciding factor I think, in a 1 goal difference NEC victory. But I'm not sure enough to play it.

[BigBurk]

09/16/11 NAC Breda (HOL-E)/NEC Nijmegen (HOL-E) Over 2½ -139* *LOCKED* (1 unit) *WINNER*

First winner of the weekend, let's hope this is a good signal for the rest of the games.

[BetGrinder]

tailing u on the AZ play! They are on FIRE!!

GL

[BigBurk]

tailing u on the AZ play! They are on FIRE!!

GL

[BigBurk]

09/16/11 NAC Breda (HOL-E)/NEC Nijmegen (HOL-E) Over 2½ -139* *LOCKED* (1 unit) *WINNER*

09/17/11 Vitesse (HOL-E) pk,-½ -130* vs Roda JC (HOL-E) *LOCKED* (2 units) *WINNER

09/17/11 De Graafschap (HOL-E)/Feyenoord (HOL-E) Over 3 -123* *LOCKED* (1 unit) *WINNER

09/18/11 PSV Eindhoven (HOL-E) pk,-½ -105* vs Ajax (HOL-E) *LOCKED* (1 unit)

09/18/11 AZ Alkmaar (HOL-E) -½ -130* vs RKC Waalwijk (HOL-E) *LOCKED* (5 units)

3-0 on this weekends plays until now, +4 units.

[escou]

Do they have alot of good players on the bench? I am not familiar with their squad, but they seem to have a run, hope they are not tired.

[BigBurk]

Do they have alot of good players on the bench? I am not familiar with their squad, but they seem to have a run, hope they are not tired.

I'd be a lie if I'd say they have a good bench. They do have a deep bench though. It's not like they can substitute 5 guys and keep the same quality in the squad. But with their starters and one or two quality subs they should be able to quite easily take this one today.

Their best and most creative player, Martens, is still out by the way just like he ways the last few games.

[BigBurk]

Half stakes loss on the PSV match (don't really bother though since Ajax got the deserved draw). AZ going into the 2nd half with a 1-1 score, let's hope they can take this one.

[beeps220]

Goal AZ 1-2!!!

Let's hope they hold on

[BigBurk]

Boooooom! 5 unit winner on AZ!

A little scare though when the AZ defender almost put a header behind his own keeper in the last 30 secs.

[BigBurk]

09/16/11 NAC Breda (HOL-E)/NEC Nijmegen (HOL-E) Over 2½ -139* *LOCKED* (1 unit) *WINNER*

09/17/11 Vitesse (HOL-E) pk,-½ -130* vs Roda JC (HOL-E) *LOCKED* (2 units) *WINNER*

09/17/11 De Graafschap (HOL-E)/Feyenoord (HOL-E) Over 3 -123* *LOCKED* (1 unit) *WINNER*

09/18/11 PSV Eindhoven (HOL-E) pk,-½ -105* vs Ajax (HOL-E) *LOCKED* (1 unit) *LOSS* (half stakes)

09/18/11 AZ Alkmaar (HOL-E) -½ -130* vs RKC Waalwijk (HOL-E) *LOCKED* (5 units) *WINNER*

4-1 this weekend, with a nice profit of +8,47 units!

[BigBurk]

YTD 32-24-1 (56,14%) +3,75 units

[BigBurk]

Nice stats from the Eredivisie goals:

0-15 minute 21 goals
16-30 minute 22 goals
31-45 minute 34 goals
46-60 minute 37 goals
61-75 minute 32 goals
76-90 minute 42 goals

[BigBurk]

09/22/11 FC Groningen (HOL-Cup)/ AZ Alkmaar (HOL-Cup) over 3.5 +120* *LOCKED* (1 unit)

[BigBurk]

Fcnkn jokers only started scoring in the ET... 1-1 after 90 mins; 4-2 after ET. ugh.