Odds Texas goes Blue?

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  • WillyBoy
    SBR MVP
    • 06-19-18
    • 1988

    #36
    According to polls culled and averaged from Real Clear Politics and 538, in Texas Trump has lost ground steadily, from a 4% lead to less than 1%, over the last 3 months. He may not need to “win” this next debate, but he can’t afford to blow it as he did the first time. The undecideds in Texas still number near 5%, and Trump needs to keep a lid on himself, because these voters are not his moron base, and need a different kind of pandering. Being “muted” may be the best thing he could have hoped for.
    Comment
    • Auto Donk
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 09-03-13
      • 43558

      #37
      stfu, willboy....

      corrupt, senile, child-sniffin', gropin' and kissin' biden has no chance in Texas....
      Comment
      • StackinGreen
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-09-10
        • 12140

        #38
        Texas 95% Trump

        just shut up, it's not even close
        Comment
        • BigDofBA
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 09-30-09
          • 19313

          #39
          I can't believe this is even a discussion.

          Texas isn't going blue. LMAO

          About 16-17 states are blue. About 16-17 states are Red. Then are are approximately 15 states that will win the election. This isn't rocket science.
          Comment
          • WillyBoy
            SBR MVP
            • 06-19-18
            • 1988

            #40
            Originally posted by BigDofBA
            I can't believe this is even a discussion.

            Texas isn't going blue. LMAO

            About 16-17 states are blue. About 16-17 states are Red. Then are are approximately 15 states that will win the election. This isn't rocket science.
            Oh, it’s definitely a “discussion” now, as Biden picks off more and more of the “undecideds” who will end up “deciding” Texas in November. The irony is, Biden’s not having to do a damn thing, it’s Trump himself who’s blown the lead he had with his daily barrage of bs, which no one outside his base is buying. If he fails to nail this last debate, losing Texas is not only possible, it’s altogether likely. The polls next week will tell the tale.
            Comment
            • Unrivaled
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 10-24-11
              • 6685

              #41
              Probably not but interesting I have cousins who always vote Republican and bleed red. They are all fed up with Trump and voting Biden this year.
              Comment
              • cincinnatikid513
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 11-23-17
                • 45360

                #42
                not yet but it's getting closer
                Comment
                • Unrivaled
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 10-24-11
                  • 6685

                  #43
                  Originally posted by cincinnatikid513
                  not yet but it's getting closer
                  I am very confident Biden wins. I would put him at 95% barring Biden dying or getting sick.
                  Comment
                  • PromiseLand
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-30-12
                    • 2464

                    #44
                    You can bet up to $1700 on it here:



                    GOP currently trading at 72c which is like -250 odds.
                    Comment
                    • cincinnatikid513
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 11-23-17
                      • 45360

                      #45
                      Originally posted by Unrivaled
                      I am very confident Biden wins. I would put him at 95% barring Biden dying or getting sick.
                      he might win election but he won't be winning texas
                      Comment
                      • cincinnatikid513
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 11-23-17
                        • 45360

                        #46
                        Originally posted by PromiseLand
                        You can bet up to $1700 on it here:



                        GOP currently trading at 72c which is like -250 odds.
                        otters should bet trump to win wyoming that is a lock
                        Comment
                        • PromiseLand
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-30-12
                          • 2464

                          #47
                          Here's another beauty of a market. Biden to NOT drop out by 11/1 is trading at 88c. So much free money on that site.

                          Comment
                          • darrell74
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 04-16-07
                            • 14648

                            #48
                            The only way Texas would go blue is that their are too many Democrat Californians, like Joe Rogan, that fled to there and fliped it
                            Comment
                            • cincinnatikid513
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 11-23-17
                              • 45360

                              #49
                              Originally posted by PromiseLand
                              Here's another beauty of a market. Biden to NOT drop out by 11/1 is trading at 88c. So much free money on that site.

                              https://www.predictit.org/markets/de...ore-November-1
                              makes me question how legit site is, no way anybody is dropping out this close to election day that should be 1.01 odds
                              Comment
                              • Unrivaled
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 10-24-11
                                • 6685

                                #50
                                Originally posted by cincinnatikid513
                                he might win election but he won't be winning texas
                                Yes election I mean. For Texas he would be pretty big favorite.
                                Comment
                                • WillyBoy
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 06-19-18
                                  • 1988

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by Unrivaled
                                  Probably not but interesting I have cousins who always vote Republican and bleed red. They are all fed up with Trump and voting Biden this year.
                                  I could, sadly, be one of your cousins. Trump has failed by nearly measure by which a president of the U.S. is judged, and needs to be gone.
                                  Comment
                                  • PromiseLand
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-30-12
                                    • 2464

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by cincinnatikid513
                                    makes me question how legit site is, no way anybody is dropping out this close to election day that should be 1.01 odds
                                    Lots of dumb money man. That's the power of the conspiracy theory peeps. You should take advantage. You can bet on Hillary not to run for prez at 94c still. You can bet 93c that there won't be a woman prez this year. Dems to win cali was trading at 91c earlier today, DC was at 93c yesterday (last poll trump was down 80 here).

                                    Guaranteed red states like Bama, Tenn, Ark, etc you can get similar prices 92-93c.
                                    Comment
                                    • darrell74
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 04-16-07
                                      • 14648

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by WillyBoy
                                      I could, sadly, be one of your cousins. Trump has failed by nearly measure by which a president of the U.S. is judged, and needs to be gone.
                                      How?
                                      Really ?
                                      How?
                                      COVID? Hillary would have done better? How?
                                      You got nothing and you follow the fake news like a lamb.

                                      Better trade deals internationally
                                      Better economics till COVID
                                      Unprecedented peace deals in the Middle East
                                      NO NEW WARS! Minimal soldier casualty

                                      Like I said, you got nothing
                                      Comment
                                      • louisvillekid
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 08-14-07
                                        • 9262

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by darrell74
                                        How?
                                        Really ?
                                        How?
                                        COVID? Hillary would have done better? How?
                                        You got nothing and you follow the fake news like a lamb.

                                        Better trade deals internationally
                                        Better economics till COVID
                                        Unprecedented peace deals in the Middle East
                                        NO NEW WARS! Minimal soldier casualty

                                        Like I said, you got nothing

                                        The numbers are nearly all in now. What they show about what really happened during the eight years that Barack Obama was president is sometimes different from what politicians claimed.


                                        Comment
                                        • StackinGreen
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-09-10
                                          • 12140

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by Unrivaled
                                          I am very confident Biden wins. I would put him at 95% barring Biden dying or getting sick.
                                          I'll take your money, then. Or are you another one who opines and then lacks sack to actually bet? Lots of bluster and air betting around here I've noticed.
                                          Comment
                                          • ace7550
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-08-15
                                            • 3729

                                            #56
                                            A lot of mass exodus from CA. Many going to TX. But I think a lot of those leaving CA are repubs that are sick of CA ultra liberal politics.
                                            Comment
                                            • Unrivaled
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 10-24-11
                                              • 6685

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                              I'll take your money, then. Or are you another one who opines and then lacks sack to actually bet? Lots of bluster and air betting around here I've noticed.
                                              I've got a big bet from months ago at -110 odds for Biden.
                                              Comment
                                              • StackinGreen
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-09-10
                                                • 12140

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by Unrivaled
                                                I've got a big bet from months ago at -110 odds for Biden.
                                                Oh, so someone else has your cash on hand. Good to know

                                                I just put another 5k on Trump +150, this one was R vs D which I'm always wondering (at the same price) why they put it that way, just to be more general and resolvable?
                                                Comment
                                                • thetrinity
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 01-25-11
                                                  • 22430

                                                  #59
                                                  Better chance seaweed wins 10 straight bets
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Roger T. Bannon
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 06-28-18
                                                    • 5139

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by darrell74
                                                    The only way Texas would go blue is that their are too many Democrat Californians, like Joe Rogan, that fled to there and fliped it
                                                    Texas is not nearly as Republican as people think. If all the Mexicans voted, it would be deep blue. Rs actually only have a 2% advantage there as was shown with Ted Cruz. The state may go blue by 2024.

                                                    The polls there are probably right but a lot of those people are not going to vote.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Okieirish
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 09-03-19
                                                      • 879

                                                      #61
                                                      Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                                      Oh, so someone else has your cash on hand. Good to know

                                                      I just put another 5k on Trump +150, this one was R vs D which I'm always wondering (at the same price) why they put it that way, just to be more general and resolvable?

                                                      Probably, because they might have to yank Biden out of the race due to the embezzlement scandal. By doing that, the action is still on if he is no longer in the race with whoever takes his place.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Roger T. Bannon
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 06-28-18
                                                        • 5139

                                                        #62
                                                        Early reports are that more people have already voted in Texas than voted for Trump in 2016. This could get dicey.

                                                        Don't piss off the Mexicans in Texas. There are A LOT of them.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • StackinGreen
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-09-10
                                                          • 12140

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by Roger T. Bannon
                                                          Early reports are that more people have already voted in Texas than voted for Trump in 2016. This could get dicey.

                                                          Don't piss off the Mexicans in Texas. There are A LOT of them.
                                                          How do you find a way to continually be dead wrong about things? I remember you because I see your avatar and like it, but your posts are breathtakingly wrong over and over.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Roger T. Bannon
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 06-28-18
                                                            • 5139

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                                            How do you find a way to continually be dead wrong about things? I remember you because I see your avatar and like it, but your posts are breathtakingly wrong over and over.
                                                            Well for starters I'm from Texas so I know all about Mexicans in Texas. We have to wait until this election is over because there is a good chance you are going to be as wrong as you usually are. Some things never chnage.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • StackinGreen
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-09-10
                                                              • 12140

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by Roger T. Bannon
                                                              Well for starters I'm from Texas so I know all about Mexicans in Texas. We have to wait until this election is over because there is a good chance you are going to be as wrong as you usually are. Some things never chnage.
                                                              I'm marking this post to call you on it. I'll talk to ya later.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Roger T. Bannon
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 06-28-18
                                                                • 5139

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                                                I'm marking this post to call you on it. I'll talk to ya later.
                                                                Mark me on what? That there are a lot of Mexicans in Texas? I've got bets on Trump to win Texas. If this thing is within 2% that is dicey. Wrong as usual.

                                                                I would bet you on Trump winning but I see I can't. So I will send you 2 points is he wins. Mark me on it.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Snowball
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 11-15-09
                                                                  • 30054

                                                                  #67
                                                                  zero chance Trump loses Texas
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • thetrinity
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 01-25-11
                                                                    • 22430

                                                                    #68
                                                                    this is bringing back memories of mac saying texas was in play in 2016 and cnn called it for trump 1 second after the poll closed
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mcaulay777
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-13-10
                                                                      • 1769

                                                                      #69
                                                                      HERE in Iowa the last few weeks I have seen more and more Biden signs and even in the Rural areas as well. I think the poles here in Iowa are correct it is closer then 2016.I would still make Trump a slight Favorite here in Iowa but it will be close.I think Trump will win by Less then 5 Points. What is Happening more people under 30 are moving near the cities.So all the big places like Ft Worth Dallas Arlington and Houston and Des Moines will be more Democratic while the rural areas will be Republican. In Nebraska it is starting to turn Lincoln and Omaha are very Liberal now!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • StackinGreen
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 10-09-10
                                                                        • 12140

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by Roger T. Bannon
                                                                        Mark me on what? That there are a lot of Mexicans in Texas? I've got bets on Trump to win Texas. If this thing is within 2% that is dicey. Wrong as usual.

                                                                        I would bet you on Trump winning but I see I can't. So I will send you 2 points is he wins. Mark me on it.
                                                                        Ok, then, we're cool.
                                                                        Comment
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