I read an article were it said that since the 2016 election that Texas has added over 12% more registered voters. That brings their total to 16.9 million. Almost 17 million.
That means they've added about 1.9 million or so since 2016.
If you look at the results of 2016 - Trump won by less than a million.
Trump 4,685,047
Clinton 3,877,868
Johnson 283,492
Stein 71,558
Could they possibly get enough young millennials and/or Gen Z white suburbanites that would generally not care, to turn out and vote.
And how many Hispanics or Latinos that have technically been eligible, but just never vote because they don't want to deal with the hassle, will decide to participate this year.
If Biden could snag just 1.3, 1.4, or 1.5 mil, of newly registered voters since 2016, he would have a decent chance. I would think this of all years won't be a year where people will pizz away a vote on a 3rd party as some sort of protest vote, or just generally an apathetic or nihilistic F off to the system vote. I know I for one that, I'm not doing that this year. So I think Biden has a chance to pick up some of those votes too.
But the bad thing is that looking at the numbers and seeing that if the total was around 15 million-ish registered voters back in 2016, then the registered voter turnout was barely over 50%. Which is still decent. A lot of states are lucky to get 50% registered voter turnout. And most states as a whole only have about a 1/3 of their population even registered.
So that raises the question as to even if they have added roughly 1.9 million registered voters since 2016 - Will all 1.9million-ish still turnout and vote?
That means they've added about 1.9 million or so since 2016.
If you look at the results of 2016 - Trump won by less than a million.
Trump 4,685,047
Clinton 3,877,868
Johnson 283,492
Stein 71,558
Could they possibly get enough young millennials and/or Gen Z white suburbanites that would generally not care, to turn out and vote.
And how many Hispanics or Latinos that have technically been eligible, but just never vote because they don't want to deal with the hassle, will decide to participate this year.
If Biden could snag just 1.3, 1.4, or 1.5 mil, of newly registered voters since 2016, he would have a decent chance. I would think this of all years won't be a year where people will pizz away a vote on a 3rd party as some sort of protest vote, or just generally an apathetic or nihilistic F off to the system vote. I know I for one that, I'm not doing that this year. So I think Biden has a chance to pick up some of those votes too.
But the bad thing is that looking at the numbers and seeing that if the total was around 15 million-ish registered voters back in 2016, then the registered voter turnout was barely over 50%. Which is still decent. A lot of states are lucky to get 50% registered voter turnout. And most states as a whole only have about a 1/3 of their population even registered.
So that raises the question as to even if they have added roughly 1.9 million registered voters since 2016 - Will all 1.9million-ish still turnout and vote?
