Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

**KVB** · 05-15-17, 06:46 PM

I think the Over could tonight too.

That last game had a few last second game winners backed into the end...I hope it's as close.

The +5 seems like a good trade but it's just like the NBA to spoil it with some free throws down the stretch.

**gauchojake** · 05-15-17, 06:53 PM

**KVB** · 05-15-17, 07:08 PM

**stevenash** · 05-15-17, 07:18 PM

Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow

soooooo , this game 7

going to be impossible not to make a play on this one .

Im looking into it , have been anyways.

What you seeing KVB ?

Under 211, feel free to jump in live betting anytime.
Boston defense will come to play.

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 05-15-17, 07:24 PM

Wizards 0-3 on wide open looks so far

sigh

**stevenash** · 05-15-17, 07:31 PM

Ian Eagle has become one of the best in the business.

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 05-15-17, 07:37 PM

Wzards look stiff as a board
mother fukkers more nervouse then a 16 year old
doing a book report in front of the class

**KVB** · 05-15-17, 07:43 PM

Pace not far off and the Wizards withstanding the Boston push, and then some.

In my opinion, a good first quarter for the Wiz and the Over.

**Da Manster!** · 05-15-17, 08:03 PM

Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow

Manster wanted proof it happened , so I showed him .

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 05-15-17, 08:12 PM

lol Manny

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 05-15-17, 08:13 PM

Bradley Beal 1-6 for the field
thats not goign to get it done

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 05-15-17, 08:22 PM

on pace for 216 points @ the half

sooooo many buckets left out there on the court though

**KVB** · 05-15-17, 08:59 PM

I just got back.

I have Wizards to win, Wizards +5 and over 210 long term.

Looks like Washington led at the half.

This game now appears remarkably close to the forecast on pace and margin of victory.

I would imagine something will give, but I think the Over is on it's way.

**KVB** · 05-15-17, 09:03 PM

lol, I couldn't post the sharks circling above, so let me just repeat...

It looks like Washington led at the half...

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 05-15-17, 09:16 PM

10 minutes left , only 36 more points needed

**KVB** · 05-15-17, 09:17 PM

Originally posted by KVB

...I would imagine something will give, but I think the Over is on it's way...

It went from a tie game to a 13 point Boston lead just like that. The good news is there were 11 points in the first 2 minutes of the 4th. For this game, that's on Over in the making if I ever saw one.

Not so sure Boston is covering this spread though.

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 05-15-17, 09:18 PM

9 minutes left, only 29 points needed

**KVB** · 05-15-17, 09:20 PM

Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow

9 minutes left, only 29 points needed

They scored 18 points in the first 3 minutes of the 4th, this would be a tragedy if it didn't go Over.

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 05-15-17, 09:36 PM

And thats a winnnnnnnnner

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 05-15-17, 09:40 PM

and a pretty easy cover @ that, KVB ur Wiz gave it a run but Boston closed it out in the end
I think Boston gives Cleveland a better series

**KVB** · 05-15-17, 09:45 PM

Nice hit Cash...

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 05-15-17, 09:47 PM

thanks KVB, it wont let me nominate posts anymore

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 05-15-17, 09:48 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Nice hit Cash...

man I bet those puppies are beauties when the bra becomes undone

**PerfectGrape** · 05-16-17, 06:08 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Ripple solid, backed by the banks for the banks. It's like the legal crypto.

I missed out on some of that too.

been down in the dumps

**PerfectGrape** · 05-16-17, 06:14 PM

over tonight?

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 05-16-17, 06:58 PM

Not sure about the over , spurs had a incredibly tough time scoring once Leonard went out
midway thru the 3rd quarter

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 05-16-17, 07:02 PM

Im honestly considering taking Warriors with the big spread
I really believe that it will be Warriors goal to punish spurs this game
This isnt James Harden and the rockets , Hardens season is over and now
him and his beard can focus solely on orchestrating robberies
This is the Warriors , think we will see tonight how badly spurs need
him in this series , like the Bulls needed Jordan

This prolly wont be pretty

**KVB** · 05-16-17, 07:04 PM

The sharp forecast says Golden State wins 113-102. The public gauge has Golden State winning 110-102.

The Total is a bit low at 210 and the books, as usual of late, are taking those Over bets. This is becoming such a regular thing in the playoffs that there is little to read from the market conditions until there is a change.

During this Total market, the forecast’s rolling 100 bets has remained 55-45 against the opening spread.

There is no real reason to counter the forecast except to anticipate some give and take. That, by itself, isn’t enough to take an Under here. There are no metrics that foresee either a short term win or loss with the Total and that is no doubt by design.

The presence of the Leonard injury (whether real or just drama) makes me wary of trades here. One thing to note, throughout the season San Antonio has played well without Leonard. Including the upset against Houston, I believe they are 8-1 without Leonard.

This trend can easily derail, especially against the Warriors, but again nothing to trigger a trade. The spread is too tight at this point with the books inflating it just a bit, perhaps trying to draw money towards San Antonio from both a public perspective (a 13 point line in the playoffs) and sharper modelers.

I’m suspicious and think the Warriors may take over here, but nothing strong enough to go against the forecast. I have no long term play on this side or moneyline.

**KVB** · 05-16-17, 07:06 PM

Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow

Im honestly considering taking Warriors with the big spread
I really believe that it will be Warriors goal to punish spurs this game...

My post is strongly hinting at this possibility. I think you could be right here.

**KVB** · 05-16-17, 07:13 PM

Yeah, WTF? So Harden is a criminal mastermind? Maybe his crew was stealing millions while he was stealing his paycheck without working for his last game this year, then they all met at the titty bar that night.

**PerfectGrape** · 05-16-17, 07:19 PM

to provide some context, opponents when leonard was out include phoenix, memphis, brooklyn, sacramento, portland, warriors missing KD, klay, steph

**PerfectGrape** · 05-16-17, 07:20 PM

maybe go for the under

**KVB** · 05-16-17, 07:25 PM

It looks like Pinny is pulling off the 210 to 209.5.

Sure, this looks like reverse line movement, and right now, at this moment, it may be. It's worth noting, however, that this has traded as low as 208, giving some perspective on that line movement.

**KVB** · 05-16-17, 07:27 PM

Originally posted by PerfectGrape

to provide some context, opponents when leonard was out include phoenix, memphis, brooklyn, sacramento, portland, warriors missing KD, klay, steph

And Houston "without" Harden.

That's part of my point as well, the public is hearing they've done well without Leonard and a 10 point upset Over Houston helps drive the point home.

It's sounds good, but as you point out, it is flawed.

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 05-16-17, 07:28 PM

I think it would be wise to stay away from a total completely in this one
Spurs might sabotage it on both ends as well as with the pace
the ball movement will be an issue causing precious time to click off the clock
And if thats the case then you better pray both teams are shooting lights out

under might be safer than a over but my personal confidence is lacking on either over or under