Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

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  • KVB
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 05-29-14
    • 74817

    #55966
    I think the Over could tonight too.

    That last game had a few last second game winners backed into the end...I hope it's as close.

    The +5 seems like a good trade but it's just like the NBA to spoil it with some free throws down the stretch.

    Comment
    • gauchojake
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 09-17-10
      • 34103

      #55967
      <iframe src="https://giphy.com/embed/Q4STebQC3vck" width="480" height="360" frameBorder="0" class="giphy-embed" allowFullScreen></iframe><p><a href="https://giphy.com/gifs/80s-1980s-Q4STebQC3vck">via GIPHY</a></p>
      Comment
      • KVB
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 05-29-14
        • 74817

        #55968
        Comment
        • stevenash
          Moderator
          • 01-17-11
          • 65329

          #55969
          Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
          soooooo , this game 7

          going to be impossible not to make a play on this one .

          Im looking into it , have been anyways.

          What you seeing KVB ?
          Under 211, feel free to jump in live betting anytime.
          Boston defense will come to play.
          Comment
          • Fidel_CashFlow
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-03-12
            • 53970

            #55970
            Wizards 0-3 on wide open looks so far

            sigh
            Comment
            • stevenash
              Moderator
              • 01-17-11
              • 65329

              #55971
              Ian Eagle has become one of the best in the business.
              Comment
              • Fidel_CashFlow
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-03-12
                • 53970

                #55972
                Wzards look stiff as a board
                mother fukkers more nervouse then a 16 year old
                doing a book report in front of the class
                Comment
                • KVB
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 05-29-14
                  • 74817

                  #55973
                  Pace not far off and the Wizards withstanding the Boston push, and then some.

                  In my opinion, a good first quarter for the Wiz and the Over.

                  Comment
                  • Da Manster!
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 07-13-07
                    • 17720

                    #55974
                    Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
                    Manster wanted proof it happened , so I showed him .

                    Comment
                    • Fidel_CashFlow
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-03-12
                      • 53970

                      #55975
                      lol Manny
                      Comment
                      • Fidel_CashFlow
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-03-12
                        • 53970

                        #55976
                        Bradley Beal 1-6 for the field
                        thats not goign to get it done
                        Comment
                        • Fidel_CashFlow
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-03-12
                          • 53970

                          #55977
                          on pace for 216 points @ the half

                          sooooo many buckets left out there on the court though
                          Comment
                          • KVB
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-29-14
                            • 74817

                            #55978
                            I just got back.

                            I have Wizards to win, Wizards +5 and over 210 long term.

                            Looks like Washington led at the half.

                            This game now appears remarkably close to the forecast on pace and margin of victory.

                            I would imagine something will give, but I think the Over is on it's way.

                            Comment
                            • KVB
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 05-29-14
                              • 74817

                              #55979
                              lol, I couldn't post the sharks circling above, so let me just repeat...

                              It looks like Washington led at the half...

                              Comment
                              • Fidel_CashFlow
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-03-12
                                • 53970

                                #55980
                                10 minutes left , only 36 more points needed
                                Comment
                                • KVB
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 05-29-14
                                  • 74817

                                  #55981
                                  Originally posted by KVB
                                  ...I would imagine something will give, but I think the Over is on it's way...
                                  It went from a tie game to a 13 point Boston lead just like that. The good news is there were 11 points in the first 2 minutes of the 4th. For this game, that's on Over in the making if I ever saw one.

                                  Not so sure Boston is covering this spread though.

                                  Comment
                                  • Fidel_CashFlow
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-03-12
                                    • 53970

                                    #55982
                                    9 minutes left, only 29 points needed
                                    Comment
                                    • KVB
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 05-29-14
                                      • 74817

                                      #55983
                                      Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
                                      9 minutes left, only 29 points needed
                                      They scored 18 points in the first 3 minutes of the 4th, this would be a tragedy if it didn't go Over.
                                      Comment
                                      • Fidel_CashFlow
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-03-12
                                        • 53970

                                        #55984
                                        And thats a winnnnnnnnner



                                        Comment
                                        • Fidel_CashFlow
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-03-12
                                          • 53970

                                          #55985
                                          and a pretty easy cover @ that, KVB ur Wiz gave it a run but Boston closed it out in the end
                                          I think Boston gives Cleveland a better series
                                          Comment
                                          • KVB
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 05-29-14
                                            • 74817

                                            #55986
                                            Nice hit Cash...

                                            Comment
                                            • Fidel_CashFlow
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-03-12
                                              • 53970

                                              #55987
                                              thanks KVB, it wont let me nominate posts anymore
                                              Comment
                                              • Fidel_CashFlow
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-03-12
                                                • 53970

                                                #55988
                                                Originally posted by KVB
                                                Nice hit Cash...


                                                man I bet those puppies are beauties when the bra becomes undone
                                                Comment
                                                • PerfectGrape
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 09-20-11
                                                  • 6761

                                                  #55989
                                                  Originally posted by KVB
                                                  Ripple solid, backed by the banks for the banks. It's like the legal crypto.

                                                  I missed out on some of that too.

                                                  been down in the dumps

                                                  Comment
                                                  • PerfectGrape
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 09-20-11
                                                    • 6761

                                                    #55990
                                                    over tonight?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Fidel_CashFlow
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-03-12
                                                      • 53970

                                                      #55991
                                                      Not sure about the over , spurs had a incredibly tough time scoring once Leonard went out
                                                      midway thru the 3rd quarter
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Fidel_CashFlow
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-03-12
                                                        • 53970

                                                        #55992
                                                        Im honestly considering taking Warriors with the big spread
                                                        I really believe that it will be Warriors goal to punish spurs this game
                                                        This isnt James Harden and the rockets , Hardens season is over and now
                                                        him and his beard can focus solely on orchestrating robberies
                                                        This is the Warriors , think we will see tonight how badly spurs need
                                                        him in this series , like the Bulls needed Jordan

                                                        This prolly wont be pretty
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KVB
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 05-29-14
                                                          • 74817

                                                          #55993
                                                          The sharp forecast says Golden State wins 113-102. The public gauge has Golden State winning 110-102.

                                                          The Total is a bit low at 210 and the books, as usual of late, are taking those Over bets. This is becoming such a regular thing in the playoffs that there is little to read from the market conditions until there is a change.

                                                          During this Total market, the forecast’s rolling 100 bets has remained 55-45 against the opening spread.

                                                          There is no real reason to counter the forecast except to anticipate some give and take. That, by itself, isn’t enough to take an Under here. There are no metrics that foresee either a short term win or loss with the Total and that is no doubt by design.

                                                          The presence of the Leonard injury (whether real or just drama) makes me wary of trades here. One thing to note, throughout the season San Antonio has played well without Leonard. Including the upset against Houston, I believe they are 8-1 without Leonard.

                                                          This trend can easily derail, especially against the Warriors, but again nothing to trigger a trade. The spread is too tight at this point with the books inflating it just a bit, perhaps trying to draw money towards San Antonio from both a public perspective (a 13 point line in the playoffs) and sharper modelers.

                                                          I’m suspicious and think the Warriors may take over here, but nothing strong enough to go against the forecast. I have no long term play on this side or moneyline.



                                                          Comment
                                                          • KVB
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 05-29-14
                                                            • 74817

                                                            #55994
                                                            Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow
                                                            Im honestly considering taking Warriors with the big spread
                                                            I really believe that it will be Warriors goal to punish spurs this game...
                                                            My post is strongly hinting at this possibility. I think you could be right here.

                                                            Comment
                                                            • KVB
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 05-29-14
                                                              • 74817

                                                              #55995
                                                              Yeah, WTF? So Harden is a criminal mastermind? Maybe his crew was stealing millions while he was stealing his paycheck without working for his last game this year, then they all met at the titty bar that night.

                                                              Comment
                                                              • PerfectGrape
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 09-20-11
                                                                • 6761

                                                                #55996
                                                                to provide some context, opponents when leonard was out include phoenix, memphis, brooklyn, sacramento, portland, warriors missing KD, klay, steph
                                                                Comment
                                                                • PerfectGrape
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 09-20-11
                                                                  • 6761

                                                                  #55997
                                                                  maybe go for the under
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KVB
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                                    • 74817

                                                                    #55998
                                                                    It looks like Pinny is pulling off the 210 to 209.5.

                                                                    Sure, this looks like reverse line movement, and right now, at this moment, it may be. It's worth noting, however, that this has traded as low as 208, giving some perspective on that line movement.


                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • KVB
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                                      • 74817

                                                                      #55999
                                                                      Originally posted by PerfectGrape
                                                                      to provide some context, opponents when leonard was out include phoenix, memphis, brooklyn, sacramento, portland, warriors missing KD, klay, steph
                                                                      And Houston "without" Harden.

                                                                      That's part of my point as well, the public is hearing they've done well without Leonard and a 10 point upset Over Houston helps drive the point home.

                                                                      It's sounds good, but as you point out, it is flawed.



                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Fidel_CashFlow
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 12-03-12
                                                                        • 53970

                                                                        #56000
                                                                        I think it would be wise to stay away from a total completely in this one
                                                                        Spurs might sabotage it on both ends as well as with the pace
                                                                        the ball movement will be an issue causing precious time to click off the clock
                                                                        And if thats the case then you better pray both teams are shooting lights out

                                                                        under might be safer than a over but my personal confidence is lacking on either over or under
                                                                        Comment
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