Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#55966Comment -
gauchojakeBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 09-17-10
- 34103
#55967<iframe src="https://giphy.com/embed/Q4STebQC3vck" width="480" height="360" frameBorder="0" class="giphy-embed" allowFullScreen></iframe><p><a href="https://giphy.com/gifs/80s-1980s-Q4STebQC3vck">via GIPHY</a></p>Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#55968Comment -
stevenashModerator
- 01-17-11
- 65329
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Fidel_CashFlowSBR Aristocracy
- 12-03-12
- 53970
#55970Wizards 0-3 on wide open looks so far
sighComment -
stevenashModerator
- 01-17-11
- 65329
#55971Ian Eagle has become one of the best in the business.Comment -
Fidel_CashFlowSBR Aristocracy
- 12-03-12
- 53970
#55972Wzards look stiff as a board
mother fukkers more nervouse then a 16 year old
doing a book report in front of the classComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#55973Pace not far off and the Wizards withstanding the Boston push, and then some.
In my opinion, a good first quarter for the Wiz and the Over.
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Fidel_CashFlowSBR Aristocracy
- 12-03-12
- 53970
#55975lol MannyComment -
Fidel_CashFlowSBR Aristocracy
- 12-03-12
- 53970
#55976Bradley Beal 1-6 for the field
thats not goign to get it doneComment -
Fidel_CashFlowSBR Aristocracy
- 12-03-12
- 53970
#55977on pace for 216 points @ the half
sooooo many buckets left out there on the court thoughComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#55979lol, I couldn't post the sharks circling above, so let me just repeat...
It looks like Washington led at the half...
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Fidel_CashFlowSBR Aristocracy
- 12-03-12
- 53970
#5598010 minutes left , only 36 more points neededComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#55981
Not so sure Boston is covering this spread though.
Comment -
Fidel_CashFlowSBR Aristocracy
- 12-03-12
- 53970
#559829 minutes left, only 29 points neededComment -
Fidel_CashFlowSBR Aristocracy
- 12-03-12
- 53970
#55984And thats a winnnnnnnnner
Comment -
Fidel_CashFlowSBR Aristocracy
- 12-03-12
- 53970
#55985and a pretty easy cover @ that, KVB ur Wiz gave it a run but Boston closed it out in the end
I think Boston gives Cleveland a better seriesComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#55986Nice hit Cash...
Comment -
Fidel_CashFlowSBR Aristocracy
- 12-03-12
- 53970
#55987thanks KVB, it wont let me nominate posts anymoreComment -
PerfectGrapeSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-20-11
- 6761
#55990over tonight?Comment -
Fidel_CashFlowSBR Aristocracy
- 12-03-12
- 53970
#55991Not sure about the over , spurs had a incredibly tough time scoring once Leonard went out
midway thru the 3rd quarterComment -
Fidel_CashFlowSBR Aristocracy
- 12-03-12
- 53970
#55992Im honestly considering taking Warriors with the big spread
I really believe that it will be Warriors goal to punish spurs this game
This isnt James Harden and the rockets , Hardens season is over and now
him and his beard can focus solely on orchestrating robberies
This is the Warriors , think we will see tonight how badly spurs need
him in this series , like the Bulls needed Jordan
This prolly wont be prettyComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#55993The sharp forecast says Golden State wins 113-102. The public gauge has Golden State winning 110-102.
The Total is a bit low at 210 and the books, as usual of late, are taking those Over bets. This is becoming such a regular thing in the playoffs that there is little to read from the market conditions until there is a change.
During this Total market, the forecast’s rolling 100 bets has remained 55-45 against the opening spread.
There is no real reason to counter the forecast except to anticipate some give and take. That, by itself, isn’t enough to take an Under here. There are no metrics that foresee either a short term win or loss with the Total and that is no doubt by design.
The presence of the Leonard injury (whether real or just drama) makes me wary of trades here. One thing to note, throughout the season San Antonio has played well without Leonard. Including the upset against Houston, I believe they are 8-1 without Leonard.
This trend can easily derail, especially against the Warriors, but again nothing to trigger a trade. The spread is too tight at this point with the books inflating it just a bit, perhaps trying to draw money towards San Antonio from both a public perspective (a 13 point line in the playoffs) and sharper modelers.
I’m suspicious and think the Warriors may take over here, but nothing strong enough to go against the forecast. I have no long term play on this side or moneyline.
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
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PerfectGrapeSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-20-11
- 6761
#55996to provide some context, opponents when leonard was out include phoenix, memphis, brooklyn, sacramento, portland, warriors missing KD, klay, stephComment -
PerfectGrapeSBR Hall of Famer
- 09-20-11
- 6761
#55997maybe go for the underComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#55998It looks like Pinny is pulling off the 210 to 209.5.
Sure, this looks like reverse line movement, and right now, at this moment, it may be. It's worth noting, however, that this has traded as low as 208, giving some perspective on that line movement.
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#55999
That's part of my point as well, the public is hearing they've done well without Leonard and a 10 point upset Over Houston helps drive the point home.
It's sounds good, but as you point out, it is flawed.
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Fidel_CashFlowSBR Aristocracy
- 12-03-12
- 53970
#56000I think it would be wise to stay away from a total completely in this one
Spurs might sabotage it on both ends as well as with the pace
the ball movement will be an issue causing precious time to click off the clock
And if thats the case then you better pray both teams are shooting lights out
under might be safer than a over but my personal confidence is lacking on either over or underComment
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