go caps!...
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Tigers n Twins under 9.5 runsComment -
The sharp forecast says Toronto beats Milwaukee 99-93. The public gauge says Milwaukee wins 103-98.
The public has clearly joined the Milwaukee bandwagon here. While the public can be right, and even go on streaks, in general they will lose; but at times the margin can be close.
In terms of trades, it feels like Toronto is becoming a bit of a short and long term money trap. But we don’t bet on feel, we use the numbers and context. It’s the first game of the day so there are no trades.
I may be gone by the tip of game two. The sharp forecast has a 107-107 tie between Washington and Atlanta with Atlanta getting a slight moneyline edge in the raw score. The public gauge shows Washington winning 108-106.
With such agreement on the Total and the line as low as it is, it seems the books are once again readily accepting action on the Over for this game. As for the spread, that pressure to get a win in game three at home is once again showing itself in the market.
Back to the total, we’ve caught the market in this same situation a couple of times and, as usual, I’m looking over the shoulder thinking we can’t catch them again.
Some time back I spoke of a psychological effect the markets have on all of us, even if just to make a bettor second guess.
Enough rambling, if the metrics uncover an Under play for the game between Washington and Atlanta before I leave, I’ll post the play.
The game doesn’t start for a while.
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2nd play for you tonight will be
Spurs vs Griz over 186
total team points once the 4th quarter ends and the game is called.
Basically to help you all understand this confusing bet. Both teams will continue to try and put the ball in their
designated hoop quarter by quarter. As the game clock exceeds the 48 minute mark
you combine both teams scores, when adding these scores together, if it exceeds the 186 total points mark
then that means my bet wins .
Read over that last paragrpah trying to explain the way the bet works and not sure if I got the point across
OK, both teams will be shooting the ball , hopin there shots go in . There will be layups, mid range jumpers, post up moves
and even outside jumpers and free throws count as well . There will be someone in charge of keeping score of the game.
They will notify us quarter by quarter what BOTH teams scores are. Its confusing and already feel like im getting lost trying to break this down to you all in simplest terms possible. Basically have a calculator with you , there will be numbers that are going to be needed to
be added together at the end of the game, put those into your calculator and if it goes over 186 points then you win the bet.
Hope that at least gets you on the right track of how these perplexing betting options work .
Good luck and try to remember the steps above so when you are watching the bet you can know how to cheer accordingly
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Good Luck Cash, nice hit on the Under.Comment -
The sharp forecast has a 96-96 tie between San Antonio and Memphis with Memphis getting the slight moneyline edge in the raw score. The public gauge says San Antonio wins 98-95.
LOL if Memphis wins this game and ties the series, but it could happen. I have Memphis long term at +5.5 (-110) but nothing further and other metrics cause me to pass on the moneyline if less than 2-1. I may be a little more conservative here as I know others who have fired off at +190. I think that’s the sharp level and the market seems to agree, with heavy public pressure helping hold the line around there.
Again I’m leaving so the sharp forecast says Golden State wins 111-99. The public gauge has GS winning 114-106.
The spread and Total are closer the gauge here. I think the Over is over-bought and there is value created with an Under. I have not traded the play yet and may not, but am Under 218.5 (-105) long term.
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I really really hope the Warriors do not win the NBA championship
the sellout Durant... fukk him he took the easy route.Comment -
One of the three handwritten notes Aaron Hernandez left behind before hanging himself in his single cell was reportedly for his gay prison lover.
Although the existence of the notes was made public by prison officials Thursday, the Daily Mail is citing a "source close to the investigation" that one note was penned to a gay lover at the Souza-Baranowski Correctional Center in Shirley, Mass. The other two notes, according to the report, were written by the former Patriots tight end to fiancee Shayanna Jenkins-Hernandez and their 4-year-old daughter Avielle.
The notes were found next to a Bible opened to John 3:16. It was the same Bible verse that the convicted murderer had written on his forehead with a red marker, per Boston's Fox25.
Hernandez's gay lover is not identified in the Daily Mail exclusive, but he is reportedly on "eyeball to eyeball" suicide watch. Citing a "well-placed" source, the Daily Mail also reports that Hernandez had covered the floor of his cell in soap in case he lost his nerve when trying to hang himself. He reportedly also gave away most of his personal belongings leading up to his Wednesday suicide.Comment -
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digusting 3rd quarter so far
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as much as I love emm . Kawhi Leonard had an atrocious 3rd quarter.....
make this one closer than it shoulda been
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2nd play for you tonight will be
Spurs vs Griz over 186
total team points once the 4th quarter ends and the game is called.
Basically to help you all understand this confusing bet. Both teams will continue to try and put the ball in their
designated hoop quarter by quarter. As the game clock exceeds the 48 minute mark
you combine both teams scores, when adding these scores together, if it exceeds the 186 total points mark
then that means my bet wins .
Read over that last paragrpah trying to explain the way the bet works and not sure if I got the point across
OK, both teams will be shooting the ball , hopin there shots go in . There will be layups, mid range jumpers, post up moves
and even outside jumpers and free throws count as well . There will be someone in charge of keeping score of the game.
They will notify us quarter by quarter what BOTH teams scores are. Its confusing and already feel like im getting lost trying to break this down to you all in simplest terms possible. Basically have a calculator with you , there will be numbers that are going to be needed to
be added together at the end of the game, put those into your calculator and if it goes over 186 points then you win the bet.
Hope that at least gets you on the right track of how these perplexing betting options work .
Good luck and try to remember the steps above so when you are watching the bet you can know how to cheer accordingly
and for the
Trifecta
Blazers and Warriors over 217.5
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one of my favorites
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youtube comment
dale lgribble1 year ago
it's sad after that first hit. you can see the very moment that the man realizes his entire life is a lie.
coupled with the fear of having his face bashed in.
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