Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

**KVB** · 10-27-16, 10:39 PM

And now all the teases get killed. If USC holds on we get the whole chicken tonight.

This dude...

...

**KVB** · 10-28-16, 12:29 AM

Matsuayma in the lead, what a fuggin tease.

**KVB** · 10-28-16, 12:35 AM

**KVB** · 10-28-16, 12:46 AM

**KVB** · 10-28-16, 01:12 AM

Remember when I talked about some things to look for when I post? Well, add pay attention to the bold plays to to that.

It might look like it, but I'm not fukking around here.

**KVB** · 10-28-16, 02:43 AM

CashFlow

Check in.

**High3rEl3m3nt** · 10-28-16, 10:59 AM

nice job, kvb.

**PerfectGrape** · 10-28-16, 11:34 AM

pineapple pizza lover told me to wait til 4Q to take over

**Ra77er** · 10-28-16, 11:39 AM

KVB my research indicates Wisconsin -9 to -11. Overall picture looks good for a Nebraska outright win however. Good luck on the Huskers, bold play?

**KVB** · 10-28-16, 01:18 PM

Originally posted by KVB

CashFlow

Check in...

**KVB** · 10-28-16, 02:08 PM

Originally posted by Ra77er

KVB my research indicates Wisconsin -9 to -11. Overall picture looks good for a Nebraska outright win however. Good luck on the Huskers, bold play?

I've been looking at that this week. I have basically a tie game 28-28...with Nebraska actually winning outright in the raw score. Last night I had a 28-28 tie in the NFL but Tenn had a 1/2 point higher raw score.

A public gauge I create has Wisconsin winning with a lower score of 21-14. I'm still watching money come in and capping the rest of the conference so it's a tough one.

On one hand, it feels like the cat is a bit out of the bag here with Nebraska and the fact that they are undefeated only plays into it. Part of the high line likely deals with schedule strength as Nebraska schedule has been weaker.

It seems like they books are asking for Nebraska bets in this line. Nebraska fans have been asked to lay 20 point lines and now look at +9.

It's not often that undefeated teams face such big point spreads, especially within conference.

I'm not making any decisions on this one yet.

Turn that shit up...

**Ra77er** · 10-28-16, 02:36 PM

Good work yesterday, go matsu.

**KVB** · 10-28-16, 03:34 PM

I'll call out bullshit now and then, but I'm really not e-fighter. It's hard to appreciate some SBR drama these days. I'm just not an angry guy. I guess one poster pushed it once, but he was out of line for a long time.

**KVB** · 10-28-16, 03:46 PM

I also have a wide variety of tastes in music...lol.

**KVB** · 10-28-16, 03:55 PM

**KVB** · 10-28-16, 05:10 PM

I have South Florida scoring 41 points tonight. I have Navy Scoring 35, but one tweak makes it 31.

The public gauge says South Florida by a only 3 or 4 points...38 to 34 or 35.

Two looks here. First, once again heavy support for the underdog, Navy. Not only is it reflected in the line movement, but also in my public gauge. It's Friday night and such a popular style pick can be trouble.

On the other hand, there is growing evidence supporting that contrarian style play. The more of that, the worse off South Florida becomes...that darn kitty in the bag. Also, I see an effort to sideline certain groups, and often, this can result in a "public" payout. After seeing USC kick a late field goal to let down that very public I wouldn't be surprised to see the public squirrel get his nut tonight with Dame.

So what to do? It's a classic Friday night pass.

But I have to be honest, I put South Florida in BTP. I think we've seen some contrarian plays push of late and I'm going to take a cue from the market and it's movement that those pushes mean it's back to business as usual. I'd rather go that route than bet a further push from sharp money to public.

I made it a BTP best bet but have no real money on it, yet. The more I look, the less I like the play...lol...

South Florida -6 (-112)NCAAF [General]
10/28/16 07:00 PM ET

**KVB** · 10-28-16, 05:58 PM

South Florida was the spoiler in the last open parlay. I'll give those fukkers another chance.

It's a 4 pick with the first pick a push, a fuggin push...

To Win	Short Description
Open	Football - 476 Arizona Cardinals -128 for Game Football - 114 South Florida -235 for Game

**KVB** · 10-28-16, 06:12 PM

Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo

Fawk You South Florida

Originally posted by KVB

It's time to right this wrong.

**Ra77er** · 10-28-16, 06:34 PM

I didn't get a seat

**KVB** · 10-28-16, 06:37 PM

Go Bulls!

21-0 in the first 10 minutes.

**KVB** · 10-28-16, 08:37 PM

I added this to the open parlay. It's a bit expensive and consider it a bit of an insurance bet. If Rory is going to steal this from us, he's going to go low on moving day. I doubt Ross Fisher will keep up.

If you don't own Matsuyama to win, this is not as nearly as attractive of a bet, in my opinion...

To Win	Short Description
Open	Football - 476 Arizona Cardinals -128 for Game Football - 114 South Florida -235 for Game Golf - 7335 R. McIlroy -205 for Game

I hope it's not another push.

**KVB** · 10-28-16, 10:22 PM

Cracked the top 10 BTP in my first BTP ever. Sitting alone at 10 right at this moment.

**innovation** · 10-29-16, 12:51 AM

had a rocky ridge callaway chevy 560 stock horsepower in my shop today, seen all
kinds of raptors, lightning, bumble bee,f250 Harley, platinums, tacos, 1794 tundras you name it in trucks....this fuker was cool if you're a chevy guy.....fords for technology and dodge Eco diesel and air ride control have some good shit out but this 92k truck was legit

im fukin ripped now men, hope all the fly me is good.....God bless all u all

**KVB** · 10-29-16, 03:14 AM

Rory screwed the parlay but Matsuyama holds his lead. Rory will be paying that one back. Just as well, the parlay had no value to it.

I opened a new 4 pick parlay. Long story short I don't think Houston will be able to withstand the pressure that is currently on them to cover. The pressure seems so high that I don't believe some of the info I am looking at.

Such an extreme case tends to mean it's meant to draw someone's attention, meant to stir action. As it's such an early game, this represents a risk...the money is only beginning to move for the day.

Even though I told myself I won't put early plays like this in BTP, I bit and did it anyway...

UCF +9 (-105)NCAAF [General]
10/29/16 12:00 PM ET

Further, I don't really think it's open parlay material by itself but the need to buy points made it a good time to open one. If it hits it's a good start...

To Win	Short Description
Open	Football - 183 Central Florida +13 -152 buying 3½ for Game
	Football - 159 Baylor/Texas under 73½ -105 for Game

The single play is the UNDER 73.5. I believe the market moved too far here, tipping it's hand, and am not sure what we'll see in the morning and before game time. I took it now online.

Probably should BTP that play as well.

Good Luck.

**KVB** · 10-29-16, 03:23 AM

Actually, Rory didn't screw the parlay, Fisher Eagled the 16th hole, Rory missed an eagle as the ball went in on a chip, then bounced out.

It looks like he tried to tie it.

I put the UNDER in Texas in BTP...

UCF +9 (-105)NCAAF [General]
10/29/16 12:00 PM ET
Baylor vs Texas Under 73 (-105)NCAAF [General]
10/29/16 03:30 PM ET

Both of these lines should be a half point better instead of (-105)...bastards.

Sheeesh.

One BTP play left.

**KVB** · 10-29-16, 03:25 AM

Originally posted by KVB

CashFlow

Check in...

**PerfectGrape** · 10-29-16, 08:18 AM

big cubs loser. was gonna take UCF but up to +10. looking at illini. go easy on the dope flow

**PerfectGrape** · 10-29-16, 08:21 AM

always fly united

**KVB** · 10-29-16, 01:11 PM

Originally posted by PerfectGrape

big cubs loser. was gonna take UCF but up to +10. looking at illini. go easy on the dope flow

UCF up 24-3, oh boy. It's not what they bring, it'show they bring it. You know I hate to lead early.

I hope they cover.

Matsuyama has had a 3 stroke lead for two rounds.

Baylor Texas went up to 75.

**PerfectGrape** · 10-29-16, 01:41 PM

tailed on ucf, switched to minn, took panthers like a dope. need an afternoon lock

**KVB** · 10-29-16, 02:12 PM

Houston making a move, UCF laying down for the second half. It was a little expected. I talk about starting money flow and we all know about the deception. Let's see if UCF can hang on.

Minn getting it done but open to a 9 point push. Michigan trying to get it done, Penn State the same. Tough read so far, I still like that UNDER in the Texas.

Everything still needs to resolve, a lot of time left in games.

I say look at the UNDER, fade the line move in Texas.

To Win	Short Description
Open	Football - 183 Central Florida +13 -152 buying 3½ for Game
	Football - 159 Baylor/Texas under 73½ -105 for Game
	Football - 159 Baylor/Texas under 75½ -105 for Game

**KVB** · 10-29-16, 02:26 PM

Announcer on the final play "A lot of people on pins and needles for a variety of reasons. What could have been a bad beat ends up being a Houston win."

It's not what the bring, it's how they bring it.

Just like the news, the national narrative has a script.

A lot of deception on a game that starts the flow of money.

**KVB** · 10-29-16, 02:52 PM

By the way, anyone who watched that game, I hope you saw what happened. Consider what I bought the line to, consider what the final play meant. What looked to be a Houston comeback to cover wasn't. I sought this game for money flow and those who know the CFL thread know about deception on the field.

You saw it here, this morning, in NCAAF. These are some examples I was hoping to catch.

"You haven't seen the world until you've seen it through the eyes of Forrest Gump."

Read the Parable of the Cave (Allegory of the Cave), an understanding of that not only explains Grape's kooky comment, but much more.

Are we staring at shadows in sports betting, or could there be more behind the results than it appears? Small glimpses may keep your eyes from burning from the sun.

Some say only losing bettors make certain claims. I say there are a a lot of myths in sports betting and it's not that gamblers don't know, it's just that what they know is so often wrong.

Enough subtle intimations and philosophy, I have work to do.

**KVB** · 10-29-16, 03:00 PM

I hope Texas can keep Baylor from scoring. A close Texas game is no surprise but a big time shoot out not so good.

21 points in the first 4 minutes.

**KVB** · 10-29-16, 03:06 PM

Seems like with Navy not kicking the extra point and the Houston/UCF gift, we may see a massacre for the contrarian bettor midday.

28 points in under 6 minutes of play.