Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

**KVB** · 02-01-15, 07:47 PM

Just saw a live line Pats -2.5 for even money. In my experience that just seems too easy. Smells a bit stanky. I dunno...

**innovation** · 02-01-15, 07:49 PM

atta boy brady

pats needed 7

cant go to second half without lead vs these guys

**KVB** · 02-01-15, 07:50 PM

Originally posted by KVB

I also have that Brady Over 3.5 yards (+120), fawk!!

By the way, my SB analysis suggested NE would score first. One of these is deceiving...it looks like NE and Under, I say today one is false? Is it gonna go OVER? Or is it gonna be Sea winning?

Seen two Touchdowns since this post. Was Ne 7-0 now NE 14-7.

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 02-01-15, 08:00 PM

lol

somehow the Seahawks stay in the game

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 02-01-15, 08:18 PM

that 80 yard drive in 30 seconds changed a lot u all.......

**KVB** · 02-01-15, 08:20 PM

21 points inside the last 5 min. Anyone with with Under 47 not only has bad value but now they're sweating the bet.

I still like Seattle in this spot.

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 02-01-15, 08:26 PM

lol Jmon and DaManster already passed out @ halftime

**KVB** · 02-01-15, 08:27 PM

I kid you not, and I'm no fan of Perry, but that could have been the best, most grand, SuperBowl halftime I've ever seen. Seriously, and it feels odd to say.

It was grand, fireworks and all, but we could have seen a little more Kravitz.

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 02-01-15, 08:32 PM

Originally posted by KVB

I kid you not, and I'm no fan of Perry, but that could have been the best, most grand, SuperBowl halftime I've ever seen. Seriously, and it feels odd to say.

It was grand, fireworks and all, but we could have seen a little more Kravitz.

**smokenjoke** · 02-01-15, 08:36 PM

Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow

lol Jmon and DaManster already passed out @ halftime

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 02-01-15, 08:36 PM

**KVB** · 02-01-15, 08:39 PM

Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow

**KVB** · 02-01-15, 09:04 PM

Originally posted by KVB

So in a nutshell, my early prediction is a Seattle win 27-17. In the current situation, that would indicate a buy on Seattle up to -4 points and a position on the UNDER down to 47.5 points.

An indication for both the side and total does worry me a bit, it’s never THAT easy, but it’s looking pretty good for Seattle to repeat as SuperBowl Champs.

Originally posted by KVB

Yeah that's why I was worried with both indications. In the past, the total usually gives here while the side comes out alright. That's why I said Seattle could repeat. The total worries me but both are good bets.

Good Luck on the under. I say keep it under 47.5 as I see the value virtually disappearing at 47.

The picture is starting to be clear here. The game isn't over but it looks like the Under is failing!

And talk about deception. It was 7-0 New England with 5 minutes left in the half.

**innovation** · 02-01-15, 09:07 PM

[QUOTE=Fidel_CashFlow;23515843]

Fuk she sounds expensive to date

**innovation** · 02-01-15, 09:13 PM

may the futbol gods be kind towards the under

Seattle has allowed 2.4 points in all the 3rd Qrt this year

And exactly 0 the last 4 games,

**CountNo_Account** · 02-01-15, 09:17 PM

Originally posted by KVB

I kid you not, and I'm no fan of Perry, but that could have been the best, most grand, SuperBowl halftime I've ever seen. Seriously, and it feels odd to say.

It was grand, fireworks and all, but we could have seen a little more Kravitz.

The only thing I wanna hear from her is the sound of her titays slapping together as I pound her from behind....

**innovation** · 02-01-15, 09:19 PM

lol

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 02-01-15, 09:27 PM

well here we are.
The over 24.5 Brady completions covered easily...
but these damn Seahawks.

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 02-01-15, 09:29 PM

Originally posted by KVB

The picture is starting to be clear here. The game isn't over but it looks like the Under is failing!

And talk about deception. It was 7-0 New England with 5 minutes left in the half.

lol KVB is on a mission here

Sup Count, it is a good game. 3 point lead Seahawks

Brady almost 300 yards passing and 30 completions
freaking Wilson only 9/13 but winning the game... and thats all that matters

**KVB** · 02-01-15, 09:32 PM

Originally posted by CountNo_Account

The only thing I wanna hear from her is the sound of her titays slapping together as I pound her from behind....

Indeed. It was fine visual display, audio optional. Too bad we didn't get a "malfunction" of some kind.

**CountNo_Account** · 02-01-15, 09:34 PM

Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow

Lets face it, you cant diss a bettor for taking either of these 2 teams today.
You have the Super Bowl Champion Seahawks, who seem to get whatever they need to pick up the win.
And you have the war tested Patriots, one decade to this day its been since they won the big game.
But here are some reasons why I like my money on the Patriots @ -1

A lot of it comes down to match ups . I do not specifically mean individual match ups more then I mean
one teams defensive playing schemes against the opposing teams offensive designs as a group.
This match up , considering the passing attack only, ((imo)) ,
greatly favors New England and their drive style.
Brady will take what you give him, and he will do this all the way down the field.
Seattle has been known to allow short passes in front of them.
This is also the reason why im playing Brady over 24.5 completions today as well.

Simple way to think of this particular game is, Brady's line allows him time normally(even against the tough defenses) and Seattle happens to not be a great pass rushing unit.
Spreading them out with the 2 tight end formations is going to allow many short 5+ yard catches to be open. The question is, will Brady remain calm and methodically take it play by play like he normally does.
This will be key, will Brady pass up the automatic open first down for 5 yards on 3rd and 4 ,
and instead make an attempt at a 1 on 1 covered receiver hailmary 50 yards down the field.
For me, im hoping he takes the 5 yard first down each time... even if a decent shot at long ball is there
A lot of my personal reasoning behind this play revolves heavily behind there last 2 paragraphs.

The running game has to go to Lynch and the Seahawks.Lynch scares the shit out of me.
What I see Patriots preparing for defensively is stopping Lynch and QB Wilson's scramblling for a first down
on crucial 3rd downs.I know , easier said then done on stopping Lynch.
But if they can slightly contain him in the least then that bodes greatly for Pats
since Seattle's offense looks anemic when they become strictly a pass oriented team.
Worth noting that in all 4 Seahawk losses this year,each loss the other team had over 100 rushing yards.
Blunt is important here... but I honestly am clueless how good he is going to do.
The Pats do not need Blount as badas the Hawks need Lynch to perform.
But that does not mean Blount can stink it up and Pats still win.
They just need Blount to pick up some (league average) type yardage and the rest should fall into place.

Seattle does not possess the receivers to win a game against Patriots solely using the aerial attack.
pats front seven is EXTREMELY athletic. Could give Wilson some major probs in those crucial scrambling miracles he pulls off
Patriots defense matches up quite well with Seahawks, once again, this only matters if they contain Lynch.
Darrelle Revis actually had more pro bowl votes then his nemesis Sherman. Pats are healthy on defense
and carry quite possibly more overall depth. Seattles 3 main defensive anchors are battling injuries

couple extra points.

Seattle is not @ home.

Earl Thomas has slightly dislocated shoulder(as mentioned)
along with the 2 other main defenders Chancellor and Sherman nursing injuries

During the defensive run for the Seahawks. Here is the quarterbacks they beat.

Derek Carr, Eli Manning,lost to Alex Smith Chiefs,
won against Drew Stanton , Colin Kaepernick twice,
then beat Ryan Lindley, Shaun Hill, Cam Newton, and then Aaron Rodgers(who played the game with crutches)

and oh yeah, we are talking about this game

because of this....

and this also....

win or lose, the Patriots simply do not breakdown and fold like that.
Seattle will have to come out there and earn each snap.
Last year , Seahawks moved on with a real controversial game against the
Niners(which I thought Seattle should of lost)
but they simply have a way of winning.
Hope the refs do not allow a over stimulated physicality by Seattle's defense
to smother this game. Its been well documented( by fans,officials, and other teams) that was a direct reason for their success last year.
Im not counting the Super Bowl though.
I will fall to my knees and admit the Seahawks came out and won that game
fair and square and in dominating fashion. I will shut the fukk up now

Patriots -1

That's a damn fine analysisFlowster, very
professional and thorough. Concur completely. You know your football...

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 02-01-15, 09:39 PM

Originally posted by CountNo_Account

That's a damn fine analysisFlowster, very
professional and thorough. Concur completely. You know your football...

thanks man. Promised KVB id throw some of my thoughts his way b4 game time

Game is going down about how I thought it would but it doesn't mean shit if Brady doesnt score here though lol

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 02-01-15, 09:41 PM

Fukkkin ouch on that penalty
that was field goal position right there

**CountNo_Account** · 02-01-15, 09:49 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Indeed. It was fine visual display, audio optional. Too bad we didn't get a "malfunction" of some kind.

Yeah was Really hoping for a malfunction of some sort and sexier outfits...

**innovation** · 02-01-15, 09:50 PM

Great game, will they hold?

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 02-01-15, 09:52 PM

normally that drive right there would of been the Super Bowl game winning points
but not against this Seattle team..... holy shiiiiii 30 yards on first play

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 02-01-15, 09:52 PM

Originally posted by innovation

Great game, will they hold?

hell of a game

**smokenjoke** · 02-01-15, 09:58 PM

Unfcknreal

**innovation** · 02-01-15, 09:58 PM

What the Fuk?

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 02-01-15, 09:58 PM

sigh
see though ?
see with Seattle?
what it takes?

**innovation** · 02-01-15, 09:59 PM

this team is really just like cockroaches

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 02-01-15, 10:00 PM

bout time though ?
how much luck can Seattle have in a season
LOL @ Pete Carrol on that play call

**innovation** · 02-01-15, 10:01 PM

Holeeeee Fuk!!!

**smokenjoke** · 02-01-15, 10:01 PM

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 02-01-15, 10:03 PM

Pete Carroll fukks his team over

half yard line and 3 plays to get it in and they win the super bowl and thats the play call