OKay lets see if fading the public will work this NFL weekend

[Tree Rollins]

Lakerboy, I'm curious why you only put a few of these plays on your spreadsheet, and not all of them?

[brahmabull117]

4-12








fakerboy - OMG I can't stop laughing - 4-12




FAKERBOIIIIII

[Pride]

[caseyman011]

I don't care what the public is doing. I do what I do and if I'm going with the public money, fine. If I'm not, that's fine too. I don't let other degens dictate what I do (unless someone has some good reasoning why a play is going to hit).

[grizzlies1]

You are fukking horrendous! I have made the mistake of tailing you for the LAST time!!!

[7secondsOrLess]

Lakerboy, I'm curious why you only put a few of these plays on your spreadsheet, and not all of them?

lmfao he tries to hide his losses but then he will come out nowhere saying he was on a play after it wins lmao

[dfberger23]

lakerboy buried, shit happens, get em next week.

[lakerboy]

Lakerboy, I'm curious why you only put a few of these plays on your spreadsheet, and not all of them?

They are all there. Take a better look.

[No coincidences]

Lakerboy, I'm curious why you only put a few of these plays on your spreadsheet, and not all of them?

[LolsMcwinsey]

fkn loooooooooooserrrrrrrrr

[stocklemon]

wrong week to fade the public

[Ktown]

Lakerboy posted his plays just like everyone does here in the forum, win or lose, what's the problem? Jeez stop hating.

[Tree Rollins]

They are all there. Take a better look.

You're right. I didn't see them on the 2nd page. I apologize.

[suicidekings]

I feel like in general, being a contrarian bettor works best in the first 2-3 weeks and in the last 2-3 weeks of the season, and playoffs. Right in the middle of the season, it's less obvious who the "best" teams are to the public eye, so there's less bias creating value in the lines. The bettor distribution is more random.

[k13]

You have to get off plays when alarms go off. That's the key.

Washington should never be played anymore after the line steams to -6

[JT OZ]

glad to see both the titans and chargers failing miserably looks to be another great 4-12 day for Fakerboy

You're just an as*hole plain and simple man, I don't understand why people take joy in other people losing? Whether you're up or down for the day why does it matter so much to you how someone else does?

[jjgold]

The thing is when you have bad days like this this you cannot come back

Everyone gets smashed period betting sports

[Fleeben]

Such simplistic systems like fading the public are silly because we know that the public is right about 50% of the time. You aren't a master capper so it only causes you to miss easy wins like GB -5.5 and Atl - 7.5 yesterday.

[k13]

Try it again next week....

[brahmabull117]

You have to get off plays when alarms go off. That's the key. Washington should never be played anymore after the line steams to -6

or you can handicap games yourself and look for value without relying on silly gimmicks like "fading the public"...

[King Mayan]

[k13]

or you can handicap games yourself and look for value without relying on silly gimmicks like "fading the public"...

Team A is better than Team B

Team A wins

profit

[big0mar]

or you can handicap games yourself and look for value without relying on silly gimmicks like "fading the public"...

You have to be the most ignorant person on this forum

Do you understand the concept of market efficiency???

[Serbone]

Next week, bet on the teams with red or black uniforms.
Better system.

[hels]

Next week, bet on the teams with red or black uniforms.
Better system.

Even though you made a stupid comment there is some validity to it.

From a NYT article: Consider the Olympic uniform study, in which anthropologists at Durham University in England found that athletes in the 2004 Olympics who wore red instead of blue in boxing, tae kwon do, Greco-Roman wrestling, and freestyle wrestling won 60 percent of the time. The researchers suggested that red, for athletes, as for animals, subconsciously symbolizes dominance.

A different study:
The study authors asked 42 experienced tae kwondo referees to judge matches shown on [COLOR=#005497 !important][COLOR=#005497 !important]video[/COLOR][/COLOR]. Tae kwondo, an Olympic sport, is a form of martial art developed in Korea. The researchers chose the sport because a previous study found that the colors worn by participants had a large impact on outcomes, Hagemann said.
With the help of electronic manipulation, the researchers switched the colors of the combatants' protective gear -- head and chest protectors -- so they were blue at some points and red at others.
The researchers then analyzed the scores to see if the uniform colors made a difference. When the contestants seemed to be wearing red, the referees gave them 13 percent more points.

and results from an English study that looked at teams who wore red jerseys:

http://www.scienceofsocceronline.com/2008/03/c-uniform-color-affect-teams.html

[brahmabull117]

Team A is better than Team B Team A wins profit

that's not handicapping


look at how teams' matchup, how teams play on the road compared to home, if a certain team tends to play down to their level of competition, if a certain team struggles against one form of offense or one form of defense, if a certain team always plays close games (for underdog teasers), if a certain matchup always results in close games (again for underdog teasers), etc...


and then look for soft #s - the Patriots being 9 point favorites against a team with the same record as them last week against the Giants was absolutely ridiculous - that's a soft line right there

[kcDdegenerate]

Most on here think i just fade the public exclusively but that is completely untrue. I take favorites all the time that are public plays but for me that doesn't work out well most times. This week i am fading the public on games i know they will be on one side heavy. Colts +7 -110 (2x) Colts ML+281 (1x) Bucaneers +9-114(2x) Titans -3 +105(2x) Titans ML- will play this one later as line will drop and shoot up before gametime Bucs/Saints under 51 -111(2x) Broncos +9 -117(2x) Chargers +5.5 -106 (6x)- This one ranks one notch higher. Chargers ML +222 (1x) Seahawks +11.5 -110 (2x) Redskins +3.5 -120 (4x) Redskins ML+162 (1x) Falcons/Colts over 44.5 -107 (2x) Dolphins +4.5-107 (2x) Dolphins ML+197(1x) There will be more plays throughout the week.

please stop posting NFL losers for all the fool on sbr that still think you know what you are talking about...jesus christ, exactly what is a unit to you?

[kcDdegenerate]

Karma for all the Nazi BS ?

[big0mar]

that's not handicapping


look at how teams' matchup, how teams play on the road compared to home, if a certain team tends to play down to their level of competition, if a certain team struggles against one form of offense or one form of defense, if a certain team always plays close games (for underdog teasers), if a certain matchup always results in close games (again for underdog teasers), etc...


and then look for soft #s - the Patriots being 9 point favorites against a team with the same record as them last week against the Giants was absolutely ridiculous - that's a soft line right there

You realize that everyone in the world has that exact same information available to them???

[brahmabull117]

You realize that everyone in the world has that exact same information available to them???

So what???


Sports betting is not rocket science - u just gotta be smart and exploit bad lines right when they're released


You people act like every line Vegas releases is exactly what's gonna happen in every game - if that was the case, there wouldn't be teams like Oklahoma State that have covered spreads at about an 80% rate over the last 2 seasons (or a Stanford team that has covered about 79% of their spreads last 2 season and continuously keeps getting soft lines)

[I am Happy]

any leans for tonight, LB?

[Big Bear]

whats your beef with Lakerboy brah?

[D3 Mighty Ducks]

IT wont matter. Laying any amount of points with ATL on the road is a doomsday scenario.This might be the biggest burial of them all

[Keelo]

Tough week.

[suicidekings]

You realize that everyone in the world has that exact same information available to them???

This is true. It used to be about getting a hold of the information. Now it's about interpreting and sifting through too much information. Two people can look at the same data set and come to entirely different conclusions as to where the value lies, and just because one goes 3-7 and the other goes 7-3 one week, it does not mean the second guy is a better capper. Variance is a bitch when it turns on you...