OKay lets see if fading the public will work this NFL weekend

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  • lakerboy
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-02-09
    • 94463

    #1
    OKay lets see if fading the public will work this NFL weekend
    Most on here think i just fade the public exclusively but that is completely untrue. I take favorites all the time that are public plays but for me that doesn't work out well most times.

    This week i am fading the public on games i know they will be on one side heavy.


    Colts +7 -110 (2x)
    Colts ML+281 (1x)

    Bucaneers +9-114(2x)

    Titans -3 +105(2x)
    Titans ML- will play this one later as line will drop and shoot up before gametime

    Bucs/Saints under 51 -111(2x)

    Broncos +9 -117(2x)

    Chargers +5.5 -106 (6x)- This one ranks one notch higher.

    Chargers ML +222 (1x)

    Seahawks +11.5 -110 (2x)

    Redskins +3.5 -120 (4x)
    Redskins ML+162 (1x)

    Falcons/Colts over 44.5 -107 (2x)

    Dolphins +4.5-107 (2x)
    Dolphins ML+197(1x)


    There will be more plays throughout the week.

  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #2
    Originally posted by lakerboy
    Most on here think i just fade the public exclusively but that is completely untrue. I take favorites all the time that are public plays but for me that doesn't work out well most times.

    This week i am fading the public on games i know they will be on one side heavy.


    Colts +7 -110 (2x)
    Colts ML+281 (1x)

    Bucaneers +9-114(2x)

    Titans -3 +105(2x)
    Titans ML- will play this one later as line will drop and shoot up before gametime

    Bucs/Saints under 51 -111(2x)

    Broncos +9 -117(2x)

    Chargers +5.5 -106 (3x)- This one ranks one notch higher.

    Seahawks +11.5 -110 (2x)

    Redskins +3.5 -120 (2x)

    Falcons/Colts over 44.5 -107 (2x)


    There will be more plays throughout the week.

    Books are salivating over the Chargers and Redskins.
    Comment
    • Djstucky
      SBR MVP
      • 02-27-11
      • 2993

      #3
      Good luck LB...tough beat last night. Fukkn chargers served it up on a silver platter...
      Comment
      • Goat Milk
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 03-24-10
        • 25850

        #4
        you really booked the colts at +7 when they will be +8-9 by game time. ATL will be the number 1 public play probably this weekend
        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
        Comment
        • lakerboy
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-02-09
          • 94463

          #5
          Originally posted by Goat Milk
          you really booked the colts at +7 when they will be +8-9 by game time. ATL will be the number 1 public play probably this weekend
          IT wont matter. Laying any amount of points with ATL on the road is a doomsday scenario.This might be the biggest burial of them all
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Originally posted by Goat Milk
            you really booked the colts at +7 when they will be +8-9 by game time. ATL will be the number 1 public play probably this weekend
            Niners won't be far behind.
            Comment
            • lakerboy
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 04-02-09
              • 94463

              #7
              The haters are lurking and waiting till sunday. The bottomline is to make profit. Obviously i need sd to cover. My personal favorite play this week is the Pats.
              Comment
              • paco
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 05-07-09
                • 62873

                #8
                Goodluck.
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #9
                  Originally posted by lakerboy
                  The haters are lurking and waiting till sunday. The bottomline is to make profit. Obviously i need sd to cover. My personal favorite play this week is the Pats.
                  Yes.

                  Public will think the Giants is a steal.

                  Pats win by at least 14.
                  Comment
                  • benjy
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-19-09
                    • 2158

                    #10
                    If these are all anticipated to be public bets shouldn't they all move to better numbers as the week progresses?

                    If so, why would you bet them now?
                    Comment
                    • t-wizzle
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 12-18-09
                      • 38099

                      #11
                      Only play that I'm not so sure about is Tampa Bay. Bucs have beaten them the last two times but I think Saints get some revenge here.
                      Comment
                      • frostno98
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-11-07
                        • 9769

                        #12
                        I think Chargers is the biggest threat of the public's, given that they can beat anyone in the league if they play they way they should.
                        Comment
                        • lakerboy
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 04-02-09
                          • 94463

                          #13
                          Originally posted by benjy
                          If these are all anticipated to be public bets shouldn't they all move to better numbers as the week progresses?

                          If so, why would you bet them now?


                          Because alot of the times public plays have RLM on them and the line goes the other way. Sometimes getting the best number wont even matter . ALso alot of the lines will hold steady cause they are set up like that.
                          Comment
                          • Ace_of_Spades
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-14-09
                            • 13518

                            #14
                            Skins
                            Comment
                            • BIGDAY
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 02-17-10
                              • 48247

                              #15
                              Originally posted by lakerboy
                              Because alot of the times public plays have RLM on them and the line goes the other way. Sometimes getting the best number wont even matter . ALso alot of the lines will hold steady cause they are set up like that.


                              GL LB
                              Comment
                              • lakerboy
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 04-02-09
                                • 94463

                                #16
                                Thanks Paco and BIGDAY
                                Comment
                                • DDT
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-22-09
                                  • 3757

                                  #17
                                  I've had a terrible NFL season so I'm willing to try anything
                                  Comment
                                  • PAULYPOKER
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 12-06-08
                                    • 36581

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                                    Most on here think i just fade the public exclusively but that is completely untrue. I take favorites all the time that are public plays but for me that doesn't work out well most times. This week i am fading the public on games i know they will be on one side heavy.
                                    Colts +7 -110 (2x)
                                    Colts ML+281 (1x)
                                    Bucaneers +9-114(2x)
                                    Titans -3 +105(2x) Titans ML- will play this one later as line will drop and shoot up before gametime Bucs/Saints under 51 -111(2x)
                                    Broncos +9 -117(2x)
                                    Chargers +5.5 -106 (6x)- This one ranks one notch higher.
                                    Chargers ML +222 (1x)
                                    Seahawks +11.5 -110 (2x) Redskins +3.5 -120 (4x)
                                    Redskins ML+162 (1x)
                                    Falcons/Colts over 44.5 -107 (2x)
                                    Dolphins +4.5-107 (2x) Dolphins ML+197(1x)
                                    There will be more plays throughout the week.
                                    Redskins +3.5

                                    the unmarked plays I have no opinion on...............
                                    Comment
                                    • Dabeergod
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-30-10
                                      • 5503

                                      #19
                                      Hope this works for ya bud.
                                      Comment
                                      • k13
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 07-16-10
                                        • 18130

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by benjy
                                        If these are all anticipated to be public bets shouldn't they all move to better numbers as the week progresses?

                                        If so, why would you bet them now?
                                        Public/Squares do not move lines.
                                        Comment
                                        • dynamite140
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-05-08
                                          • 4958

                                          #21
                                          All you do is fade the public. Do you love creating threads with titles like this to get attention?
                                          Comment
                                          • benjy
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-19-09
                                            • 2158

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by k13
                                            Public/Squares do not move lines.
                                            Nonsense.
                                            Comment
                                            • benjy
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-19-09
                                              • 2158

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by lakerboy
                                              Because alot of the times public plays have RLM on them and the line goes the other way. Sometimes getting the best number wont even matter . ALso alot of the lines will hold steady cause they are set up like that.
                                              Cool. Thanks for the reply.

                                              BOL.
                                              Comment
                                              • lakerboy
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 04-02-09
                                                • 94463

                                                #24
                                                Dynamite post your top 3 plays this week in a thread. End of discussion with you.
                                                Comment
                                                • k13
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 07-16-10
                                                  • 18130

                                                  #25
                                                  Public is 42-53 so far this year.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • paco
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 05-07-09
                                                    • 62873

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by k13
                                                    Public is 42-53 so far this year.
                                                    Books still lost.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • k13
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 07-16-10
                                                      • 18130

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by benjy
                                                      Nonsense.
                                                      Let me know when Atlanta hits -14, San Fran -7, Green Bay -7.5, etc.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • dynamite140
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-05-08
                                                        • 4958

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                        Dynamite post your top 3 plays this week in a thread. End of discussion with you.

                                                        I already beat your pupil no coincidences in that nba challenge. You want me to take out his master as well?



                                                        Anyone here with at least half a brain knows that you are a joke and nothing but AT BEST AN AVERAGE CAPPER and thats the truth. Only reason why you get attention here is because of the newbies who don't know anything and looking for someone to follow.



                                                        Ouch... did that last line hurt?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • lakerboy
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 04-02-09
                                                          • 94463

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by paco
                                                          Books still lost.
                                                          Which book has gone under so far? Huge public plays (70% and above) are losing overall. Books are getting all there small losses back in nfl and will clean house till the playoffs end.

                                                          College has been rough but books are winning the last three weeks in ncaaf as well. They grind out juice so they always win over the course of the year and now tih no nba people will lay more than they usually do on nfl and ncaaf and people who don't know or bet nhl will and get burned.

                                                          Paco u really think books are losing this game of gambling cause u sound as if you do?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • paco
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 05-07-09
                                                            • 62873

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                            Which book has gone under so far? Huge public plays (70% and above) are losing overall. Books are getting all there small losses back in nfl and will clean house till the playoffs end. College has been rough but books are winning the last three weeks in ncaaf as well. They grind out juice so they always win over the course of the year and now tih no nba people will lay more than they usually do on nfl and ncaaf and people who don't know or bet nhl will and get burned. Paco u really think books are losing this game of gambling cause u sound as if you do?
                                                            im referring to the 1st 5-7 weeks of college and Nfl when the top 10 college ranked teams were covering every single week. And those were also the teams people loved to bet such as lsu, ok state, oklah, and u know the rest. Everyone also cleaned up on the Packers, week in , week out, Packer bettors prolly loaded on Packers more than they did other games. Ofcourse books will adjust and most of that money was given back. (Gb/vik). Im just saying, the books took hard beatings in the beginning. Here is just 1 article backing up what i just said. http://sports.drf.com/college-footba.../story/1184273
                                                            Comment
                                                            • k13
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 07-16-10
                                                              • 18130

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by paco
                                                              Books still lost.
                                                              Nice edit.

                                                              How can you know anything without seeing each books balance sheet?

                                                              I doubt any of them will release those numbers.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • paco
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 05-07-09
                                                                • 62873

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by k13
                                                                Nice edit. How can you know anything without seeing each books balance sheet? I doubt any of them will release those numbers.
                                                                I posted the article which the books Just said they been getting hammered. What else do u want?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • k13
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 07-16-10
                                                                  • 18130

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by paco
                                                                  I posted the article which the books Just said they been getting hammered. What else do u want?
                                                                  Pinnacle's accounting numbers since football started.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • lakerboy
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 04-02-09
                                                                    • 94463

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Paco don't believe everything you read. Books always win in the nfl that's why it has the highest limits.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • paco
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 05-07-09
                                                                      • 62873

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                                      Paco don't believe everything you read. Books always win in the nfl that's why it has the highest limits.
                                                                      I agree.
                                                                      Comment
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