OKay lets see if fading the public will work this NFL weekend

[james4512]

Paco don't believe everything you read. Books always win in the nfl that's why it has the highest limits.

it has the highest limits not because they win the most off of it, percentage wise they dont but they get almost 500% more action on NFL than any other sport

[lakerboy]

it has the highest limits not because they win the most off of it, percentage wise they dont but they get almost 500% more action on NFL than any other sport

Show me your source for this info?

[Goat Milk]

good luck on your bets

[t-wizzle]

Cincinnati is going to kill a lot of people. Nashville is a tough place to play.

Does anyone even realize that the Titans are 4-3. They aren't a very good team but they are going to fight to try and keep up with Houston in the AFC South.

[PAULYPOKER]

it has the highest limits not because they win the most off of it, percentage wise they dont but they get almost 500% more action on NFL than any other sport

This..............

[No coincidences]

you really booked the colts at +7 when they will be +8-9 by game time. ATL will be the number 1 public play probably this weekend

+6.5 now.

[Mrecko21]

i have to agree here,your post shows that you basically just blindly fade the public,theres no thought into your picks besides "alot of people are going to be betting on x team therefore i bet y team"

All you do is fade the public. Do you love creating threads with titles like this to get attention?

[mlb]

i have to agree here,your post shows that you basically just blindly fade the public,theres no thought into your picks besides "alot of people are going to be betting on x team therefore i bet y team"

idk

[Pick'nParlays]

Bol lb

[t-wizzle]

What do you think about skins now lake?

[mlb]

What do you think about skins now lake?

this

[DDT]

I like these plays.....time to change the way I'm playing these games.

[lakerboy]

What do you think about skins now lake?

it doesnt look good. too late to buy out though. dont forget though line movement means nothing in sports betting. NOTHING.

[t-wizzle]

it doesnt look good. too late to buy out though. dont forget though line movement means nothing in sports betting. NOTHING.

Did you reconsider Cleveland? I'm on them 3x.

[No coincidences]

Chiefs just got hammered at The Greek.

[t-wizzle]

Chiefs just got hammered at The Greek.

Still don't like them. Already on Dolphins and not backing off that play.

[No coincidences]

Still don't like them. Already on Dolphins and not backing off that play.

I just grabbed Miami at +6 at BOL.

[lakerboy]

Did you reconsider Cleveland? I'm on them 3x.

i took them first half +7.5 and game +10.5 for a bill each. lots of line moving in public direction this morning. i just hammered ne and tenny.

[lakerboy]

looks like the jest might be a play as well. books might clean up on the bills from juice

[No coincidences]

i took them first half +7.5 and game +10.5 for a bill each. lots of line moving in public direction this morning. i just hammered ne and tenny.

[Serbone]

Most on here think i just fade the public exclusively but that is completely untrue. I take favorites all the time that are public plays but for me that doesn't work out well most times.

This week i am fading the public on games i know they will be on one side heavy.


Colts +7 -110 (2x)
Colts ML+281 (1x)

Bucaneers +9-114(2x)

Titans -3 +105(2x)
Titans ML- will play this one later as line will drop and shoot up before gametime

Bucs/Saints under 51 -111(2x)

Broncos +9 -117(2x)

Chargers +5.5 -106 (6x)- This one ranks one notch higher.

Chargers ML +222 (1x)

Seahawks +11.5 -110 (2x)

Redskins +3.5 -120 (4x)
Redskins ML+162 (1x)

Falcons/Colts over 44.5 -107 (2x)

Dolphins +4.5-107 (2x)
Dolphins ML+197(1x)


There will be more plays throughout the week.

My pet peeve.
Simply "fading the public" is not a long term winning strategy, Did you have Denver last week? Cleveland? Washington?
At what % point do you declare a team "public"? 60% 70%? 80% 90%?
What data base do you use, they are all different.
When do you cite the %? Monday? 5 minutes before the game?
HANDICAP THE GAME, dont bet based on internet betting %'s... how do you know they are accurate? How many different data bases are there (dozens). I like a few of those for solid reasons, some I do not.

[face]

taking the browns. and bucs. gl guys.

[lakerboy]

My pet peeve.
Simply "fading the public" is not a long term winning strategy.
In NCAA, 92% bet on Houston yesterday... they won 56-13. Did you fade them?
At what point do you declare a team "public"? 60% 70%? 80% 90%?
What data base, they are all different.
When do you cite the %? Monday? 5 minutes before the game?
HANDICAP THE GAME, dont bet based on internet betting %'s... how do you know they are accurate? How many different data bases are there (dozens).

capping the games wont win you anything either.

[t-wizzle]

i took them first half +7.5 and game +10.5 for a bill each. lots of line moving in public direction this morning. i just hammered ne and tenny.

I hammered tennessee too this morning at -130 on the ML.

[mlb]

how much u throw on titans and ne

[Joe Dogs]

Betting Public 84% Atalanta
Betting Public 83% San Fran
Betting Public 77% Green Bay

Good luck

[moses millsap]

Rivers is a joke.

[brahmabull117]

5-7 start to the day so far


he should finish 5-11 though as green bay and cincinatti will win comfortably I think

[paco]

Betting Public 84% Atalanta Betting Public 83% San Fran Betting Public 77% Green Bay Good luck

Might be a 3-0 sweep?

[moses millsap]

5-7 start to the day so far


he should finish 5-11 though as green bay and cincinatti will win comfortably I think

how do you get 5-7 brahma? I get 4-8 -7.65 (-15.62 on the 8 losses counting browns bets with -110 juice, +7.97 on the 4 wins). Hoping Rivers and San Diego can pull it off, though not looking good so far. He sweeps the afternoon games and it will still be a profitable day.

Colts +7 -110 (2x)
Colts ML+281 (1x)

Bucaneers +9-114(2x)

Titans -3 +105(2x)
Titans ML- will play this one later as line will drop and shoot up before gametime

Bucs/Saints under 51 -111(2x)

Broncos +9 -117(2x)

Chargers +5.5 -106 (6x)- This one ranks one notch higher.

Chargers ML +222 (1x)

Seahawks +11.5 -110 (2x)

Redskins +3.5 -120 (4x)
Redskins ML+162 (1x)

Falcons/Colts over 44.5 -107 (2x)

Dolphins +4.5-107 (2x)
Dolphins ML+197(1x)

Quote:[/COLOR]
Originally Posted by t-wizzle View Post
Did you reconsider Cleveland? I'm on them 3x.
i took them first half +7.5 and game +10.5 for a bill each. lots of line moving in public direction this morning. i just hammered ne and tenny.

[brahmabull117]

how do you get 5-7 brahma? I get 4-8 -7.65 (-15.62 on the 8 losses counting browns bets with -110 juice, +7.97 on the 4 wins). Hoping Rivers and San Diego can pull it off, though not looking good so far. He sweeps the afternoon games and it will still be a profitable day.

my bad, he's doing even worse

[Pride]

brahma u are the last guy who should be laughing at someone losing.

you reload weekly

[brahmabull117]

glad to see both the titans and chargers failing miserably


looks to be another great 4-12 day for Fakerboy

[hawley]

brahma u are the last guy who should be laughing at someone losing.

you reload weekly

This is the truth, we have seen him get buried so many times.

But he will just ignore this comment. fukn chode.

[nbaprofosor]

my bad, he's doing even worse