OKay lets see if fading the public will work this NFL weekend

[brahmabull117]

This is true. It used to be about getting a hold of the information. Now it's about interpreting and sifting through too much information. Two people can look at the same data set and come to entirely different conclusions as to where the value lies, and just because one goes 3-7 and the other goes 7-3 one week, it does not mean the second guy is a better capper. Variance is a bitch when it turns on you...

I think one of the best tools as a sports gambler is to find teams underrated/overrated by Vegas that continously keep getting bad lines and riding that hot streak until it slows down



Look at Atlanta last year - Nobody thought they would be that good so Vegas gave them soft lines week in and week out - end result?? ATL covered at a 70% Clip

[ShogunRua]

that's not handicapping


look at how teams' matchup, how teams play on the road compared to home, if a certain team tends to play down to their level of competition, if a certain team struggles against one form of offense or one form of defense, if a certain team always plays close games (for underdog teasers), if a certain matchup always results in close games (again for underdog teasers), etc...


and then look for soft #s - the Patriots being 9 point favorites against a team with the same record as them last week against the Giants was absolutely ridiculous - that's a soft line right there

[lakerboy]

So its back on eh. Cool.