How to get rich (fast) off sports betting

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  • MJFtheGenius
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 05-31-07
    • 7257

    #211
    Originally posted by ssk13809
    Not ultimate goal. But for every year or 2, 1 million isn't bad.
    Forget about making a million in a year with your knowledge of the industry it's not posssible

    lets talk about your picks

    15 minutes eh?

    whats your process??

    what are your picks for week 1??

    we are waiting? lines are out...
    Comment
    • jfreeman
      SBR Rookie
      • 05-10-10
      • 21

      #212
      I'll tell you what... let me manage your roll, and let me know what your "lock" picks are, and I will make you millions in 1-2 years... that is, assuming everything you're saying is true ... and I'll tell you what, since I'm such a nice guy, I'll only take a 5% management fee, you keep the rest
      Comment
      • ssk13809
        SBR MVP
        • 08-25-10
        • 2595

        #213
        Originally posted by MJFtheGenius
        Forget about making a million in a year with your knowledge of the industry it's not posssible

        lets talk about your picks

        15 minutes eh?

        whats your process??

        what are your picks for week 1??

        we are waiting? lines are out...
        Man Week 1 is two weeks away. I'm not going to figure out everything about it right now lol.
        Comment
        • ssk13809
          SBR MVP
          • 08-25-10
          • 2595

          #214
          But can anyone answer this?


          So okay you get your action cut-off if you are hitting 70% in the long run. Got it.



          But what if I only bet my LOCK picks and hit 90%? This will be like 1 bet a week in NFL, and maybe 2 bets/week in the NBA.
          Can I continue betting LOCK picks and not get cut-off. Considering its a small sample size...

          Will I have a shot at a million using this strategy before getting cut-off?
          Comment
          • ok now what
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-20-08
            • 578

            #215
            dizzy - while the kidney has value, I'd think the appropriate level of risk would be at least a limb.
            Comment
            • MJFtheGenius
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 05-31-07
              • 7257

              #216
              Originally posted by ssk13809
              Man Week 1 is two weeks away. I'm not going to figure out everything about it right now lol.
              why not...all you need is 15 minutes
              Comment
              • MJFtheGenius
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 05-31-07
                • 7257

                #217
                SSK get a fukin clue

                we don't have the answer to your question because we never heard of it being done

                what don't you get?
                Comment
                • ssk13809
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-25-10
                  • 2595

                  #218
                  Originally posted by MJFtheGenius
                  SSK get a fukin clue

                  we don't have the answer to your question because we never heard of it being done

                  what don't you get?
                  So you've never even seen a person get on a lucky 90% streak over 20 games? Really?
                  Comment
                  • lasker
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-27-10
                    • 1683

                    #219
                    Originally posted by ssk13809

                    I should've added..."Theoretically" 55% is not that impressive. One would assume these so called "Professionals" could do a lot better than a retard. 5% better is not a lot. In fact, as I said, 5% better than a retard is pathetic. At least theoretically. Would you not agree with that?

                    For someone who claims to be "naturally intelligence" and good at math, you really do need a crash course in statistics. If you don't realize that a 5% advantage long-term is HUGE and extremely difficult to achieve, you have no business betting. How do you think linesmakers set lines? You think they're just sports fans who don't know the sport as well as you?

                    Oh, and again, to be a long-term winner, you won't increase your percentage by being a "better fan" than others. You are basically saying "well the average person only hits 50%, and I am a bigger fan and naturally intelligence so I will hit 20% higher..." That's exactly like saying, "I roll dice way more than the average person, so I will roll higher numbers than them 20% more often."

                    I highly doubt you're being honest with your claims, but even if you are, your sample size is WAY too small. It seems your arrogance will force you to find that out the hard way.
                    Comment
                    • ssk13809
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-25-10
                      • 2595

                      #220
                      Originally posted by lasker
                      For someone who claims to be "naturally intelligence" and good at math, you really do need a crash course in statistics. If you don't realize that a 5% advantage long-term is HUGE and extremely difficult to achieve, you have no business betting. How do you think linesmakers set lines? You think they're just sports fans who don't know the sport as well as you?

                      Oh, and again, to be a long-term winner, you won't increase your percentage by being a "better fan" than others. You are basically saying "well the average person only hits 50%, and I am a bigger fan and naturally intelligence so I will hit 20% higher..." That's exactly like saying, "I roll dice way more than the average person, so I will roll higher numbers than them 20% more often."

                      I highly doubt you're being honest with your claims, but even if you are, your sample size is WAY too small. It seems your arrogance will force you to find that out the hard way.
                      Hey lasker, can you help me answer this.

                      So I heard if you do well consistently (I'm not going to even say "70%" anymore since this offends people for some reason, so I'll just say "well").....if you do well over the longrun, I heard books cut you off.

                      However, does the same apply, over the short-run? Like if you just go say 90% (cough cough) over 20 or so bets, betting big each time, do you have the potential to make a million without getting cut-off?
                      Comment
                      • BurtRapp
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-10-08
                        • 2410

                        #221
                        Such garbage
                        Comment
                        • MJFtheGenius
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 05-31-07
                          • 7257

                          #222
                          Originally posted by ssk13809
                          So you've never even seen a person get on a lucky 90% streak over 20 games? Really?
                          oh entire different story only 20 games

                          that changes everything...

                          that is a very small sample size...in your next 20 you may go 1-19
                          Comment
                          • ssk13809
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-25-10
                            • 2595

                            #223
                            Originally posted by MJFtheGenius
                            oh entire different story only 20 games

                            that changes everything...

                            that is a very small sample size...in your next 20 you may go 1-19
                            Well I was asking, if I only bet on LOCKs. And bet BIG on my LOCKs. And say go 90% over 20 games or so. And I bet 50% of my bankroll each time...

                            Will the books cut-off my action still? Or will they actually pay me everything?



                            You see the same thing if someone gets "lucky" over a 20 game stretch...
                            Comment
                            • KKoz9
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-07-06
                              • 1982

                              #224
                              Originally posted by ssk13809
                              Um, guys, I'm not asking how hard it is to hit 70%. For me that is a given. My "off" week stretches I go 60%. Normally I hit around 75%. It evens out to be 70%.

                              Comment
                              • MJFtheGenius
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 05-31-07
                                • 7257

                                #225
                                Originally posted by ssk13809
                                Well I was asking, if I only bet on LOCKs. And bet BIG on my LOCKs. And say go 90% over 20 games or so. And I bet 50% of my bankroll each time...

                                Will the books cut-off my action still? Or will they actually pay me everything?



                                You see the same thing if someone gets "lucky" over a 20 game stretch...

                                your nuts
                                Comment
                                • ssk13809
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-25-10
                                  • 2595

                                  #226
                                  Originally posted by MJFtheGenius
                                  your nuts
                                  Wow now I guess no one has ever gone 90% over a 20 game stretch either...


                                  Come on, is this so crazy to ask now? Will a online sportsbook cut-action or cause problems because of short-term success that involves a lot of money?
                                  Comment
                                  • jayroy25
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-18-09
                                    • 1578

                                    #227
                                    I think everyone wants 2 be like trhis guy
                                    Comment
                                    • Al Masters
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-29-06
                                      • 6940

                                      #228
                                      Originally posted by ssk13809
                                      But can anyone answer this?


                                      So okay you get your action cut-off if you are hitting 70% in the long run. Got it.



                                      But what if I only bet my LOCK picks and hit 90%? This will be like 1 bet a week in NFL, and maybe 2 bets/week in the NBA.
                                      Can I continue betting LOCK picks and not get cut-off. Considering its a small sample size...

                                      Will I have a shot at a million using this strategy before getting cut-off?

                                      Hey Mr 70%,try this trick

                                      Instead of sending in plays at a winning rate of 70%,include a few losing plays(on purpose of course)just to throw the books off your trail....let the books think you`re a below 70% handicaper,this will give you more time before getting cut-off,i believe thats how all the cappers at a lifetime rate of 70% and above get it done.
                                      Comment
                                      • Killer_Demo
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 06-15-08
                                        • 8409

                                        #229
                                        this guy is so full of it i bet he leaks when he walks
                                        Comment
                                        • Salmon Steak
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-05-10
                                          • 2110

                                          #230
                                          Take all the money you planned on betting with... Put it on one game... If you win, take your winnings and stop... if you lose, take your loss and stop... you will save yourself a good amount of time. Most people lose their money long term.
                                          Comment
                                          • staf
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-11-07
                                            • 2521

                                            #231
                                            The answer to your question is no. It's not possible to make a million and cash it.
                                            The books will limit your action, there's a ceiling to how much you can bet, and a ceiling to how much you can cash out.
                                            Also if you start moving large amounts of money around, you'll come under the scrutiny of the federal government.
                                            My recommendation is to place $1,000 into each of the good books, bet $100 per pick at each book, and cash out any amount over $1,000 once a month.
                                            Comment
                                            • ssk13809
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 08-25-10
                                              • 2595

                                              #232
                                              Thanks for all the ideas guys


                                              Thread conclusion

                                              - As long as I win, I will make money.
                                              - As far as getting the most out of my winnings (million dollars?), that will require some creativity and some tricks up the sleeve.
                                              - I still stand and think I will hit about 70%, and 90% on my locks. And I will post some lock picks for everyone to make free money once I find a place where to post them .
                                              - 15min/day is all I need. Sports Intuition > anything else in betting.
                                              - And I think this site is overrated now. I read that "Richie" thread. LOL people were calling him a professional gambler? He called a "Preseason" game a LOCK. LMAO. Enough said. Please guys, I hope people like him are the professional gamblers out there. This is what I was talking about when I said you have to be an above average sports fan. Most these gamblers are so much stuck up on the numbers and money, they are forgetting its football. I can easily do way better than 50%.
                                              Comment
                                              • unusialsusp5
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 04-18-10
                                                • 4198

                                                #233
                                                even if you did win at that rate the books would shut you off and stop you that way. so it is impossible to win that much because no one would let you bet.
                                                Comment
                                                • peterd78
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 08-16-10
                                                  • 83

                                                  #234
                                                  Of course it's possible! There is no limit to how much you can bet on betfair or any exchange
                                                  Comment
                                                  • lordswing
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 02-22-09
                                                    • 765

                                                    #235
                                                    quickest way to a million for you

                                                    tell me your plays and i'll fade you
                                                    Comment
                                                    • str
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-12-09
                                                      • 11769

                                                      #236
                                                      Originally posted by ssk13809
                                                      Thanks for all the ideas guys


                                                      Thread conclusion

                                                      - As long as I win, I will make money.
                                                      - As far as getting the most out of my winnings (million dollars?), that will require some creativity and some tricks up the sleeve.
                                                      - I still stand and think I will hit about 70%, and 90% on my locks. And I will post some lock picks for everyone to make free money once I find a place where to post them .
                                                      - 15min/day is all I need. Sports Intuition > anything else in betting.
                                                      - And I think this site is overrated now. I read that "Richie" thread. LOL people were calling him a professional gambler? He called a "Preseason" game a LOCK. LMAO. Enough said. Please guys, I hope people like him are the professional gamblers out there. This is what I was talking about when I said you have to be an above average sports fan. Most these gamblers are so much stuck up on the numbers and money, they are forgetting its football. I can easily do way better than 50%.
                                                      Thread conclusion,
                                                      A complete waste of time.
                                                      90% locks.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TexansFan
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-06-06
                                                        • 3365

                                                        #237
                                                        I know whenever I needed a good laugh this thread came through. This guy is probably sitting in his 12th grade English class right now at his local high school.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ssk13809
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 08-25-10
                                                          • 2595

                                                          #238
                                                          I'm not all talk. I'll be posting my 90% lock picks this year too when the NFL season starts. Last year I went 13-1. I hope to go undefeated this year. Now thats more than possible.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • zert
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-22-09
                                                            • 1274

                                                            #239
                                                            Good for you and thank you
                                                            Comment
                                                            • tony_come
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-31-10
                                                              • 21695

                                                              #240
                                                              Must have a bankroll and guts.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • MJFtheGenius
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 05-31-07
                                                                • 7257

                                                                #241
                                                                Richas is not a proffesional gambler
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Full Time Hobo
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-16-10
                                                                  • 2778

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Originally posted by ssk13809
                                                                  Well I was asking, if I only bet on LOCKs. And bet BIG on my LOCKs. And say go 90% over 20 games or so. And I bet 50% of my bankroll each time... Will the books cut-off my action still? Or will they actually pay me everything? You see the same thing if someone gets "lucky" over a 20 game stretch...
                                                                  Originally posted by ssk13809
                                                                  Wow now I guess no one has ever gone 90% over a 20 game stretch either... Come on, is this so crazy to ask now? Will a online sportsbook cut-action or cause problems because of short-term success that involves a lot of money?
                                                                  Just get a matchbook account. withdraw often. the odds of you getting to a mill at the time frame you want is 0% especially with the BR i imagine you starting at...

                                                                  Originally posted by ssk13809
                                                                  Thanks for all the ideas guys Thread conclusion - As long as I win, I will make money. - As far as getting the most out of my winnings (million dollars?), that will require some creativity and some tricks up the sleeve. - I still stand and think I will hit about 70%, and 90% on my locks. And I will post some lock picks for everyone to make free money once I find a place where to post them . - 15min/day is all I need. Sports Intuition > anything else in betting. - And I think this site is overrated now. I read that "Richie" thread. LOL people were calling him a professional gambler? He called a "Preseason" game a LOCK. LMAO. Enough said. Please guys, I hope people like him are the professional gamblers out there. This is what I was talking about when I said you have to be an above average sports fan. Most these gamblers are so much stuck up on the numbers and money, they are forgetting its football. I can easily do way better than 50%.
                                                                  That game is what you call a bad beat... but you wouldnt know about those. hittin your 90%.
                                                                  Like someone told you your arrogance is what is clouding you from realizing that you will hit a cold streak ... you will lose your money in the long run. the second you start playing with bigger numbers than youre used to youre Fcked.

                                                                  Originally posted by lordswing
                                                                  quickest way to a million for you tell me your plays and i'll fade you
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MJFtheGenius
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 05-31-07
                                                                    • 7257

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Maybe he is telling the truth

                                                                    maybe he is the best there is, the best there was and the best there ever will be

                                                                    guys we have a future celebrity at SBR and we are talking to him!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ssk13809
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 08-25-10
                                                                      • 2595

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Originally posted by Full Time Hobo
                                                                      Just get a matchbook account. withdraw often. the odds of you getting to a mill at the time frame you want is 0% especially with the BR i imagine you starting at...
                                                                      You know what FTH, out of all the people here, you have been the most helpful. I take what you say seriously.

                                                                      So maybe 1-2 years wasn't realistic. Or maybe 1M in 1-2 years isn't realistic. Maybe 100k-200k in 1-2 years without any "betting" problems is more realistic. By "betting" problems, I mean all the problems NOT related to me actually winning the bets. Is 100k-200k a little more realistic?
                                                                      And btw, the BR I'd start wouldn't be so small. Well we each would have our own defections of small, but I'd say when I get serious, maybe 5k-20k?


                                                                      That game is what you call a bad beat... but you wouldnt know about those. hittin your 90%.
                                                                      Like someone told you your arrogance is what is clouding you from realizing that you will hit a cold streak ... you will lose your money in the long run. the second you start playing with bigger numbers than youre used to youre Fcked.



                                                                      So maybe my 70% rate is controversial. But you think something that has been 90% consistent will just fall hard? Maybe so, but the odds are small from a statistical standpoint. I think at WORST, the WORST year I can have with my locks is about 70%. Worst year ever on locks. At WORST, I think my 70% overall would fall to 50%. I mean, I personally can't imagine myself doing any worse than that. Theoretically, I pick the games and teams I want to bet and I can't do worse than flipping coins.

                                                                      Those would be my "cold" once in a lifetime year streaks.






                                                                      Either way, I guess it just comes down to how creative I get at the end. Or how greedy. If I'm satisfied with 100k-200k every 1-2 years, or if I get creative/greedy and look for ways to increase that. But what will stay consistent throughout all of this is me winning my bets at high rates.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • ssk13809
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 08-25-10
                                                                        • 2595

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Originally posted by MJFtheGenius
                                                                        Maybe he is telling the truth

                                                                        maybe he is the best there is, the best there was and the best there ever will be
                                                                        I've told you this 100 times before. The "best" are doing 1,000 bets a year at 60%, and that easily is better than my 50bets/year at 70%. Easily.

                                                                        So right now I'm nowhere near the best. However, I won't put that out of my reach. Once I work math into my picks I think I have a shot at being the best. Strong Sports Intuition + Strong Math Skills = Unstoppable combination. I've already demonstrated strong sports intuition and knowledge, winning all my bets without doing any number crunching. And I'm a strong math student overall, and once I figure out how to work that in.....like I said, I have a shot at being the best ever.
                                                                        Comment
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