this guy hits his lock plays 90% of the time all of the time
Comment
Sawyer
SBR Hall of Famer
06-01-09
7761
#72
Start with 2,000.
Incraese your bank %20 every month.
After 3 years, you'll have 1.417.603$
Comment
Nicky Santoro
SBR Posting Legend
04-08-08
16103
#73
70%?? yeah right.. who the hell does this kid think he is, BROCK LANDERS???
Comment
wrongturn
SBR MVP
06-06-06
2228
#74
OP, you won't get rich fast by betting anywhere because you will be booted after reaching only 1/4 of your goal. The best way to make "unlimited" money from your 70% plays is to open a book yourself, and offer better lines than the market on the your lock plays so that most players want to bet your lines. Plus offer 100% bonus with low juice to attract more suckers so you will be the richest in no time. You will make a killing from those who are doubting you here. Come on, don't wait.
Comment
seaborneq
SBR Posting Legend
09-08-06
22556
#75
Just make your first bet 1 million dollars and be through with it for the year.
Comment
dinaro7
SBR Wise Guy
12-06-09
888
#76
good luck
Comment
TheGambler
SBR Wise Guy
07-16-06
972
#77
I would suggest posting your plays on here for a month and as soon as all the members see that you hit 70%, they will each gladly pay you $1,000/year for your picks. At this rate, you only need 1,000 posters and you are at a cool $1M
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#78
Originally posted by Cheese1976
"naturally intelligence" Are you sure about that?
Yes. So much so that if I was offered to move to Vegas and build my life around sports betting making 500k a year, I would reject. Because that wouldn't be worth it for me. Because I can do nearly as good (or better) with a much more preferred life style with my intelligence in other areas.
I love sports. But I don't want a gambling life style with high stress all the time. That's why I only spend 15min/day on this stuff, and use my great sports knowledge and intuition to make the right predictions.
So since I'm naturally intelligent already, I'm not spending more than 15 (30min max) per day on this.
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#79
Originally posted by OmgUrMom
dude hit 90% on your lock plays. bet about 1/4 of your bankroll on each play. It would be pretty unlikely to lose 90% 4 times in a row. Your bankroll should grow like crazy gl
I was considering something like this. Its actually what I should do. Because for the past 3 years, my locks almost literally have been locks. But they aren't a everyday thing since they are "Locks". I'd say for NFL, an average of 0.9 locks per week.
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#80
Originally posted by yomillionaire
Assume a 20k bankroll.... just bet your lock plays for 5k each. Repeat until you are rich.
The problem is, will that actually work? Will online sportsbooks actually let me do just that?
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#81
Originally posted by wtf
WOW
amazing, just imagine if you spent 30 minutes a day
your win rate would double!!
Not exactly. I only need 15 minutes. Time after that is wasted time. 15min is like a max or a ceiling. So there would be no point in spending 30min.
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#82
Originally posted by ehp6737
Assuming all the figures you claim are true (and that's laughable), you basically want to know how to make $1-2 million in less than two years, but taking more than 15min a day to achieve your goal is asking too much? Really? So an hour a day or even 4 hours a day or 8 hours a day for 2 years @ say $500k a year is asking too much? Got to love the American Dream! DUDE, TAKE A HIKE
Once again, 15min is all I need. It's not like I don't want to spend 30 minutes or 1 hour. It's I don't need to.
As an analogy, you spend say an average of 8 hours of sleeping per day. What if someone told you "why don't you sleep 14 hours a day". What would you say? That you don't need it. The same way I don't need to spend more time.
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#83
Originally posted by astrodomer
I needed a good laugh this morning that is great lol.........just when u think you have it all figured out reality hits you right in the face my man....
Laugh all you want. But I have been betting (only a little bit) for the past 3 years. And those are my numbers. I strongly believe I can continue it too.
And let's think about it in theory. A blind man should be able to get 50%. The line is set to where its even among bettors on both sides. So if you are an above average sports fan, you will do better than 50%. Now the question is how much better are you? Well, I told you I'm a NFL/NBA expert, so you can do the math from here.
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#84
Originally posted by sharpcat
The greatest sports handicappers in the world are happy to hit 55% and this guy is considering not even betting picks that he hits 70%.
Well I've already said I haven't bet that often. The "pros" make like many bets/day. I don't. In fact, a 60% with 1,000 bets easily beats a 70% with say 50 bets. (Didn't do the math, but per my estimations)
So in fact, % is not the indicator of how good someone is. If I bet more often like the pros, my 70% might drop to 65%.
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#85
Originally posted by wrongturn
OP, you won't get rich fast by betting anywhere because you will be booted after reaching only 1/4 of your goal. The best way to make "unlimited" money from your 70% plays is to open a book yourself, and offer better lines than the market on the your lock plays so that most players want to bet your lines. Plus offer 100% bonus with low juice to attract more suckers so you will be the richest in no time. You will make a killing from those who are doubting you here. Come on, don't wait.
Except I don't want to make this a career. Isn't there ways I can make millions just by betting and getting my bets right? I mean, isn't that what its all about?
Comment
JohnGalt2341
SBR Hall of Famer
12-31-09
9138
#86
Originally posted by TheGambler
I would suggest posting your plays on here for a month and as soon as all the members see that you hit 70%, they will each gladly pay you $1,000/year for your picks. At this rate, you only need 1,000 posters and you are at a cool $1M
Exactly what I was going to say. Also, for more proof you should sign up for all the season long Contests here at SBR. If you hit 70% you should win virtually all of them. If you do win them all I will be your first investor. Also, by signing up for the Contests SBR will keep track of your percentages for you. Just in case you "don't count" certain losses.
In my younger years I would sometimes ask a girl how many guys she's been with. Virtually all of the girls would shave their actual number by around 7 or so. They would say things like "He didn't count because blah, blah, blah". I just want to make sure you're not a teenage girl that "doesn't count" games because of bad reffing, injury, etc etc.
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#87
Originally posted by ehp6737
Bankroll? $100 per game? $2000 per game? Frequency? Are you hitting 90% on how many plays per year? 10? 100? 500? These would be important variables to know to keep this entertaining thread going.......
It's only been 1 year since I have been legally been able to bet. Obviously I don't have much money of my own. And I already said I don't bet that much.
Try $20/game, and 50 plays/year max.
Of course as I get a real job, and as I learn more about sports betting (specifically the "where" to bet), I'll increase both.
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#88
Originally posted by curious
If you can hit 70% hit rate on a continual basis then you need to sell everything you own, move to Vegas and put 10% of your bank in action every day. Assuming you play 250 days a year, that is 500 days for 2 years, to make $1 million you need to net $2,000 per day. At a 70% win rate you will need to have $3,000 action per day, assuming you have an average odds of -130 that means you have to put $4,000 at risk every day, so you need a bankroll of $40,000. Make it $50,000 to be on the save side. I'm purposely not counting on the bankroll compounding, so if you actually do hit 70% and you keep your daily at risk at 10% of bankroll you will hit the $1 million mark before 2 years.
Sell everything you own, borrow money, find investors and get off the damm internet and get to Vegas.
As your bank grows your bet size will grow. You can live in Vegas for $600 a month. I did it for a year. www.sidestep.com you will find many hotels for $20 a day. Stratosphere, Plaza, Player's Club, many more.
If you can hit 70% day in and day out you need to stop wasting time on the internet and get to vegas as fast as you can get there.
Problem is, I do not want to make this a career and give up life for this. Why do I have to move to Vegas? Is there anyway I can just bet my way to 1 million? I mean just by getting my picks right at a 70% rate?
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#89
Originally posted by Willie Bee
If you're hitting 70% on generally -110 spread lines, then there's nobody here who can help you. See the upper-right of this page where it says Sportsbook Review? Click that, go through the A- and B-rated books, pick you out 3-4, make your deposits and then make your journey right down Easy Money Avenue.
That's because the same rate has come up via another poster who is currently suspended here. We're a wary lot of posters at SBR, and newbies coming in with big success stories are only going to raise that wariness. I wish you luck, though it doesn't sound like you really need it.
So you're saying if I choose some of the A- to B- sports books (why those anyways, why not the A+ books?), and I make deposits and bet there, and get my bets right, they will actually pay me a million at the end of this?
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#90
Originally posted by Cheese1976
Yes, I too am naturally intelligence on topics off sports as well...it's unfortunate (tragic really), that someone so gifted at handicapping paradoxically cannot figure out how to calculate compound interest on a bankroll.
lol?
That isn't the issue here. I can figure out the math myself. The issue is who will pay me that much? Where do I bet?
Comment
Full Time Hobo
SBR MVP
05-16-10
2778
#91
Originally posted by Sawyer
Start with 2,000. Incraese your bank %20 every month. After 3 years, you'll have 1.417.603$
Take this.
And im a bit suspicious if you have been betting for 3 years "2 underage" which would put you at about 22 in the US? or 19? (im going since with betjam you gotta be 21)... and you dont know how to make money gambling... especially with 65% hit rate on your bad stretches....
Your project sounds similar to NetProfit who has a few threads going saying 10000 to 1 mill in a year... or something like that...
its hard to do but considering your hit rate you should have no problem.... just invest in many books like other posters said and you should be golden lol...
Originally posted by ssk13809
Not exactly. I only need 15 minutes. Time after that is wasted time. 15min is like a max or a ceiling. So there would be no point in spending 30min.
And i think you missed the sarcasm
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#92
Originally posted by Full Time Hobo
its hard to do but considering your hit rate you should have no problem.... just invest in many books like other posters said and you should be golden lol...
You really think so? Because the LEAST of my problems is my hit rate of 70%. That is a given for me. When I used to bet, I make like 4 bets/week (NFL), and I expect to go 4-0. That's my expectation. Usually one of my expectations doesn't hold up, and I end up at 3-1 or 75%. My bad week stretches (3-4 weeks) are at 60%. My worst week stretch (3-4 weeks) was 50%. I felt embarrassed.
You think betting with multiple books will work? Will they figure out I'm the same person and all try to stop me? Will they actually pay me all the money they owe me? I hope so. Because I don't want to move to Vegas to do this stuff. This is like "extra" income for me, not a main source where I should my change my life for this.
Originally posted by Full Time Hobo
And i think you missed the sarcasm
I know there was sarcasm. But there was also an implication that I am purposely limiting myself to 15min/day. That's not the case.
Comment
peterd78
SBR Hustler
08-16-10
83
#93
If you go to a exchange like Betfair there is no restrictions on how much you can bet because you are betting against other people so Betfair don't lose because you are winning. The only limit is how much action you can get from other punters and they don't know who they are betting against so you could make a mill on there pretty quick of you have the funds and the skill.
Comment
lasker
SBR MVP
01-27-10
1683
#94
So with a maximum of 50 plays per year, you've hit 70%... meaning that we're talking about a dataset of less than 150 bets after your three years so far... and some of those are the ML bets that you're not including in the 70%. So the number is probably less.
I'm sorry, but 150 bets or less is not a reliable sample. As of now, you have no reason to believe you can keep this up. Your "above average sports fan" reasoning is laughable. If someone could win big money at this by just being an avid sports fan, most of this forum would be millionaires by now. I guarantee you the people setting the lines are even more "naturally intelligence" than you, and they are spending more than 15 minutes a day, and they are actually using tested and reliable capping methods.
Don't get me wrong, 70% from 150 plays (or a bit less) is indeed impressive. But it's not even close to conclusive. You're jumping ahead of yourself with this dreaming and all these technical questions about how you can be sure the books will pay you... ask yourself, how much have you won so far? A few hundred, perhaps? And you're already convinced you have it all figured out with just 15 minutes a day because... because... because you're a sports fan?
The people who are long-term winners at this are not necessarily sports fans. I would venture to say many of them hardly even watch the sports they're betting. They crunch numbers -- and not in 15 minutes, either, but for hours each day. Those are the long-term winners. You had a good streak over a relatively small sample of plays and you just assume it will last. Using your current methods, it won't.
Don't worry about how you're going to withdraw your 1 million quite yet. Try winning $1000 from $100 first... start with just a $100 bankroll and if you're really a 70% bettor it shouldn't take very long. Try hitting 70% over around 1000 plays, then talk. If you're playing only 50 plays or less each year, there's just no reason to be as confident as you are after three years.
And when the inevitable happens, don't blame it on bad luck.
anyone can hit 70% at -400 or higher for the line.
Comment
sharpcat
Restricted User
12-19-09
4516
#99
Originally posted by ssk13809
I want to get rich, and rich fast off sports betting. By fast, I mean a million in 1-2 years.
Now I know many of you are rolling your eyes, or laughing, but this is serious.
How would one do it? I have bet a little bit over the last couple of years. I hit 70% overall. So please assume that we have a 70% hit rate. Hopefully this will be the 1st and toughest obstacle to cover to get rich fast off sports betting.
And just to note, I hit about 90% on my "LOCK" picks, and about 60% otherwise on the rest, but I bet more on my lock picks. Last year in NFL I went 13-1 in Lock picks. With these 2 things combined, I hit about 70% overall.
And no I'm no die-hard sports better. I'm a Sports fan 1st. And with my great knowledge in sports, I am able to make good predictions, and make money off sports betting. What I'm basically saying is I spend about 15min/day max on sports betting.
Other facts, I'm pretty good at math and naturally intelligence on topics off sports as well.
So assuming I keep up my 70% hit rate, is there a way I can make million(s) in 1-2 years? If so, how? Online sportbooks? I heard they start limiting your action if you are a consistent winner. Anyway to get around that?
Basically, with a 70% hit rate, how far can you get?
onthewhat......................... where have you been we have not heard from you since you dropped the Beemore character right after that Colt thing with the hedge fund scam when you robbed all those posters of their points.
I can't believe you are going to try the educated math thing again
Comment
sharpcat
Restricted User
12-19-09
4516
#100
Originally posted by Colt
Just a few short years ago I was on top of the world. I had an Ivy League education, beautiful wife, great kids, and lived an extravagant lifestyle. I was one of the top young hedge fund managers in the United States. I was well known in the industry. I was a mover and shaker.
Then 2008 happened. Myself, along with everyone else, got killed in the market. I lost nearly everything because of a few bad decisions. My wife left me because of the stress it caused her and got custody of my two beautiful children. I turned to drinking and almost killed myself.
What the hell happened? I thought it was so easy, my first five years in the industry I was on fire and thought I could do no wrong. I got a big head and I paid the price. I lost everything that mattered to me - the wife, kids, and lifestyle.
Two years later, here we are and I am looking to rebound. After seeing some news reports about a sports betting hedge fund, I began to look over some numbers. I have experience managing money and sports sounds like a field that is impossible to lose in. I have a background in statistics. I am smarter than the bookmakers in these areas. Just look at me when the stock market was doing well, there is your proof. My hedge fund that I managed was one of the top up-and-coming hedge funds out there, with returns of approximately 26% per year.
I believe with a sports betting hedge fund I can create a return of 20% to my customers, after fees. This would be guaranteed because of the types of bets that I find are winnable and betting a conservative amount of the fund per wager. I am currently looking for customers (I currently have a couple who are interested), and with my big rolodex of contacts from my Wall Street days I feel this will not be a problem. The main issue will be to prove that my methods will be successful in the long run.
I just want to turn my life back around and get back to the lifestyle I had two years ago. I feel like this is my best opportunity.
You are so readable you must not be very good at poker.
Comment
lasker
SBR MVP
01-27-10
1683
#101
Originally posted by ZXCVBNM
I can't hit 70% on locks from -5000 to -10000
is this good?
fade yourself to the bank!
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#102
Originally posted by peterd78
If you go to a exchange like Betfair there is no restrictions on how much you can bet because you are betting against other people so Betfair don't lose because you are winning. The only limit is how much action you can get from other punters and they don't know who they are betting against so you could make a mill on there pretty quick of you have the funds and the skill.
Is this for real? This is the kind of advice I'm looking for. Not "you can't hit 70%".
Can anyone confirm this. "Assume" I am able to hit 70%, will using Betfair allow me to make millions? Is it reliable? Does it pay? Is it legit?
Comment
ssk13809
SBR MVP
08-25-10
2595
#103
Originally posted by eidolon
anyone can hit 70% at -400 or higher for the line.
When I say 70%, I'm not talking about money lines. I'm talking against the spread.
Comment
Full Time Hobo
SBR MVP
05-16-10
2778
#104
Originally posted by ssk13809
Is this for real? This is the kind of advice I'm looking for. Not "you can't hit 70%". Can anyone confirm this. "Assume" I am able to hit 70%, will using Betfair allow me to make millions? Is it reliable? Does it pay? Is it legit?
If youre from the US... use Matchbook.
If youre out of US... use Betfair...
Read up on exchanges. They dont care if you win because youre betting against other people not the book...
Comment
poochiecollins
SBR MVP
01-27-09
1782
#105
Originally posted by Addicted2Action
you guys need to stop hating on the kid, he does after all have a whole year of gambling under his belt and dont forget he has vast sports knowledge!!!! who the fuk are you to tell him he cant hit 90% on "locks" 70% overall when he has proven it to himself over a whole 10 plays that this is possible and in fact easy.... Dont worry ssk, we are all just very jealous of your uncanny abilities as lots of us have been doing this a very long time and can only dream of the incredible success you are about to enjoy!!!!!! Ignore the fact that everyone here has probably went on better runs than what you are talking about (if anything you said is remotely true), you will find out soon enough that is all it was, a nice run, impossible to sustain for the common man but for someone with your special gift probably very easy!!!!!!!!! Just a hunch, but i would guess you are not in danger to being cut off by any books anytime soon...Keep putting in those grueling 15 minutes a day and im sure you will achieve your modest goals in no time...