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  • stevenash
    Moderator
    • 01-17-11
    • 66990

    #36
    Originally posted by Math
    Good luck Nash, Wacha did great last night but Estevez cannot close games at this time. They knew this but ran him out there anyway. His velocity is way down, I was pissed because everyone knew how that 9th was going to turn out.

    GL

    Mr. Math
    #1 on the list from my buddies over at RotoWire.



    Closers I'm Worried About


    Carlos Estevez, Royals: The warning signs were flashing bright red with Estevez throughout spring training, as his velocity was down not just the one or two ticks you often see with veteran pitchers easing into the season but a full six or seven miles per hour. That sort of drop tends to mean a pitcher is dealing with an injury which hasn't yet been reported (or even one that hasn't yet been discovered), but even if this is merely a sudden mechanical issue and Estevez is full healthy, he isn't going to be a trustworthy closer until that velocity returns.

    Estevez's fastball velocity did creep back up to 91.3 mph in his season debut Saturday, the hardest he's thrown yet this season, but that's still far below the 96.1 mph he averaged last season. The results were disastrous as well, as he retired just one of the seven batters he faced and allowed six runs, including a game-losing grand slam to Dominic Smith. The Royals need to take Estevez out of the firing line as soon as possible if they have aspirations of making the playoffs this year, and it looks like that might be happening sooner rather than later, with manager Matt Quataro saying, "We're not averse to putting him in a lower leverage situation."

    Worry-o-meter: 5 out of 5. Maybe 6 out of 5.

    Setup man to stash: Lucas Erceg. Matt Strahm pitched the seventh inning Saturday while Erceg pitched the eighth before Estevez imploded in the ninth. With Estevez unavailable Sunday (nominally because he took a liner off his ankle Saturday), Strahm recorded the last two outs in the seventh, while John Schreiber pitched the eighth and Erceg got the save in the ninth. That pretty clearly indicates that Erceg is the next man up, and it was good to see him regain the tick of velocity that he lost last season. Erceg may have the job already, so pick him up wherever he's available if you need saves.
    Comment
    • Math
      SBR Sharp
      • 05-04-24
      • 403

      #37
      Looking forward to seeing Cameron tonight. If not for Estevez, we sit (3-1) right now. Im hoping he gets his arm strength back and his velocity returns but until then we dont need to see him. Thank Goodness he only cost us one win.


      Mr. Math
      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 66990

        #38
        The Good
        The bottom of the lineup went 10 for 16 last night, 8 RBI, 9 Runs
        The lineup can hurt you from anywhere, 1-9
        That was Joe Ryan, KC dinged last night. He's a legit staff ace; he's not an ordinary hamburger.

        Cameron was terrific; all he needs to do is conserve pitches now so he can go deeper into the game.
        Future Hall of Famer Sal Perez can straighten that out.
        86 pitches (and he does this regularly) through five innings is too many; it taxes the bullpen, the only area that needs an upgrade.

        The Bad and the Ugly
        The only two I trust out of the bullpen are Erceg and Strham. Both Falter and Lange need to go down to AAA. They both walked the ballpark and got smacked around like a Grand Canyon rented mule. Makes you appreciate what Herrera, Greg Holland, and Wade Davis did ten years ago, the best three-headed bullpen I saw since the Cincy 'Nasty Boys'

        Who knew that we would need those seven runs in the seventh?
        If they blew that game for Cameron, I would have been very cranky.
        Comment
        • Math
          SBR Sharp
          • 05-04-24
          • 403

          #39
          I agree with all that. I think the best thing is for Estevez to get back to his All Star form. If this doesnt happen, we hold on to the trade deadline or hope someone emerges.


          Mr. Math
          Comment
          • stevenash
            Moderator
            • 01-17-11
            • 66990

            #40
            Short three-game slate today (The White Sox game is already rained out)
            No play today, I don't like laying -160, but on paper, Cole Ragans looks like the play, but I'll watch it with no skin in the game.

            At a glance, I'm 2-3 (-0.92*) after one full week,
            Not the start I was hoping for, but it's not disastrous.

            Best of luck, all, and thanks to all who read this thread.
            Comment
            • Math
              SBR Sharp
              • 05-04-24
              • 403

              #41
              Im on KC -1 (-110) today.

              Keep me informed on the Royals news. Ive got all my Futures on them this season. Biggest being Over 82.5 wins but ive got about everything you can bet,,,,,, bet on their futures. Each year I pick one team to ride. My biggest hit in a 40 year career in sportsbetting was the 2015 Royals. I had them every way you could have them, including to win the World Series at (+2700). Im hoping to run it back this season but i really need that win total, it would pay for all the others.

              Go Royals

              Mr. Math
              Comment
              • stevenash
                Moderator
                • 01-17-11
                • 66990

                #42
                Originally posted by Math
                Im on KC -1 (-110) today.

                Keep me informed on the Royals news. Ive got all my Futures on them this season. Biggest being Over 82.5 wins but ive got about everything you can bet,,,,,, bet on their futures. Each year I pick one team to ride. My biggest hit in a 40 year career in sportsbetting was the 2015 Royals. I had them every way you could have them, including to win the World Series at (+2700). Im hoping to run it back this season but i really need that win total, it would pay for all the others.

                Go Royals

                Mr. Math
                Will do.

                My biggest bet (it's posted in the other thread) is the Marlins over, and the Marlins to make the playoffs.
                Their front-line pitching is terrific, and Perez is everything as advertised.
                Comment
                • Math
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 05-04-24
                  • 403

                  #43
                  I hope you hit it but their sorry ass may sell off that staff. Sandy A might be in pinstripes this summer. They held him through his recovery to get his trade stock back up there. Well its back. Would be a shame to sale those guys off. We won on Sandy A yesterday.

                  Good luck

                  Mr. Math
                  Comment
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