Nash 2026 MLB

[stevenash]

There are some interesting matchups tonight.

Garritt Cole makes his third start since coming off the IR, and he's been razor sharp.
NY faces Cleveland and Gavin Williams, that's no walk in the park. Williams has been downright filthy at times; the problem is consistency, but Williams has a live arm.

Walker Buehler (remember him) is up against it tonight. SD faces Cy Young candidate Christopher Sanchez.
It's good to see Buehler making good use of this second-chance opportunity.

Logan Webb makes his second start off of IR
Skeenes starts for Pitt; Mack Gore looks as if he'll meet the expectations the scouts put on him.

And the Prince of the Pacific Rim, Shohei Ohtani, is on the mound for the Dodgers.
Which begs the question, what's the bigger mismatch?

Ohtani vs. Zac Gallen, or Skeenes vs. Arrighetti.

Team	Time	$$ Line	Run line	Line	Total	Pitcher
Padres	18:40:00	185	1.5	-113	7.5	Walker Buehler
Phillies	18:40:00	-210	-1.5	102	7.5	Cristopher Sanchez
Orioles	18:45:00	130	1.5	-155	8.5	Chris Bassitt
Red Sox	18:45:00	-148	-1.5	140	9	Payton Tolle
Guardians	19:05:00	135	1.5	-160	7	Gavin Williams
Yankees	19:05:00	-148	-1.5	150	7.5	Gerrit Cole
Royals	19:10:00	135	1.5	-157	8.5	Stephen Kolek
Reds	19:10:00	-155	-1.5	135	8.5	Chase Burns
Blue Jays	19:15:00	125	1.5	-160	8	Patrick Corbin
Braves	19:15:00	-142	-1.5	146	8.5	Grant Holmes
Giants	19:40:00	130	1.5	-160	7.5	Logan Webb
Brewers	19:40:00	-144	-1.5	150	8	Coleman Crow
Rangers	19:45:00	-104	-1.5	170	7.5	MacKenzie Gore
Cardinals	19:45:00	-110	1.5	-187	8	Andre Pallante
Athletics	20:05:00	115	1.5	-185	8.5	Jeffrey Springs
Cubs	20:05:00	-126	1.5	-210	9	Colin Rea
Pirates	20:10:00	-150	-1.5	115	7.5	Paul Skenes
Astros	20:10:00	136	1.5	-125	8	Spencer Arrighetti
Dodgers	21:40:00	-190	-1.5	-114	8.5	Shohei Ohtani
Dbacks	21:40:00	170	1.5	104	9.5	Zac Gallen

[stevenash]

6/3
1:10 pm start
Miami/Washington OVER 8 total runs

Max Meyer starts for Miami
Meyer started the season strong; he's been inconsistent lately.
His last four starts were a stink bomb (vs. Mets), a gem, a gem, and a stink bomb.

Alvarez (LHP) starts (opens) for Washington.
He's your garden-variety spot starter/long reliever dude.

Both starters are, to be fair, serviceable, and they can be hit.
Both lineups have sneaky pop and speed.

I'm thinking 6-4 (Nats) final, and I like this play
Miami/Washington OVER 8 total runs

[stevenash]

It's painful being a Royals fan.
I hate to say it, Quatraro needs to go, it's not fair, but...

[stevenash]

Here's something you don't see every day.
The Dodgers at home are a man-to-man pick 'em vs. Philly.

[Optional]

How can you not love minor league teams and their logos?

I've thought for years how funny it is so many teams choose a duck as their mascot.

Does not seem like an elite, graceful or hardass sort of animal to me.

[stevenash]

How can you not love minor league teams and their logos?

[stevenash]

The kid reminds me of JR Richard.

Jacob Misiorowski breaks MLB record with flame-throwing performance on Memorial Day - Yahoo Sports

He's this generation's Nolan Ryan.
He's flat-out electric.

[stevenash]

5/23

White Sox +104

[stevenash]

Too funny.
"OH NO! OH NO, THE METS!


Awful Announcing on X: "Joe Davis: "OH NO! OH NO, THE METS!" ⚾️️ #MLB https://t.co/BgSwdDDN0B" / X

[stevenash]

^
The kid is a beast!
That prop cashed in the sixth inning.

The sky's the limit for the phenom, but what concerns me is that flame-throwing power pitchers tend to blow their arms out within five years. If he stays healthy, Misiorowski is a future Hall of Famer.

Yeah, he's that good.

[stevenash]

5/13
Pitching prop I really like tonight.
Jacob Misiorowski (Milwaukee) OVER 7.5 strikeouts.

JM is the major league strikeout leader (70) across 44 innings.
The SO: IP ratio is 14.3 per 9 IP
40 percent of all recorded outs are via the punchout.

He also holds the record (statcast era) for velocity (103.4 MPH) and has cracked 103 MPH several times in a single game.

If you've never seen him pitch, trust me on this: he's a treat to watch.

Jacob Misiorowski throws fastest-tracked pitches by starter

[stevenash]

Masterpiece Theater continues.
Kyle Bradish is currently spinning a gem vs. the NY Yankees.

Six innings in, 0 runs, allowing just one hit, striking out seven.
He's approaching 100 pitches; there's no way he can finish what he started.

Back in the day of Marichall and Sandy Koufax, you were considered a lightweight if you didn't throw at least 7 full innings.

[stevenash]

Skeenes is DEALING tonight!
Wow! Just wow!

Rockies vs. Pirates (May 12, 2026) Box Score - ESPN

[stevenash]

John Heyman knows; he's been covering the Metropolitans for the NY Post here for at least 30 years, maybe longer.

They can't fire Cohen; he's the owner and the president, yet he's responsible for the Soto clusterfuck and a slew of other bonehead decisions.

[stevenash]

Is 2026 (to date) the MLB equivalent to Jerry Seinfeld's "Bizarro World"

The Mets (15-25) are the worst team in baseball.
There are five teams with a better (or same) record as the LA Dodgers.

How weak is the American League?

Take New York and Tampa Bay out of the equation, and there's only one team with a winning record (Sacramento Athletics) at 21-19, and the only two teams (besides TB and NY) have a positive +/- run differential. Detroit +4, Seattle +2

There are 30 starting pitchers with more strikeouts than Paul Skeenes, including some of these future Hall of Famers.
(minimum eight starts and 40 innings pitched)

Jacob Misiorowski
Nolan McClean
Bryce Elder
Davis Martin
Taj Bradley
Braxton Ashcraft
Landon Roupp
Parker Messick
Emerson Hancock
Chase Dollander

According to Baseball-Reference, these are the updated postseason chances for each team.

			Current				Average
	Tm		W	L			W	L		Post	WC	Div	LDS	LCS	Pennant	Win WS
NL East
1	Atlanta Braves		28	13			94.1	67.9		97.30%	3.30%	94.00%	75.50%	35.80%	16.20%	8.00%
2	Philadelphia Phillies		19	22			81.1	80.9		27.90%	23.50%	4.40%	12.90%	5.20%	2.10%	0.90%
3	Miami Marlins		19	22			76.3	85.7		7.50%	6.40%	1.10%	2.80%	0.90%	0.30%	0.10%
4	Washington Nationals		19	22			72.9	89.1		2.30%	2.00%	0.30%	0.70%	0.20%	<0.1%	<0.1%
5	New York Mets		15	25			71.8	90.2		1.60%	1.40%	0.20%	0.70%	0.20%	<0.1%	<0.1%
NL Central
1	Milwaukee Brewers		22	16			95.1	66.9		97.00%	40.30%	56.70%	76.50%	44.80%	25.80%	15.50%
2	Chicago Cubs		27	14			93.2	68.8		94.70%	56.00%	38.70%	65.30%	31.50%	15.20%	7.90%
3	Pittsburgh Pirates		22	19			84.1	77.9		48.60%	45.00%	3.60%	23.10%	9.80%	3.90%	1.80%
4	St. Louis Cardinals		23	17			79.2	82.8		17.40%	16.80%	0.60%	6.70%	2.10%	0.70%	0.20%
5	Cincinnati Reds		22	19			78.7	83.3		14.20%	13.70%	0.50%	5.70%	1.90%	0.60%	0.20%
NL West
1	Los Angeles Dodgers		24	16			95.9	66.1		98.00%	13.70%	84.30%	83.20%	48.30%	27.30%	16.20%
2	San Diego Padres		24	16			87.4	74.6		72.50%	58.00%	14.50%	38.10%	16.30%	6.90%	3.20%
3	Arizona Diamondbacks		19	20			79.5	82.5		18.10%	17.00%	1.10%	7.60%	2.70%	0.90%	0.40%
4	San Francisco Giants		16	24			73.7	88.3		3.00%	2.90%	0.10%	1.10%	0.30%	0.10%	<0.1%
5	Colorado Rockies		16	25			61.7	100.3		<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%
AL East
1	New York Yankees		26	15			96.4	65.6		99.10%	14.00%	85.10%	92.90%	57.90%	36.80%	20.10%
2	Tampa Bay Rays		26	13			86.7	75.3		75.20%	63.70%	11.50%	40.50%	17.50%	6.90%	2.40%
3	Boston Red Sox		17	23			81.6	80.4		39.90%	37.90%	2.00%	21.90%	11.00%	5.20%	2.30%
4	Toronto Blue Jays		18	22			79.7	82.3		27.20%	25.90%	1.30%	14.00%	6.30%	2.60%	1.00%
5	Baltimore Orioles		18	23			75.3	86.7		8.30%	8.10%	0.20%	3.70%	1.30%	0.50%	0.20%
AL Central
1	Cleveland Guardians		21	21			83.8	78.2		58.70%	15.10%	43.60%	37.70%	16.90%	7.60%	3.10%
2	Kansas City Royals		19	22			82.1	79.9		45.90%	17.50%	28.30%	27.40%	12.10%	5.30%	2.10%
3	Detroit Tigers		19	22			80	82		32.20%	12.80%	19.40%	18.10%	7.50%	3.10%	1.20%
4	Chicago White Sox		19	21			76.8	85.2		15.00%	7.60%	7.40%	7.40%	2.80%	1.00%	0.30%
5	Minnesota Twins		18	23			71.2	90.9		2.30%	1.10%	1.30%	1.00%	0.30%	0.10%	<0.1%
AL West
1	Athletics		21	19			86.7	75.3		75.70%	29.40%	46.40%	55.30%	27.60%	12.70%	5.30%
2	Texas Rangers		19	21			85.1	76.9		65.40%	33.60%	31.80%	44.50%	21.60%	10.00%	4.30%
3	Seattle Mariners		19	22			83.5	78.5		53.70%	32.10%	21.60%	34.70%	17.10%	8.20%	3.40%
4	Houston Astros		16	25			69.8	92.2		1.10%	0.90%	0.20%	0.50%	0.20%	<0.1%	<0.1%
5	Los Angeles Angels		16	25			66.8	95.2		0.20%	0.20%	0.10%	0.10%	<0.1%	<0.1%	<0.1%

[stevenash]

MLB officially enters the second quarter of the season.
(40 games in)

Who's your front-runner for Cy Young

*note*
I'm big on the walks/hits per nine IP ratio; that's the way I sorted these.
That's not the be-all end-all of all the metrics; I get that, that's just the metric I choose to lead in with.

Name	Tm	IP	K/9	BB/9	K/BB	HR/9	AVG	WHIP
Paul Skenes	PIT	42	9.857143	1.5	6.571429	0.857143	0.156463	0.714286
Cam Schlittler	NYY	53.1	9.95625	1.51875	6.555556	0.16875	0.177083	0.80625
Michael McGreevy	STL	45.1	6.551471	1.985294	3.3	0.992647	0.183544	0.860294
Chris Sale	ATL	49	10.28571	2.204082	4.666667	1.102041	0.178161	0.877551
Nolan McLean	NYM	45.1	11.31618	2.382353	4.75	0.595588	0.180124	0.904412
Jacob deGrom	TEX	44.2	11.48507	1.61194	7.125	1.208955	0.198795	0.91791
Shota Imanaga	CHC	47.1	10.07746	2.471831	4.076923	0.760563	0.179191	0.929577
Tarik Skubal	DET	43.1	9.346154	1.246154	7.5	0.415385	0.221519	0.946154
Max Fried	NYY	58.2	7.363636	2.761364	2.666667	0.153409	0.185366	0.954545
Jacob Misiorowski	MIL	44	14.31818	3.477273	4.117647	0.818182	0.162338	0.954545
Parker Messick	CLE	47	9.765957	2.106383	4.636364	0.765957	0.208333	0.978723
Justin Wrobleski	LAD	44.2	4.432836	2.216418	2	0.402985	0.20122	0.985075
Kevin Gausman	TOR	46.2	8.292857	1.735714	4.777778	0.964286	0.212644	0.985714
Michael Wacha	KCR	51.1	7.363636	2.980519	2.470588	0.876623	0.187845	0.993506
Davis Martin	CHW	50	9.36	1.8	5.2	0.36	0.223464	1
Bryan Woo	SEA	47	7.276596	1.531915	4.75	1.148936	0.224138	1
Bryce Elder	ATL	54.2	8.72561	3.292683	2.65	0.493902	0.180412	1.006098
Emerson Hancock	SEA	47.2	9.440559	1.699301	5.555556	1.51049	0.224138	1.006993
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	LAD	43.2	8.244275	2.061069	4	1.030534	0.21519	1.007634
Clay Holmes	NYM	48.1	6.889655	2.97931	2.3125	0.558621	0.189655	1.013793
Foster Griffin	WSN	46.2	8.1	2.892857	2.8	1.157143	0.19186	1.028571
Joe Ryan	MIN	44.2	9.067164	2.619403	3.461538	0.604478	0.202454	1.029851
Mitch Keller	PIT	47	6.702128	2.680851	2.5	0.382979	0.205882	1.042553
Chase Burns	CIN	47	9.191489	3.06383	3	1.148936	0.196429	1.042553
Braxton Ashcraft	PIT	48.2	9.431507	2.589041	3.642857	0.739726	0.213873	1.047945
Nick Martinez	TBR	47.2	5.853147	1.888112	3.1	0.566434	0.223464	1.048951
Jose Soriano	LAA	54.1	10.10429	3.312883	3.05	0.828221	0.190722	1.04908
Michael King	SDP	45.2	8.868613	3.941606	2.25	0.788321	0.181818	1.051095

[stevenash]

Full slate of MLB action tonight, all 30 teams are playing under the lights, and after breaking down those 15 games, tonight's card should be what us baseball analytical geeks call an MLB wet dream.

Of the aforementioned 30 teams, ten have implied run totals of five or more,
They are Baltimore, Kansas City, Seattle, Boston, Toronto, San Diego, Philly, Cincy, Cleveland, and the Marlins, yes, those Miami Darlings.

The only 'household name' starting pitcher that goes tonight is Chris Sale.
Max Freid and Dylan Cease are also scheduled to make a start, but I consider them familiar names, not 'household names.'
Robbie Ray too, who h

The casual MLB fan might want to keep an eye on these kids, who have the potential to have solid careers.
Parker Messnick (Cleveland) is one of those lefties who kept me awake all night. The kid has a nasty arsenal.

Jacob Misiorowski (Brewers) has had his fastball measured at 104 MPH, on the slow radar gun.
The two most difficult pitches to hit (IMO) were any triple-digit flame throwers whose speedball had insane movement, and any LHP who has total command of the junk pitches, like Andy Messersmith (the pride of Toms River, and the Leiter boys as well), Mike Mussina, or Greg Maddux, even though those three threw right-handed, but you get my point.

The Pirates' other young gun, Carmen Miodzinski (It's Polish-American night at the ballpark, or so it seems, hey, I'm a proud Polish American myself)

Three other up-and-comers with a world of potential to keep an eye on.
McClean (NY Mets), Kris Bubic (KC Royals), and Connor Early (Boston)

You like dingers?
These hamburgers should get lit up like a Christmas Tree.
Keider Montero (Detroit), Connor Preilipp (Minnesota), Jesse Scholtens (TB Rays ), and a few others.

Here's a dinger cheat sheet if one feels the need to wager a couple of sheckles on a tater prop or two.

Player Name	Pos	Team	Opp	HR
Kyle Schwarber	DH	PHI	vs COL	0.8943
Cal Raleigh	C	SEA	@CWS	0.7713
Aaron Judge	OF	NYY	@MIL	0.76454
Pete Alonso	1B	BAL	vs ATH	0.69266
Bryce Harper	1B	PHI	vs COL	0.67691
Shea Langeliers	C	ATH	@BAL	0.66465
Yordan Alvarez	DH	HOU	@CIN	0.65828
Munetaka Murakami	3B	CWS	vs SEA	0.65604
Byron Buxton	OF	MIN	@CLE	0.65306
Nick Kurtz	1B	ATH	@BAL	0.63597
Brice Matthews	2B	HOU	@CIN	0.63461
Taylor Ward	OF	BAL	vs ATH	0.63406
Juan Soto	OF	NYM	@ARI	0.61997
Junior Caminero	3B	TB	@BOS	0.59444
Matt Olson	1B	ATL	@LAD	0.59284
Christian Walker	1B	HOU	@CIN	0.59
Ben Rice	C	NYY	@MIL	0.58455
Adolis Garcia	OF	PHI	vs COL	0.57922
Colson Montgomery	SS	CWS	vs SEA	0.57552
JJ Bleday	OF	CIN	vs HOU	0.57536
Vinnie Pasquantino	1B	KC	vs DET	0.57511
Drake Baldwin	C	ATL	@LAD	0.57429
Julio Rodriguez	OF	SEA	@CWS	0.5688
Bobby Witt	SS	KC	vs DET	0.56365
Salvador Perez	C	KC	vs DET	0.56349

[stevenash]

So, this is what a 45-dollar hot dog looks like.

Mets announcers tackle opposite ends of $45 hot dog, create image that will 'live forever'

[stevenash]

Time to transition back into the MLB season, the NFL Draft is finished, and the NBA playoffs are about as compelling as watching paint dry.

Hard to believe the MLB season is 25 percent done this weekend.

Eovaldi spun a gem earlier; he handcuffed the Yankees, giving up 3hits in 8 innings, striking out eight.
The only blemish was that Eovaldi gave up a solo shot to Judge, but what pitcher hasn't?

And there's the KC Royals, who are driving me bat shit crazy, just when Cole Ragans looks like he's rounding into All-Star form, his triceps tighten up, and he has to be pulled after three innings.

Seth Lugo looks enticing later today, but I'm not sure if I want to lay the -142.

[stevenash]

4/27

Mariners (Castillo) -130
(Best play)

[stevenash]

Boston Red Sox fire manager Alex Cora after 10-17 start to season

SOURCE: The Athletic

Hours after the Boston Red Sox walloped the Baltimore Orioles 17-1, the team’s most lopsided win in an otherwise dreadful season, Alex Cora returned on Saturday night to the Four Seasons Hotel Baltimore. Awaiting him there, a league source told The Athletic, were principal owner John Henry, CEO Sam Kennedy and chief baseball officer Craig Breslow. They soon informed the manager that he had been fired, along with several members of his coaching staff.

Despite the team’s awful 10-17 start, the moves were swift and unexpected.

Around 6:30 p.m., as two members of the coaching staff headed out to dinner, they passed another team employee. The coaches told their colleague that they’d see each other again on Sunday. About 30 minutes later, both coaches were among those who were dismissed.

Triple-A Worcester manager Chad Tracy — son of former big-league manager Jim Tracy — will take over as Boston’s interim manager.

[stevenash]

I don't see a problem.
The total is 9.0 now.

Today's MLB Park Factors | Ballpark Pal

[pimike]

Check the weather on this one.


Mr. Math

Looks windy. Blowing out or in not sure. However some rain later as well.

Good luck Nash

[Math]

Check the weather on this one.


Mr. Math

[stevenash]

Playing a total today, 4/24
Tigers-Reds under 8.5
It's a nasty LHP (Framber) v. nasty LHP (Abbott) thing.

Tigers-Reds under 8.5
Best play

[stevenash]

The puppy wasn't barking yesterday, and Glasnow was magnificent.
SF gets one-hit, and my play is DOA from the first inning on.
Can't win them all. But I try.

Stat of the day:
-Jeff Passan

The walk rate in MLB is hovering around 10%, a historically high figure that represents a 16% spike in bases on balls since last season. It's a staggering number, higher than every season but three -- 1948, 1949, 1950 -- in MLB's century-and-a-half history. So what's happening? Certainly the automated ball-strike system, which has standardized the strike zone and taken away pitches previously called strikes, has something to do with it. Beyond the challenges themselves, everyone -- pitchers, hitters, umpires -- is adjusting to a new zone, and that's the sort of thing that changes behaviors.

[stevenash]

Logan Webb as a +150 home dog vs. LA (Glasnow) is too tempting to resist.

SF (Webb) +150 is my value play of the day.

[stevenash]

Well, spank my ass and call me Father Christmas, the Sacramento Athletics did your pal Nasher well last night.

On a four-game heater, looking for five, that flips the season record from 6-8 to 10-8 (+3.4*)

There's nothing I like in the early games, KC maybe, but not at -140 or whatever it is now. I don't force plays.
Looking at the pm games.

[Headsterx]

I'm on a deep sleeper bow-wow tonight.
9:40 EST start here.

Sacramento Athletics +160
It's a LHP vs. RH hitter thing.
Mariners have trouble vs. LHP

Athletics +160 is my barking puppy of the week.

If A’s win the World Series, will they have the parade in Oakland, Sacramento or Vegas?

[stevenash]

I'm on a deep sleeper bow-wow tonight.
9:40 EST start here.

Sacramento Athletics +160
It's a LHP vs. RH hitter thing.
Mariners have trouble vs. LHP

Athletics +160 is my barking puppy of the week.

[Headsterx]

Miller now has 27 Ks in 11.3 IPs.
For those of you keeping score at home (and I know you are), that's an insanely ridiculous 21.4 strikeout ratio per nine innings.

And to think Miller pitched D2 ball.
I caught D2 ball, and I never saw anything close to the cheese Miller throws.
The dude is downright filthy.

11.3 IP
27 K
0.35 WH/IP
0.00 ERA
8 Saves

It’s Miller Time!

[stevenash]

4/20
Reds +110

My best play tonight.

[stevenash]

Miller now has 27 Ks in 11.3 IPs.
For those of you keeping score at home (and I know you are), that's an insanely ridiculous 21.4 strikeout ratio per nine innings.

And to think Miller pitched D2 ball.
I caught D2 ball, and I never saw anything close to the cheese Miller throws.
The dude is downright filthy.

11.3 IP
27 K
0.35 WH/IP
0.00 ERA
8 Saves

[Headsterx]

And ofc Miller was traded by the A’s. Has to be one of the most frustrating sports organization for a fan to root for.

[Headsterx]

Ohtani gets a hit and extends the streak.