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  • Headsterx
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-03-16
    • 25059

    #106
    Originally posted by stevenash
    I'm on a deep sleeper bow-wow tonight.
    9:40 EST start here.

    Sacramento Athletics +160
    It's a LHP vs. RH hitter thing.
    Mariners have trouble vs. LHP

    Athletics +160 is my barking puppy of the week.
    If A’s win the World Series, will they have the parade in Oakland, Sacramento or Vegas?
    Comment
    • stevenash
      Moderator
      • 01-17-11
      • 67273

      #107
      Well, spank my ass and call me Father Christmas, the Sacramento Athletics did your pal Nasher well last night.

      On a four-game heater, looking for five, that flips the season record from 6-8 to 10-8 (+3.4*)

      There's nothing I like in the early games, KC maybe, but not at -140 or whatever it is now. I don't force plays.
      Looking at the pm games.
      Comment
      • stevenash
        Moderator
        • 01-17-11
        • 67273

        #108
        Logan Webb as a +150 home dog vs. LA (Glasnow) is too tempting to resist.

        SF (Webb) +150 is my value play of the day.

        Comment
        • stevenash
          Moderator
          • 01-17-11
          • 67273

          #109
          The puppy wasn't barking yesterday, and Glasnow was magnificent.
          SF gets one-hit, and my play is DOA from the first inning on.
          Can't win them all. But I try.

          Stat of the day:
          -Jeff Passan

          The walk rate in MLB is hovering around 10%, a historically high figure that represents a 16% spike in bases on balls since last season. It's a staggering number, higher than every season but three -- 1948, 1949, 1950 -- in MLB's century-and-a-half history. So what's happening? Certainly the automated ball-strike system, which has standardized the strike zone and taken away pitches previously called strikes, has something to do with it. Beyond the challenges themselves, everyone -- pitchers, hitters, umpires -- is adjusting to a new zone, and that's the sort of thing that changes behaviors.

          Comment
          • stevenash
            Moderator
            • 01-17-11
            • 67273

            #110
            Playing a total today, 4/24
            Tigers-Reds under 8.5

            It's a nasty LHP (Framber) v. nasty LHP (Abbott) thing.

            Tigers-Reds under 8.5
            Best play
            Comment
            • Math
              SBR Sharp
              • 05-04-24
              • 498

              #111
              Check the weather on this one.


              Mr. Math
              Comment
              • pimike
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 03-23-08
                • 37184

                #112
                Originally posted by Math
                Check the weather on this one.


                Mr. Math
                Looks windy. Blowing out or in not sure. However some rain later as well.

                Good luck Nash
                Comment
                • stevenash
                  Moderator
                  • 01-17-11
                  • 67273

                  #113
                  I don't see a problem.
                  The total is 9.0 now.

                  Today's MLB Park Factors | Ballpark Pal
                  Comment
                  • stevenash
                    Moderator
                    • 01-17-11
                    • 67273

                    #114
                    Boston Red Sox fire manager Alex Cora after 10-17 start to season

                    SOURCE: The Athletic

                    Hours after the Boston Red Sox walloped the Baltimore Orioles 17-1, the team’s most lopsided win in an otherwise dreadful season, Alex Cora returned on Saturday night to the Four Seasons Hotel Baltimore. Awaiting him there, a league source told The Athletic, were principal owner John Henry, CEO Sam Kennedy and chief baseball officer Craig Breslow. They soon informed the manager that he had been fired, along with several members of his coaching staff.

                    Despite the team’s awful 10-17 start, the moves were swift and unexpected.

                    Around 6:30 p.m., as two members of the coaching staff headed out to dinner, they passed another team employee. The coaches told their colleague that they’d see each other again on Sunday. About 30 minutes later, both coaches were among those who were dismissed.

                    Triple-A Worcester manager Chad Tracy — son of former big-league manager Jim Tracy — will take over as Boston’s interim manager.
                    Comment
                    • stevenash
                      Moderator
                      • 01-17-11
                      • 67273

                      #115
                      4/27

                      Mariners (Castillo) -130
                      (Best play)
                      Comment
                      • stevenash
                        Moderator
                        • 01-17-11
                        • 67273

                        #116
                        Time to transition back into the MLB season, the NFL Draft is finished, and the NBA playoffs are about as compelling as watching paint dry.

                        Hard to believe the MLB season is 25 percent done this weekend.

                        Eovaldi spun a gem earlier; he handcuffed the Yankees, giving up 3hits in 8 innings, striking out eight.
                        The only blemish was that Eovaldi gave up a solo shot to Judge, but what pitcher hasn't?

                        And there's the KC Royals, who are driving me bat shit crazy, just when Cole Ragans looks like he's rounding into All-Star form, his triceps tighten up, and he has to be pulled after three innings.

                        Seth Lugo looks enticing later today, but I'm not sure if I want to lay the -142.
                        Comment
                        • stevenash
                          Moderator
                          • 01-17-11
                          • 67273

                          #117
                          So, this is what a 45-dollar hot dog looks like.

                          Mets announcers tackle opposite ends of $45 hot dog, create image that will 'live forever'
                          Comment
                          • stevenash
                            Moderator
                            • 01-17-11
                            • 67273

                            #118
                            Full slate of MLB action tonight, all 30 teams are playing under the lights, and after breaking down those 15 games, tonight's card should be what us baseball analytical geeks call an MLB wet dream.

                            Of the aforementioned 30 teams, ten have implied run totals of five or more,
                            They are Baltimore, Kansas City, Seattle, Boston, Toronto, San Diego, Philly, Cincy, Cleveland, and the Marlins, yes, those Miami Darlings.

                            The only 'household name' starting pitcher that goes tonight is Chris Sale.
                            Max Freid and Dylan Cease are also scheduled to make a start, but I consider them familiar names, not 'household names.'
                            Robbie Ray too, who h

                            The casual MLB fan might want to keep an eye on these kids, who have the potential to have solid careers.
                            Parker Messnick (Cleveland) is one of those lefties who kept me awake all night. The kid has a nasty arsenal.

                            Jacob Misiorowski (Brewers) has had his fastball measured at 104 MPH, on the slow radar gun.
                            The two most difficult pitches to hit (IMO) were any triple-digit flame throwers whose speedball had insane movement, and any LHP who has total command of the junk pitches, like Andy Messersmith (the pride of Toms River, and the Leiter boys as well), Mike Mussina, or Greg Maddux, even though those three threw right-handed, but you get my point.

                            The Pirates' other young gun, Carmen Miodzinski (It's Polish-American night at the ballpark, or so it seems, hey, I'm a proud Polish American myself)

                            Three other up-and-comers with a world of potential to keep an eye on.
                            McClean (NY Mets), Kris Bubic (KC Royals), and Connor Early (Boston)

                            You like dingers?
                            These hamburgers should get lit up like a Christmas Tree.
                            Keider Montero (Detroit), Connor Preilipp (Minnesota), Jesse Scholtens (TB Rays ), and a few others.

                            Here's a dinger cheat sheet if one feels the need to wager a couple of sheckles on a tater prop or two.
                            Player Name Pos Team Opp HR
                            Kyle Schwarber DH PHI vs COL 0.8943
                            Cal Raleigh C SEA @CWS 0.7713
                            Aaron Judge OF NYY @MIL 0.76454
                            Pete Alonso 1B BAL vs ATH 0.69266
                            Bryce Harper 1B PHI vs COL 0.67691
                            Shea Langeliers C ATH @BAL 0.66465
                            Yordan Alvarez DH HOU @CIN 0.65828
                            Munetaka Murakami 3B CWS vs SEA 0.65604
                            Byron Buxton OF MIN @CLE 0.65306
                            Nick Kurtz 1B ATH @BAL 0.63597
                            Brice Matthews 2B HOU @CIN 0.63461
                            Taylor Ward OF BAL vs ATH 0.63406
                            Juan Soto OF NYM @ARI 0.61997
                            Junior Caminero 3B TB @BOS 0.59444
                            Matt Olson 1B ATL @LAD 0.59284
                            Christian Walker 1B HOU @CIN 0.59
                            Ben Rice C NYY @MIL 0.58455
                            Adolis Garcia OF PHI vs COL 0.57922
                            Colson Montgomery SS CWS vs SEA 0.57552
                            JJ Bleday OF CIN vs HOU 0.57536
                            Vinnie Pasquantino 1B KC vs DET 0.57511
                            Drake Baldwin C ATL @LAD 0.57429
                            Julio Rodriguez OF SEA @CWS 0.5688
                            Bobby Witt SS KC vs DET 0.56365
                            Salvador Perez C KC vs DET 0.56349
                            Comment
                            • stevenash
                              Moderator
                              • 01-17-11
                              • 67273

                              #119
                              MLB officially enters the second quarter of the season.
                              (40 games in)

                              Who's your front-runner for Cy Young

                              *note*
                              I'm big on the walks/hits per nine IP ratio; that's the way I sorted these.
                              That's not the be-all end-all of all the metrics; I get that, that's just the metric I choose to lead in with.
                              Name Tm IP K/9 BB/9 K/BB HR/9 AVG WHIP
                              Paul Skenes PIT 42 9.857143 1.5 6.571429 0.857143 0.156463 0.714286
                              Cam Schlittler NYY 53.1 9.95625 1.51875 6.555556 0.16875 0.177083 0.80625
                              Michael McGreevy STL 45.1 6.551471 1.985294 3.3 0.992647 0.183544 0.860294
                              Chris Sale ATL 49 10.28571 2.204082 4.666667 1.102041 0.178161 0.877551
                              Nolan McLean NYM 45.1 11.31618 2.382353 4.75 0.595588 0.180124 0.904412
                              Jacob deGrom TEX 44.2 11.48507 1.61194 7.125 1.208955 0.198795 0.91791
                              Shota Imanaga CHC 47.1 10.07746 2.471831 4.076923 0.760563 0.179191 0.929577
                              Tarik Skubal DET 43.1 9.346154 1.246154 7.5 0.415385 0.221519 0.946154
                              Max Fried NYY 58.2 7.363636 2.761364 2.666667 0.153409 0.185366 0.954545
                              Jacob Misiorowski MIL 44 14.31818 3.477273 4.117647 0.818182 0.162338 0.954545
                              Parker Messick CLE 47 9.765957 2.106383 4.636364 0.765957 0.208333 0.978723
                              Justin Wrobleski LAD 44.2 4.432836 2.216418 2 0.402985 0.20122 0.985075
                              Kevin Gausman TOR 46.2 8.292857 1.735714 4.777778 0.964286 0.212644 0.985714
                              Michael Wacha KCR 51.1 7.363636 2.980519 2.470588 0.876623 0.187845 0.993506
                              Davis Martin CHW 50 9.36 1.8 5.2 0.36 0.223464 1
                              Bryan Woo SEA 47 7.276596 1.531915 4.75 1.148936 0.224138 1
                              Bryce Elder ATL 54.2 8.72561 3.292683 2.65 0.493902 0.180412 1.006098
                              Emerson Hancock SEA 47.2 9.440559 1.699301 5.555556 1.51049 0.224138 1.006993
                              Yoshinobu Yamamoto LAD 43.2 8.244275 2.061069 4 1.030534 0.21519 1.007634
                              Clay Holmes NYM 48.1 6.889655 2.97931 2.3125 0.558621 0.189655 1.013793
                              Foster Griffin WSN 46.2 8.1 2.892857 2.8 1.157143 0.19186 1.028571
                              Joe Ryan MIN 44.2 9.067164 2.619403 3.461538 0.604478 0.202454 1.029851
                              Mitch Keller PIT 47 6.702128 2.680851 2.5 0.382979 0.205882 1.042553
                              Chase Burns CIN 47 9.191489 3.06383 3 1.148936 0.196429 1.042553
                              Braxton Ashcraft PIT 48.2 9.431507 2.589041 3.642857 0.739726 0.213873 1.047945
                              Nick Martinez TBR 47.2 5.853147 1.888112 3.1 0.566434 0.223464 1.048951
                              Jose Soriano LAA 54.1 10.10429 3.312883 3.05 0.828221 0.190722 1.04908
                              Michael King SDP 45.2 8.868613 3.941606 2.25 0.788321 0.181818 1.051095
                              Comment
                              • stevenash
                                Moderator
                                • 01-17-11
                                • 67273

                                #120
                                Is 2026 (to date) the MLB equivalent to Jerry Seinfeld's "Bizarro World"

                                The Mets (15-25) are the worst team in baseball.
                                There are five teams with a better (or same) record as the LA Dodgers.

                                How weak is the American League?

                                Take New York and Tampa Bay out of the equation, and there's only one team with a winning record (Sacramento Athletics) at 21-19, and the only two teams (besides TB and NY) have a positive +/- run differential. Detroit +4, Seattle +2

                                There are 30 starting pitchers with more strikeouts than Paul Skeenes, including some of these future Hall of Famers.
                                (minimum eight starts and 40 innings pitched)


                                Jacob Misiorowski
                                Nolan McClean
                                Bryce Elder
                                Davis Martin
                                Taj Bradley
                                Braxton Ashcraft
                                Landon Roupp
                                Parker Messick
                                Emerson Hancock
                                Chase Dollander

                                According to Baseball-Reference, these are the updated postseason chances for each team.

                                Current Average
                                Tm W L W L Post WC Div LDS LCS Pennant Win WS
                                NL East
                                1 Atlanta Braves 28 13 94.1 67.9 97.30% 3.30% 94.00% 75.50% 35.80% 16.20% 8.00%
                                2 Philadelphia Phillies 19 22 81.1 80.9 27.90% 23.50% 4.40% 12.90% 5.20% 2.10% 0.90%
                                3 Miami Marlins 19 22 76.3 85.7 7.50% 6.40% 1.10% 2.80% 0.90% 0.30% 0.10%
                                4 Washington Nationals 19 22 72.9 89.1 2.30% 2.00% 0.30% 0.70% 0.20% <0.1% <0.1%
                                5 New York Mets 15 25 71.8 90.2 1.60% 1.40% 0.20% 0.70% 0.20% <0.1% <0.1%
                                NL Central
                                1 Milwaukee Brewers 22 16 95.1 66.9 97.00% 40.30% 56.70% 76.50% 44.80% 25.80% 15.50%
                                2 Chicago Cubs 27 14 93.2 68.8 94.70% 56.00% 38.70% 65.30% 31.50% 15.20% 7.90%
                                3 Pittsburgh Pirates 22 19 84.1 77.9 48.60% 45.00% 3.60% 23.10% 9.80% 3.90% 1.80%
                                4 St. Louis Cardinals 23 17 79.2 82.8 17.40% 16.80% 0.60% 6.70% 2.10% 0.70% 0.20%
                                5 Cincinnati Reds 22 19 78.7 83.3 14.20% 13.70% 0.50% 5.70% 1.90% 0.60% 0.20%
                                NL West
                                1 Los Angeles Dodgers 24 16 95.9 66.1 98.00% 13.70% 84.30% 83.20% 48.30% 27.30% 16.20%
                                2 San Diego Padres 24 16 87.4 74.6 72.50% 58.00% 14.50% 38.10% 16.30% 6.90% 3.20%
                                3 Arizona Diamondbacks 19 20 79.5 82.5 18.10% 17.00% 1.10% 7.60% 2.70% 0.90% 0.40%
                                4 San Francisco Giants 16 24 73.7 88.3 3.00% 2.90% 0.10% 1.10% 0.30% 0.10% <0.1%
                                5 Colorado Rockies 16 25 61.7 100.3 <0.1% <0.1% <0.1% <0.1% <0.1% <0.1% <0.1%
                                AL East
                                1 New York Yankees 26 15 96.4 65.6 99.10% 14.00% 85.10% 92.90% 57.90% 36.80% 20.10%
                                2 Tampa Bay Rays 26 13 86.7 75.3 75.20% 63.70% 11.50% 40.50% 17.50% 6.90% 2.40%
                                3 Boston Red Sox 17 23 81.6 80.4 39.90% 37.90% 2.00% 21.90% 11.00% 5.20% 2.30%
                                4 Toronto Blue Jays 18 22 79.7 82.3 27.20% 25.90% 1.30% 14.00% 6.30% 2.60% 1.00%
                                5 Baltimore Orioles 18 23 75.3 86.7 8.30% 8.10% 0.20% 3.70% 1.30% 0.50% 0.20%
                                AL Central
                                1 Cleveland Guardians 21 21 83.8 78.2 58.70% 15.10% 43.60% 37.70% 16.90% 7.60% 3.10%
                                2 Kansas City Royals 19 22 82.1 79.9 45.90% 17.50% 28.30% 27.40% 12.10% 5.30% 2.10%
                                3 Detroit Tigers 19 22 80 82 32.20% 12.80% 19.40% 18.10% 7.50% 3.10% 1.20%
                                4 Chicago White Sox 19 21 76.8 85.2 15.00% 7.60% 7.40% 7.40% 2.80% 1.00% 0.30%
                                5 Minnesota Twins 18 23 71.2 90.9 2.30% 1.10% 1.30% 1.00% 0.30% 0.10% <0.1%
                                AL West
                                1 Athletics 21 19 86.7 75.3 75.70% 29.40% 46.40% 55.30% 27.60% 12.70% 5.30%
                                2 Texas Rangers 19 21 85.1 76.9 65.40% 33.60% 31.80% 44.50% 21.60% 10.00% 4.30%
                                3 Seattle Mariners 19 22 83.5 78.5 53.70% 32.10% 21.60% 34.70% 17.10% 8.20% 3.40%
                                4 Houston Astros 16 25 69.8 92.2 1.10% 0.90% 0.20% 0.50% 0.20% <0.1% <0.1%
                                5 Los Angeles Angels 16 25 66.8 95.2 0.20% 0.20% 0.10% 0.10% <0.1% <0.1% <0.1%
                                Attached Files
                                Comment
                                • stevenash
                                  Moderator
                                  • 01-17-11
                                  • 67273

                                  #121

                                  John Heyman knows; he's been covering the Metropolitans for the NY Post here for at least 30 years, maybe longer.

                                  They can't fire Cohen; he's the owner and the president, yet he's responsible for the Soto clusterfuck and a slew of other bonehead decisions.


                                  Click image for larger version

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                                  Comment
                                  • stevenash
                                    Moderator
                                    • 01-17-11
                                    • 67273

                                    #122
                                    Skeenes is DEALING tonight!
                                    Wow! Just wow!

                                    Rockies vs. Pirates (May 12, 2026) Box Score - ESPN
                                    Comment
                                    • stevenash
                                      Moderator
                                      • 01-17-11
                                      • 67273

                                      #123
                                      Masterpiece Theater continues.
                                      Kyle Bradish is currently spinning a gem vs. the NY Yankees.

                                      Six innings in, 0 runs, allowing just one hit, striking out seven.
                                      He's approaching 100 pitches; there's no way he can finish what he started.

                                      Back in the day of Marichall and Sandy Koufax, you were considered a lightweight if you didn't throw at least 7 full innings.

                                      Comment
                                      • stevenash
                                        Moderator
                                        • 01-17-11
                                        • 67273

                                        #124
                                        5/13
                                        Pitching prop I really like tonight.
                                        Jacob Misiorowski (Milwaukee) OVER 7.5 strikeouts.

                                        JM is the major league strikeout leader (70) across 44 innings.
                                        The SO: IP ratio is 14.3 per 9 IP
                                        40 percent of all recorded outs are via the punchout.

                                        He also holds the record (statcast era) for velocity (103.4 MPH) and has cracked 103 MPH several times in a single game.

                                        If you've never seen him pitch, trust me on this: he's a treat to watch.

                                        Jacob Misiorowski throws fastest-tracked pitches by starter
                                        Comment
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