NFL 2025 Survivor talk

[2Sweeet]

Lost 4 of my remaining 7 with AZ. Major competition didn't really use them. BIG blow for me. 300 left of 1250. Would have been huge. Circa 30K. Lost last year on last game GB/CHI. Wearing down.

Then in my differential pool I had DET and lost 14 points on late CIN scores. Got hurt bad there as an inordinate amount of folks took IND.

Add all that add losing a 5 team ML parlay in the GB/CLV game it's going to take me some time to recover.

That def cracks my top 10 of all time bad beats if u just needed Arizona outright. Hopefully u win this week. If u r in Circa Survivor it has to be Steelers Denver or Guess u have to save the Chiefs. Denver def an option but we see how they work at times. They could of lost the last 2 games. If u r feeling frisky and don't want to take the OBV. It be Charges for me 100000%

[stevenash]

I'm out.

Denver would be the play.
The kid (Dart) is in a bad spot, in Denver against that defense.

[Shark]

I’m using KC for both of my entries. There’s not a great spot to use them in the coming weeks.

[stevenash]

Whackiest NFL season I've seen in years.

[Ian]

Yikes.. At least it isnt snowing. This is def a hard week for survivor but if u didn't use the Chiefs yet and don't have to down the road that be my pick. Def don't hate Steelers but it's a division game on the road and not against the Raiders The Favs got to come in at some point AMIRITE? LOL Here we go Steelers

Pittsburgh was week 6 for me.

Still undecided for this week. I was thinking Chicago, but they're super public and it seems like sharp money is pouring in on the other side. The Browns have little/no future value and they're not at all public, but the downside is that they're the Browns. KC, NE, GB, and Den are public picks to varying degrees and there are good spots to take them down the road.

I'm feeling less confident in this week's choices than any other week so far.

[2Sweeet]

Thank God

[Ian]

Browns

[Madison]

I'm a live 3 lines out of 1300. Alive 2nd pool differential. Anyone talking here>

[Ian]

I'm a live 3 lines out of 1300. Alive 2nd pool differential. Anyone talking here>

Huh?

I'm still alive in a few pools. It looks like everyone who wasn't on the Steelers made it through the week. Lots of big chalk next week. Either the Bengals or Colts seem like easy choices next week, and Buf, NE, and Bal all seem defensible.

The week after doesn't seem bad, but week 10 could be a mass culling. I'll just take big chalk the next two week and hope something fluky doesn't happen and then hope to get lucky week 10

[stevenash]

The Colts open -14.5
Sunday would be the time to play Indy.

[Shark]

The week after doesn't seem bad, but week 10 could be a mass culling. I'll just take big chalk the next two week and hope something fluky doesn't happen and then hope to get lucky week 10

Yeah if you don’t have Denver available in week 10 you are going to have a helluva time.

[Madison]

Yeah if you don’t have Denver available in week 10 you are going to have a helluva time.

Agreed with last 3 posts. Thought I dodged the DEN bullet, but 10% survived. I have IND and LAR available the next 2 weeks.

Waiting on IND or NE to turn into the Pumpkin they may be. Look at NE opponents. Outside BUF could they be any worse?

I chose to survive last week with 2 KC and 1 CHI.

I avoided DEN solely cause I had 1 of 3 available in week 10.

[Madison]

The Colts open -14.5
Sunday would be the time to play Indy.

In my differential pool I got killed by IND in wk 4/5? I have them wk 8. Hopefully they don't turn into a pumpkin then??

[Shark]

I think I’m going Indy/indy with my two entries or Atlanta/indy.

[Ian]

I think I’m going Indy/indy with my two entries or Atlanta/indy.

I like the Atl pick too, especially for people who haven't already used NE because they both figure to be huge chalk week 11.

What are people's thoughts on week 18? I didn't really plan for it, but I'm thinking it might be a good idea to save some marginal/middle of the pack teams that could potentially be fighting for a playoff spot in the last week. Is it worth saving Atl, LAR, and/or TB, especially in larger field pools that are likely to go to the end?

[stevenash]

^
Week 18 is a league flex week; it's hard to tell.

NFL Schedule - Week 18 Regular Season, 2025 - ESPN

[Madison]

My differential pool I have NE or CIN penciled. Leaning CIN especially if Gardner doesn't go. Thinking NYJ the weaker of the D's. Caveat Flacco has burned me innumerable times.

Thoughts??

[Ian]

My differential pool I have NE or CIN penciled. Leaning CIN especially if Gardner doesn't go. Thinking NYJ the weaker of the D's. Caveat Flacco has burned me innumerable times.

Thoughts??

IMO both are justifiable and which is better likely depends upon what teams you and your opponents have already used. That said...

I usually don't put my own handicapping into survivor contests, but I'm thinking this may be a tougher spot for Cin than the market has it. IMO -6 1/2 is buying high on a 40 yo Joe Flacco with a terrible 0-line and buying low on an admittedly stinky Jets team that can't play any worse than they have already. The market has already pushed the line down to 6 at most shops.

I certainly can't fault anyone for being on Cin this week though... there probably won't be a better spot for them all season.

[stevenash]

If I had the Colts left, this would be the week.
Indy is due for a regression; now would be the time to get them off the table.

[Madison]

If I had the Colts left, this would be the week.
Indy is due for a regression; now would be the time to get them off the table.

All 3 of my remaining on Indy.

[Shark]

Going rams/rams with my two entries this week. I don’t figure to use them if I font use them this week. Seems like it’s the same logic for chargers if anyone is considering them.

only problem is just about every single person left in my pools can also use rams/chargers.

[stevenash]

^
Agree, the Rams would be my play if I had a play left.
Best of luck, Shark.

[Madison]

Going rams/rams with my two entries this week. I don’t figure to use them if I font use them this week. Seems like it’s the same logic for chargers if anyone is considering them.

only problem is just about every single person left in my pools can also use rams/chargers.

Same.

[Ian]

Went AI on GB. GG.

GL Shark and anybody else still alive.

[Madison]

Tough week ahead. Input appreciated.

I'm kind of on the fence between two approaches. I have 3 picks left. 1250 entries 130 left. I have BUF alive and my competition has used them quite a bit. Approach 1 All in on BUF and hopefully advance. FYI, BUF has 5 of its next 7 on the road though not daunting. Approach 2 would be to spread between CHI, DEN, HOU, SEA, and BUF.

[Shark]

I’ll be going den/buff with my two entries. Most people have already used den or buff or both. 175 entries left in the large pool and 6 entries left in the small pool.

[Shark]

Tough week ahead. Input appreciated.

I'm kind of on the fence between two approaches. I have 3 picks left. 1250 entries 130 left. I have BUF alive and my competition has used them quite a bit. Approach 1 All in on BUF and hopefully advance. FYI, BUF has 5 of its next 7 on the road though not daunting. Approach 2 would be to spread between CHI, DEN, HOU, SEA, and BUF.

I like the idea of diversity this week with den/buff/sea. Would hate for all entries to go down together this far in. Plus you save buff with a couple of your entries for a rainy day(week) hopefully.

[Madison]

I like the idea of diversity this week with den/buff/sea. Would hate for all entries to go down together this far in. Plus you save buff with a couple of your entries for a rainy day(week) hopefully.

Right now thinking maybe 2 BUF , 1 DEN. I still have a few live teams left, PHI, NE, TB, BUF, LAC, HOU, BAL for all 3 picks. Have 1 SEA saved for 3 or so weeks out.

Cautious about laying my survivor life on Bo Nix??

GL Bud!

[Madison]

I’ll be going den/buff with my two entries. Most people have already used den or buff or both. 175 entries left in the large pool and 6 entries left in the small pool.

Popularity of your picks can be a very important metric in general. In my case BUF has low popularity versus the odds.

[Shark]

Man that team sucks! Denver, not Vegas. Glad I survived…

[stevenash]

Man that team sucks! Denver, not Vegas. Glad I survived…

Maybe Parcells is wrong about you're only as good as your record says it is, and all that.

Denver is 8-2 because they got fat on a bunch of bottom feeders to start the year, and they needed a gift from heaven to beat the Giants. Their only 'quality' win was against a down-year Eagle team.

[Madison]

Man that team sucks! Denver, not Vegas. Glad I survived…

I've had root canals less painful.

[Madison]

Interesting stat CAR.

This is the first time the Panthers have been favored all season, and in each of the past nine times they've been favored, they've lost.

[Shark]

Yeah, over half of the pool is using Carolina tomorrow. I am a huge saints fan tomorrow.

[Madison]

Yeah, over half of the pool is using Carolina tomorrow. I am a huge saints fan tomorrow.

In survivor, is there anything better than cashing THUR and spending SUN just rooting for upsets.