NFL 2025 Survivor talk

[stevenash]

I just locked in the Seahawks.
I'm not overthinking this; overthinking things usually gets me into trouble.
Plus, there are no games on the schedule that make me say "Damn, I should have gone with so and so..."
If Seattle should lose.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

You can get expert advice from Peavy for free.

Yeah right haha but did sleep at a Holiday Inn last night....

[Enkhbat]

Thanks for the free expert advice guys. The latest I survived was till week 13 I think.

All these 0-2 teams may not be as bad as we think they are, I expect many close games this weekend.

I will save the Eagles for thanksgiving/Black Friday separate week.

[brock]

I played TB this week. Seems like the right play.

[Ian]

I just locked in the Seahawks.
I'm not overthinking this; overthinking things usually gets me into trouble.
Plus, there are no games on the schedule that make me say "Damn, I should have gone with so and so..."
If Seattle should lose.

I'm went all-in on Seattle with my survivors too. Buff and TB were tempting, but Seattle's schedule seems harder than the others.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

I'm went all-in on Seattle with my survivors too. Buff and TB were tempting, but Seattle's schedule seems harder than the others.

Agreed Ian...looking at Buffalo's matchups the next 2 weeks made me want to save them.

I fear putting all my eggs into Sam Darnold's hands but you have to roll the dice sometimes for greener pastures down the road.

[Enkhbat]

Thoughts on the 3 point drop on WAS/LV???

Maybe Jayden Daniels' knee is worse than the Commanders are letting on. I think he will still play but could be bothered by that knee thus less scrambling for him.

[Madison]

I just locked in the Seahawks.
I'm not overthinking this; overthinking things usually gets me into trouble.
Plus, there are no games on the schedule that make me say "Damn, I should have gone with so and so..."
If Seattle should lose.

Little or no FV. Makes sense.

[Madison]

I have 3 entries left. I am taking 3 of the following 4. Tampa Bay, Kansas City, Seattle, Green Bay. Not sure which one to avoid.

All 4 solid. FV is determinant. Week 5 1st real test.

[Madison]

I played TB this week. Seems like the right play.

HUGE FV. I'm saving.

[Madison]

Maybe Jayden Daniels' knee is worse than the Commanders are letting on. I think he will still play but could be bothered by that knee thus less scrambling for him.

Understanding the severity of injuries (week to week availability) has been an issues for decades.

[Madison]

Just for full disclosure I'm 8/8 to date. Mostly SEA/KC this week.

In 2nd pool with point differential the determinant. Considering SEA, LAC, and GB. KC still curious to me.

Think DEN meets its maker this week. Gonna play a 4 or 5 team ML parlay.

BOL gentlemen.

[stevenash]

Whoever had Seattle Sunday (I did too), good job.

I'm tempted to burn Buffalo this weekend, but I'd rather not.
The Chargers should smoke the Giants. The thing that worries me is that the LA to NY flight across three time zones.
Most West Coast players hate that flight.
That's an intangible (coast-to-coast flights) I pay attention to.

New England?
Pats should get the job done at Gilette, but they make me nervous.

I've already burnt Denver.

[Enkhbat]

I am taking Denver this week, love the Denver D#, Bengals defense sucks so Bo Nix should have a good day. I will have Broncos in a parlay/teasers also. Green Bay is a good candidate too, that Cowboys defense could be the worst in NFL history lol

[Madison]

Week 4 is important junction point for who is real/fake.

Hou/NE are 2 interesting options as FV is almost zero.

Lot of pools will exhaust DET/BUF which will be HUGE value later on as most will be already used. Good week to make a move as even a if BUF/DET win you'll have them later and few others will.

One thing to keep in mind is BUF will essentially clinch playoffs with wins next 2 weeks. They may have a few weeks where they lay down later??

I'm sprinkling wide this week, with small DET/BUF (to stay alive) and Hou/NE/Den/. Would love to go all in here on HOU but just don't trust the QB and OL. I have a few of my 8 with 3 entries with no FV (so real strong).

[Ian]

Week 4 is important junction point for who is real/fake.

Hou/NE are 2 interesting options as FV is almost zero.

Lot of pools will exhaust DET/BUF which will be HUGE value later on as most will be already used. Good week to make a move as even a if BUF/DET win you'll have them later and few others will.

One thing to keep in mind is BUF will essentially clinch playoffs with wins next 2 weeks. They may have a few weeks where they lay down later??

I'm sprinkling wide this week, with small DET/BUF (to stay alive) and Hou/NE/Den/. Would love to go all in here on HOU but just don't trust the QB and OL. I have a few of my 8 with 3 entries with no FV (so real strong).

IMO there are lots of good options this week.

Buf, Hou, Det, NE, LAC, GB, Mia, and Den all have their benefits. I'm taking Hou in some pools, but will sprinkle some of the others in. GL to all this week.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Looking at Houston this week and will probably roll with them assuming that Stingley is active and plays...

[ByeShea]

Denver at home MNF vs. Bengals. If Broncos can't make this a W then my exit is on them, not me.

My strategy is to try and never get cute with pics (meaning taking what I deem a 2nd or 3rd best selection easier future matchup) and ALWAYS accept a shared pot when offered. Over the years I've done pretty well. Always fun.

** also it's still September, there are likely still some sneaky good/bad teams that haven't shown themselves yet.

[trobin31]

Miami anyone ? lol

[stevenash]

Miami anyone ? lol

I don't trust Tua.
I can't use Denver, I already spent those ponies.

I said "Fvck it" went with the chalkiest, squarest, play on the board not named Buffalo.
Detroit.
Sometimes the square play is the right play.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

I don't trust Tua.
I can't use Denver, I already spent those ponies.

I said "Fvck it" went with the chalkiest, squarest, play on the board not named Buffalo.
Detroit.
Sometimes the square play is the right play.

That Browns defensive line is scary good with a lot of depth...Godspeed nasher

[Madison]

IMO there are lots of good options this week.

Buf, Hou, Det, NE, LAC, GB, Mia, and Den all have their benefits. I'm taking Hou in some pools, but will sprinkle some of the others in. GL to all this week.

Buf/Det/Hou ... already spoken about.
NE ... has knocked me out (On the verge of big $ 2 of the last 4 years by winning) Last at PIT late. 5 TO's last week. Nemesis for me. Tough for me to give away a pick with them.
DEN ... Looks like the play. Like see the QB wake up a bit. Used them week 1 for 6/8 my 8 picks.
LAC ... Just played 3 divisional opponents (super focused). Cross country and may be a little flat. top 5 team for me right now.
MIA ... Internal issues. QB???. DEF ???, Not for me.
GB ... too many other good spots.

BOL to all!!!

[Madison]

Looking at Houston this week and will probably roll with them assuming that Stingley is active and plays...

May die the same death as I have AZ, DAL, already in the bank in several lines. Chubb about done. Collins carrying load.

[Madison]

I don't trust Tua.
I can't use Denver, I already spent those ponies.

I said "Fvck it" went with the chalkiest, squarest, play on the board not named Buffalo.
Detroit.
Sometimes the square play is the right play.

Size of ones pool and number of picks means a TON!! Smaller pool survive. Larger pools FV.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

May die the same death as I have AZ, DAL, already in the bank in several lines. Chubb about done. Collins carrying load.

It's a risky play no doubt but as you eluded to earlier, there is not really another obvious week to use them going forward. At 0-3 and at home, this is a must win game for Houston which is why I am looking so closely at it. The oline is a major concern but feel like the defense will put in a great effort here and Stingley playing or not is probably the deciding factor for me.

I have AZ and Dallas in the bank as well so looking to offload a few more of these turds before I start using the top teams.

[Madison]

Nasher, Can you change the title so we can keep this alive?

[Shark]

Detroit or Buffalo are needed next week, week 5 in my opinion. If you can avoid using them this week I think you’ll thank yourself. The bye week starts next week and that’s when things get really interesting in survivor. If they haven’t already, I think a lot of people will be burning buff and det this week and next.

[stevenash]

Nasher, Can you change the title so we can keep this alive?

OK, good idea.
NFL 2025 Survivor talk

[Headsterx]

Ugh! Got eliminated from Heritage as I forgot the deadline is the first game of the week (i.e., Thursday).



Debating Broncos or Lions for this week.

[JAKEPEAVY21]

Ugh! Got eliminated from Heritage as I forgot the deadline is the first game of the week (i.e., Thursday).



Debating Broncos or Lions for this week.

That is the dumbest rule for Survivor contests. Every game that has not kicked off yet should be available. Thankfully for you, that contest pays next to nothing after it's chopped however many ways.

[Shark]

That is the dumbest rule for Survivor contests. Every game that has not kicked off yet should be available. Thankfully for you, that contest pays next to nothing after it's chopped however many ways.

Totally agree. It’s such an antiquated way of playing this game. I’m in a huge survivor pool and I use line movements up until kickoff to make a lot of my decisions. When the pick is due in Thursday that angle goes out the window.

[Madison]

Ugh! Got eliminated from Heritage as I forgot the deadline is the first game of the week (i.e., Thursday).



Debating Broncos or Lions for this week.

Circa 1K entry circa 16M prize, 24 people failed to make a pick. OUCH!

[Madison]

Ugh! Got eliminated from Heritage as I forgot the deadline is the first game of the week (i.e., Thursday).



Debating Broncos or Lions for this week.

Circa 1K entry circa 16M prize, 24 people failed to make a pick. OUCH!

[Madison]

Ugh! Got eliminated from Heritage as I forgot the deadline is the first game of the week (i.e., Thursday).



Debating Broncos or Lions for this week.

Circa 1K entry circa 16M prize, 24 people failed to make a pick. OUCH!

[Madison]

Apologies, have no idea what happened above. Likely maybe Nasher running up likes/looks?