NFL 2025 Survivor talk

[Madison]

I chose SEA and feel I made an error, but only time will tell after week 17, their next best spot.

Although I have some decent options, it seems the rest of the remaining mostly have the same teams. So, if I survive the likelihood is that there could be 20 or so split. IE, this week 40 or more still have TB. About 60 left.

BOL!!

[Shark]

Survived week 13.

likely looking at TB vs NO this week. I’m set up decently if I can get through this week. Divisional games are always wacky and you just don’t know. TB is not that strong but I simply don’t believe in Kellen Moore as a coach. Shough has been abysmal. I will trust Baker to pull it out. Thinking something like 27-18.

[Madison]

Congrats on making it to the signature benchmark of survivor (Thanksgiving week). You’ve got great options this deep into the season. I think you should use the chargers as well. Since it’s either this week or not at all for them with their remaining schedule.
Now, since you have other options later, it may not be a big deal if you never use LAC. For me, I have to consider LAC because I don’t have a strong team like SEA left. I do expect LV to be more effective on offense this game, and it’s a division game so things can always get wild, but LAC defense is very solid. Geno is mistake prone and I think LAC wins something like 26-20.

The case for SEA gets very strong if McCarthy is ruled out. I think I’d switch to SEA if that’s the case. Even if JJ plays, it’s still a nice option at home with how awful he’s been. This is not the week for JJ to figure things out. Remaining schedule isn’t great for SEA and if you want to use them before they might be resting players at the end, then this week is the week. They might not get a chance to rest guys if the Rams don’t relent.

Much appreciated!! Thx!

[Shark]

Congrats on making it to the signature benchmark of survivor (Thanksgiving week). You’ve got great options this deep into the season. I think you should use the chargers as well. Since it’s either this week or not at all for them with their remaining schedule.
Now, since you have other options later, it may not be a big deal if you never use LAC. For me, I have to consider LAC because I don’t have a strong team like SEA left. I do expect LV to be more effective on offense this game, and it’s a division game so things can always get wild, but LAC defense is very solid. Geno is mistake prone and I think LAC wins something like 26-20.

The case for SEA gets very strong if McCarthy is ruled out. I think I’d switch to SEA if that’s the case. Even if JJ plays, it’s still a nice option at home with how awful he’s been. This is not the week for JJ to figure things out. Remaining schedule isn’t great for SEA and if you want to use them before they might be resting players at the end, then this week is the week. They might not get a chance to rest guys if the Rams don’t relent.

[Madison]

I have LAC and SEA live this week.

Little worried about LAC OL. Can't believe Herbert has made it this far with all the hits hes taken. Also, about 60% have them as well. They have zero FV.

SEA ... only about 10% have them available, but they might be my best choice week 17 @CAR.

Tough decision.

[Headsterx]

With games on Thanksgiving, Black Friday, Sunday and Monday, this week is going to be interesting.

[stevenash]

Two hundred and ninety-eight football fanatics *survived* three Brock Purdy picks last night.
(Did you see what I did there?)

[stevenash]

NINERS!!!

Brock isn't 100%, more like 80%
Brock ain't right tonight.
That third pick he threw looked like a dying quail; that ball had no oopa-loopa on it at all.

[Headsterx]

Thanks for posting!

Will be big CAR fan as I still Have SF and 33% out if they lose.

Sorry, but not happening tonight!

NINERS!!!

[Madison]

I wrote the original script for the grid 15 years ago. They took it to another level.

[Madison]

I haven't been following this thread, but the NFL Survivor Talk caught my eye. I just posted this in the NFL forum in the Upset Alert Watch thread....
BONUS! TOP 5 KNOCKOUTS
When choosing your Survivor picks for this week, be aware of these five teams. They have knockouted their opponents in your Survivor game.

TOP 5 (Percentage of Knockouts)
NYG..........15.1%
Clev..........14.0%
Tenn.........9.9%
SF..............9.3%
Car...........6.4%

**Carolina is playing in tonight's game against SF. If you picked SF this week for your Survivor Contest, start praying!!

For the complete list and other good info, go to https://www.survivorgrid.com/.
Good luck!

Thanks for posting!

Will be big CAR fan as I still Have SF and 33% out if they lose.

[Aunty808]

I haven't been following this thread, but the NFL Survivor Talk caught my eye. I just posted this in the NFL forum in the Upset Alert Watch thread....
BONUS! TOP 5 KNOCKOUTS
When choosing your Survivor picks for this week, be aware of these five teams. They have knockouted their opponents in your Survivor game.

TOP 5 (Percentage of Knockouts)
NYG..........15.1%
Clev..........14.0%
Tenn.........9.9%
SF..............9.3%
Car...........6.4%

**Carolina is playing in tonight's game against SF. If you picked SF this week for your Survivor Contest, start praying!!

For the complete list and other good info, go to https://www.survivorgrid.com/.
Good luck!

[Madison]

So much for saving TB. When's the last time Teddy BridgeJumper was successful?

[stevenash]

Hard to believe that the fantasy playoffs start in two weeks, after this weekend.

[Madison]

I like the Vegas pick.

Looks like an interesting week for a 3 or 4 team ML parlay with LV like options.

Thx as well for contributing.

[Madison]

The big chalk all seem to have future value. If I was still in I would roll the dice with Vegas and use Bal, SF, LAR, DET, SEA when they are more picked over later in the season.

GL guys.

For me and BAL, the question was what is CIN going to be the next 3 weeks?? I also wasn't keen on the 3 day turnaround into Thxgiving. My model would have had me going against CIN twice in the next few weeks.

My pool has 75/1280 left. 40 have SEA/BAL avail. I'm pretty sure I'm saving SEA and taking BAL and let the other 35 try to figure out from the rest.

I lost a piece of 30K on GB in the last week last year. Appreciate you hanging in and offering anything you can!!

[Headsterx]

The big chalk all seem to have future value. If I was still in I would roll the dice with Vegas and use Bal, SF, LAR, DET, SEA when they are more picked over later in the season.

GL guys.

I like the Vegas pick.

[Ian]

The big chalk all seem to have future value. If I was still in I would roll the dice with Vegas and use Bal, SF, LAR, DET, SEA when they are more picked over later in the season.

GL guys.

[Madison]

I’m going with SF. Hoping they squeak it out. I have some decent options in the coming weeks if I can advance this week. I think SF will be pretty popular this week which worries me. Given that most people have used SEA, BALT, DET and NE.

Given your options not a terrible choice, however they have substantial FV.

GL Bud!

[Shark]

I’m going with SF. Hoping they squeak it out. I have some decent options in the coming weeks if I can advance this week. I think SF will be pretty popular this week which worries me. Given that most people have used SEA, BALT, DET and NE.

[Madison]

Here's my recent thought pattern.

SEA,BAL / BAL,LAC / TB / JAC / PH / SF / BUF.

Very leery of LAC.

Weeks 16 and 17 very tough for me.

GL Shark. I guess we're the last standing?? Thx Nasher for your input!!

[stevenash]

^
Tyler Shough was razor sharp on his last out.
Kid could be legit, but he's too skinny for 6'6"

[Shark]

You’ve got some great options left. Definitely go Seattle.

I have awful options.

SF
Phi
Chi
Pitt
or basically any of the shitty teams.

I’m also considering the saints. Cousins is ded and hasn’t won a game in ages.

[Madison]

So, here's a thought. Maybe last/best chance for SEA. Can go SEA, BAL (next week vs CIN) , and then BUF vs CIN. In total it's a play against CIN and the Burrow possibility. Even if JB comes back will he be sharp?

Original was BAL/LAC/TB vs the weaker NYJ/LV/NO. With BUF still in my pocket. BUF in the midst of 5 of 7 on the road. The best play may be NE to win the AFC East.

[stevenash]

Eagles…I was talking about an upset happening that I didn’t like the sound of.

I'm from North Jersey originally.

[Shark]

Eagles…I was talking about an upset happening that I didn’t like the sound of.

[stevenash]

^
Which is your hometown team?

[Shark]

Survived w/NE. Likely BAL next week. Hope the NFL world turns upside down this week. Almost all games contentious.

Congrats on advancing, on a Thursday no less. That’s great you have Balt next week. I have no such options so I will likely go with SF vs Car or Eagles vs Dallas but I really don’t like using my hometown team. I also saw the look ahead line was Philly -3.5 which stinks of an upset.

[Madison]

Survived w/NE. Likely BAL next week. Hope the NFL world turns upside down this week. Almost all games contentious.

[Madison]

Pats playing well and at home against the Jets on TNF. This is an easy play. Good luck!

1 of 83 left of 1245. I have zero faith in NE tonight. Was forced? to play them as 90% of the remaining 83 all have the same availability. Really kind of sucks as I got this far and best case , other than wild plays, is likely at least 10 survive to the finish.

Was thinking of maybe MIA but still not sure that gets me as NE at NYJ other likely playable spot. Tough year!

Question ... Anyone play in a pool where admin doesn't disclose %vig?

[Headsterx]

Using patriots this week, not really any other options. It’s getting dicey for me. 107 left in the contest.

Pats playing well and at home against the Jets on TNF. This is an easy play. Good luck!

[Shark]

Using patriots this week, not really any other options. It’s getting dicey for me. 107 left in the contest.

[Madison]

Wonderland in Revere, Mass.?

Seabrook, but certainly many days years at Wonderland. To convince her I bought dinner 40 something nights in a row at the Hilltop.
Fillet and huge lobster pie was like $15. Fillet was so big that they had to teach me what "butterfly" meant. For those unknowing, It was so thick they had to slice it in half to cook it properly.

In my glory days distance tracks would publish their last 6 starts. Name escapes (Telmor?), but I was one of a short few who had exposure to priors at somewhat superior tracks. There were so many ways back in the day to get sharp data. AI and all is great I guess, but now seems everyone knows everything. Maybe it was too easy back then. Add .05 and .10 lines.

Sorry for the ramble just missing some precious history.

Best to all this week!!

[stevenash]

No, I was smart enough to keep the mess inhouse. Didn't want to incur additional.

Several of my friends are suggesting my wife for HOF. LOL. Still get reminded of the time I was supposed to take her out for Birthday/Anniversary and subconsciously took a sharp left to the Dog races exit (my regular). OOOps. LOL.

Anyway, BEST to all!!

Wonderland in Revere, Mass.?

[Madison]

I hear your concern, NE should be safe though, Vrabel is too good a coach to have a let down game.

Amazing the difference coaches can make. !!!