2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

[homie1975]

Biden has no shot in michigan.
Country as it gets outside of detroit

Trump only won Michigan by 11k votes in 2016.

[vitterd]

Jonal above said "Trump ain't winning MI" which u disagree with but u nominated it ??

Itsamazing is still coloring books.

[Fred The Hammer]

Nope, and not PA either. he has a decent shot in WI. I believe he will win AZ and NC.

MI and PA going Biden. I am very confident in this pick.

And I don't care that Trump is behind in AZ and NC, as it is within the MOE and I believe they will BOTH go Trump, and pretty easily actually.

I don't know? Alot of seniors with Covid. THat Cindy McCain/Biden commercial is pretty good and trumpy always tried to rip McCain for some reason? For you trumpy mouthbreathers....John McCain was a longtime Senator from Arizona!

I think if Biden wins PA then he wins. All the trumpies on here don't seem to realize that he won PA, WI, FL, and MI by 1 point apiece. They ignore reality and believe trumpy when he acted like it was a blowout

[ByeShea]

Of the states below, which ones do you think Trump wins?

Arizona
North Carolina
Wisconsin
Michigan
Pennsylvania

Arizona ... 50/50, a lot of GOP voters & his campaign out registering Dems but that AZ has not been reliable GOP.

North Carolina ... Trump easy, crushing the ground game

Wisconsin ... 50/50, Antifa/BLM doing Dem hopes in suburban WI no favors, but I think Dems also count the votes

Michigan ... 50/50, NBC says it's Biden +12 while internal GOP polls say it's +/- 0, the inevitable "tightening" already happening for GOP Senate challenger ...

Pennsylvania ... Trump easy, GOP outregistered new voters 3-to-1 vs. Dems - and Dems poured a lot more $$$ into the voter registration effort, too. Throw in 1/2 the state's economy/real estate is reliant on fracking and Trump's lead makes it cheatproof.

[vitterd]

Arizona ... 50/50, a lot of GOP voters & his campaign out registering Dems but that AZ has not been reliable GOP.

North Carolina ... Trump easy, crushing the ground game

Wisconsin ... 50/50, Antifa/BLM doing Dem hopes in suburban WI no favors, but I think Dems also count the votes

Michigan ... 50/50, NBC says it's Biden +12 while internal GOP polls say it's +/- 0, the inevitable "tightening" already happening for GOP Senate challenger ...

Pennsylvania ... Trump easy, GOP outregistered new voters 3-to-1 vs. Dems - and Dems poured a lot more $$$ into the voter registration effort, too. Throw in 1/2 the state's economy/real estate is reliant on fracking and Trump's lead makes it cheatproof.

“ Republicans will win seats in the midterms because Trump is so popular” ByeShea

Why should we listen to you? You are a clueless idiot.

[homie1975]

I don't know? Alot of seniors with Covid. THat Cindy McCain/Biden commercial is pretty good and trumpy always tried to rip McCain for some reason? For you trumpy mouthbreathers....John McCain was a longtime Senator from Arizona!

I think if Biden wins PA then he wins. All the trumpies on here don't seem to realize that he won PA, WI, FL, and MI by 1 point apiece. They ignore reality and believe trumpy when he acted like it was a blowout

I'm nonpartisan in this race, don't have a dog in the fight. The margins were razor thin in those states. We're talking less than 50K in most of them.

Will be record voting turnout. Already is

[ByeShea]

I think if Biden wins PA then he wins. All the trumpies on here don't seem to realize that he won PA, WI, FL, and MI by 1 point apiece. They ignore reality and believe trumpy when he acted like it was a blowout

OCT 7:
Trump campaign beating Democrats at voter registration in key states

""""In Pennsylvania, the Republican Party has sliced the Democrats’ dominance with registered voters by nearly 200,000 since Election Day 2016. The Republicans also made up ground in North Carolina, reducing the Democrats’ superiority among registered voters by 243,000 compared to four years ago. In Florida, the GOP chopped the Democratic advantage by 154,000. In Iowa, the Republicans turned a nearly 15,000 voter registration deficit on March 1 into a 13,000 lead on Thursday.""""""

The Trump campaign was and is well aware of where they won in 2016 and by how much. And they've been working the battleground states hard and effectively. I think they take Minnesota, too.

Also, the thing about voter registration drives (and rallies) are that they are concrete - no projections necessary. And whenever you have a litmus that tests what can't be faked or manipulated, Trump is killing it. But whenever you have public polling we get things like today's Biden +17 nationally, from Opinium.

Who or what or how far the fuk off base is Opinium? That's anyone's guess. But I see that Trump's get out the vote efforts and voter registry is curbstomping Biden's.

[vitterd]

OCT 7:
Trump campaign beating Democrats at voter registration in key states

""""In Pennsylvania, the Republican Party has sliced the Democrats’ dominance with registered voters by nearly 200,000 since Election Day 2016. The Republicans also made up ground in North Carolina, reducing the Democrats’ superiority among registered voters by 243,000 compared to four years ago. In Florida, the GOP chopped the Democratic advantage by 154,000. In Iowa, the Republicans turned a nearly 15,000 voter registration deficit on March 1 into a 13,000 lead on Thursday.""""""

The Trump campaign was and is well aware of where they won in 2016 and by how much. And they've been working the battleground states hard and effectively. I think they take Minnesota, too.

Also, the thing about voter registration drives (and rallies) are that they are concrete - no projections necessary. And whenever you have a litmus that tests what can't be faked or manipulated, Trump is killing it. But whenever you have public polling we get things like today's Biden +17 nationally, from Opinium.

Who or what or how far the fuk off base is Opinium? That's anyone's guess. But I see that Trump's get out the vote efforts and voter registry is curbstomping Biden's.

“ Republicans will win seats in the midterms because Trump is so popular” ByeShea

Why should we listen to you? You are a clueless idiot.

[StackinGreen]

They were close in a few states, but he was a YUGE underdog. Now he's the incumbent running against a dead man and a snarling black woman, who support looters and rioters, and he has shown without generational bad luck (covid bs) he is better on the economy than anyone.

He wins going away.

[vitterd]

They were close in a few states, but he was a YUGE underdog. Now he's the incumbent running against a dead man and a snarling black woman, who support looters and rioters, and he has shown without generational bad luck (covid bs) he is better on the economy than anyone.

He wins going away.

Even he knows he’s losing. The only way he can win is to steal by the courts. He will never get enough votes. He lost women and seniors. The only people voting for him are dumb uneducated white redneck men.

[JohnGalt2341]

Biden has no shot in michigan.
Country as it gets outside of detroit

You can get Trump wins Michigan at +230. Is it a Bad Line? If not... how much do you have riding on it?

If I could get Biden for +230 to win Michigan I would have bets at as many Books as possible, and I think Biden has only about a 60% chance of winning Michigan, not 100%. But for a guy like you... that is 100% certain Trump will win Michigan you must several thousand on this bet!

Maybe I misread what you wrote. Please define "No shot" for me if you will. To me, "no shot" is far less than 10%. What does "no shot" mean to you?

[RoyBacon]

The best value on the board for Trump is OH.

Best dog for Trump is WI.

Best value for Biden is Nevada

Best dog is AZ

[DwightShrute]

You can get Trump wins Michigan at +230. Is it a Bad Line? If not... how much do you have riding on it?

If I could get Biden for +230 to win Michigan I would have bets at as many Books as possible, and I think Biden has only about a 60% chance of winning Michigan, not 100%. But for a guy like you... that is 100% certain Trump will win Michigan you must several thousand on this bet!

Maybe I misread what you wrote. Please define "No shot" for me if you will. To me, "no shot" is far less than 10%. What does "no shot" mean to you?

Most bettors are limited to $25 or $50 on these political bets. Unless you know someone willing to offer you more, then its pointless. Its like talking smack over an anonymous forum.

Books do not give a shit whether players win or lose these $25 or $50 political bets. If the player loses, he will just deposit again. If he wins, he will lose it eventually anyway and then redeposit. In fact, we used to root for players to win these bets.

[ABEHONEST]

You can get Trump wins Michigan at +230. Is it a Bad Line? If not... how much do you have riding on it?

If I could get Biden for +230 to win Michigan I would have bets at as many Books as possible, and I think Biden has only about a 60% chance of winning Michigan, not 100%. But for a guy like you... that is 100% certain Trump will win Michigan you must several thousand on this bet!

Maybe I misread what you wrote. Please define "No shot" for me if you will. To me, "no shot" is far less than 10%. What does "no shot" mean to you?

Very wise old man and he scares the *hit out of me, and also, the cash that came out of me.
Too late for the latter, as for the former, also a bit late.

Meanwhile though, a positive; BOL just dropped Trump to + 180.

[DwightShrute]

...

[vitterd]

Most bettors are limited to $25 or $50 on these political bets. Unless you know someone willing to offer you more, then its pointless. Its like talking smack over an anonymous forum.

Books do not give a shit whether players win or lose these $25 or $50 political bets. If the player loses, he will just deposit again. If he wins, he will lose it eventually anyway and then redeposit. In fact, we used to root for players to win these bets.

Lmao. This guy will spin any shit.

Dwight, Trump is finished. He won’t win. Brace now.

[homie1975]

OCT 7:
Trump campaign beating Democrats at voter registration in key states

""""In Pennsylvania, the Republican Party has sliced the Democrats’ dominance with registered voters by nearly 200,000 since Election Day 2016. The Republicans also made up ground in North Carolina, reducing the Democrats’ superiority among registered voters by 243,000 compared to four years ago. In Florida, the GOP chopped the Democratic advantage by 154,000. In Iowa, the Republicans turned a nearly 15,000 voter registration deficit on March 1 into a 13,000 lead on Thursday.""""""

The Trump campaign was and is well aware of where they won in 2016 and by how much. And they've been working the battleground states hard and effectively. I think they take Minnesota, too.

Also, the thing about voter registration drives (and rallies) are that they are concrete - no projections necessary. And whenever you have a litmus that tests what can't be faked or manipulated, Trump is killing it. But whenever you have public polling we get things like today's Biden +17 nationally, from Opinium.

Who or what or how far the fuk off base is Opinium? That's anyone's guess. But I see that Trump's get out the vote efforts and voter registry is curbstomping Biden's.

CUTTING DEM leads in voter reg in those states but still behind.

Be careful when reading, Sir.

[manny24]

green new deal about the most childish thing any of us have ever heard

just let the old guy go home and take a nap already !

[ByeShea]

CUTTING DEM leads in voter reg in those states but still behind.

Behind how, exactly, in polling?

[Itsamazing777]

Trump only won Michigan by 11k votes in 2016.

Whitmer. Destroyed everyone's business
Its over

[homie1975]

Behind how, exactly, in polling?

Behind in total registered voters in said states

[SEAHAWKHARRY]

Even he knows he’s losing. The only way he can win is to steal by the courts. He will never get enough votes. He lost women and seniors. The only people voting for him are dumb uneducated white redneck men.

Where are you getting your info your running scared Vittard

[jt315]

Where are you getting your info your running scared Vittard

Must be the same places as in 2016 for Eddie Mush .

[vitterd]

Where are you getting your info your running scared Vittard

Do you have the internet at home? Maybe you should check the early voting numbers. Dems are killing it. I mean by numbers never seen before. You should start watching things other than trump rallies

[vitterd]

Must be the same places as in 2016 for Eddie Mush .

You are known as king mush for a reason

“ Tulsa will be dems oh shit moment” jt315

It led to Herman Cain death and Parscale in the nut House!!! Bwaaaaahhhh. Oh shit is right

[jt315]

You are known as king mush for a reason

“ Tulsa will be dems oh shit moment” jt315

It led to Herman Cain death and Parscale in the nut House!!! Bwaaaaahhhh. Oh shit is right

It’s gonna be real quiet around here when Hillary wins

Eddie Mush 2016.

[vitterd]

It’s gonna be real quiet around here when Hillary wins

Eddie Mush 2016.

You predicted Hillary under all your names.

“ it will only get worse for the dems in the midterms” jt315

King mush strikes again!!!

“ wanna bet Durham will have his report before the election”— jt315

Lmao

[TheMoneyShot]

Trump only won Michigan by 11k votes in 2016.

Arizona ... 50/50, a lot of GOP voters & his campaign out registering Dems but that AZ has not been reliable GOP.

North Carolina ... Trump easy, crushing the ground game

Wisconsin ... 50/50, Antifa/BLM doing Dem hopes in suburban WI no favors, but I think Dems also count the votes

Michigan ... 50/50, NBC says it's Biden +12 while internal GOP polls say it's +/- 0, the inevitable "tightening" already happening for GOP Senate challenger ...

Pennsylvania ... Trump easy, GOP outregistered new voters 3-to-1 vs. Dems - and Dems poured a lot more $$$ into the voter registration effort, too. Throw in 1/2 the state's economy/real estate is reliant on fracking and Trump's lead makes it cheatproof.

The best logical value for any state is Michigan as the underdog. BetOnline had it at Dem -400 and Rep +300 2 days ago. It was hammered down. The line IMO is way off.

Once you get outside of Lansing North... all the way to the UP... it's like all Donald Trump (Like 90%). I didn't see one Biden sign anywhere. It's probably 46% Trump and Biden 54% South of Lansing.

Furthermore, Gov. Whitmer (Dem) has made absolute SH#$ decisions during the Covid epidemic. Most people are realizing Michigan has gone to sh#$ with a DEM as the governor.

Like I said... it's hard to forecast the future... but the odds should be more like Biden -180 and Trump +160 for Michigan.

We all talk about "VALUE" and.... let's face it... VALUE only occurs when you win. But I really can't see Michigan going DEM in the election on Nov 3.

[Kermit]

Trump just landed at the airport in my city.

Holy shit. You can't get within 2 miles of that place. 100's if not 1,000's cars parked everywhere. And I live in a small town in Pa.

[Itsamazing777]

The best logical value for any state is Michigan as the underdog. BetOnline had it at Dem -400 and Rep +300 2 days ago. It was hammered down. The line IMO is way off.

Once you get outside of Lansing North... all the way to the UP... it's like all Donald Trump (Like 90%). I didn't see one Biden sign anywhere. It's probably 46% Trump and Biden 54% South of Lansing.

Furthermore, Gov. Whitmer (Dem) has made absolute SH#$ decisions during the Covid epidemic. Most people are realizing Michigan has gone to sh#$ with a DEM as the governor.

Like I said... it's hard to forecast the future... but the odds should be more like Biden -180 and Trump +160 for Michigan.

We all talk about "VALUE" and.... let's face it... VALUE only occurs when you win. But I really can't see Michigan going DEM in the election on Nov 3.

I live here and go up north all the time

Spot on

[vitterd]

I live here and go up north all the time

Spot on

But you said Thalib was gonna lose and she won by 30 points.....why would anyone take you seriously after a prediction like that? I think you even know you’re an idiot

[TheMoneyShot]

I live here and go up north all the time

Spot on

[Kermit]

Trump just landed at the airport in my city.

Holy shit. You can't get within 2 miles of that place. 100's if not 1,000's cars parked everywhere. And I live in a small town in Pa.

He's speaking right now live on my local news channel on Facebook.

Over 900+ Hearts, 700+ Likes and 90 dislikes.

If Biden is leading all of these polls, why isn't there more dislikes?

https://www.facebook.com/WJACTV

[vitterd]

He's speaking right now live on my local news channel on Facebook.

Over 900+ Hearts, 700+ Likes and 90 dislikes.

If Biden is leading all of these polls, why isn't there more dislikes?

https://www.facebook.com/WJACTV

Only the cult is watching. Facebook likes. Lmao. Jesus you have no idea the beating coming your way.

[Kermit]

Only the cult is watching. Facebook likes. Lmao. Jesus you have no idea the beating coming your way.

You don't have to watch to drop a dislike. You know damn well everyone who hates him locally is watching to see if he says something they can jump on and share.

1/2 of the people that follow Trump on twitter are people that hate him and only follow to keep updated with what he says next.

I don't even follow Trump on Twitter or Facebook.