2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH
Collapse
X
-
jt315SBR Posting Legend
- 11-12-11
- 21698
#771Comment -
JohnGalt2341SBR Hall of Famer
- 12-31-09
- 9138
#772Here's a few Props from BetOnline that should be telling for the outcome of the election. The ones that intrigue me the most is the number of voters and voter turnout. Look at those line and compare that to 2016.
Trump is shitting bricks right now and he's going to do everything he can to suppress as many votes as he possibly can. And he'll scream voter fraud when he loses. But look at voter turnout and the millions of voters price... Trump's going to lose fair and square because of the big voter turnout and over 150 million voters.
Voter Turnout in the U.S Presidential ElectionOver 149.5 million voters
08:00 AM
-250
Under 149.5 million voters
+175
Voter Turnout in the U.S. Presidential ElectionOver 60.5 %
08:00 AM
-145
Under 60.5 %
+115
Will Trump lose every state he lost in 2016Yes
09:00 AM
-280
No
+220
Will Trump win every state he won in 2016No
09:00 AM
-800
Yes
+500
Last edited by JohnGalt2341; 10-14-20, 09:33 PM.Comment -
King MayanSBR Posting Legend
- 09-22-10
- 21326
#773Comment -
vitterdRestricted User
- 09-14-17
- 58460
-
vitterdRestricted User
- 09-14-17
- 58460
#775Here's a few Props from BetOnline that should be telling for the outcome of the election. The ones that intrigue me the most is the number of voters and voter turnout. Look at those line and compare that to 2016.
Trump is shitting bricks right now and he's going to do everything he can to suppress as many votes as he possibly can. And he'll scream voter fraud when he loses. But look at voter turnout and the millions of voters price... Trump's going to lose fair and square because of the big voter turnout and over 150 million voters.
Voter Turnout in the U.S Presidential ElectionOver 149.5 million voters
08:00 AM
-250
Under 149.5 million voters
+175
Voter Turnout in the U.S. Presidential ElectionOver 60.5 %
08:00 AM
-145
Under 60.5 %
+115
Will Trump lose every state he lost in 2016Yes
09:00 AM
-280
No
+220
Will Trump win every state he won in 2016No
09:00 AM
-800
Yes
+500
Comment -
trytrytrySBR Posting Legend
- 03-13-06
- 23649
-
homie1975SBR Posting Legend
- 12-24-13
- 15442
#780This will be the highest pct of VAP (voting age population) since 1900 whic had 73.2%
This one will be over 65% and might beat 1904 and 1908 which had 65.2% and 65.4% respectivelyComment -
homie1975SBR Posting Legend
- 12-24-13
- 15442
#781This is the most polarized I've seen our country in my 45 yrs of life and both sides will come out in record numbers in this battle of two America'sComment -
homie1975SBR Posting Legend
- 12-24-13
- 15442
#782I know we've all heard this before but if Trump doesn't win both Florida and Pennsylvania his chances of winning the election are slim to none.
I took a look at 5Dimes state by state(and DC) odds and I narrowed down the 10 states that are the closest according to the current odds. Of the 41 states with odds of -350 or more Trump is winning 21 of them for 164 delegates. Dem's are winning 20 states for 229 delegates. There are 145 delegates remaining in the 10 closest contested states.
Trump needs 106 of the remaining 145 delegates and Dems need 41. Below are the 10 states that are the most closely contested and their number of delegates.
States Trump is favored:
Georgia -190 16
Iowa -210 6
North Carolina -130 15
Ohio -170 18
States Dems are favored:
Arizona -160 11
Florida -140 29
Michigan -295 16
New Hampshire -270 4
Pennsylvania -265 20
Wisconsin -215 10
If the -350's or higher hold up, then Trump needs to win at least 6 of the closest contested states to have any chance at all. There might be a couple -350's or higher that flip but I doubt there will be many. If 5Dimes is wrong on any of the -350's or higher... which states do you think that they are wrong about? If they are not wrong... which of the 10 states above do you think Trump wins?
On the list where the Dems were favored by those odds back in June, I'd say AZ and FL go RedComment -
RudyRuetiggerSBR Aristocracy
- 08-24-10
- 65086
#783I'm not going to wager anything with you. And I'm certainly not going to give you a price as good as you can get at a Sportsbook right now. You can get Trump at +180 right now at BetOnline. If you want to bet on the election, I suggest you make a bet at one of the Sportsbooks.
THANKS
I am talking points, i dont use betonline
they are corruptComment -
RudyRuetiggerSBR Aristocracy
- 08-24-10
- 65086
#785
they didnt posted for about 2 weeksComment -
RudyRuetiggerSBR Aristocracy
- 08-24-10
- 65086
#787any dimwits want to bet on election???
galt claims to bet and tells others to bet
when i say, i will bet him
he runs
Comment -
JohnGalt2341SBR Hall of Famer
- 12-31-09
- 9138
#789
I'm not like you Rudy. You make bets just so you can create a thread about it and demand that everyone thank you for your lousy predictions. To you, whether something is priced at +200 or -200 is irrelevant. You just want action. I make bets to make a profit.
Nobody in their right mind on SBR would ever make a wager with you. You're a fraud just like your hero.Comment -
vitterdRestricted User
- 09-14-17
- 58460
#790How many points do you have to bet? What price are you going to give me?
I'm not like you Rudy. You make bets just so you can create a thread about it and demand that everyone thank you for your lousy predictions. To you, whether something is priced at +200 or -200 is irrelevant. You just want action. I make bets to make a profit.
Nobody in their right mind on SBR would ever make a wager with you. You're a fraud just like your hero.Last edited by vitterd; 10-15-20, 01:05 PM.Comment -
RudyRuetiggerSBR Aristocracy
- 08-24-10
- 65086
#791How many points do you have to bet? What price are you going to give me?
I'm not like you Rudy. You make bets just so you can create a thread about it and demand that everyone thank you for your lousy predictions. To you, whether something is priced at +200 or -200 is irrelevant. You just want action. I make bets to make a profit.
Nobody in their right mind on SBR would ever make a wager with you. You're a fraud just like your hero.
I asked you what you would give me and how many points
Ill supply them depending on your price
It is up to you to name a fair price and point total
Ive paid way over 100k points back, ill make sure you get yours when the election is settled
so i will find backers and pay them interestComment -
RudyRuetiggerSBR Aristocracy
- 08-24-10
- 65086
#792dumb FLUFF after your questions
I asked you what you would give me and how many points
Ill supply them depending on your price
It is up to you to name a fair price and point total
Ive paid way over 100k points back, ill make sure you get yours when the election is settled
so i will find backers and pay them interestComment -
JohnGalt2341SBR Hall of Famer
- 12-31-09
- 9138
#793
My advice to you is, find another sucker that you won't pay when you lose.Comment -
RudyRuetiggerSBR Aristocracy
- 08-24-10
- 65086
#794so I can get trump +120?
what is your max
can we escrow?
why would i post up with a democratComment -
Auto DonkSBR Aristocracy
- 09-03-13
- 43559
#795The worst price I got betting against Trump(I made my wagers long before Biden was the nominee) was +120. I'm not going to accept a worse price now just because the public has finally caught up with my prediction. Unless you are going to post up your points right away and give me a price of +120 or better, I'm not going to bet jack with you.
My advice to you is, find another sucker that you won't pay when you lose.
creepy joe was, and is, a totally failed presidential candidate.......
how the idiot dems came up with him as the best option is sad, and even sadder for the prospects of this failed political party.......Comment -
JohnGalt2341SBR Hall of Famer
- 12-31-09
- 9138
#797
Here are the rules I will accept. You give me all of your points today and you give ME the price of +120. I'll give you a price of -150.
YOU'RE WELCOMEComment -
vitterdRestricted User
- 09-14-17
- 58460
#799Walk away.....better yet, run. You’ll be chasing this money forever. Not worth it.Comment -
StackinGreenSBR Posting Legend
- 10-09-10
- 12140
#800Anyone want FL at even money? turd? Galt?
Your boy Silver says Biden is up big there!Comment -
vitterdRestricted User
- 09-14-17
- 58460
-
homie1975SBR Posting Legend
- 12-24-13
- 15442
#804Brilliant move by Donnie to set up his town hall to compete against Joe for the first hour. He's much more entertaining and will dominate the ratings in that first hour.Comment -
JohnGalt2341SBR Hall of Famer
- 12-31-09
- 9138
#805
Trumps current prices:
Bovada +155
Heritage +158
BetOnline +175
Biden prices:
Bovada -190
Heritage -213
BetOnline -210Comment
SBR Contests
Collapse
Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
Collapse
#1 BetMGM
4.8/5 BetMGM Bonus Code
#2 FanDuel
4.8/5 FanDuel Promo Code
#3 Caesars
4.8/5 Caesars Promo Code
#4 DraftKings
4.7/5 DraftKings Promo Code
#5 Fanatics
#6 bet365
4.7/5 bet365 Bonus Code
#7 Hard Rock
4.1/5 Hard Rock Bet Promo Code
#8 BetRivers
4.1/5 BetRivers Bonus Code