2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • jt315
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-12-11
    • 21698

    #771
    Originally posted by vitterd
    What was unemployment when Obama took over and then when he was done?

    And what’s Trumps now?

    You’re not smart. You haven’t had a job ever.
    The same during a pandemic as in 2012 and you paint chip eaters want to talk about the Obama Biden recovery . Lmao you waste .
    Comment
    • JohnGalt2341
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 12-31-09
      • 9138

      #772
      Here's a few Props from BetOnline that should be telling for the outcome of the election. The ones that intrigue me the most is the number of voters and voter turnout. Look at those line and compare that to 2016.

      Trump is shitting bricks right now and he's going to do everything he can to suppress as many votes as he possibly can. And he'll scream voter fraud when he loses. But look at voter turnout and the millions of voters price... Trump's going to lose fair and square because of the big voter turnout and over 150 million voters.

      Voter Turnout in the U.S Presidential Election



      08:00 AM
      Over 149.5 million voters
      -250

      Under 149.5 million voters
      +175




      Voter Turnout in the U.S. Presidential Election



      08:00 AM
      Over 60.5 %
      -145

      Under 60.5 %
      +115




      Will Trump lose every state he lost in 2016



      09:00 AM
      Yes
      -280

      No
      +220




      Will Trump win every state he won in 2016



      09:00 AM
      No
      -800

      Yes
      +500



      Last edited by JohnGalt2341; 10-14-20, 09:33 PM.
      Comment
      • King Mayan
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 09-22-10
        • 21326

        #773
        Originally posted by Thor4140
        Financial hardship?
        Do you naive fuks ever look at the unemployment when a Dem takes over from a republican? Be thankful Biden has some experience handling a depression. You fuks couldn't run a lemonaide stand let lone a country.
        Well they always run the country. To the ground.
        Comment
        • vitterd
          Restricted User
          • 09-14-17
          • 58460

          #774
          Originally posted by jt315
          The same during a pandemic as in 2012 and you paint chip eaters want to talk about the Obama Biden recovery . Lmao you waste .
          You rescumlicans are always killing the country and Dems bail us out. Bush, Trump both economic killers.
          Comment
          • vitterd
            Restricted User
            • 09-14-17
            • 58460

            #775
            Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
            Here's a few Props from BetOnline that should be telling for the outcome of the election. The ones that intrigue me the most is the number of voters and voter turnout. Look at those line and compare that to 2016.

            Trump is shitting bricks right now and he's going to do everything he can to suppress as many votes as he possibly can. And he'll scream voter fraud when he loses. But look at voter turnout and the millions of voters price... Trump's going to lose fair and square because of the big voter turnout and over 150 million voters.

            Voter Turnout in the U.S Presidential Election



            08:00 AM
            Over 149.5 million voters
            -250

            Under 149.5 million voters
            +175




            Voter Turnout in the U.S. Presidential Election



            08:00 AM
            Over 60.5 %
            -145

            Under 60.5 %
            +115




            Will Trump lose every state he lost in 2016



            09:00 AM
            Yes
            -280

            No
            +220




            Will Trump win every state he won in 2016



            09:00 AM
            No
            -800

            Yes
            +500



            That sounds about right. Dems voters will set records. Republicans doing so many things to suppress but it’s not working.....nothing will stop Dems from bouncing this clown out of office.
            Comment
            • trytrytry
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-13-06
              • 23649

              #776
              Originally posted by vitterd
              That sounds about right. Dems voters will set records. Republicans doing so many things to suppress but it’s not working.....nothing will stop Dems from bouncing this clown out of office.
              dems will not his obama first election numbers.
              Comment
              • homie1975
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-24-13
                • 15442

                #777
                Originally posted by Kermit
                Pelosi burying her own party.
                Both sides looking bad. Small and medium businesses need more help asap
                Comment
                • vitterd
                  Restricted User
                  • 09-14-17
                  • 58460

                  #778
                  Originally posted by trytrytry
                  dems will not his obama first election numbers.
                  Wrong. Obama got about 69 mill and 58 percent turnout in 2008. Biden will beat both.
                  Comment
                  • homie1975
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-24-13
                    • 15442

                    #779
                    Originally posted by trytrytry
                    dems will not his obama first election numbers.
                    I disagree. The total number of votes Biden gets overall and from blacks will break records.

                    Blacks are extremely motivated to vote right now.
                    Comment
                    • homie1975
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-24-13
                      • 15442

                      #780
                      This will be the highest pct of VAP (voting age population) since 1900 whic had 73.2%

                      This one will be over 65% and might beat 1904 and 1908 which had 65.2% and 65.4% respectively
                      Comment
                      • homie1975
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-24-13
                        • 15442

                        #781
                        This is the most polarized I've seen our country in my 45 yrs of life and both sides will come out in record numbers in this battle of two America's
                        Comment
                        • homie1975
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-24-13
                          • 15442

                          #782
                          Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                          I know we've all heard this before but if Trump doesn't win both Florida and Pennsylvania his chances of winning the election are slim to none.

                          I took a look at 5Dimes state by state(and DC) odds and I narrowed down the 10 states that are the closest according to the current odds. Of the 41 states with odds of -350 or more Trump is winning 21 of them for 164 delegates. Dem's are winning 20 states for 229 delegates. There are 145 delegates remaining in the 10 closest contested states.

                          Trump needs 106 of the remaining 145 delegates and Dems need 41. Below are the 10 states that are the most closely contested and their number of delegates.

                          States Trump is favored:
                          Georgia -190 16
                          Iowa -210 6
                          North Carolina -130 15
                          Ohio -170 18

                          States Dems are favored:
                          Arizona -160 11
                          Florida -140 29
                          Michigan -295 16
                          New Hampshire -270 4
                          Pennsylvania -265 20
                          Wisconsin -215 10

                          If the -350's or higher hold up, then Trump needs to win at least 6 of the closest contested states to have any chance at all. There might be a couple -350's or higher that flip but I doubt there will be many. If 5Dimes is wrong on any of the -350's or higher... which states do you think that they are wrong about? If they are not wrong... which of the 10 states above do you think Trump wins?
                          Approaching 4 mos since your orig post.

                          On the list where the Dems were favored by those odds back in June, I'd say AZ and FL go Red
                          Comment
                          • RudyRuetigger
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 08-24-10
                            • 65086

                            #783
                            Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                            I'm not going to wager anything with you. And I'm certainly not going to give you a price as good as you can get at a Sportsbook right now. You can get Trump at +180 right now at BetOnline. If you want to bet on the election, I suggest you make a bet at one of the Sportsbooks.
                            that says it all

                            THANKS


                            I am talking points, i dont use betonline

                            they are corrupt
                            Comment
                            • flyingillini
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 41219

                              #784
                              המוסד‎
                              המוסד למודיעין ולתפקידים מיוחדים‎
                              Comment
                              • RudyRuetigger
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 08-24-10
                                • 65086

                                #785
                                Originally posted by vitterd
                                Will I get my apologies on nov 4th? Will I get my just due? How many people will disappear? I predicted a Biden win 3 years ago.....this is setting up to be the greatest call in history. Vitterd legacy is cemented forever!!!
                                dems are still here from the hillary debacle


                                they didnt posted for about 2 weeks
                                Comment
                                • Itsamazing777
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-14-12
                                  • 12602

                                  #786
                                  Originally posted by vitterd
                                  Wrong. Obama got about 69 mill and 58 percent turnout in 2008. Biden will beat both.
                                  You predicted Pete Buttigieg would be President...
                                  Comment
                                  • RudyRuetigger
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 08-24-10
                                    • 65086

                                    #787
                                    any dimwits want to bet on election???


                                    galt claims to bet and tells others to bet


                                    when i say, i will bet him


                                    he runs



                                    Comment
                                    • vitterd
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 09-14-17
                                      • 58460

                                      #788
                                      Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                                      You predicted Pete Buttigieg would be President...
                                      That’s a total lie. If you can post that prediction...I will never make another post here. If you can’t you leave forever. Bet??
                                      Comment
                                      • JohnGalt2341
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 12-31-09
                                        • 9138

                                        #789
                                        Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                        any dimwits want to bet on election???


                                        galt claims to bet and tells others to bet


                                        when i say, i will bet him


                                        he runs



                                        How many points do you have to bet? What price are you going to give me?

                                        I'm not like you Rudy. You make bets just so you can create a thread about it and demand that everyone thank you for your lousy predictions. To you, whether something is priced at +200 or -200 is irrelevant. You just want action. I make bets to make a profit.

                                        Nobody in their right mind on SBR would ever make a wager with you. You're a fraud just like your hero.
                                        Comment
                                        • vitterd
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 09-14-17
                                          • 58460

                                          #790
                                          Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                          How many points do you have to bet? What price are you going to give me?

                                          I'm not like you Rudy. You make bets just so you can create a thread about it and demand that everyone thank you for your lousy predictions. To you, whether something is priced at +200 or -200 is irrelevant. You just want action. I make bets to make a profit.

                                          Nobody in their right mind on SBR would ever make a wager with you. You're a fraud just like your hero.
                                          Be very very careful here. These trumptards welch. Jt315 welched on me with a ban bet.....be careful whatever you decide. I would never advise betting with any of these guys. They just wanna free roll you.
                                          Last edited by vitterd; 10-15-20, 01:05 PM.
                                          Comment
                                          • RudyRuetigger
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 08-24-10
                                            • 65086

                                            #791
                                            Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                            How many points do you have to bet? What price are you going to give me?

                                            I'm not like you Rudy. You make bets just so you can create a thread about it and demand that everyone thank you for your lousy predictions. To you, whether something is priced at +200 or -200 is irrelevant. You just want action. I make bets to make a profit.

                                            Nobody in their right mind on SBR would ever make a wager with you. You're a fraud just like your hero.
                                            dumb FLUFF after your questions


                                            I asked you what you would give me and how many points


                                            Ill supply them depending on your price


                                            It is up to you to name a fair price and point total


                                            Ive paid way over 100k points back, ill make sure you get yours when the election is settled

                                            so i will find backers and pay them interest
                                            Comment
                                            • RudyRuetigger
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 08-24-10
                                              • 65086

                                              #792
                                              Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                              dumb FLUFF after your questions


                                              I asked you what you would give me and how many points


                                              Ill supply them depending on your price


                                              It is up to you to name a fair price and point total


                                              Ive paid way over 100k points back, ill make sure you get yours when the election is settled

                                              so i will find backers and pay them interest
                                              point being, we agree on a price and wager amount...ill pay that day and have a COSIGNER if need be
                                              Comment
                                              • JohnGalt2341
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 12-31-09
                                                • 9138

                                                #793
                                                Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                point being, we agree on a price and wager amount...ill pay that day and have a COSIGNER if need be
                                                The worst price I got betting against Trump(I made my wagers long before Biden was the nominee) was +120. I'm not going to accept a worse price now just because the public has finally caught up with my prediction. Unless you are going to post up your points right away and give me a price of +120 or better, I'm not going to bet jack with you.

                                                My advice to you is, find another sucker that you won't pay when you lose.
                                                Comment
                                                • RudyRuetigger
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 08-24-10
                                                  • 65086

                                                  #794
                                                  so I can get trump +120?

                                                  what is your max


                                                  can we escrow?


                                                  why would i post up with a democrat
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Auto Donk
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 09-03-13
                                                    • 43559

                                                    #795
                                                    Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                                    The worst price I got betting against Trump(I made my wagers long before Biden was the nominee) was +120. I'm not going to accept a worse price now just because the public has finally caught up with my prediction. Unless you are going to post up your points right away and give me a price of +120 or better, I'm not going to bet jack with you.

                                                    My advice to you is, find another sucker that you won't pay when you lose.
                                                    the biden meltdown makes betting against trump like, well, like, you know:







                                                    creepy joe was, and is, a totally failed presidential candidate.......

                                                    how the idiot dems came up with him as the best option is sad, and even sadder for the prospects of this failed political party.......
                                                    Comment
                                                    • RudyRuetigger
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 08-24-10
                                                      • 65086

                                                      #796
                                                      Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                      so I can get trump +120?

                                                      what is your max


                                                      can we escrow?


                                                      why would i post up with a democrat
                                                      if you want to bet a specific toss up state, i will bet that too


                                                      escrowed
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JohnGalt2341
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 12-31-09
                                                        • 9138

                                                        #797
                                                        Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                        so I can get trump +120?

                                                        what is your max


                                                        can we escrow?


                                                        why would i post up with a democrat
                                                        You see, this is what I'm talking about.

                                                        Here are the rules I will accept. You give me all of your points today and you give ME the price of +120. I'll give you a price of -150.

                                                        YOU'RE WELCOME
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Mike Huntertz
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 08-19-09
                                                          • 11203

                                                          #798
                                                          Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                          point being, we agree on a price and wager amount...ill pay that day and have a COSIGNER if need be
                                                          Comment
                                                          • vitterd
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 09-14-17
                                                            • 58460

                                                            #799
                                                            Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
                                                            You see, this is what I'm talking about.

                                                            Here are the rules I will accept. You give me all of your points today and you give ME the price of +120. I'll give you a price of -150.

                                                            YOU'RE WELCOME
                                                            Walk away.....better yet, run. You’ll be chasing this money forever. Not worth it.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • StackinGreen
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-09-10
                                                              • 12140

                                                              #800
                                                              Anyone want FL at even money? turd? Galt?

                                                              Your boy Silver says Biden is up big there!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • vitterd
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 09-14-17
                                                                • 58460

                                                                #801
                                                                Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                                                Anyone want FL at even money? turd? Galt?

                                                                Your boy Silver says Biden is up big there!
                                                                You don’t have money. No thanks. I’ve been stiffed by enough trumptards. All you fuxckers file bankruptcy just like Don the Con.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Johnnythunder
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-25-10
                                                                  • 2161

                                                                  #802
                                                                  Didnt he vanish after the '16 election?

                                                                  Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                                                  dems are still here from the hillary debacle

                                                                  they didnt posted for about 2 weeks
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Itsamazing777
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-14-12
                                                                    • 12602

                                                                    #803
                                                                    Originally posted by vitterd
                                                                    You don’t have money. No thanks. I’ve been stiffed by enough trumptards. All you fuxckers file bankruptcy just like Don the Con.
                                                                    Yeah trumps broke....
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • homie1975
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-24-13
                                                                      • 15442

                                                                      #804
                                                                      Brilliant move by Donnie to set up his town hall to compete against Joe for the first hour. He's much more entertaining and will dominate the ratings in that first hour.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JohnGalt2341
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 12-31-09
                                                                        • 9138

                                                                        #805
                                                                        Originally posted by homie1975
                                                                        Brilliant move by Donnie to set up his town hall to compete against Joe for the first hour. He's much more entertaining and will dominate the ratings in that first hour.
                                                                        Most definitely. Trump will rave about his ratings vs Biden for several days. What I'm curious to know is what will happen to the prices within the 12 to 24 hours after the town halls. That will tell a better story as to who actually "won".

                                                                        Trumps current prices:

                                                                        Bovada +155
                                                                        Heritage +158
                                                                        BetOnline +175

                                                                        Biden prices:

                                                                        Bovada -190
                                                                        Heritage -213
                                                                        BetOnline -210
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...