2020 Election. The State by State Odds and MATH

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  • RoyBacon
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 09-21-05
    • 37074

    #596
    Trump doesn't have to win PA. Wisconsin and AZ will do the trick.
    Comment
    • RoyBacon
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 09-21-05
      • 37074

      #597
      And what retards don't understand is that if Trump needs 2 of 5 states and they all average -300 he has an excellent chance to win.

      Biden has a better chance, that's a given. But only slightly better. He's not a 200-1.
      Comment
      • JohnGalt2341
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-31-09
        • 9138

        #598
        Originally posted by RoyBacon
        Trump doesn't have to win PA. Wisconsin and AZ will do the trick.
        That would work... but ONLY, if Trump also wins Georgia, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio, Florida, and either Michigan or New Hampshire. If he wins all the states that I mentioned but he doesn't win either Michigan or New Hampshire he will be at only 269.

        I stand by my statement that if Trump doesn't win both FL and PA, his chances are slim to none.
        Comment
        • RoyBacon
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 09-21-05
          • 37074

          #599
          Originally posted by JohnGalt2341
          That would work... but ONLY, if Trump also wins Georgia, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio, Florida, and either Michigan or New Hampshire. If he wins all the states that I mentioned but he doesn't win either Michigan or New Hampshire he will be at only 269.

          I stand by my statement that if Trump doesn't win both FL and PA, his chances are slim to none.
          Trump only needs 269 actually.

          He has the "contingent" majority in the House so he will win all ties.

          He probably wins PA too just to put to bed the lawsuits. Michigan and Minn? probably not but who knows?
          Comment
          • Mike Huntertz
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-19-09
            • 11203

            #600
            5Dimes
            both must represent their respective party on Election Day, November 3rd 2020 or a later date for action
            Tue 11/3 101 Joe Biden wins Presidential Election -210
            8:00PM 102 Donald Trump wins Presidential Election +175
            Comment
            • pavyracer
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 04-12-07
              • 82481

              #601
              The polls are wrong but they can be wrong either way. So a state where Trump is leading in the polls he can actually lose it.
              Comment
              • Mike Huntertz
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-19-09
                • 11203

                #602
                Originally posted by pavyracer
                The polls are wrong but they can be wrong either way. So a state where Trump is leading in the polls he can actually lose it.
                I agree but wagering lines are correct!
                You can still lose as the dog wins also.
                2-1 favorite is fairly large.
                Comment
                • RudyRuetigger
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 08-24-10
                  • 65086

                  #603





                  biden will only win due to fraud


                  nobody showed up to their rally



                  bunch of fukkin clowns
                  Comment
                  • RoyBacon
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 09-21-05
                    • 37074

                    #604
                    Originally posted by Mike Huntertz
                    I agree but wagering lines are correct!
                    You can still lose as the dog wins also.
                    2-1 favorite is fairly large.
                    The 49'ers were 4-1 favs and got smoked.

                    Biden wins 2 out of 3 trials hence 2-1.

                    Trump wins 1 out of 3 trials.

                    If that's what tards think is a lock then OK.
                    Comment
                    • vitterd
                      Restricted User
                      • 09-14-17
                      • 58460

                      #605
                      Originally posted by RoyBacon
                      The 49'ers were 4-1 favs and got smoked.

                      Biden wins 2 out of 3 trials hence 2-1.

                      Trump wins 1 out of 3 trials.

                      If that's what tards think is a lock then OK.
                      You have to be retarded to compare a sporting event to a political election outcome.

                      You understand that Biden can’t throw 2 pick six and fumble the ball right. An election poll and line is about data and information. A single game has way more factors. It’s almost unthinkable that you don’t understand this. No chance you’re a winning gambler.... I mean zero.
                      Comment
                      • RoyBacon
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 09-21-05
                        • 37074

                        #606
                        Originally posted by vitterd
                        You have to be retarded to compare a sporting event to a political election outcome.

                        You understand that Biden can’t throw 2 pick six and fumble the ball right. An election poll and line is about data and information. A single game has way more factors. It’s almost unthinkable that you don’t understand this. No chance you’re a winning gambler.... I mean zero.
                        I gave you a chance to explain that before.

                        An election poll and line is about data and information. -dumbass

                        Gault? Let's see if any of your semi smart fellow tards agree.

                        A line, say 2-1, has not a thing to do with information, data, Marxism, etc.

                        It is, in fact, the amount of times something will happen in a given number of trials. This is not just opinion. If Biden vs Trump happened 100 times Biden would win 66 times and Trump would win 33 times.(assuming the line is accurate)

                        No offense vittles but you do not understand gambling principles enough to insinuate someone else is a losing gambler. All we know for sure is you don't comprehend basic gambling principals.
                        Comment
                        • vitterd
                          Restricted User
                          • 09-14-17
                          • 58460

                          #607
                          Originally posted by RoyBacon
                          I gave you a chance to explain that before.

                          An election poll and line is about data and information. -dumbass

                          Gault? Let's see if any of your semi smart fellow tards agree.

                          A line, say 2-1, has not a thing to do with information, data, Marxism, etc.

                          It is, in fact, the amount of times something will happen in a given number of trials. This is not just opinion. If Biden vs Trump happened 100 times Biden would win 66 times and Trump would win 33 times.(assuming the line is accurate)

                          No offense vittles but you do not understand gambling principles enough to insinuate someone else is a losing gambler. All we know for sure is you don't comprehend basic gambling principals.
                          You are an absolute dope. Comparing a football game to an election is maybe the dumbest thing you’ve ever said here...and that’s saying something. Sell that pool and buy a clue.
                          Comment
                          • hostile takeover
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-06-09
                            • 2258

                            #608
                            I don't know how anyone can vote on this election seeing as tens of thousands of ballots have already been found in trash cans, wrong names, or misdelivered. And its only the second week of October.

                            Not to mention a number of counties have stated they will continue to count votes more than a week after the election.
                            Comment
                            • RoyBacon
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 09-21-05
                              • 37074

                              #609
                              Originally posted by vitterd
                              You are an absolute dope. Comparing a football game to an election is maybe the dumbest thing you’ve ever said here...and that’s saying something. Sell that pool and buy a clue.
                              Odds are odds vitty. Doesn't matter if they are actuary stats on your life, odds on a horse race or even an election. This isn't opinion. The name in of itself gives you a hint; odds. How many times an event will happen in a set amount of trials.

                              I was pretty certain you did not understand gambling principals. I mean, you're kind of a dumb fvvk and all.

                              John Gault? Any of you fellow tards want to explain 1st grade gambling principals to vitty?
                              Comment
                              • vitterd
                                Restricted User
                                • 09-14-17
                                • 58460

                                #610
                                Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                Odds are odds vitty. Doesn't matter if they are actuary stats on your life, odds on a horse race or even an election. This isn't opinion. The name in of itself gives you a hint; odds. How many times an event will happen in a set amount of trials.

                                I was pretty certain you did not understand gambling principals. I mean, you're kind of a dumb fvvk and all.

                                John Gault? Any of you fellow tards want to explain 1st grade gambling principals to vitty?
                                Jesus Christ. I feel sad for you. Your bookmaker must love to get your calls. The same variables in a game and election do not exist. I can’t even believe I have to say that. You are not smart.
                                Comment
                                • StackinGreen
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-09-10
                                  • 12140

                                  #611
                                  Why is it that people that use his name don't believe in Him? Odd thing about our culture. Can't talk about the guy unless you use his name in vain.
                                  Comment
                                  • StackinGreen
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-09-10
                                    • 12140

                                    #612
                                    Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                    I gave you a chance to explain that before.

                                    An election poll and line is about data and information. -dumbass

                                    Gault? Let's see if any of your semi smart fellow tards agree.

                                    A line, say 2-1, has not a thing to do with information, data, Marxism, etc.

                                    It is, in fact, the amount of times something will happen in a given number of trials. This is not just opinion. If Biden vs Trump happened 100 times Biden would win 66 times and Trump would win 33 times.(assuming the line is accurate)

                                    No offense vittles but you do not understand gambling principles enough to insinuate someone else is a losing gambler. All we know for sure is you don't comprehend basic gambling principals.
                                    The man doesn't understand anything. Stop wasting your time. Inputs, variables, etc he acts like those don't occur on or leading up to elections, or that various scenarios in an election day can happen, just like in a sports game. He makes no sense and is a witness against himself. Typical leftist, just says "You don't understand' when in all reality, he doesn't understand anything.
                                    Comment
                                    • vitterd
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 09-14-17
                                      • 58460

                                      #613
                                      Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                      The man doesn't understand anything. Stop wasting your time. Inputs, variables, etc he acts like those don't occur on or leading up to elections, or that various scenarios in an election day can happen, just like in a sports game. He makes no sense and is a witness against himself. Typical leftist, just says "You don't understand' when in all reality, he doesn't understand anything.
                                      You will disappear after election. It’s simply amazing how dumb you trumptards really are. This is why don the con wins the uneducated low IQ vote.
                                      Comment
                                      • Itsamazing777
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-14-12
                                        • 12602

                                        #614
                                        Vitterd clueless as usual
                                        Comment
                                        • vitterd
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 09-14-17
                                          • 58460

                                          #615
                                          Originally posted by Itsamazing777
                                          Vitterd clueless as usual
                                          Get your GED virgin.

                                          Hey look the dolphins beat the 49ers, that means trump can win. How you idiots find your way home at night is anyone’s guess.
                                          Comment
                                          • Unrivaled
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 10-24-11
                                            • 6685

                                            #616
                                            The line should be Biden -5000. This is free money, seriously you have to be insane to take Trump.
                                            Comment
                                            • shocka1212
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-06-12
                                              • 16788

                                              #617
                                              4 more years... by a wide margin also
                                              Comment
                                              • shocka1212
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-06-12
                                                • 16788

                                                #618
                                                Originally posted by Unrivaled
                                                The line should be Biden -5000. This is free money, seriously you have to be insane to take Trump.
                                                Lol lay off the drugs pal
                                                Comment
                                                • RoyBacon
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 09-21-05
                                                  • 37074

                                                  #619
                                                  Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                                  Odds are odds vitty. Doesn't matter if they are actuary stats on your life, odds on a horse race or even an election. This isn't opinion. The name in of itself gives you a hint; odds. How many times an event will happen in a set amount of trials.

                                                  I was pretty certain you did not understand gambling principals. I mean, you're kind of a dumb fvvk and all.

                                                  John Gault? Any of you fellow tards want to explain 1st grade gambling principals to vitty?

                                                  Calling far left tards with an IQ over 77 to help a fellow retard out.

                                                  The retards with half a brain are cringing reading vittles babbling diarrhea.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • rkelly110
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 10-05-09
                                                    • 39691

                                                    #620
                                                    Originally posted by hostile takeover
                                                    I don't know how anyone can vote on this election seeing as tens of thousands of ballots have already been found in trash cans, wrong names, or misdelivered. And its only the second week of October.

                                                    Not to mention a number of counties have stated they will continue to count votes more than a week after the election.
                                                    Link? Most states won't open any until election night. Are you creating fake news or parroting your boy?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ABEHONEST
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 06-27-09
                                                      • 9470

                                                      #621
                                                      Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                      His next sentence should be on inauguration day.
                                                      Conceding and crying, of course.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ABEHONEST
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 06-27-09
                                                        • 9470

                                                        #622
                                                        Originally posted by Mike Huntertz
                                                        It's sadder when you hope your president doesn't speak. The whole world is still laughing at injecting disinfectant as a COVID cure!
                                                        Check out international news channels or newspapers. The US Prez is a worldwide laughing stock.
                                                        They still do bits on...it will go away in the spring, like a miracle! They are quite funny.
                                                        Uh, the math says you're dead wrong.
                                                        When Trump speaks, and I mean when he is at his best--And yes, I have seen him at rallies where he looks rather beat up and I assume he's had little rest or sleep--but, seeing this overpowering, energized bunny of a president, in that scenario, is rare indeed.

                                                        Now, why would the world be laughing at something as serious as this killer virus? Nope, a great exaggeration there, bud.
                                                        The antidote math that proves you wrong as well as other world non-Trump fans?
                                                        *He sits the fire on at "most" of his rallies. If you watch as many as I have you know he is a superior crowd motivator and vote grabber, too.

                                                        Rallies in the 25,35, thousands.

                                                        What candidate for president has ever come close to connecting with crowds this size? And doing it time after time with little rest inbetween?

                                                        Now, that--wake up detractors--is something never seen in the political arena, and it's doubtful, we'll ever see in our lifetimes again--and add your grandchildren's either.

                                                        It's a phenomenon, much like a meteor coming within 2,000 miles of earth's atmosphere.
                                                        That meteor hypothetical possibility hasn't happened since who knows when and neither what you see right before your "live-eyes," happening today, will either.

                                                        Explain this phenomenon to your kids and grandchildren while you can.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • vitterd
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 09-14-17
                                                          • 58460

                                                          #623
                                                          Originally posted by RoyBacon
                                                          Calling far left tards with an IQ over 77 to help a fellow retard out.

                                                          The retards with half a brain are cringing reading vittles babbling diarrhea.
                                                          Buster Douglas beat Tyson....that means Trump can still win!!

                                                          Idiot
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ABEHONEST
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 06-27-09
                                                            • 9470

                                                            #624
                                                            Originally posted by vitterd
                                                            Trump is retarded and has been banging his own daughter for decades.
                                                            That's an unforgivable slander. And to a "Sitting President Of These United States Of America?"
                                                            Go to China where your sick agenda best fits.

                                                            This is America and you do not belong.
                                                            Last edited by ABEHONEST; 10-12-20, 04:55 PM.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DwightShrute
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-17-09
                                                              • 102333

                                                              #625
                                                              Originally posted by ABEHONEST
                                                              That's an unforgivable slander. And to a "Sitting President Of These United States Of America?"
                                                              Go to China where tour sick agenda best fits.

                                                              This is America and you do not belong.
                                                              that is the Left. They act all offended when Trump counterpunches someone when attacked. How dare he talk to a woman like that!! Idiots. When its the Left that does most of the disgusting name calling and lying. I mean, what kind of person accuses a man of fukking his daughter? vitterd repeats this lie literally hundreds of time. These are sick people. Losers. Human garbage.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • vitterd
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 09-14-17
                                                                • 58460

                                                                #626
                                                                Originally posted by ABEHONEST
                                                                That's an unforgivable slander. And to a "Sitting President Of These United States Of America?"
                                                                Go to China where tour sick agenda best fits.

                                                                This is America and you do not belong.
                                                                I’m the best part of America. Sorry the truth hurts. Trump bangs his daughter and has been since she was little. Her sad eyes tell you everything.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • vitterd
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 09-14-17
                                                                  • 58460

                                                                  #627
                                                                  Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                                                  that is the Left. They act all offended when Trump counterpunches someone when attacked. How dare he talk to a woman like that!! Idiots. When its the Left that does most of the disgusting name calling and lying. I mean, what kind of person accuses a man of fukking his daughter? vitterd repeats this lie literally hundreds of time. These are sick people. Losers. Human garbage.
                                                                  Says the guy who uses the N word and tells people they bang their sister and dad.

                                                                  Good try though!!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • DwightShrute
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-17-09
                                                                    • 102333

                                                                    #628
                                                                    Originally posted by vitterd
                                                                    Says the guy who uses the N word and tells people they bang their sister and dad.

                                                                    Good try though!!
                                                                    nice try

                                                                    Never used the N word and those other things are counterpuches.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ABEHONEST
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 06-27-09
                                                                      • 9470

                                                                      #629
                                                                      Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                                                      that is the Left. They act all offended when Trump counterpunches someone when attacked. How dare he talk to a woman like that!! Idiots. When its the Left that does most of the disgusting name calling and lying. I mean, what kind of person accuses a man of fukking his daughter? vitterd repeats this lie literally hundreds of time. These are sick people. Losers. Human garbage.
                                                                      Thank you, D.S. We have al least one other member here who draws the line and separates the filthy disgusting, from the decent well-mannered, more meaningful voters.
                                                                      Never forget what "Tiab," is it, called our sitting president?
                                                                      Oh, you indecent one's forgot.
                                                                      A ************!

                                                                      Join up, together, and send these candidates back to the swamp.

                                                                      And this Vitterd, communist acting, hateful guy, I will see no more of his addiction to bringing America down.
                                                                      Enough, so I will soon be blind to your sick posting.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • vitterd
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 09-14-17
                                                                        • 58460

                                                                        #630
                                                                        Originally posted by DwightShrute
                                                                        nice try

                                                                        Never used the N word and those other things are counterpuches.
                                                                        Lies
                                                                        Comment
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