Ufc162 7/6 mma ~max wager~

[Vaughany]

No idea who that is. Those guys look smaller than my circumsized rooster

failed gif! Prater and Erick Silva

[MD]

No idea who that is. Those guys look smaller than my circumsized rooster

EDIT: Oops, didn't see V's post.

[BIGDAY]

[Sato]

Uh boi das it!

That tune makes me wanna have a blast on Jackie and drive through the landscape of the US, bigday. I aint even from the USA baby!

[BIGDAY]

Uh boi das it!

That tune makes me wanna have a blast on Jackie and drive through the landscape of the US, bigday. I aint even from the USA baby!

The video rocks too pal.
This is how we do it in Minnesota.

[beermankirk]

Will be pounding this from Whistler resort in CANADA, wooooooooo! Hope we get a Weidman win as well!

[BIGDAY]

Beer man!!!

Rock on pal!

Hitting Weidman as well.

[Big Bear]

Beer man!!!

Rock on pal!

Hitting Weidman as well.

u r pounding weidman?

[Wanna Bet On It?]

Weidman party!

[BIGDAY]

u r pounding weidman?

Pounding requires 3 units. I only have 2 on Weidman currently. If I get drunk enough on Saturday I will most likely pound er up to 3.

[goodfellas433]

Speaking of betting strategies, I actually had 40% of my roll on one bet last year. Was supremely confident and Kelly suggested it, so I never looked back.

What was the fight? Very curious,
Since that seems so unlike you considering your posts on bankroll management

[Vaughany]

I will guess Weidman against Munoz or Chad against Cody

[MD]

What was the fight? Very curious,
Since that seems so unlike you considering your posts on bankroll management

V got it. As I've said before, Weidman over Munoz was my biggest MMA bet, percentage-wise. I wouldn't consider it bad bankroll management, or even very loose; I had just under 40% on him and I thought he won 96-97% of the time, with the market saying he wins less than 60% of the time. 1/4 Kelly.

[Vaughany]

Similar to when I put over 3k on Chad Mendes against Cody, was about a third of my bankroll at time!

[BIGDAY]

I will never lay as much as I did on Mendez again.
That by far was the biggest lock of all time. And only at -400.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

Your strategy works... until it doesn't. You are still in the pleasant before phase. You will not enjoy the after phase.

So let's take you at your word and say you've increased your BR by a multiple of 82. We can choose any number but let's assume your starting BR is $100. Your BR now is approximately $8,200.

You supposedly have 96% of your BR affected by the outcome of one fighter (Mike Pierce) and this is a repetitive strategy you employ (apparently you've done similar things with absolute locks like GGG). When that absolute lock eventually loses - and they always do - even if your read is PERFECT (i.e. fighter injury like Jon Jones' toe had it gone to R2, atrocious reffing, atrocious judges' decision, etc.) you sir are penetrated.

Your BR will go from $8,200 down to $328. Yeah, your multiple will no longer be 82 but instead around 3 thanks to the variance of one outcome.

This is categorically the DUMBEST betting strategy possible. Even a monkey throwing 10 darts on random bets has less risk of ruin than this strategy...



...Actually, that's not entirely true. The dumbest strategy is betting 100% of your BR. At least you've left yourself with enough money to buy a pistol and put yourself out of your misery.

Current bankroll (that I use for wagering) is not my total winnings. It's a small % of total winnings. Now that I have re read my post I can understand the confusion. I concur with your sentiments if the premise is that 96% of my $82,000 is riding on Pierce. And that I spread that money at all of the different sports books in Vegas. In order to not move lines I spread wagers at multiple sports books. A good percentage of my winnings have been spent month's ago. Oh, and congratulations on your tournament victory.

[sweep]

[BIGDAY]

Only a day away!

[BIGDAY]

MMAChicka just threw down 40Units on a kick ass sectional sofa.

Delivered tomorrow in time for the fights! YeeeHaawwww!

[Wanna Bet On It?]

MMAChicka just threw down 40Units on a kick ass sectional sofa.

Delivered tomorrow in time for the fights! YeeeHaawwww!

Umm, was she using your Unit size because, if so, that makes me think you have a pretty small one.

[BIGDAY]

Wanna, I'm small time pal.

[Wanna Bet On It?]

Wanna, I'm small time pal.

Me & you both. Jews love discounts... we hear "half off" and we don't ask questions. Sigh... if only I could get my original unit size back.

[BIGDAY]

[El Nino]

Rumor has it BIGDAY preps a max UFC wager by putting on the plastics and rolling around with MMAchicka

[Big Bear]

weidman gonna get choked out

[raydog]

bigday, is this why you like Weidman?

[Das Jax]

bigday, is this why you like Weidman?

There's a right way and a wrong way to do a staredown... this is the wrong way! Watching the lips retract live was hilarious.

[BIGDAY]

weidman gonna get choked out

[Grabaka]

At least Weidman puckered his lips unlike the pink shirted champ.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Edgar -500 for me. Don't penetrate me, guy.

[BIGDAY]

Fight day!

Grilling burgers at the new pad with a few pals tonight.

Lets cash.

[Ron_Paul_2012]

I forgot to include that Edgar has done quite a bit of sparring with Barbosa. Barbosa was an important component in Frankie's preparation for Aldo. He will carry that knowledge into the cage against Oliveira as well. As I said before Frankie should win. If this match took place 6 months to a year ago I would have bet my house. However, it's too risky at this point in time. Instead I have half my bank roll on Pierce. 10% on a Pierce/Swanson parlay, 10% Pierce/Baczynski parlay, 20% Pierce/Barbosa, 5% on Gracie, 1% Pierce/Swanson/Baczynski/Barbosa/Silva parlay. Happy 4th BIGDAY!

Fantastic KO by Pierce! Half of bank roll is now safe and all of my parlays are still open. When Barbosa wins I'll be absolutely ecstatic! Hope everyone has a great night!

[sourtwist]

Gl all

[Ron_Paul_2012]

WOW! At only 5' 8" Melancon would be an absolute monster at 155!

[The iron sheik]

wheres that tbird guy, I think he'd enjoy this thread now