Romney surging on Intrade - up 7% today!

[Thor4140]

Nice try.

This election is looking like a Romney landslide. Independents (not "undecideds") are breaking hard to Romney.

Obama camp is desperate, pushing early voting far beyond any benefits that early voting brings to our country - problem is, early voting records in 2008 vs. 2012 doesn't have Obama anywhere near the lead early voting gave him in Ohio 4 years ago.

Basically, Obama's message is to dump on Romney and Romney's message is Jobs/Economy.

All you have to do is see where campaign money and campaign people are going - and that's north. The battle of Florida and North Carolina never happened. Virginia is swinging hard to Romney too.

Romney's people and advertising are now swamping Pennsylvania - which was supposed to be a "safe" Obama state. He is a conservative challenger playing offense in Obama's backyard. Romney also making real efforts in NH, WI, IA, even Minnesota.

This is resources spent inside and behind Obama's "firewall"; meanwhile Obama is campaigning ... about what? Can anyone actually say? And he's fully poured everything he's got into Ohio.

Obama is buried. Dem operatives pour money into InTrade and the rest to keep the media positive - but there is real "change" going here.

Might have something to do with 4 straight years of 8-12% unemployment and the $16 trillion deficit Obama said would be $4 trillion by end of 1st term.

Huge fail, Obama and Mike Jamm.

Another guy who doesn't know the difference between the debt and the deficit. Good lord

[Fishhead]

OBAMA up to -218 at Pinny, it was as low as -180 yesterday.

Wizard, import some Costa Rican coffee and start snorting it, save a few pounds for Opie..........LOL

Update

-230

[tblues2005]

[QUOTE=Fishhead;16520826]Update



[SIZE=4]-230

It looks like Obamas stock is looking good now after the third debate. You can only see -300 by election day possibly.

[SamDiamond]

Tells you how weak the President is to trail this guy in the national polls as a sitting president.

Actually it demonstrates how weak of a candidate Romney is.

Obama has a serious problem with medicare funding, job growth, economic policy, AND--- yet, he is still the odds-on-favorite to win in 12 days.

The GOP has to hang their heads in shame if they can't win the Presidency under these circumstances.

They should have nominated Reagan's rotting corpse, he would at least delivered Ohio. He would have had a bitch of a time signing anything into law, but by 1988, Reagan didn't know what year it was, so not much would change.

Oh yeah, Romney's wednesday bounce on intrade is gone.

He's back at 36% on Intrade.

[SBR_John]

Actually it demonstrates how weak of a candidate Romney is.

Obama has a serious problem with medicare funding, job growth, economic policy, AND--- yet, he is still the odds-on-favorite to win in 12 days.

The GOP has to hang their heads in shame if they can't win the Presidency under these circumstances.

They should have nominated Reagan's rotting corpse, he would at least delivered Ohio. He would have had a bitch of a time signing anything into law, but by 1988, Reagan didn't know what year it was, so not much would change.

Oh yeah, Romney's wednesday bounce on intrade is gone.

He's back at 36% on Intrade.

Bush won a second term. It's hard to beat a sitting president much less a sitting liberal. Romney's actually at 37.7% but if want to round down that;s good by me.

You guys got the favorite and I'm riding the dog. I don't mind Obama winning as long as he can't do any more damage. I'm pretty fine with a liberal president and a conservative congress. Obama has no plans this time around like a stimulus. Obama is no longer saying he is a moderate that will unite us and change washington. he is basically saying he will do nothing and I'm ok with that.

[Popcorn Trick]

Bush won a second term. It's hard to beat a sitting president much less a sitting liberal. Romney's actually at 37.7% but if want to round down that;s good by me.

You guys got the favorite and I'm riding the dog. I don't mind Obama winning as long as he can't do any more damage. I'm pretty fine with a liberal president and a conservative congress. Obama has no plans this time around like a stimulus. Obama is no longer saying he is a moderate that will unite us and change washington. he is basically saying he will do nothing and I'm ok with that.

Silver lining when a lib wins is that we don't have to hear them whining all the time. And it only gets worse every time around. And they get to pretend they are Patriots. MTV flying the American flag, etc... Never when a repub is in office.

What y'all think of Florida? Reuters has BO winning no problem. 5 dimes has it BO at +190 still.

Reuters aint biased are they?

[Popcorn Trick]

Bush won a second term. It's hard to beat a sitting president much less a sitting liberal. Romney's actually at 37.7% but if want to round down that;s good by me.

You guys got the favorite and I'm riding the dog. I don't mind Obama winning as long as he can't do any more damage. I'm pretty fine with a liberal president and a conservative congress. Obama has no plans this time around like a stimulus. Obama is no longer saying he is a moderate that will unite us and change washington. he is basically saying he will do nothing and I'm ok with that.

John, disappointed with you here. Thought you were smarter than that. It's always been about these next four years for the radical.

Fish, are you going to hedge your bets with Romney, given BO sends you so much coin?

[d2bets]

Intrade continues to lag, but as the time compresses, it should start to converge with more widely he;d odds at other markets and sportsbooks. Right now it's about 62.5% but should be in the 65-68% range. I think it'll be 70% by early next week and by election will be over 80% with few Romney backers still clinging to the prayer that everyone's got it all wrong.

[rkelly110]

John is flopping around like his boy!

[SamDiamond]

Bush won a second term. It's hard to beat a sitting president much less a sitting liberal. Romney's actually at 37.7% but if want to round down that;s good by me.

You guys got the favorite and I'm riding the dog. I don't mind Obama winning as long as he can't do any more damage. I'm pretty fine with a liberal president and a conservative congress. Obama has no plans this time around like a stimulus. Obama is no longer saying he is a moderate that will unite us and change washington. he is basically saying he will do nothing and I'm ok with that.

The best part of Obama winning is watching the GOP realize they've lost an entire generation, maybe more.

By 2016, the AHA will have no shot at ever being repealed. The GOP will have to dust off some 70 year old white guy again, and he'll say all the key phrases that the GOP have down pat ---"redistribution", "socialized medicine"--- and once again, Americans will say no to them.

Romney losing is more than just an incumbent being re-elected. It's going to set up a long run of Democratic presidents.

[Fishhead]

John is flopping around like his boy!

You're right, hilarious.

Walker in retreat mode, hahaha.

[Shafted69]

Obama is at 63.9% again at Intrade

[Fishhead]

This is what you should do on your TO DO LIST today.

1. Work on 2012 tax deductions
2. Golf 18 holes
3. Raise limits to 5000 on election in SBR BOOK
4. Hedge off a large portion of your Romnesia wagers
5. Contimplate the fiasco surrounding the JJgold departure.

I make you a +900 underdog to accomplish all five..............................a -599 favorite if I were to omit #3

Well Johnny, how did your day go, did you accomplish all five?

[greenhippo]

I told them in my 'Is Intrade safe?' Thread to sell Romney with him being somewhere around 4.7. No way he paid more than 4.1 when he bought, guaranteed money

[No coincidences]

Actually it demonstrates how weak of a candidate Romney is.

Obama has a serious problem with medicare funding, job growth, economic policy, AND--- yet, he is still the odds-on-favorite to win in 12 days.

The GOP has to hang their heads in shame if they can't win the Presidency under these circumstances.

They should have nominated Reagan's rotting corpse, he would at least delivered Ohio. He would have had a bitch of a time signing anything into law, but by 1988, Reagan didn't know what year it was, so not much would change.

Oh yeah, Romney's wednesday bounce on intrade is gone.

He's back at 36% on Intrade.

Ex-fvcking-actly.

Obama's the most beatable incumbent President since Carter. His jaw is wide open. And the Republicans are still going to find a way to literally hand him a second term. Unreal what this party has dwindled down to.

[SBR_John]

Did you liberals happen to catch the mid-term election results? =crickets-

Clinton won because a third party candidate got 20% of the vote. It's nearly impossible to beat a sitting president as history has proven.

Your boy will have one of the closes re elections in history if he wins at all. And if you thought the 2010 mid terms were nasty you aint seen nothing.

[rkelly110]

No help from me. After all the shit the Repubs are playing to keep this country down, it wouldn't surprise me
to see a Dem majority everywhere. I normally pick the best man for the job, not this time.

[d2bets]

Did you liberals happen to catch the mid-term election results? =crickets-

Clinton won because a third party candidate got 20% of the vote. It's nearly impossible to beat a sitting president as history has proven.

Your boy will have one of the closes re elections in history if he wins at all. And if you thought the 2010 mid terms were nasty you aint seen nothing.

Just typical of modern prez politics and the nation's split. A lot like Bush in '04.

[SamDiamond]

Did you liberals happen to catch the mid-term election results? =crickets-

Clinton won because a third party candidate got 20% of the vote. It's nearly impossible to beat a sitting president as history has proven.

Your boy will have one of the closes re elections in history if he wins at all. And if you thought the 2010 mid terms were nasty you aint seen nothing.

That's silly logic.

If the 2010 midterms meant or indicate as much as you say, why isn't the GOP winning the Senate? and even with re-districting, the GOP is not padding their house lead at all.

If the slide is toward GOP policies/platform, wouldn't you expect them to have control over the Senate?

You're acting as if 2010 has some sort of significance.

When in 2006, the exact same Democratic windfall happened, and it meant absolutely dick.

[SBR_John]

That's silly logic.

If the 2010 midterms meant or indicate as much as you say, why isn't the GOP winning the Senate? and even with re-districting, the GOP is not padding their house lead at all.

If the slide is toward GOP policies/platform, wouldn't you expect them to have control over the Senate?

You're acting as if 2010 has some sort of significance.

When in 2006, the exact same Democratic windfall happened, and it meant absolutely dick.

GOP still may win the senate. How about we wait for the election on that?
Well let's see the Dems controlled the Presidentcy, the House and the Senate prior to 2010 and you ask what was the significance of the landslide GOP gains in 2010?? Yikes. I think we need to move on to a less complicated issue.

[shari91]

John - Please just green out your Romney shares or most of them. Seriously.

I get stubborn about things too but it's silly to piss free money away. Cash most of them out and hold a few so you have something to cheer for. Romney's not going to win. Donate it to St Judes if you really don't want to see it back in your pocket but just don't piss it away because you want to will something to happen. You got him cheap and can sell him high. Abort the mission. You'd tell any of us to be prudent and do the same if the roles were reversed.

[Fishhead]

John - Please just green out your Romney shares or most of them. Seriously.

I get stubborn about things too but it's silly to piss free money away. Cash most of them out and hold a few so you have something to cheer for. Romney's not going to win. Donate it to St Judes if you really don't want to see it back in your pocket but just don't piss it away because you want to will something to happen. You got him cheap and can sell him high. Abort the mission. You'd tell any of us to be prudent and do the same if the roles were reversed.

Risking $15,000+ currently saying you're right...............plus a slew of SBR PTS

[tblues2005]

GOP still may win the senate. How about we wait for the election on that?
Well let's see the Dems controlled the Presidentcy, the House and the Senate prior to 2010 and you ask what was the significance of the landslide GOP gains in 2010?? Yikes. I think we need to move on to a less complicated issue.

Not with two complete idiots that are running for Senate in Missouri and Indiana and it looks bad also. They should have put better candidates in there to win. I think the GOP blew it when they had the chance to do better than this. I think it will be 52-48 in the Senate on the side of the Democrats. It looks like they will lose a seat in Mass. also which would have put the GOP in control if they would have put better people to run for those seats than these idiots. You are talking about Indiana which is completely red now going for a Democrat because of stupid statements made by the GOP candidate. It is just amazing that these clowns would say such stupid things to give them the good chance to lose this year.

[tblues2005]

Did you liberals happen to catch the mid-term election results? =crickets-

Clinton won because a third party candidate got 20% of the vote. It's nearly impossible to beat a sitting president as history has proven.

Your boy will have one of the closes re elections in history if he wins at all. And if you thought the 2010 mid terms were nasty you aint seen nothing.

That's the mid terms which was two years ago and not now. It has gotten nasty big time in Ohio and Florida from what I have heard John. Obama probably will win and I sure hate to see you throwing your money away when you had to chance to come out ahead some recently if you would have sold the stock at 42 percent and now it has dropped I seen. Your right it is hard to beat the sitting President as we have seen before. If they would have put better candidates as the ones that run against these guys they would win too. They just keep electing idiots that is horrible about flip flopping and it reminds me of 2004 all over again.

[SamDiamond]

GOP still may win the senate. How about we wait for the election on that?
Well let's see the Dems controlled the Presidentcy, the House and the Senate prior to 2010 and you ask what was the significance of the landslide GOP gains in 2010?? Yikes. I think we need to move on to a less complicated issue.

There is no computed model available that should give you any reason to believe the GOP will win the Senate. None.

Brown is getting hammered in Mass.

McCaskill, Warren, and Murphy are all leading outside the margin of poll error. And, the Dems lead in 4 other toss-up states at, or near the margin of error. And, forgotten in this--- the Democrats had to defend far more seats than the GOP did, and the GOP isn't winning back control. Where is a GOP mandate in that?

You'll admit John, Obama is about as weak an incumbent as can be found, and yet, Americans still favor him that what Romney/Ryan offer.

[shari91]

You'll admit John, Obama is about as weak an incumbent as can be found, and yet, Americans still favor him that what Romney/Ryan offer.

And that's exactly what media outside of the US are saying. Not in a slam the Repubs kind of way... just more so as this is truly a dud election. People aren't engaged. Baby Bush had the scam in '00. Then he had the goodwill of being the guy who pulled the US through 9/11 and deservedly so. Once Kerry made that cheap shot about Cheney's daughter it was basically done. But Obama was very beatable and yet that video of Michelle in WI that dontknowhowtobet posted a few days ago is probably the best piece of campaigning material I've seen so far in this election And it's from a wife. Something's wrong with that. I remember people saying on here last year that they thought the Repubs were tanking this election. Send out a dud candidate and then go hard in 2016. At the time I thought they were just being tin foilers because we didn't even know who the candidate would be but maybe they were right. Just doesn't make sense to throw him in the ring when the fence sitters are the ones who need to be targeted.

[Fishhead]

In 1998 I entertained the thought of runnng in the 2002 presidential election as an Independant and declined after extensive counseling with my advisors.

May take a stab in 2016

[SamDiamond]

And that's exactly what media outside of the US are saying. Not in a slam the Repubs kind of way... just more so as this is truly a dud election. People aren't engaged. Baby Bush had the scam in '00. Then he had the goodwill of being the guy who pulled the US through 9/11 and deservedly so. Once Kerry made that cheap shot about Cheney's daughter it was basically done. But Obama was very beatable and yet that video of Michelle in WI that dontknowhowtobet posted a few days ago is probably the best piece of campaigning material I've seen so far in this election And it's from a wife. Something's wrong with that. I remember people saying on here last year that they thought the Repubs were tanking this election. Send out a dud candidate and then go hard in 2016. At the time I thought they were just being tin foilers because we didn't even know who the candidate would be but maybe they were right. Just doesn't make sense to throw him in the ring when the fence sitters are the ones who need to be targeted.

I agree there may be some truth to that. Perhaps their own internal polling suggested that Obama was going to win no matter what, and let Romney be the one to try and win. If Romney won, fine. If he doesn't, let's get out the Marco Rubio's.

But the miscalculation in that in that is, Hillary Clinton. Warts and all, she's still a superstar in the party. She would be tough to beat for the GOP. Who are they going to run against her?

[SBR_John]

I agree there may be some truth to that. Perhaps their own internal polling suggested that Obama was going to win no matter what, and let Romney be the one to try and win. If Romney won, fine. If he doesn't, let's get out the Marco Rubio's.

But the miscalculation in that in that is, Hillary Clinton. Warts and all, she's still a superstar in the party. She would be tough to beat for the GOP. Who are they going to run against her?

In 2008 the country was sick of Bush and elected Obama. But they did reelect Bush verrry similar to Obama. Obama was very destructive when he had a Dem house and senate but he'll never see that again just as Bush never did. Erie similar. The republicans will easily have another landside win in the midterm setting the table for a conservative president again, exactly like bush-obama. An Obama win really is a blessing in disguise because if Romney wins there will be no Republican landside win in the midterms.

[eastern2]

In 2008 the country was sick of Bush and elected Obama. But they did reelect Bush verrry similar to Obama. Obama was very destructive when he had a Dem house and senate but he'll never see that again just as Bush never did. Erie similar. The republicans will easily have another landside win in the midterm setting the table for a conservative president again, exactly like bush-obama. An Obama win really is a blessing in disguise because if Romney wins there will be no Republican landside win in the midterms.

gotta love the backtracking

[Fishhead]

In 2008 the country was sick of Bush and elected Obama. But they did reelect Bush verrry similar to Obama. Obama was very destructive when he had a Dem house and senate but he'll never see that again just as Bush never did. Erie similar. The republicans will easily have another landside win in the midterm setting the table for a conservative president again, exactly like bush-obama. An Obama win really is a blessing in disguise because if Romney wins there will be no Republican landside win in the midterms.

I would lay 3-1 you aced every business class in high school and struggled to get a passing grade in political science courses.

[Dutch]

I remember people saying on here last year that they thought the Repubs were tanking this election. Send out a dud candidate and then go hard in 2016.

This is what I thought too..Push Christie or probably Rubio hard in '16.

[No coincidences]

John - Please just green out your Romney shares or most of them. Seriously.

I get stubborn about things too but it's silly to piss free money away. Cash most of them out and hold a few so you have something to cheer for. Romney's not going to win. Donate it to St Judes if you really don't want to see it back in your pocket but just don't piss it away because you want to will something to happen. You got him cheap and can sell him high. Abort the mission. You'd tell any of us to be prudent and do the same if the roles were reversed.

You won't read a sharper post than this.

Wise words.

And I don't appreciate being responded to with "you liberals" and have Obama referred to as "your boy" just because I think the Republican party is a trainwreck. I'm a registered independent that's voted more red than blue in my 20 years at the polls.

[SamDiamond]

In 2008 the country was sick of Bush and elected Obama. But they did reelect Bush verrry similar to Obama. Obama was very destructive when he had a Dem house and senate but he'll never see that again just as Bush never did. Erie similar. The republicans will easily have another landside win in the midterm setting the table for a conservative president again, exactly like bush-obama. An Obama win really is a blessing in disguise because if Romney wins there will be no Republican landside win in the midterms.

John, you don't really believe that, do you? Have you looked at the Senate map for 2014? Where do you see the GOP making any progress? The 2014 Senate races are all democrat strongholds. The only vulnerable spots--- will be Al Franken and Kay Hagan.. Outside of that, your talking about really strong democrats. Jay Rockefeller, Mark Warner, Durbin, Pryor. I just don't see Illinois going GOP in 2014.

[Pew Pew]

In 2008 the country was sick of Bush and elected Obama. But they did reelect Bush verrry similar to Obama. Obama was very destructive when he had a Dem house and senate but he'll never see that again just as Bush never did. Erie similar. The republicans will easily have another landside win in the midterm setting the table for a conservative president again, exactly like bush-obama. An Obama win really is a blessing in disguise because if Romney wins there will be no Republican landside win in the midterms.

wow taking after flip flop romney lol