Umemployment lowest ever today
Give Obama the kings hat for another 4 years
Give Obama the kings hat for another 4 years
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Judging from the initial response on intrade, most people on intrade believe Romney did the better job. Markets are not always great indicators but intrade has been pretty much flawless over the last two elections. In 2004, intrade users picked the winner of every single state and only missed two states in the 2008 election.So according to intrade, Obama won the debates.
And according to the Department of Labor we just had the most robust month (seriously) since 1983.
And according to the media the murdered ambassador in Libya was a Romney gaffe.
And according to polls Obama is +8% and more in Ohio, a state he won by 4% in 2008. (So not only has Obama not shed any voter support in Ohio, but he's picked sizable chunks of McCain voters - great job, O!)
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Meanwhile from the realm of actual Ohio voting this is from October 4:
Ohio shocker: GOP closes early voting gap, boosting Romney
In a remarkable reversal of fortune for President Obama in Ohio, the GOP has closed the huge gap in absentee ballot requests used by early voters that favored the Democrats and the president in 2008, setting up what one state analyst said could be a Mitt Romney blowout on Election Day.
While in 2008, 33 percent of the 1,158,301 absentee ballots went to Democrats and just 19 percent to registered Republicans, a 14-point gap, this year 29 percent are being requested by Democrats and 24 percent by Republicans, a five-point gap.
Right now intrade has Romney at 35.1% to win Ohio. If people dont have faith in the collective wisdom of markets, there are some statistical models I posted in this thread that had Romney winning the election but they are pretty small ones and they havent really been updated it seems. There is always the calm reflections of political pundits as well.
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