Romney futures soaring on Intrade

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  • SBR_John
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-12-05
    • 16471

    #1
    Romney futures soaring on Intrade
    Mitt Romney to be elected President in 2012
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    32.5%
    CHANCE
    Last prediction was: $3.25 / share
    Today's Change: +$0.66 (+25.5%)
  • SBR_John
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-12-05
    • 16471

    #2
    Mitt Romney to be elected President in 2012
    Share on facebook Share on google_plusone
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    33.9%
    CHANCE
    Last prediction was: $3.39 / share
    Today's Change: +$0.80 (+30.9%)
    Contract Type: 0-100
    Comment
    • Ernie Mccracken
      SBR MVP
      • 09-11-11
      • 1986

      #3
      How many are you buying?
      Comment
      • k13
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-16-10
        • 18104

        #4
        Hmm, Pinnacle took their line off.
        Comment
        • ChiLLx
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 12-24-11
          • 5412

          #5
          This is a massacre
          Comment
          • SBR Lou
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 08-02-07
            • 37863

            #6
            Originally posted by k13
            Hmm, Pinnacle took their line off.
            SBR Book took the line off as well tonight.
            Comment
            • ProfaneReality
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-14-09
              • 7607

              #7
              Originally posted by Ernie Mccracken
              How many are you buying?
              None. All talk.
              Comment
              • odog11
                SBR MVP
                • 02-14-11
                • 3874

                #8
                Went from +315 to +290 on 5Dimes. Should drop more. I played it at 315 to cover big Obama play at -180. Hedge now if u need to. Big turn around for Mit tonight.
                Comment
                • CanuckG
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-23-10
                  • 21978

                  #9
                  We all knew this would happen.

                  Obama still wins.
                  Comment
                  • k13
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 07-16-10
                    • 18104

                    #10
                    Will we be able to get Obama +100 soon in the SBR Book?
                    Comment
                    • Monitor-Tan
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-20-11
                      • 4460

                      #11
                      If you're so confident John, why not give us Obama + money on the SBR books
                      Comment
                      • Vegas39
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 09-22-11
                        • 30686

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Monitor-Tan
                        If you're so confident John, why not give us Obama + money on the SBR books

                        Comment
                        • CanuckG
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-23-10
                          • 21978

                          #13
                          All Romney supporters think he's a lock now.

                          Black man has the bigger cult following he will squeak out a win.
                          Comment
                          • LVHerbie
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-15-05
                            • 6344

                            #14
                            I hedge against the teotwawki by buying a little off-market priced Romney +200 when he was at +150... John you interested in buying me out of that position?
                            Comment
                            • iifold
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 04-25-10
                              • 11111

                              #15
                              If you watched that and still vote for Obama you're a crook...
                              Comment
                              • Bostongambler
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 02-01-08
                                • 35581

                                #16
                                People are idiots. (some that is), the debate wont matter to them.
                                Comment
                                • C-Gold
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 09-04-10
                                  • 6808

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by CanuckG
                                  All Romney supporters think he's a lock now.

                                  Black man has the bigger cult following he will squeak out a win.
                                  Socialists and hood rats.
                                  Comment
                                  • gregm
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-14-11
                                    • 3535

                                    #18
                                    Soaring from what? Romney is at around 32.3% percent chance to win the election and that is soaring? Forget the ideological stuff, just from a wagering perspective, how can you say he is soaring on intrade or any prediction markets. These were the numbers from back on August 7th



                                    Challengers usually see an upswing from the first presidential debate. Mondale saw a pretty impressive upsurge after his first debate, Dole and Kerry saw some impressive numbers and that worked out well.



                                    Good article on five thirty eight blog. I dont see much to be happy about here if you have a romneys future. Certainly not from a wagering perspective.

                                    On average, since 1976, the challenging-party candidate gained one and a half percentage points on the incumbent-party candidate. But no candidate trailing by as much as Mitt Romney heading into the first debate went on to win.
                                    Comment
                                    • gregm
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-14-11
                                      • 3535

                                      #19
                                      32.8%. right now
                                      Comment
                                      • thetrinity
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-25-11
                                        • 22430

                                        #20
                                        time to scalp boys, line will dip obama will win still, but romney odds to high right now
                                        Comment
                                        • gregm
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-14-11
                                          • 3535

                                          #21
                                          back to 32.3 intrade

                                          pinnacle +264

                                          Kerry, Dole, Mondale and Dukakis had better numbers at this point.
                                          Comment
                                          • raydog
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 11-07-07
                                            • 6984

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by CanuckG
                                            All Romney supporters think he's a lock now.

                                            Black man has the bigger cult following he will squeak out a win.
                                            half of dem voters have obamaphones and no tv...they have no clue there was a debate. unreal
                                            Comment
                                            • jbart28
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-16-11
                                              • 3387

                                              #23
                                              5 dimes:

                                              <small>2012 US Presidential Election</small>
                                              Tue 11/6 1001 Barack Obama wins 2012 election <input id="editx" name="M1_0" size="4" maxlength="5" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68); line-height: normal; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; "> -255
                                              6:00AM 1002 Mitt Romney wins 2012 election <input id="editx" name="M2_0" size="4" maxlength="5" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68); line-height: normal; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; "> +215

                                              <input type="submit" value="Continue" id="btnContinue" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68); line-height: normal; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; "> <input type="button" value="Cancel" id="btnCancel" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68); line-height: normal; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; ">



                                              Someone give Obama a teleprompter....


                                              If this was a tennis match Obama would have fukin retired after the first round of the debate.
                                              Obama is Davydenko of politics. Game over

                                              Romney: Flawless Victory
                                              Comment
                                              • thetrinity
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-25-11
                                                • 22430

                                                #24
                                                obama -220 right now on 5 dimes -284 on pinnacle
                                                Comment
                                                • jbart28
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-16-11
                                                  • 3387

                                                  #25
                                                  NO NO NO LOOK AGAIN....It was a fuking bloodbath!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!

                                                  <small>2012 US Presidential Election</small>
                                                  Tue 11/6 1001 Barack Obama wins 2012 election <input id="editx" name="M1_0" size="4" maxlength="5" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68); line-height: normal; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; "> -220
                                                  6:00AM 1002 Mitt Romney wins 2012 election <input id="editx" name="M2_0" size="4" maxlength="5" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68); line-height: normal; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; "> +180

                                                  <input type="submit" value="Continue" id="btnContinue" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68); line-height: normal; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; "> <input type="button" value="Cancel" id="btnCancel" style="font-size: 1em; font-family: Tahoma, Verdana, Arial, sans-serif; color: rgb(68, 68, 68); line-height: normal; -webkit-text-size-adjust: none; ">
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jbart28
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-16-11
                                                    • 3387

                                                    #26
                                                    Anyone who watched this debate saw the real Mitt Romney and not the Mitt Romney that the left wing media aka Obama Super Pac tried to paint.

                                                    Wow, 5dimes will have this at even money by 6 am est
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Sam Odom
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-30-05
                                                      • 58063

                                                      #27
                                                      Attached Files
                                                      Comment
                                                      • neverstoppers23
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 11-26-09
                                                        • 6302

                                                        #28
                                                        LOL, yes lines are changing because people are pounding Rommney like idiots. Books are loving this because debates have almost no impacts on polls. So have fun tonight guys enjoying the win.
                                                        I

                                                        Comment
                                                        • hels
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 04-12-09
                                                          • 8767

                                                          #29
                                                          Mitt Romney will be the greatest leader America has ever known.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • thetrinity
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 01-25-11
                                                            • 22430

                                                            #30
                                                            value gone on romney now IMO
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TC Woods
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-17-11
                                                              • 1780

                                                              #31
                                                              Reading this thread pretty much reflects the mentality of most..... DOPES


                                                              <small>2012 US Presidential Election</small>
                                                              Tue 11/6 1001 Barack Obama wins 2012 election <input id="radiox" value="M1_0" name="radiox" type="radio">-300
                                                              6:00AM 1002 Mitt Romney wins 2012 election <input id="radiox" value="M2_0" name="radiox" type="radio">+250
                                                              Comment
                                                              • trytrytry
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 03-13-06
                                                                • 23650

                                                                #32
                                                                i think the one Mitt wager u could jump on now is to win Colorado..I think that will go Red. other swing states very little chance but maybe he gets that prize at + odds...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jbart28
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 04-16-11
                                                                  • 3387

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by neverstoppers23
                                                                  LOL, yes lines are changing because people are pounding Rommney like idiots. Books are loving this because debates have almost no impacts on polls. So have fun tonight guys enjoying the win.
                                                                  I

                                                                  http://www.washingtonmonthly.com/mag...?wpisrc=nl_fix

                                                                  Debates will have much greater impact now since social media is fully engaged with all debates.

                                                                  You are going to see hair plugs biden get worked like a $10 MLK hooker next.

                                                                  This country is fukin destroyed right now. Obama's policies have made it worse. $4 gas, $5 cereal, $4 milk.

                                                                  And Bernake printing more money so hyperinflation will hit sooner.

                                                                  49 million on food stamps. 25 million unemployed, 16 Trillion in debt. How the fuk could you vote for the
                                                                  muslim appeaser?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • trytrytry
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-13-06
                                                                    • 23650

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I put up a line in the POINTS SUb FORUM...seems like lots of opinions!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • d2bets
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 08-10-05
                                                                      • 39995

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by hels
                                                                      Mitt Romney will be the greatest leader America has ever known.
                                                                      You don't even believe that.
                                                                      Comment
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