Banker throwin darts at the NFL (all season!)

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  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #841
    passed out real shortly after i made the halftime bet,,appears we did good with the under gm and 2nd half ....what a shocker phi still sux, and appears that pick 6 cost me the saints tt un.....oh well, another not bad ending to a good week....indy/jax on thu, to me it appears like a dangerous gm for a young colt team but hopefully that just sets up well for our 1st half unders...
    Comment
    • jinxpro13
      SBR MVP
      • 01-31-12
      • 1434

      #842
      f*ckin eagles. damn glad i hedged.. also glad Im a degen and did those props
      Comment
      • jinxpro13
        SBR MVP
        • 01-31-12
        • 1434

        #843
        Originally posted by 2daBank
        passed out real shortly after i made the halftime bet,,appears we did good with the under gm and 2nd half ....what a shocker phi still sux, and appears that pick 6 cost me the saints tt un.....oh well, another not bad ending to a good week....indy/jax on thu, to me it appears like a dangerous gm for a young colt team but hopefully that just sets up well for our 1st half unders...
        you would think indy is out for revenge from earlier in the season. the colts seem to be getting better each week and are a lot better than what they were when jack beat them. jack is also a lot worse. ML seems safe to me.
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #844
          Originally posted by jinxpro13
          you would think indy is out for revenge from earlier in the season. the colts seem to be getting better each week and are a lot better than what they were when jack beat them. jack is also a lot worse. ML seems safe to me.
          I dunno bro, obviously i havnt did much w the numbers yet but this feels like a tough spot for a young team off a emotional win, also watched most of Mia gm and I counted at least 4 or 5 injuries on the defensive side, a defense that ain't exactly great to begin with. No idea whether they be back or not but something to keep eye on in short week...
          Comment
          • 2daBank
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-26-09
            • 88966

            #845
            1st glance I'd say jets catching to many points vs the seachickens...jets off a bye and I like Rex defenses vs a rookie qb, think jets have some success on ground and gm should be close...
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #846
              Lambs have my interst catching more than 10 also...posting from phone but on way back to shop, when I get home gonna start trying to knock this card out....
              Comment
              • jinxpro13
                SBR MVP
                • 01-31-12
                • 1434

                #847
                Originally posted by 2daBank
                Lambs have my interst catching more than 10 also...posting from phone but on way back to shop, when I get home gonna start trying to knock this card out....
                really like rams here. 1st game that jumped out to me.

                not sure bout the jets. is a lot of pts for them coming out the bye but damn seattle is a tough place to play and if the vikings didn't have AP minnesota would have been blown out even harder. sanchez against that secondary is frightening.
                Comment
                • 2daBank
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-26-09
                  • 88966

                  #848
                  Originally posted by jinxpro13
                  really like rams here. 1st game that jumped out to me.

                  not sure bout the jets. is a lot of pts for them coming out the bye but damn seattle is a tough place to play and if the vikings didn't have AP minnesota would have been blown out even harder. sanchez against that secondary is frightening.
                  What bout Wilson vs Rex defense? He typically causes problems for rookies, look what he did to luck..I think min did what I been saying Teams should do against sea, pound the rock which we know Rex will do, think this actually a gm where sea secondary isn't such a huge adv as Rex rather not throw anyways, lol...
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #849
                    On surface seems to me like a gm where 1st to 20 takes it, nothing wrong w catching bunch of points in a gm like that...I be home shorty and will start diving into the numbers...
                    Comment
                    • jinxpro13
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-31-12
                      • 1434

                      #850
                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                      On surface seems to me like a gm where 1st to 20 takes it, nothing wrong w catching bunch of points in a gm like that...I be home shorty and will start diving into the numbers...
                      i hear you bro. You know I always lean ML anways lol

                      already seeing some compensation for the raping vegas took last week.
                      Baltimore -7.5 seems high to me. not saying I dont like it, but that's a lot of points with how shitty baltimore has been. they are back @ home but still..
                      Comment
                      • face
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-31-11
                        • 14740

                        #851
                        banker you think jags will beat colts again?
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #852
                          Originally posted by face
                          banker you think jags will beat colts again?

                          not sure im ready to say that,,,i do think it a tough spot for indy,,i have to look at this some more as it take a lot of compelling shit to get me to actually play the shitbag jags...my guess unless i find something that sticks out or something i dont like about the total is all i will play is the 1st half under,,,just getting to work on it tho...
                          Comment
                          • JayLA
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-11-12
                            • 7806

                            #853
                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                            Lambs have my interst catching more than 10 also...posting from phone but on way back to shop, when I get home gonna start trying to knock this card out....
                            Originally posted by jinxpro13
                            really like rams here. 1st game that jumped out to me.

                            not sure bout the jets. is a lot of pts for them coming out the bye but damn seattle is a tough place to play and if the vikings didn't have AP minnesota would have been blown out even harder. sanchez against that secondary is frightening.
                            Originally posted by 2daBank

                            What bout Wilson vs Rex defense? He typically causes problems for rookies, look what he did to luck..I think min did what I been saying Teams should do against sea, pound the rock which we know Rex will do, think this actually a gm where sea secondary isn't such a huge adv as Rex rather not throw anyways, lol...

                            Originally posted by jinxpro13
                            Baltimore -7.5 seems high to me. not saying I dont like it, but that's a lot of points with how shitty baltimore has been. they are back @ home but still..
                            If I were looking for dogs specifically to bet on I'd like NYJ+7.5, STL+11, maybe MIN after DET line moves, and TEN against an inconsistent miami team.

                            This is what's fascinating to me about NFL. There has to be 'upsets' this week, where they at though?

                            Do we think BUF can keep it close against NE? What about the home dog CAR? Double digit line BAL at home always looks juicy.

                            Hope u boys have some good discussion this week!
                            Comment
                            • 2daBank
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-26-09
                              • 88966

                              #854
                              Originally posted by JayLA
                              If I were looking for dogs specifically to bet on I'd like NYJ+7.5, STL+11, maybe MIN after DET line moves, and TEN against an inconsistent miami team.

                              This is what's fascinating to me about NFL. There has to be 'upsets' this week, where they at though?

                              Do we think BUF can keep it close against NE? What about the home dog CAR? Double digit line BAL at home always looks juicy.

                              Hope u boys have some good discussion this week!
                              i seriously dont go into card looking for dogs jay, more times than not it turns out i play a lot of dogs but have no problem playing favs, the numbers just have to be right and thus far this year the numbers been way more right to play the dog more times than not... somehow last week where it seems damn near every fav covered we somehow picked the right dogs ...

                              1st gm that jumped at me was jets catching 6.5 as that seems almost retarded to me, no idea how sea wins this gm by a td or more? honestly wouldnt surprise me if jets pulled out the W even tho that a tough task in sea i def believe it will be a close gm...

                              panthers are interesting, as i said last week their defense is greatly improved against the run but it gonna take a lot for me to go against Peyton right now as he has that team rolling (have to look at panthers pass d and how much success i think they can have rushing the ball)...

                              feel like this a rams team that been bullied around by sf for some time now and now have the coach/mentality to try to match them physically, not sure rams can score tho so i gotta look into more, under is def a lean as well..


                              pats off a bye will roll bills i would assume...

                              as been a theme with me of late i will be looking at that bal/oak gm with a lean to the over if i can find enough to like about it,,far as side id think balty or pass but palmer really starts chucking it late and could easily backdoor this number....oak going est for early gm not been good over the years....
                              Comment
                              • freakydave
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-23-11
                                • 1106

                                #855
                                I am going with Hou/Dall 2 team teaser this week.What do you think 2da
                                Comment
                                • 2daBank
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-26-09
                                  • 88966

                                  #856
                                  Originally posted by freakydave
                                  I am going with Hou/Dall 2 team teaser this week.What do you think 2da
                                  i havnt looked at dal gm at all so cant give much opinion, man that 2 screwed up teams, lol...pretty sure i like hou w/o the tease as i look to go against chi when they face a team that can pressure the passer...again still early for me,,have to do a little running around but i will have much better answers sometime tonight when i get a chance to get after it....
                                  Comment
                                  • groovybrandone
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 02-22-12
                                    • 456

                                    #857
                                    i was looking at sea game as well. with jets coming off a bye, i feel like they had enough time to scheme more dumb plays rex runs on a 4th down. which probably will work a couple times. it seems like sea should win since they are beasts at home but a week to prep and laying 7pts? i dont know that they cover that
                                    Comment
                                    • freakydave
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-23-11
                                      • 1106

                                      #858
                                      Originally posted by groovybrandone
                                      i was looking at sea game as well. with jets coming off a bye, i feel like they had enough time to scheme more dumb plays rex runs on a 4th down. which probably will work a couple times. it seems like sea should win since they are beasts at home but a week to prep and laying 7pts? i dont know that they cover that
                                      Watchout that's what I thought last week "they only covered 5 once" As a seahawks season ticketholder I am telling you it's loud--I won't be at the game but I wouldn't put a wooden nickel on NYJ's on the road at century link field-the line is 6.5 now.
                                      Comment
                                      • groovybrandone
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 02-22-12
                                        • 456

                                        #859
                                        agreed dave, im sea or no play at this point
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #860
                                          Originally posted by freakydave
                                          Watchout that's what I thought last week "they only covered 5 once" As a seahawks season ticketholder I am telling you it's loud--I won't be at the game but I wouldn't put a wooden nickel on NYJ's on the road at century link field-the line is 6.5 now.

                                          sea was easy play last week,,,this week they laying to many points, think you are underestimating what a rex ryan d can do to a rookie qb,,,makes no sense to me that they laying more to nyj than they were to the vikings... the under prob has some merit but far as a side this thing has 20-17 written all over it...
                                          Comment
                                          • celtics3388
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 12-31-10
                                            • 1916

                                            #861
                                            first post in here for me but been lurking this thread for awhile and really like the Jets this week as well... here's a pretty crazy stat - the week before the bye teams are 2-16 ATS (or something very close to that) and the Seahawks fall into that category this week. I think 6.5 or 7 pts is too many to lay for a rook QB vs an experienced defense anyways and the Jets are coming off a blowout loss in addition to their bye week. In that loss the Jets actaully outgained Miami by over 100 yds (think it was close to 150) and Mia scored on a punt block so the score looked much worse than the game actaully was. For anyone with a 5Dimes account the Jets are +7.5 (-140) so you getting a ton of value if u want to tease them... also like them at 6.5 too and a sprinkle on the ml.. bol gents
                                            Comment
                                            • jinxpro13
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-31-12
                                              • 1434

                                              #862
                                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                                              sea was easy play last week,,,this week they laying to many points, think you are underestimating what a rex ryan d can do to a rookie qb,,,makes no sense to me that they laying more to nyj than they were to the vikings... the under prob has some merit but far as a side this thing has 20-17 written all over it...
                                              Originally posted by celtics3388
                                              first post in here for me but been lurking this thread for awhile and really like the Jets this week as well... here's a pretty crazy stat - the week before the bye teams are 2-16 ATS (or something very close to that) and the Seahawks fall into that category this week. I think 6.5 or 7 pts is too many to lay for a rook QB vs an experienced defense anyways and the Jets are coming off a blowout loss in addition to their bye week. In that loss the Jets actaully outgained Miami by over 100 yds (think it was close to 150) and Mia scored on a punt block so the score looked much worse than the game actaully was. For anyone with a 5Dimes account the Jets are +7.5 (-140) so you getting a ton of value if u want to tease them... also like them at 6.5 too and a sprinkle on the ml.. bol gents
                                              this is why this thread is so awesome. my first initial lean was seattle , but you guys make great points. may have to shy away from this one. i can't and won't put my money on the jets.. in seattle.
                                              Comment
                                              • 2daBank
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 88966

                                                #863
                                                Originally posted by celtics3388
                                                first post in here for me but been lurking this thread for awhile and really like the Jets this week as well... here's a pretty crazy stat - the week before the bye teams are 2-16 ATS (or something very close to that) and the Seahawks fall into that category this week. I think 6.5 or 7 pts is too many to lay for a rook QB vs an experienced defense anyways and the Jets are coming off a blowout loss in addition to their bye week. In that loss the Jets actaully outgained Miami by over 100 yds (think it was close to 150) and Mia scored on a punt block so the score looked much worse than the game actaully was. For anyone with a 5Dimes account the Jets are +7.5 (-140) so you getting a ton of value if u want to tease them... also like them at 6.5 too and a sprinkle on the ml.. bol gents
                                                welcome to thread,,,there certainly a lot to like about nyj imo (teams off bye been very good and like you mentioned teams heading into their bye week have been terrible for whatever reason)...i been saying all year the way to attack this very good sea d is to pound the rock and get physical with them up front, min and sf had a lot of success doing just that and id expect more of the same from the jets, last 3 gms jets run gm has really improved and i think they will do more of the same in this one... on other side i love ryan d vs rookie qbs (that why i was on nyj against indy), if they can confuse luck i dont think they have much problem giving wilson a tough time...really hard to figure why sea laying more to the jets than they were to minny, personally i think jets are better team than the vikings who were very overrated..obviously sanchez vs that secondary scary but i dont think he will be put in a lot of bad spots...gm feels tough and low scoring to me so not sure why line shot up, maybe to much love for a sea team that i do like, i would have made this much closer to -3.5/4 that 6.5/7.... wanna play now but gonna sit back and see what happens with the line...
                                                Comment
                                                • groovybrandone
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 02-22-12
                                                  • 456

                                                  #864
                                                  rex's schemes are fairly off the wall when theyre desperate and its hard to go against him because of it cause it can help them so much, or flop really bad. if lines starts moving i guess i can reassess if id play this game but if it doesnt change, this might be a lay off for me
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jinxpro13
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-31-12
                                                    • 1434

                                                    #865
                                                    my site now offering atlanta -1 in new orleans.
                                                    give me a reason not to rape this into the ground.
                                                    eagles played like horse sh*t last night no doubt, but the saints still showed they couldn't tackle my grandma and let up their usual 450+ yards. atlanta won't be have 13 points with all those yards.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 2daBank
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                      • 88966

                                                      #866
                                                      Originally posted by groovybrandone
                                                      rex's schemes are fairly off the wall when theyre desperate and its hard to go against him because of it cause it can help them so much, or flop really bad. if lines starts moving i guess i can reassess if id play this game but if it doesnt change, this might be a lay off for me
                                                      always better to pass than make a play you arnt comfortable with, cant lose money you dont bet ..personally i feel pretty damn good with nyj and the points here, im pretty much done with this gm and i havnt found anything that doesnt point to me playing jets,,and i hate going against sea at home prob more than anyone (like i never hardly do it)....i gotta do some more running, will have some more stuff up later tonight...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 2daBank
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                        • 88966

                                                        #867
                                                        Originally posted by jinxpro13
                                                        my site now offering atlanta -1 in new orleans.
                                                        give me a reason not to rape this into the ground.
                                                        eagles played like horse sh*t last night no doubt, but they still showed they couldn't tackle my grandma and let up their usual 450+ yards. atlanta won't be have 13 points with all those yards.
                                                        very

                                                        curious line...over looks very interesting as well... ill be back in a little bit and try and get thru this and a few more..
                                                        Comment
                                                        • suicidekings
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 03-23-09
                                                          • 9962

                                                          #868
                                                          On the Bears -1 (-102) x5, Lions ML (+110) x3, and Falcons -1 (-120) x2, played right off the openers. Love all three of them this week.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jinxpro13
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-31-12
                                                            • 1434

                                                            #869
                                                            Originally posted by groovybrandone
                                                            rex's schemes are fairly off the wall when theyre desperate and its hard to go against him because of it cause it can help them so much, or flop really bad. if lines starts moving i guess i can reassess if id play this game but if it doesnt change, this might be a lay off for me
                                                            i wouldn't be betting on rex's scheme's confusing or forcing wilson to make many mistakes. wouldn't buy too much into this angle imo. we all know lynch will run the ball all day long. seattle doesn't put wilson in spots to throw int's and he seems to protect the ball and avoids the pocket very VERY well. this guy isn't a quick scrambler who takes sacks, like vick (who always runs backwards to avoid a rush).. wilson seems like a more mobile drew brees in the pocket the way he's able to avoid a rush.

                                                            still think ur probably right bank. too many points.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • groovybrandone
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 02-22-12
                                                              • 456

                                                              #870
                                                              i mean schemes more as in his 4th down and forevers, onside kicks, fake fgs etc. if seattle doesnt prep for it im sure it can burn them, as jets had 2 weeks off to plan whatever they want
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jinxpro13
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-31-12
                                                                • 1434

                                                                #871
                                                                Originally posted by suicidekings
                                                                On the Bears -1 (-102) x5, Lions ML (+110) x3, and Falcons -1 (-120) x2, played right off the openers. Love all three of them this week.
                                                                love all of these. only one im semi hesitant with is detroit.
                                                                as terrible as minnesota has been detroit can be just as shitty when the public is on them. they do seem to be rolling now, but I don't trust em.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Dexter
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 12-24-08
                                                                  • 25829

                                                                  #872
                                                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                  (teams off bye been very good and like you mentioned teams heading into their bye week have been terrible for whatever reason)..
                                                                  perhaps we can correlate this to teams taking the final game off of a long road trip (nba) and looking forward to getting back home.
                                                                  bye week, players can also be looking forward to getting back home.

                                                                  whats the ats # on this YTD?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • celtics3388
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 12-31-10
                                                                    • 1916

                                                                    #873
                                                                    I know in the new collective bargaining agreement the NFL required teams to give players more time off during their bye week so players could be looking ahead to vacation or time with family... but yea its a ridiculous number like 2-16 ATS going into the bye
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JayLA
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 09-11-12
                                                                      • 7806

                                                                      #874
                                                                      ATL-1/NO
                                                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                      very

                                                                      curious line...over looks very interesting as well... ill be back in a little bit and try and get thru this and a few more..
                                                                      it is a curious line, it was hung up later than the others.
                                                                      so is HOU+1/CHI. Numbers online got HOU and CHI at 1 point differential... enticing.
                                                                      should be interesting to see where line movement goes.

                                                                      I'm liking the Bears at home to make a statement.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • suicidekings
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 03-23-09
                                                                        • 9962

                                                                        #875
                                                                        Originally posted by jinxpro13
                                                                        love all of these. only one im semi hesitant with is detroit.
                                                                        as terrible as minnesota has been detroit can be just as shitty when the public is on them. they do seem to be rolling now, but I don't trust em.
                                                                        Detroit's early season problems have largely been a product of Stafford's over-reliance on Megatron and their lack of an effective run game. In the last 2-3 weeks, Stafford has started to distribute the ball a lot more effectively and LaShoure/Bell have gained confidence. Defensively, the Lions have been good all year and Ponder has had so much trouble in his decision making & patience under good coverage. I think the Vikes will sit Harvin no matter how much he wants to play as he's so critical to their success for the rest of the season, so we're really talking about Minnesota leaning heavily on AP, and he's already been shouldering a huge load. It's a tough situation for the Vikes.

                                                                        I think the Lions come to play in this game and try to build more momentum going into their 3 week homestand.
                                                                        Comment
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