is mathews hurt again? that guy killing me in one of my fantasy leagues, actually the cheaper of the 2 i play in but little more important to me as it all my friends and lot of trash talk, lol..i guess i should be happy im 7-1 in the league with the bigger buy in but i guess it true money isnt everything...
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there the rivers we all know and love, lol (would rather they scored for teaser)....thu night 1st half unders back on track!
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woot. NFL midweek 1H unders now 7-2 on season.Comment -
i got him in 4th/5th round forget which as i was 1st pick so he was either back end of 4th or front of 5th, i considered him a must take in that spot as the kid is so talented,,,i had visions of having foster and another top 10 guy once he healed from the fractured collarbone...like i said it the much cheaper of the 2 leagues but ive never been kept out of playoffs in this one and we talk a lot of junk...Comment -
wow that teaser total got a lot closer than it should have,,kc tried their best to ruin a good night. in the end not even they could ruin it, on a happy note finally we got some validation for playing the 1st half under instead of gm!! only took 9 weeks to make a difference!!Comment -
took a quick look on mia/indi
miami has has been in 3 games where teams have score over 20 pts on them, 2 of them being in OT and indi has only been only scored more than 20 3times this season.
colts have one of the worst rushing d's in the game and with miamis offense i think they move it on the ground fairly easy.
i think if colts get above the 20pt margin they take it, though i dont see that happening. colts offense is skewed and primarily passing and miami has a pretty good pass rush which eventually will make Luck make an errant pass.
thinking this game ends about 23-17 phinsComment -
probably a game im staying away from. i do like teasing indy here. just dont feel like i have a good read on this game earlier in the week i leaned miami now im more towards indy. on paper i think miami should win and cover easily , but i think their strength on defense is their rushing D not pass rush. indy doesn't run anyways. i could see luck having some success at home against this secondary. matt moore also starting for the phins , and while everyone knows he's a capable backup i still think this is a game where they will miss tannehill's arm strength in the end. one angle against indy obviously is the phins rushing attack.. not sure how reggie bush doesn't have a field day here.
also.
putting this in now..
- Cam Newton - Total Passing Yards: Over 255.5 x3u
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Mia/ind is so tough IMO, as you guys pointed out both offensive strengths are defensive weaknesses for the other team, obviously it easy to see phins doin work w bush and Thomas rushing the ball but on other side I expect luck to have pretty good day as well, luck is 1 of the highest rated qbs in the league when teams bring 5 or more rushers, mia brings 5 something like 40% of the time (on my phone and forget where I read the stat or I would give credit)...such a tough gm, I've came back to it a few times this week and really having a hard time w it, prob be better to pass but when I get home I might take 1 more crack at it...Comment -
bank we haven't talked about my fav game this week.
eagles/saints
i think everybody was a week early on philly. im on them this week. vick's career on the line. against a BAD saints defense. Ive heard all the arguments to be made for taking new orleans and i understand them.. but im going with philly in this one. ML.Comment -
tb/oak ov 47...really screwed up not getting a earlier start this week as this thing up from the 45.5 open, even worse is i coul dhave played whe i talked about the other day at 46.5 dont wanna see it go up any more and this number about my limit so grabbing now...already talked about quite a bit but in a nutshell oak throws a ton, both teams with solid run d and struggle vs the pass so id expect a lot of passing with plenty of success..Comment -
2 team 6 point tease..
indy+8
mia/indy ov 37....back and forth on this gm as mentioned i think both teams offensively do well at the things the defenses struggle to stop... i love phins d but they have been outgained in every gm of their 3 gm win streak, mia brings 5 rushers or more 40% of the time and Luck has excelled when facing 5 or more rushers so think we see him burn mia when they come with the blitz..colts run d has been much better last few weeks but not giving them a ton of credit as richardson was hurt in the cle gm and ten just isnt all that great running the ball anyway so i think mia will have enough success to put up some points...i like both teams to hit 20 and the next score winning so i think the tease goes well together...may play colts ml but so back and forth on this gm not sure...Comment -
going big on ML's this week. don't really like many spreads this week. In my head i dont think chicago, GB, Houston, Denver, Detroit or Seattle loses so Ill probably be parlaying these ML's.. just feels like that kinda week for me. could hit a home run or strike out but i dont mind as I dont feel like playing these trap spreads this week.
2 upset ML's Im looking at: philly(which I mentioned) and carolina.
im sure most people will be on washington tomorrow but the spread is small for a reason. where u at on this game bankComment -
i lean panthers but not real enthusiastic bout it..i do think if teams can limit skins run gm including rg3 that it makes things a lot tougher on him as a passer and his avg wrs..panthers run d has been much better last 3 gms and they have faced some decent rushing teams, would think there enough tape to scheme rg3 a little so i expect skins offense to be way more avg than great again this week, like 20 point range.. other side skins prob just the defense panthers need to get something going, they did outgained dal and chi who are pretty good defenses...
i hear you on those mls and that kind of week or whatever,,i really like a few of those but who knows..chi and den it real hard for me to make much argument against playing but obviously someone disagrees..
im almost for sure i gotta join the "squareside" with broncos, sometimes it hip to be square and nfl loves Peyton stories, there for sure few reason why i understand the cincy money but just dont think the enough to outweigh the Manning factor, and this 1st time all yr i havnt faded den on road so it not like my den perception is screwed up dammit! i been pretty on point w them and i think "squares" rejoice as Peyton showers them with money! (lol),,,,
then books rejoice as everyone chasing this det line as it steams and det wins by 1 in the last second (lol), not sure i believe that but i have no interest in the lions..im almost tempted to play jags+3 1st half but not sure im that crazy yet..
bears i dont know i gotta look more i kinda lean bears but dont exactly trust them, kinda lean over but have to be sure when hasslebeck drives that he can finish with tds as we know chi let him move between 20s and he will take the underneath stuff but that shit kills a lot of clock if they dont come away with a few tds..
no interest in the big spread gms,,gb laying to many with all the banged up wrs and defenders,,zona pass d not bad think they can hang around...hou should just steamroll bills but im terrible with layin dd so ill just hope foster kills it for my fantasy team
as of right now i have seachickens picked in one of my knockout pools so obviously i like them as im trying to win that bitch,,not sure if i bet them on top of that as that important to me already and for whatever reason this gm feels strange even tho everything tells me sea should roll...
phi gm i really havnt got to but i seriously doubt id play anything besides phi in some way..Comment -
8 Picks
NFL Weekly Handicapping Contest - WK9
NFL
Miami
Indianapolis00:00
0-
-INDIANAPOLIS +3 (-130) [General] 1.30 1.00 
Carolina
Washington00:00
0-
-WASHINGTON -3 (-120) [General] 1.20 1.00 Buffalo
Houston00:00
0-
-Under 47.5 (-110) [General]3.30 3.00 Denver
Cincinnati00:00
0-
-CINCINNATI +3 (+110) [General] 1.00 1.10 Baltimore
Cleveland00:00
0-
-CLEVELAND +3.5 (-110) [General]3.30 3.00 Tampa Bay
Oakland00:00
0-
-OAKLAND -1 (-110) [General] 1.10 1.00 Pittsburgh
Ny Giants00:00
0-
-PITTSBURGH +3 (+100) [General] 1.00 1.00 Dallas
Atlanta00:00
0-
-DALLAS +4.5 (-110) [General] 1.10 1.00 Comment -
playing Stillers +3 and teasing Colts/Bengals. not sure about rest. looking closer at your TB/OAK over right now. also like Ravens/Browns over 42, BUF/HOU under 47', CAR/WAS over 48, MIN/SEA under 38'Comment -
love the quick breakdowns. Im with you on all of this. did a bunch of parlays with one of Den/Chi/Det ML taken out of the parlays.i lean panthers but not real enthusiastic bout it..i do think if teams can limit skins run gm including rg3 that it makes things a lot tougher on him as a passer and his avg wrs..panthers run d has been much better last 3 gms and they have faced some decent rushing teams, would think there enough tape to scheme rg3 a little so i expect skins offense to be way more avg than great again this week, like 20 point range.. other side skins prob just the defense panthers need to get something going, they did outgained dal and chi who are pretty good defenses...
i hear you on those mls and that kind of week or whatever,,i really like a few of those but who knows..chi and den it real hard for me to make much argument against playing but obviously someone disagrees..
im almost for sure i gotta join the "squareside" with broncos, sometimes it hip to be square and nfl loves Peyton stories, there for sure few reason why i understand the cincy money but just dont think the enough to outweigh the Manning factor, and this 1st time all yr i havnt faded den on road so it not like my den perception is screwed up dammit! i been pretty on point w them and i think "squares" rejoice as Peyton showers them with money! (lol),,,,
then books rejoice as everyone chasing this det line as it steams and det wins by 1 in the last second (lol), not sure i believe that but i have no interest in the lions..im almost tempted to play jags+3 1st half but not sure im that crazy yet..
bears i dont know i gotta look more i kinda lean bears but dont exactly trust them, kinda lean over but have to be sure when hasslebeck drives that he can finish with tds as we know chi let him move between 20s and he will take the underneath stuff but that shit kills a lot of clock if they dont come away with a few tds..
no interest in the big spread gms,,gb laying to many with all the banged up wrs and defenders,,zona pass d not bad think they can hang around...hou should just steamroll bills but im terrible with layin dd so ill just hope foster kills it for my fantasy team
as of right now i have seachickens picked in one of my knockout pools so obviously i like them as im trying to win that bitch,,not sure if i bet them on top of that as that important to me already and for whatever reason this gm feels strange even tho everything tells me sea should roll...
phi gm i really havnt got to but i seriously doubt id play anything besides phi in some way..
Kept Gb, Hou, Bal and Sea ML as my locks.
got a little gun-shy with all my respected capper friends telling me not to take seattle on the spread. i still really like their value, and i agree this game is a bit weird... hoping seattle's oversized defensive backs will be able to jam & contain harvin cuz he's the vikings' key today.
far as car/was goes i already posted my prop bet cuz I think Cam has a huge game today. like you said carolina can put drives together and we all know how bad haslett's garbage washington secondary is. I took carolina ML on one fun ticket and teased them on another. why the penetrate not. degen in me. ive backed carolina 3 times all year. not like im some homer
the f*cking bengals have killed me in games like this so many times over the years otherwise I would have no doubt in denver today. manning has looked like an MVP and while I agree the no-huddle doesn't travel well, manning seems to be getting his hand signals down and its not like cincy is an offensive juggernaut themselves. think the bengals remain to be easily one of the most overrated teams this year.
didn't mention baltimore before and I know you won't back them here bank , but I like them a lot. their pussy ass no huddle is pathetic, i have to admit. but cleveland is vanilla. im convinced baltimore getting raped into the bye has to motivate them in this game. as im typing this im thinkin maybe 1st half ML is better. if there was one spread Id play today it would be this one, but at the end of the day in this divisional matchup Id be stupid if I didnt expect a possibility of a close game. another trap spread where I end up just taking ML.
sidenote. my site (sportsbook) is dumb and lets me parlay det+2 with det ML..am i really stoned or this retarted? Im able to parlay all these ML's with the same game teased.. Bal ML, Bal +2.5 etc
Its making my parlays double the payout.Comment -
holy shit, i just woke up and see lines are going crazy....Comment -
Cinci and Pittsburgh are the only 2 I'm worried about............8 Picks
NFL Weekly Handicapping Contest - WK9
NFL
Miami
Indianapolis00:00
0-
-INDIANAPOLIS +3 (-130) [General] 1.30 1.00 Carolina
Washington00:00
0-
-WASHINGTON -3 (-120) [General] 1.20 1.00 Buffalo
Houston00:00
0-
-Under 47.5 (-110) [General]3.30 3.00 Denver
Cincinnati00:00
0-
-CINCINNATI +3 (+110) [General] 1.00 1.10 Baltimore
Cleveland00:00
0-
-CLEVELAND +3.5 (-110) [General]3.30 3.00 Tampa Bay
Oakland00:00
0-
-OAKLAND -1 (-110) [General] 1.10 1.00 Pittsburgh
Ny Giants00:00
0-
-PITTSBURGH +3 (+100) [General] 1.00 1.00 Dallas
Atlanta00:00
0-
-DALLAS +4.5 (-110) [General] 1.10 1.00 Comment -
well ya know i like pit, teaser looks good as well....only total i disagree with out of those is car/was and it not like im looking to play against, think panther d has been quietly improving and also think there has to be a book starting to get wrote on rg3, lets be real the way offense structured it making some things easy on him and i think teams will start to take those things away, i put that a few points under the total but way to scared to play a under with these 2....i like all the others, not sure id play hou/buf un but dont disagree..balt/cle ov and sea un both plays i could get behind..what kind of numbers you have for chi/ten gm?Comment -
3 team ml parlay +146
broncos
texans
seachickensComment -
i know i just ml'ed broncos but the mush just called and guess who he on? that right den so as always we eat this jackwagons plays as ive never seen a guy miss gms like this kid...
cin+5 .5 to .55..as always i get the3 juice
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gonna try and take adv of the steam here and be slick....
jax +3.5 1st half....jags been getting crushed at home so maybe im crazy but can that really keep up? we getting 3.5 against a team that is notorious for slow starts, plays dumb, undisciplined fb, and my guess despite their record coming in like they the superior team..maybe im asking to much from a bad jags team but think they can stick around against det for a half at least....Comment -
any props you really like today jinx?Comment -
day light savings ruining my brain. should be watching some football right now! i think jinx posted he had cam passing over a few posts backComment
