Originally posted by suicidekings
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This shit right HEEEERE. THIS SHIT IS WHY I HAVE THIS THREAD BOOKMARKED.
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what will this line reopen at though? We were already seeing heavy Detroit money and if Harvin is out I wouldn't be surprised to see Det laying 3 or more... really wish I jumped on the Lions at the openComment -
yea dex all i can come up with is with the new rules it basically like a vacation for them so their bags are packed and ready to get out of town for a few days, hell if i know..i dont know the exact number but it pretty sick how few times the team with bye upcoming actually covers...Originally posted by DexterComment -
obviously lions number gonna be much worse with the harvin news but i agree 2 teams going the other direction,,,certainly cant argue w atl and again you got better of line...bears is curious to me, would like to hear your thoughts on that one as i lean hou pretty strongly..Originally posted by suicidekingsComment -
i see lot of you guys lean bears,,,i just dont trust this team vs a team that can rush the passer, they hav made adjustments but still have not faced many teams capable of generating pressure, think phillips will bring serious heat on cutler and until he and th oline prove to me they can handle that i cant ride with them,,,to me hou with any kind of plus money is the way i wanna go...i gonna look at few things im curious about right now and see if i still feel same way..Comment -
good points, chicago's oline won't bode well against texans pass rush but it's not the worst disadvantage. most books have this relatively even on the money line and it's only 1 point bank. Chicago's defense, in my limited opinion, can stop Texans..maybe even continue to dominate. One could make a case for both sides, should be a great game.Originally posted by 2daBankComment -
Originally posted by JayLA
no disrespect to bears defense they are very good and very opportunistic in forcing turnovers, however they have seen a lot of offenses that arnt exactly the most efficient types, shaub isnt gonna make bunch of mistakes and id bet anything bears dont score a defensive td in this gm...last 3 gms teams have success rushing on bears allowing 125 ypg and a 5.2 ypc avg, i dont see why hou run gm doesnt travel to the windy city...bears are great at limiting teams and even taking ball away when they get in the red zone but hou is no slouches offensively down there, i think foster will get his, daniels will be a headache for their linebackers and shaub will take what they give him (bears are built to let you move between the 20s if you are patient), sure that will prob lead to a lot of fgs and maybe 1 or 2 tds max but on other side the 2 teams bears have played that bring legit pressure (det and gb) the struggled terribly generating offense, when chi moves the ball red zone been a issue all yr and hou can play d when they get in tight quarters,, i agree it will be a great gm but im looking at a score like 20-16 texans, i love the bears but i thought hou could have won the superbowl last yr if it wasnt for the injuries (could prob say same about bears tho) and i still think right now this is the best team...Comment -
play #1
oak/balt ov 46 1.5x...i have no idea why this number dipped nor do i know where it going but i feel ok here... this has to be 3rd week or so im gonna talk about how much oaktown chucks the ball (a lot),,im sure balty will figure things out w/o webb cause that who they are but moore and dhb will have opportunities, sure palmer turn it over a few times but that only helps..more importantly this be a great gm for balty offense to go back to looking high powered at home against a team a lot of teams look good against..the formula pretty simple, balty has given up a ton of red zone chances, oak gets in the red zone a bunch but suck at cashing them all in, balty gonna have the no huddle moving or be going 3 and out a lot, i tend to think the no huddle gets humming and we know oak gonna throw it 40 times,,,i think lot of clock stoppages and lot of points..lets call it 31-23 ravens...Comment -
play #2Originally posted by 2daBank
nyj+6 1.5x.....already talked about plenty, in the end feel this is to many points...
play #3
2 team 6.5 point teaser 1.5x
balt-1.5
hou+7.5Comment -
gonna skip the thu night 1st half under this week, 1st time all year gonna pass, hard to do being 7-2 but the ones that have missed i wanted to pass on and didnt...tonight just dont think we have a good gm for a under, colts d is banged the hell up on a short week, they crying in jax about the playcalling and expect they open it up some and not much better week then when a young team missing both starting corners on a short week coming in, i believe luck will get his and this will be a very close gm..... colts put up over 400 yrds of offense the 1st time and only came away with 17 points, think they can add to that total and with their piss poor passing defense gabbert will come along for the ride...i made this 44 and think better served not messing w this under....i may regret this but im doing a total 180 and actually gonna bet this over as i think both teams get into the 20s, over on thu night, i feel kinda dirty, for whatever reason been playing a lot of overs lately (again not like me) but been doing pretty well with them....
indy/jax ov 42 1x..hopefully jax comes out fired up and puts some points on the board forcing Luck to play catch up, if not colts will prob spank them and still potential for over is there...Comment -
LOL @ feeling dirty playing over...u a trip banker
Glad you aren't taking TEN+pts...dont like being on opposite sides of you
I feel strange not having any real money riding anymore, only SBR points for now.
as far as my fav. Thurs. Night bet under 1H, whats the total? 42? 1H U21.5 doesnt seem too bad with shitty team(jax) vs short week colts. Ill wait til I get home to look how jax is playing but I wouldnt mind putting up some points on 1H U21.5
7-2 speaks for itself bank! LolComment -
Btw, this is great analysis. This match up comes down to whether the chicago defense is for real or not, I think they are.Teasing houston is a good move, this game is pratically a coin flip. Only two edges I see is chi oline vs houston pass rush and houston pass defense vs cutler/marshall.Originally posted by 2daBankComment -
i dont think i can lay that many win fish but i think locker gonna play and that phins defense should have that kids head spinning, i havnt seen him look like he has a fukkin clue back there yet, not sure if he learned anything during his time off as he seems to me he one of those athletic types that not all that capable of learning (i been wrong before tho)....Originally posted by JayLA
yea 7-2 aint bad but then again i didnt like the 1st half under on either of those 2 losses so i decided next time i didnt like it i wasnt playing it, and if i dont like it must mean i like the over, so what the hell, maybe i feel like retard for abandoning a autobet that been really good to us or a genius for jumping off at right time (still plenty more weeks im sure i will bet it), who knows but this just has a feel of a gm that would serve the nfl better if it was a shootout and with all colts injuries id suspect even gabbert will have some success...dont get me wrong there a chance this a real shitfest and that what thu night 1st half under all about in the 1st place, i mean im asking a lot out of a jax team that avg like 2 scoring chances a gm here, just hoping bad defense overrides bad offense here...Comment -
I learned a few weeks ago my new rule is I dont bet totals on games you aren't.Originally posted by 2daBank
made some extra $ on ncaa last night gonna look for some props , but im really struggling to find some degen bets tonight. few days ago I planned to make a small parlay bet with the colts into sunday, but I could easily see either team winning this sh*t game. considering even taking jack in some pick em pools im in just for sh*ts and gigzComment -
Great stuff , on the same page here, i want to see Bears offensive line tested by a good front 7. i don't believe the Bears can open things up for Forte. he's a great back but been doing it on his own. i want to see the Bears sustain some drives against this D, a drive that doesn't start at the opponent 30 yard line off a turnover. i don't think they can do it.Originally posted by 2daBankComment -
teams playing this week with bye in wk 11:Originally posted by Dexter
min,nyg,sea,tenComment -
Teams heading into the bye week are now 1-14 ATS, discounting the games where one pre-bye team faced off against another. The Jets were the only team to fall into this category on Sunday, with the 49ers pending on Monday Night. This trend is still very live; 0-3 ATS over the past two weeks.Originally posted by imarkp
copied from Teddy_Covers BlogComment -
DET+3, and MIA-6 look better with this stat in mind, thanks.Originally posted by imarkp
Since I think this will be a low scoring affair, with Jags on top at home: These prop bets made sense to me...Originally posted by jinxpro13
SBR POINTS
Good luck everyoneNov 08 08:20 PM Internet / -1 TNT COLTS VS JAGUARS,TEAM TO SCORE FIRST
[2] JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS +1059.52 / 10.00 Nov 08 08:20 PM Internet / -1 TNT COLTS VS JAGUARS, FIRST SCORE OF THE GAME
[2] FIELD GOAL OR SAFETY +1059.52 / 10.00 Nov 08 08:20 PM Internet / -1 TNT COLTS VS JAGUARS,TOTAL FIELD GOALS
[1] OVER 3.5 +1258.00 / 10.00 Comment -
Originally posted by 2daBank
still not sure how thrilled i am that i dumped the 1st half under this week but got better of the line at least, not that it means a whole lot, still better than getting home and seeing it dropped a point
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end up passing on the under this week bank?Comment -
no props I like tonight.
ended up playing the jags at +3.5
hunch betComment -
im on the opposite side jinx :/ but super small just for some kind of reason to watch this gameComment -
i hear u buddy have no real lean on this game started the week leaning indy but this is jacksonville's super bowl tonight... grass. road game for indy.. lol i dunno im a degenOriginally posted by groovybrandoneComment -
A few reasons I like the Bears. I don't like Kubiak as a HC. I think the edge of Smith vs Kubiak is actually pretty significant in a tight game. Also, the Bears easy schedule keeps getting mentioned, but Houston has also had a fairly easy run, with their tougher games being against the Ravens after BAL had suffered HUGE losses on defense, and the Broncos & Dolphins before those teams really came together into their current form. Both teams got beaten down by the Packers.Originally posted by 2daBank
I think the Bears defensive scheme is well designed to handle Houston's offense, and they should take away much of Schaub's play action downfield passing game. The Texans are going to have to earn their points with long drives. The Texans are much weaker in the secondary, relying on generating pressure at the LOS to prevent opponents passing. I think we're going to see a lot of Cutler playing in the shotgun and quick passing & screens whenever Wade Phillips dials up the blitz. The Bears will be prepared for an aggressive pass rush and compensate with an extra tight end in to block. Forte and Bush need to make blocks in protection at times, but overall, I like Cutler to have a pretty decent game and the Bears to continue to play mistake-free ball and force houston to make big plays.
Additionally, the Texans haven't left Houston in a month. Now they're being asked to go on the road to a very tough venue for SNF that will most likely be very windy. I think the Bears will be well prepared for this game.Comment -
yep totally switched up and played gm over,,,looks like im gonna look like a asshole as it gonna stay under 1st half,,,that said the scoring chances were there for both teams and glad i passed and def think gm total is going over..Originally posted by groovybrandoneComment -
What's the 1H Thursday under record now Banker?Comment -
clearly should have gone over.Originally posted by 2daBankComment -
8 - 2Originally posted by No coincidencesComment -
thanks for the reply bro,,i am sure bears will be prepared, think both teams will be....honestly i think bears d sets up ok for hou, obviously they tough to punch it in against but they will let hou move between the 20s if shaub patient, as i mentioned bears have been getting run on quite a bit as of late and think daniels will own the middle of the field against those linebackers,,i do think hou can be a little over aggressive at times and wouldnt surprise me if chi picked up blitz at least once and hit them for a big play as leaving a corner on a island vs marshall scarey no matter who it is..., but for most part i feel like between 2 teams i have much less confidence in bears offense, i agree hou hasnt exactly played a great schedule either and i dont knock the bears for theirs, however that d has seen a lot of really bad offenses and that o has not looked good against defenses with a pulse,,,fair point about hou being at home for so long but i always feel like run gm and defense travel so im not to worried about it...should be a heck of a gm, so far all i have is hou teased up to +7.5 but good chance i play them str8 (especially if i can get + money)...thoughts on final score? i have 20-16 hou so obviously lean under as well...Originally posted by suicidekingsComment -
that had over all over it, and a lot of f ups in the red zone that held it back. bad beat. i stayed out since i was in meetings all day and couldnt even get the bet inComment -
Originally posted by No coincidences
Originally posted by jinxpro13
yep 8-2,,,didnt play this one tho, guess i could beat myself up over it but i capped the scoring chances pretty spot on, i mean jags missed easy fg, and both had turnovers in scoring range...funny tho, the 2 times i dont lay off when i know i should they sneak over, this time i lay off and bitch sneaks under...gotta say it was hell of autoplay concept tho..still think this gm goes over, hopefully, then i wont feel too bad bout passing on 1st half under money train...
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luckily only on gm over,,,sux passing on a winner but felt in was the right thing to do,,,i have the over 42 and i live bet it ov 35.5...still think those both hit,,would def have preferred if jags took early lead tho..Originally posted by groovybrandoneComment -
finally gabbert contributed to the scoring
now get 1 for your team asshole!Comment -
hahahah. colts can jump everyone of these routesComment -
never understood who the fukk decided drafting him in top 10 was a good idea, think ive mentioned before i watched him a ton in college and never thought he be a good pro,,check down king...Originally posted by groovybrandoneComment
