Banker throwin darts at the NFL (all season!)

jinxpro13 · 11-05-12, 03:19 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

where jinxy at with some mnf props? i have no good answer for who to play in this gm as we get 2 teams there no way anyone should haver any faith in right now,,,gun to head id take the + money on philly but dont really like it...need some props jinxy! looking at mccoy props but dont trust reid to give him ball enough to go over 90.5 rushing yrds, which i had the combined prop with rushing and receiving yrds but i do not,,his receiving yards prop is 27.5 and that a tempting over i think, although admittedly not sure how many passes he been catching out of the backfield lately...

forget the score and who wins the game philly's offense ranks 28th in the league.. pathetic.. but saints defense dead last in the league with 474.4 yards allowed per game! wouldn't be surprised to see mccoy get a quarter of that himself. love this mccoy prop !! im dropping a unit on this.

andy reid repeat after me: FEED MCCOY THE BALL!!

also taking the over on the maclin prop.. 69.5 yards.

those are the only two offensive philly props Im offered. would love to see a vick prop Id probably jump on as I think an injury is the only thing stopping him from a huge game tonight.

another i like: Pierre Thomas - Total Rushing Yards under 52.5
love the way this dude runs & he's actually been catching a few balls this year BEFORE sproles was out giving him some extra value, but he never gets enough touches to do anything productive even when the saints are in a game. I dont think Pierre will get more than 12 carries tonight even with Sproles out. with a # this low he could rip one semi-long run and blow the prop on one play, but he only has one long run of 48 yards this year and that was against the panthers' pathetic run D back in week 2.

Dexter · 11-05-12, 03:20 PM

2da - what are your thoughts on tonights game? i do think points get scored, but have flipped my feelings on the side and decided to back brees and the saints -3......do you feel sproles not being there will take away from the saints offensive production? personally i think pierre thomas will fill in well for sproles in those passing down situations. i see something like 33-27 saints...

Dexter · 11-05-12, 03:21 PM

Originally posted by jinxpro13

another i like: Pierre Thomas - Total Rushing Yards under 52.5
love the way this dude runs & he's actually been catching a few balls this year giving him some extra value, but he never gets enough touches to do anything productive even when the saints are in a game. with a # this low he could rip one semi-long run and blow the prop on one play, but he only has one long run of 48 yards this year and that was against the panthers' pathetic run D back in week 2.

are you aware that he is taking over sproles role in the offense tonight? that play still may be good, as i think he'll have a ton of receiving yards.

jinxpro13 · 11-05-12, 03:23 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

are you aware that he is taking over sproles role in the offense tonight? that play still may be good, as i think he'll have a ton of receiving yards.

the saints don't run the ball.
sproles' roll is catch balls and run it 4 -5 times.

I don't think they will have a lead in this game to protect either. too many passes per usual for the saints tonight.

i see you're on the saints' side. If i was on the saints tonight Id be more inclined to take the over on the thomas prop. but ure right... the fact that the prop didn't give me total rushing & receiving jumped out to me and is why i liked it. he should have a huge game receiving.

2daBank · 11-05-12, 03:40 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

2da - what are your thoughts on tonights game? i do think points get scored, but have flipped my feelings on the side and decided to back brees and the saints -3......do you feel sproles not being there will take away from the saints offensive production? personally i think pierre thomas will fill in well for sproles in those passing down situations. i see something like 33-27 saints...

a guy a talk with from the big easy tells me the world will come to know this name Tavaris Cadet, i know nothing of this kid (believe he a undrafted fa from tulane, dont quote me on that tho), but apparently the staff likes him and he is a sproles type..again this coming from a Aints homer so not sure how reliable this is cause those cajon fukks a little crazy....

such a tough gm, think i have bet against saints damn near every gm as i cant stand teams that dont play d...then again i have bet phi more than i care to talk about and pretty much sick of them...far as side goes i honestly have no clue, i lean to phi ml simply cause nothing would surprise me and guess i rather just have the + money in a gm like this ( i do think yu will be able to find a -2.5 on Aints if that your liking sometime today)...

i think the total is slightly inflated despite Aints no defense policy,,, i have 9 scoring chances max combined in this gm, despite saints horrific red zone defense im willing to bet phi stops themselves at least a few times when they get in scoring range, on other side saints cash red zone trips in better than most but phi red zone d pretty stout..out of the 9 red zone trips i see in this gm i think 6 tds is the ceiling which puts us at 42 on tds and then 3 fgs assuming phi doesnt turn it over instead of kick,,i set it at 51 so feel like number a touch high but in gm like this id feel a lot better with more cushion..i think phi defense much better than they played last week but hard to trust this group, i lean under but havnt talked myself into pulling the trigger, whatever i do it will be just small degen action cause i promise i wouldnt touch this if it was sunday morning when i have 8 other gms to choose from..

2daBank · 11-05-12, 03:44 PM

Originally posted by jinxpro13

forget the score and who wins the game philly's offense ranks 28th in the league.. pathetic.. but saints defense dead last in the league with 474.4 yards allowed per game! wouldn't be surprised to see mccoy get a quarter of that himself. love this mccoy prop !! im dropping a unit on this.

andy reid repeat after me: FEED MCCOY THE BALL!!

also taking the over on the maclin prop.. 69.5 yards.

those are the only two offensive philly props Im offered. would love to see a vick prop Id probably jump on as I think an injury is the only thing stopping him from a huge game tonight.

another i like: Pierre Thomas - Total Rushing Yards under 52.5
love the way this dude runs & he's actually been catching a few balls this year BEFORE sproles was out giving him some extra value, but he never gets enough touches to do anything productive even when the saints are in a game. I dont think Pierre will get more than 12 carries tonight even with Sproles out. with a # this low he could rip one semi-long run and blow the prop on one play, but he only has one long run of 48 yards this year and that was against the panthers' pathetic run D back in week 2.

which mccoy prop? the over 90.5 rushing or 27.5 receiving? i dont have a combined option at dsi or bovada

2daBank · 11-05-12, 03:52 PM

this pretty fascinating,,just went back and looked at mccoy in the pass gm this year and despite the fact he has caught at least 3 passes in every gm (as many as 8 in others) he has yet to get over 27 yards total,,,,that is nuts, really says a lot about a team that used to be one of the best screen teams in the nfl...

Dexter · 11-05-12, 04:29 PM

how do you go about forecasting your scoring chances for the game? im sure you're not doing this on Madden...ha

jinxpro13 · 11-05-12, 04:35 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

which mccoy prop? the over 90.5 rushing or 27.5 receiving? i dont have a combined option at dsi or bovada

mann that receiving prop looks nice bro. very tough choice. why not do both? degen it up

2daBank · 11-05-12, 04:38 PM

Originally posted by Dexter

how do you go about forecasting your scoring chances for the game? im sure you're not doing this on Madden...ha

lol..no i stopped using madden as my projector last year when i got creamed,,lol...

i use several things, how many chances teams are avg getting/giving up, total yrds i think both teams will amass, where i think the special teams will have them starting from, the always proven eye test (lol), then i take it all and with my nonsensical math i come up with a number range and go from there..hardly scientific and i honestly couldnt even put in words how i weight each thing as it varies quite a bit...

2daBank · 11-05-12, 04:41 PM

Originally posted by jinxpro13

mann that receiving prop looks nice bro. very tough choice. why not do both? degen it up

lol,,,yea it did look nice until i looked up how he done in the receiving gm...i posted the numbers above...

jinxpro13 · 11-05-12, 04:45 PM

check out the size of this parlay i got going. one of 7 live parlay tickets LMAO

93189356	2012-11-04 12:50:27 AM	OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS @ KANSAS STATE WILDCATS / MONEY LINE / KANSAS STATE WILDCATS @ -300	OPEN	PENDING	PARLAY	10CAD	0CAD	939.01CAD
93189356	2012-11-04 12:50:27 AM	ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE @ LOUISIANA STATE TIGERS / MONEY LINE / ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE @ -325	OPEN	PENDING	PARLAY	10CAD	0CAD	939.01CAD
93189356	2012-11-04 12:50:27 AM	DETROIT LIONS @ JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS / MONEY LINE / DETROIT LIONS @ -225	OPEN	PENDING	PARLAY	10CAD	0CAD	939.01CAD
93189356	2012-11-04 12:50:27 AM	BUFFALO BILLS @ HOUSTON TEXANS / MONEY LINE / HOUSTON TEXANS @ -500	OPEN	PENDING	PARLAY	10CAD	0CAD	939.01CAD
93189356	2012-11-04 12:50:27 AM	BALTIMORE RAVENS @ CLEVELAND BROWNS / MONEY LINE / BALTIMORE RAVENS @ -200	OPEN	PENDING	PARLAY	10CAD	0CAD	939.01CAD
93189356	2012-11-04 12:50:27 AM	DENVER BRONCOS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS / MONEY LINE / DENVER BRONCOS @ -190	OPEN	PENDING	PARLAY	10CAD	0CAD	939.01CAD
93189356	2012-11-04 12:50:27 AM	CHICAGO BEARS @ TENNESSEE TITANS / MONEY LINE / CHICAGO BEARS @ -180	OPEN	PENDING	PARLAY	10CAD	0CAD	939.01CAD
93189356	2012-11-04 12:50:27 AM	ARIZONA CARDINALS @ GREEN BAY PACKERS / MONEY LINE / GREEN BAY PACKERS @ -500	OPEN	PENDING	PARLAY	10CAD	0CAD	939.01CAD
93189356	2012-11-04 12:50:27 AM	MINNESOTA VIKINGS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS / MONEY LINE / SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ -225	OPEN	PENDING	PARLAY	10CAD	0CAD	939.01CAD
93189356	2012-11-04 12:50:27 AM	PHILADELPHIA EAGLES @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS / MONEY LINE / PHILADELPHIA EAGLES @ +140	OPEN	PENDING	PARLAY	10CAD	0CAD	939.01CAD
93189356	2012-11-04 12:50:27 AM	PITTSBURGH STEELERS @ NEW YORK GIANTS / POINT SPREAD 7 / PITTSBURGH STEELERS (+10) @ -357(3)	OPEN	PENDING	PARLAY	10CAD	0CAD	939.01CAD
93189356	2012-11-04 12:50:27 AM	TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS @ OAKLAND RAIDERS / POINT SPREAD 7 / TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (+8) @ -357(1)	OPEN	PENDING	PARLAY	10CAD	0CAD	939.01CAD
93189356	2012-11-04 12:50:27 AM	DALLAS COWBOYS @ ATLANTA FALCONS / POINT SPREAD 7 / ATLANTA FALCONS (+3) @ -357(-4)	OPEN	PENDING	PARLAY	10CAD	0CAD	939.01CA

jinxpro13 · 11-05-12, 04:46 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

lol,,,yea it did look nice until i looked up how he done in the receiving gm...i posted the numbers above...

Originally posted by 2daBank

this pretty fascinating,,just went back and looked at mccoy in the pass gm this year and despite the fact he has caught at least 3 passes in every gm (as many as 8 in others) he has yet to get over 27 yards total,,,,that is nuts, really says a lot about a team that used to be one of the best screen teams in the nfl...

don't you think that if mccoy gets 3 screens in this game he goes over that yardage easily?
The Saints can't tackle bro.

groovybrandone · 11-05-12, 05:02 PM

i had one of those last week jinx, but i picked wash for some reason -_-. everything else hit. had 9 teamer

2daBank · 11-05-12, 05:09 PM

Originally posted by jinxpro13

don't you think that if mccoy gets 3 screens in this game he goes over that yardage easily?
The Saints can't tackle bro.

yea i think that,,,mjust saying it was pretty surpirsing when i wen tback and looked at gm logs and even gms where he had 7-8 catches he still never topped 27 freaking yards,,,think it safe to say phi screen gm isnt what it used to be, prob cause of the oline, just kinda shocked me as i always think of them as a god screen team...maybe they should worry bout this more than who their qb is..

jinxpro13 · 11-05-12, 05:13 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

yea i think that,,,mjust saying it was pretty surpirsing when i wen tback and looked at gm logs and even gms where he had 7-8 catches he still never topped 27 freaking yards,,,think it safe to say phi screen gm isnt what it used to be, prob cause of the oline, just kinda shocked me as i always think of them as a god screen team...maybe they should worry bout this more than who their qb is..

lmao ya true.. not sure wtf nick fowles will do for them... when i think back a few years with reid's eagles i remember westbrook getting over 100 yards off screens every other game it seemed. also think mccoy is more talented than westbrook ever was.

jinxpro13 · 11-05-12, 05:15 PM

Originally posted by groovybrandone

i had one of those last week jinx, but i picked wash for some reason -_-. everything else hit. had 9 teamer

ive already cashed a few this week as you know i always do huge favorite ML parlays with college/nfl every weekend. considering hedging tonight.. but i was confident in the pick when i made it for a reason. ill prob drop a very small amount on the saints just to protect myself from havin a seizure from anger watching the game tonight. wish me luck b

2daBank · 11-05-12, 05:19 PM

no doubt he more talented than westbrook.... and i still wanna play the over prop on receiving yrds, maybe it telling that they setting it higher than a total he has produced all yr? i dunno...but yea aints tackling is shit, i would think he could pop one but again you have to have lineman capable of getting out in front on screens or it dont matter who catching them,,the rushing yrds is putting to much faith in reid actually running the ball for me...

imarkp · 11-05-12, 05:20 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

this pretty fascinating,,just went back and looked at mccoy in the pass gm this year and despite the fact he has caught at least 3 passes in every gm (as many as 8 in others) he has yet to get over 27 yards total,,,,that is nuts, really says a lot about a team that used to be one of the best screen teams in the nfl...

missing 2 key starters on O line, kelce and esp. peters who is one of best pulling lineman in the league. had no problem taking out 2 players on 1 play. watkins is also out. after decent rookie season was having problems this year. no idea why they took him in first round last year. was 26 yr old with little experience. another bum 1st rd pick who wasn't expected to be drafted before 3rd round. 2010 and 2011 drafts are big reason eagles are where they are. too many free agents and not enough home grown talent. many of their other flaws have been written here before.

all that being said, tonite is make or break. their season is on the line. at 2-5 saints are already done. they still have brees. no. 1 passing offense, worst rushing.

with dallas, wash, and nyg losing yest. a little extra incentive. if they win tonite, with dallas coming to philly next wk...they can be right back in it. already have win against nyg. liking pts and over.

jinxpro13 · 11-05-12, 05:21 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

he rushing yrds is putting to much faith in reid actually running the ball for me...

u make a good point. still looking at making my bets right now. still would like to gamble on the risk of andy using him. degen in me.

2daBank · 11-05-12, 05:26 PM

Originally posted by imarkp

missing 2 key starters on O line, kelce and esp. peters who is one of best pulling lineman in the league. had no problem taking out 2 players on 1 play. watkins is also out. after decent rookie season was having problems this year. no idea why they took him in first round last year. was 26 yr old with little experience. another bum 1st rd pick who wasn't expected to be drafted before 3rd round. 2010 and 2011 drafts are big reason eagles are where they are. too many free agents and not enough home grown talent. many of their other flaws have been written here before.

all that being said, tonite is make or break. their season is on the line. at 2-5 saints are already done. they still have brees. no. 1 passing offense, worst rushing.

with dallas, wash, and nyg losing yest. a little extra incentive. if they win tonite, with dallas coming to philly next wk...they can be right back in it. already have win against nyg. liking pts and over.

sure aints are done but not like they a team that gonna quit,,im so sick of getting burnt by philly, whether they win or not tonight they not making playoffs.. no point in taking the points, if you like phi take the + money...disagree on total but i been wrong plenty and im sure this wont be the last time...

jinxpro13 · 11-05-12, 05:26 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

sure aints are done but not like they a team that gonna quit,,im so sick of getting burnt by philly, whether they win or not tonight they not making playoffs.. no point in taking the points, if you like phi take the + money...disagree on total but i been wrong plenty and im sure this wont be the last time...

interesting stat.

faves in philly games this year are 0 - 7 ATS.
i forget how many times phlly was favored.. probably most lol

2daBank · 11-05-12, 05:27 PM

Originally posted by jinxpro13

u make a good point. still looking at making my bets right now. still would like to gamble on the risk of andy using him. degen in me.

you dont have enough action already? lol

jinxpro13 · 11-05-12, 05:28 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

you dont have enough action already? lol

no

2daBank · 11-05-12, 05:28 PM

Originally posted by jinxpro13

interesting stat.

faves in philly games this year are 0 - 7 ATS.
i forget how many times phlly was favored..

only gm i remember them being the dog was against pit,,might not be only time but we had phi in that one and remember covering...

2daBank · 11-05-12, 05:55 PM

well talked about it plenty, just playing small as i honestly wouldnt play this game if it was on sunday...

phi/no un 52

2 team parlay +320

phi/no 1st half un 26
phi ml

still might play a few props for fun but seriously i have no idea on this gm so i wouldnt take these plays all that serious..been doing well so not gonna kill me throwing a little away being a degen tonight..

groovybrandone · 11-05-12, 05:57 PM

on the same parlay bank, lets get em

jinxpro13 · 11-05-12, 07:00 PM

just made the definition of a degen bet

Philadelphia Eagles @ New Orleans Saints
First Touchdown Scorer: Vick, Michael

groovybrandone · 11-05-12, 07:12 PM

big play jinx! i laid off the props as didnt have a lot of time to go through it :/. got stuck doing actual work

BiffTFinancial · 11-05-12, 07:45 PM

tailing under small.

Bank, what do you think about McCaskill in MO race? she's -475 right now and i'm looking to wrap a parlay. gimme the view from the ground.

2daBank · 11-05-12, 08:12 PM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

tailing under small.

Bank, what do you think about McCaskill in MO race? she's -475 right now and i'm looking to wrap a parlay. gimme the view from the ground.

Lol, I don't do politics bro

2daBank · 11-05-12, 08:22 PM

1 more play..

Aints Tt un 27.5 +105....

Out at the bar, boss buying me a steak, can't beat that, will post anything I play at half,. Gl every1

BiffTFinancial · 11-05-12, 08:37 PM

Originally posted by 2daBank

Lol, I don't do politics bro

well, i don't care for politics, i'm just looking to make some loot on a Tuesday. i hear ya, though. i feel good about that weed initiative in Colorado.

2daBank · 11-05-12, 10:15 PM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

well, i don't care for politics, i'm just looking to make some loot on a Tuesday. i hear ya, though. i feel good about that weed initiative in Colorado.

i honestly dont even know who the candidates are, ive heard of that mccaskill bitch but no fukkin clue what she does, prob makes laws that fukk me over is my best answer....id prefer they all got shot, is there a prob for that?

2daBank · 11-05-12, 10:20 PM

well that pick 6 pretty much burnt any chance of hitting aints tt un so gonna double dip the total..

phi/no un 24.5 2nd half....