When the spread doesn't move, follow the money

[McRich]

I am wagering on UTEP +2 and Colorado St. +5.5 for RLM plays.

[McRich]

Sun. RLM record was 1-3 NFL 0-1 NCAABB 1-2.

Overall record is 49-36-4. (I will stop at 100 RLM wagers)

The breakdown of RLM that I have wagered on per sport so far is:

NBA 17-12-1
NCAABB 21-15-2
NCAAF 7-5-1
NFL 4-4

[McRich]

I am wagering on the Nets for a RLM play tonight.

[roasthawg]

I am wagering on the Nets for a RLM play tonight.

Great play...I'm already on it, glad to hear it's rlm!

[smitch124]

Weird thing about that play it that it has u-turned and gone right back to the opening line

[yisman]

yep. That line has been moving back and forth all day

[McRich]

yep. That line has been moving back and forth all day

Yeah, this happens every once and awhile. Sometimes you just have to make a decision and place the wager.

[McRich]

Great play...I'm already on it, glad to hear it's rlm!

Let's cash. By the way, your NFL and NBA bet numbers are impressive. I need to follow your NFL bets. I find the NFL very difficult to cap. It seems once I have a feel for a team, then they play the opposite way the next week.
__________________
NFL 2008 (best bets thread): 66-48-1 +13.2 Units
CFB 2008 (best bets thread): 45-45-4 -4.3 Units
NBA '08-'09 (best bets thread): 121-97-7 +14.3 Units

[smitch124]

Milwaukee Bucks?

[Capybara]

Milwaukee Bucks?

I'm on the Bucks tonight! Looking great thus far. Also on the Nets, Celts (non-RLM), and Tennessee-Martin in CBB. Missed out on UC Davis, which would have cashed.

[McRich]

Milwaukee Bucks?

Darn, I missed this one. I had to go out for awhile and the number of bets didn't hit the number I liked before I went out. Too bad, they are crushing the Heat right now.

[McRich]

Mon. RLM record was 1-0. NBA 1-0.

Overall record is 50-36-4. (I will stop at 100 RLM wagers)

The breakdown of RLM that I have wagered on per sport so far is:

NBA 18-12-1
NCAABB 21-15-2
NCAAF 7-5-1
NFL 4-4

[apk2k6]

It actually went 4-0 tonight. Bucks and Nets for NBA. Tennessee Martin and Cleveland State in NCAAB. All outright winners too.

[McRich]

It actually went 4-0 tonight. Bucks and Nets for NBA. Tennessee Martin and Cleveland State in NCAAB. All outright winners too.

Yes, I missed the Bucks and Tenn Martin. I did wager on the Clev. St., but I didn't have time to post here.

[FreeFall]

Im going to try this.

Tonight the leans are going for
NHL
Carolina
Colorado
NBA
Sacramento
NCAAB
Vanderbilt

are all I see right now. Will check around 1pm to finalize them.

[smitch124]

are you fading this angle?

[smitch124]

the puck plays are RLM, but the 2 hoop plays are 1 no play now (sac/port now 45/55 but were 40/60) and Vandy has 68% of bets

[apk2k6]

the puck plays are RLM, but the 2 hoop plays are 1 no play now (sac/port now 45/55 but were 40/60) and Vandy has 68% of bets

If you're watching NHL, wouldn't Atlanta be a play also?

[smitch124]

If you're watching NHL, wouldn't Atlanta be a play also?

yes

[FreeFall]

Nope thats why they are called leans. The NBA has nothing as of now. NCAAB has nothing.

here are the NHL plays for me. I'm off the dentist.

Carolina -117 (5dimes)
Philadelphia -179 (5dimes)
Atlanta +165 (5dimes)

thats with 10 cent movement or more.

[smitch124]

Nope thats why they are called leans. The NBA has nothing as of now. NCAAB has nothing.

here are the NHL plays for me. I'm off the dentist.

Carolina -117 (5dimes)
Philadelphia -179 (5dimes)
Atlanta +165 (5dimes)

thats with 10 cent movement or more.

You mean Colorado right?

[FreeFall]

You mean Colorado right?

yes thanks for catching that. I went to go place the bets and caught it myself.

Carolina -117 (5dimes)
Colorado +167 (5dimes)
Atlanta +165 (5dimes)

[smitch124]

FreeFall which book are you looking to for the 10c line move? I started by using Pinnacle, but found their opening lines on the dogs to be too high, and too many dogs ended up qualifying, I have changed to Bookmaker as the book I use to qualify, have you found the same thing to be true?

[FreeFall]

adding
Saint Louis +125 (5dimes)

[ohdear]

Question for you all...I'm generally new to sports betting and have only bet on the NFL so far (will extend to baseball when it starts) because it's the only thing I know well at this point.

I know almost nothing about the NBA besides being a casual fan. Would it be worth it to blindly put some money on the RLM teams every night? Again...i know nothing about the NBA

[McRich]

Question for you all...I'm generally new to sports betting and have only bet on the NFL so far (will extend to baseball when it starts) because it's the only thing I know well at this point.

I know almost nothing about the NBA besides being a casual fan. Would it be worth it to blindly put some money on the RLM teams every night? Again...i know nothing about the NBA

I don't know about long term success with NBA RLM, but here are my last 31 NBA RLM results - NBA 18-12-1.

[Capybara]

Question for you all...I'm generally new to sports betting and have only bet on the NFL so far (will extend to baseball when it starts) because it's the only thing I know well at this point.

I know almost nothing about the NBA besides being a casual fan. Would it be worth it to blindly put some money on the RLM teams every night? Again...i know nothing about the NBA

Depends on how much you want to put your trust in a "system". Personally, I think it would be fine to do. As you can see by McRich's results (albeit over a relatively short period) as well as the stats others have posted, it's pretty much a winning formula over the long haul.

I can pretty much vouch for it. I myself am mostly a baseball and football capper too -- so I'd say 75% of my NBA betting and 90% of my NCAAB betting has been strictly RLM! So far so good!

[ohdear]

it seems like the worst case is you break even.

i haven't really read most of this thread but which sport produces the best RLM %'s long-term?

[BeatTheJerk]

big waste of fuking time ...........

[roasthawg]

big waste of fuking time ...........

Why?? If you have a legit argument I'd love to hear it. LT's writeup on it shows it winning pretty big over the last 2 years in every major sport and intuitively it makes sense.

[Capybara]

1-0 in NHL RLM tonight with Carolina! At least I think it was -- I know we can't really figure RLM out as clearly with hockey, but intuitively it seemed like an RLM, since most of the betting was on Montreal but the price went from -105 to -123 for Carolina. Anyway, it worked.

[Dana4U]

Atlanta and Colorado were true RLM moves in NHL tonight and they ended up being 1-1. But the difference between basketball and hockey is playing the sides versus the ML. So the payout in hockey is better since you are almost always on the dog and the dog is paying better odds.

[FreeFall]

yes thanks for catching that. I went to go place the bets and caught it myself.

Carolina -117 (5dimes)
Colorado +167 (5dimes)
Atlanta +165 (5dimes)

adding
Saint Louis +125 (5dimes)

FreeFall's Attempt

2-2-0 +.65

NHL 2-2 +.65

[FreeFall]

leans
NBA
Bucks
Atlanta
Nets
NHL
Minnesota
NCAAB
Old Dominion
UCLA(need more bets)
Austin Peay(need more bets)
Siena


bet
NHL
Columbus +153 (5dimes)
NCAAB
Cal Poly SLO +4.5 -105 (5dimes)

[smitch124]

good work FF, thanks for the heads up on those...