Betterbizness' 2014 CFL Thoughts

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  • Dharmonize
    SBR MVP
    • 10-10-10
    • 1991

    #876
    been barking loud this week... I'm gonna pass on the next round and then give it one last shot. See you in 2 weeks, gentlemen, GL!
    Comment
    • BetterBizness
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 05-20-06
      • 5737

      #877
      Originally posted by BetterBizness
      Winnipeg @ Montreal -7.5 O/U 52.5

      The only real question here, is, is the Peg Done for the year? Maybe early to say it, but after those hard losses last week, do they bounce back or do they hit up a 3 game losing streak? The way my week has gone, I’m not one to pick the sides so well, but for the record, I think Winnipeg plays tough and keeps Calvillo to under 28… If that’s the case, them getting 21 isn’t out of the question…

      Going to lay low on this one..

      2x Win/Mon Under
      Leaving the side alone
      ok.. something went right again... don't tell anyone... Had Winnipeg 2H, even ML in a couple of parlays, I had to sweat it out with KC ML in a couple of those... I mean, it was 7-3 Lions after 1Q I think...
      Comment
      • BetterBizness
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 05-20-06
        • 5737

        #878
        Originally posted by Scully
        Now that's a perfect word for Burris: 'flaky'. Well done Smitty as I think that's the descriptive word I've been searching for him for so long until now. By george, I think you've got it.
        Yesterdays key was when he missed Parker, that young reciever WIDE FN OPEN after he stepped up in the pocket mid way through the 3Q... and overthrew him by about 10 yards... It would have given them ALL the momentum in the world... INstead they punt, and I really don't remember what happened after that, except BC scoring like 20 more...
        Comment
        • BetterBizness
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 05-20-06
          • 5737

          #879
          Montreal -1 @ Edmonton O/U 54

          Montreal 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
          Win 25@Mon 23 – U54
          Ham 13@Mon 43 – O54
          Mon 21@Ham 44 - O54
          Mon 31@Cal 38 - O54
          Edm 3@Mon 27 - U54
          Mon 36@Tor 23 – O54
          Mon 26@Ham 34 - O54
          Sask 27@Mon 24 U54
          Tor 17@Mon 40 – O52.5
          Mon 39@Sask 25 – O54
          BC 26@Mon 30 – O54

          Edmonton 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
          Edm 38@Ham 23 – O54
          Cal 30@ Edm 20 – U54
          Edm 35@ Cal 7 – U54
          BC 36@Edm 1 – U54
          Edm 4@Mon 27 – U54
          Edm 16@Win 28 – U54
          Tor 25@Edm 26 – O54
          Edm 24@Cal 19 – U54
          BC 17@Edm 33 – U54
          Ham 10@Edm 28 – U54
          Edm 42@Sask 28 – O54

          Head to Head
          2011: (W7@Mon) Mon 27-4
          2010: (W2@Edm) Mon 33-23, (W12@Mon) Mon 31-14

          This is going to be a great game, and the only thing I’m really going to comment on is the fact that Montreal is really struggling, well, for being Montreal… So in the end, I’m going to say that as they continue to struggle, now on the road, beating the Esks their last 4 games straight, that it’s about time that the Eskimos bring their best game forward, and I believe it will happen tonight, on a +1 line that if you weren’t an Eskimo fan, looks pretty enticing. This whole thing SCREAMS trap, and I am going to make a medium sized play against it… I have Never met a Total I don’t like, but this game confuses me big time… I think its correlated in the sense that if the Esks win, it means they’ve kept Calvillo at a relative comfort level, say 350 yards ish… and that will hopefully keep it lower…

          3x Esks
          2x Mon/Edm Under 54
          0.5x Esks+Under 54
          Comment
          • AndyCapper
            SBR High Roller
            • 08-12-10
            • 113

            #880
            Brutal ending to kill the under. No need for the Esks to score that late TD.
            Comment
            • BetterBizness
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 05-20-06
              • 5737

              #881
              Brutal...
              Comment
              • BetterBizness
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 05-20-06
                • 5737

                #882
                BC @ Saskatchewan -1.5 O/U 50.5

                BC 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
                BC 32@Cal 19 – U50.5
                Tor 6@ BC 28 – U50.5
                BC 29@Tor 16 – U50.5
                BC 36@Edm 1 – U50.5
                Win 30@BC 17 – U50.5
                Sask 11@ BC 24 – U50.5
                BC 20@Win 25 – U50.5
                Ham 39@BC 31 – O50.5
                BC 17@Edm 33 – U50.5
                Cal 34@BC 32 – O50.5
                BC 26@Mon 30 – O50.5

                Saskatchewan 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
                Tor 20@Sask 30 – U50.5
                Sask 45@Win 23 - O50.5
                Win 7@ Sask 27 – U50.5
                Sask 18@Tor 24 – U50.5
                Cal 45@Sask 35 – O50.5
                Sask 11@BC 24 – U50.5
                Cal 22@Sask 18 – U50.5
                Sask 27@Mon 24 – U50.5
                Sask 3@Ham 33 – U50.5
                Mon 39@Sask 25 – O50.5
                Edm 42@Sask 28 – O50.5

                Head to Head
                2011 - (W6@BC) BC 24-11
                2010 – Saskatchewan 3-1 (Includes Playoff)
                (W2@BC) Sask 27-18, (W7@Sask) Sask 37-17, (W18@BC) BC 23-17, (West Semi-Final@Sask) Sask 41-38
                Tough scenario here.. 2 teams I have undervalued a tonne in the past month both play each other… They met when they both sucked in week 6 where BC got their first win. I think as a pickem with Saskatchewan now getting their offense in stride that this has the makings of a shootout… I’m thinking that BC will finally lose but I’m really not putting a lot of stock in it because these ARE the 2 hottest teams in the league…

                1x Riders
                3x Sask/BC Over 50.5
                Comment
                • Scully
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-21-06
                  • 1276

                  #883
                  How many weeks ago was it that many of us, including yours truly, were all over the BC Lions football club? You know about how pathetic and disgustingly poor this team was playing and basically how it was a relatively easy victory for any of its' opponents in a head-on clash with the Lions. Well I'm not sure but man has this team ever turned their CFL season around in a hurry and in heavy duty style I might add, from the defensive, offensive and even the specialty teams area as well. I honestly thought that the way Saskatachewan had been coming on following the coaching change that they would stop the Lions in their tracks today but it is definitely not going to happen and the Leos are going to win their 5th consecutive game in a row and if the first half is any indication, they'll win it in convincing fashion right in Mosaic Stadium.
                  Comment
                  • Scully
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-21-06
                    • 1276

                    #884
                    Anyone with thoughts or plays on the Winnipeg-Toronto game tonight? This will be the Bombers second road game in succession as they won last week in Montreal. Never easy to win back to back road games in the CFL, let alone any sport for that matter.
                    Comment
                    • AndyCapper
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 08-12-10
                      • 113

                      #885
                      If this doesn't go over after Sask had 1st down on the BC 1-yard line with 2 minutes left and couldn't score..... what a joke
                      Comment
                      • Scully
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-21-06
                        • 1276

                        #886
                        Saskatchewan was all the joking I had to see for today. Terrible game to watch apart from wagering.
                        Comment
                        • AndyCapper
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 08-12-10
                          • 113

                          #887
                          Yup.... what a joke!!
                          Comment
                          • BetterBizness
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 05-20-06
                            • 5737

                            #888
                            shoot me...
                            Comment
                            • BetterBizness
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 05-20-06
                              • 5737

                              #889
                              it's like a fuking nightmare... 3 downs from the 1 and they are in shotgun... like one bad joke that never ends...
                              Comment
                              • BetterBizness
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 05-20-06
                                • 5737

                                #890
                                Winnipeg -3 @ Toronto O/U 48.5
                                Winnipeg Past Results (Most Recent First)
                                Sask 45@ Win 23 – U48.5
                                Win 7@ Sask 27 – U48.5
                                Ham 27@Win 30 – O48.5
                                Win 30 @ BC 17 – U48.5
                                Sask 11@BC 24 – U48.5
                                BC 20@Win 25 – U48.5
                                Win 33@Tor 24 – O48.5
                                Cal 21@Win 20 – U48.5
                                Tor 16@Win 22 – U48.5
                                Win 24@Ham 16 - U48.5
                                Toronto Past Results (Most Recent First)
                                Tor 6 @ BC 28 U48.5
                                BC 29@Tor 16 – U48.5
                                Sask 18@Tor 24 – U48.5
                                Tor 32@Ham 37 – O48.5
                                Mon 36@Tor 23 – O48.5
                                Tor 25@Edm 26 – O48.5
                                Win 33@Tor 24 – O48.5
                                Tor 17@Mon 40 – O48.5
                                Tor 16@Win 22 – U48.5
                                Tor 23@Cal 21 – U48.5

                                No write up...

                                0.5 x Tor +3
                                0.5 x Over 48.5
                                Comment
                                • memo99
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-08-10
                                  • 2368

                                  #891
                                  the eastern division just got a whole lot weaker with Calvillo and Pierce hurt
                                  Comment
                                  • BetterBizness
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 05-20-06
                                    • 5737

                                    #892
                                    no write up...

                                    1x Hamilton +1
                                    1x Ham/Cal Over 54
                                    2x 7 point Teaser Ham +8 & O 47
                                    Comment
                                    • BetterBizness
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 05-20-06
                                      • 5737

                                      #893
                                      Originally posted by BetterBizness
                                      no write up...

                                      1x Hamilton +1
                                      1x Ham/Cal Over 54
                                      2x 7 point Teaser Ham +8 & O 47
                                      At half, Cats lead 24-14, and at least the teaser looks good...
                                      Comment
                                      • Dharmonize
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-10-10
                                        • 1991

                                        #894
                                        Can't help it, I sort of like the Bombers today...
                                        Comment
                                        • BetterBizness
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 05-20-06
                                          • 5737

                                          #895
                                          Montreal -7 @ Winnipeg O/U 49.5

                                          Montreal 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
                                          Mon 34@Edm 21 O49.5
                                          Win 25@Mon 23 – U49.5
                                          Ham 13@Mon 43 – O49.5
                                          Mon 21@Ham 44 - O49.5
                                          Mon 31@Cal 38 - O49.5
                                          Edm 3@Mon 27 - U49.5
                                          Mon 36@Tor 23 – O49.5
                                          Mon 26@Ham 34 - O49.5
                                          Sask 27@Mon 24 O49.5
                                          Tor 17@Mon 40 – O49.5
                                          Mon 39@Sask 25 – O49.5
                                          BC 26@Mon 30 – O49.5

                                          Winnipeg Past Results (Most Recent First)
                                          Win 24@Tor 25 - U49.5
                                          Win 25@Mon 23 - U49.5
                                          Sask 45@ Win 23 – U49.5
                                          Win 7@ Sask 27 – U49.5
                                          Ham 27@Win 30 – O49.5
                                          Win 30 @ BC 17 – U49.5
                                          Sask 11@BC 24 – U49.5
                                          BC 20@Win 25 – U49.5
                                          Win 33@Tor 24 – O49.5
                                          Cal 21@Win 20 – U49.5
                                          Tor 16@Win 22 – U49.5
                                          Win 24@Ham 16 - U49.5

                                          Head to Head
                                          2011 - (W12@Mon) Win 25-23
                                          2010 – (W8@Mon) Mon 39-17, (W13@Win) Mon 44-40, (W16@Mon) Mon 22-19

                                          Line jumped a point since yesterday in the light of QB Brink taking over, and the entire Win backfield decimated by injuries... Wow I wish I would have reacted a little quicker to the 6 and not the 7 ... With that said, 7 is NOT the number in the CFL that it is in the NFL.. in 48 games this year .. just ONE game ended up by a 7 point margin... But with the NFL in full effect, especially for gamblers, 7 "looks" like a good cover number doesn't it.... No question I wanted the better number last night, but it is what it is... Montreal is down right pissed off and Motivated that THIS is their chance to take back the division vs a whole lot of NOTHING offensively... Defensively, "Swaggerville" is trying to cover up the entire campaign the past month, as they have allowed NO LESS than 23 points in their last 5, Toronto, Sask (Twice), Ham, and Mon (Oddly enough was the 23)... Problem is I'm not sure how without a leader at QB and anything to run with, they are going to keep MON QB A.C off the field...

                                          To add to this, I remember I unloaded on Edmonton Last year in a similar situation when QB Gyles got hurt late, and Win in Edmonton with the Esks fighting for the playoffs... Esks won, but didn't cover... In this case I'm going to say the offenses are completely incomparable... I think Montreal wins in the first half...

                                          This has the makings of something interesting... and despite the bad number... Try and get 7 as many places I am already seeing 7.5...

                                          10x Mon -7
                                          4x 1H Mon -3
                                          2x Over 49.5
                                          Comment
                                          • ochenta y cinco
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 12-27-09
                                            • 660

                                            #896
                                            Montreal wins by 2TD!
                                            Comment
                                            • BetterBizness
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 05-20-06
                                              • 5737

                                              #897
                                              Edmonton @ BC -5.5 O/U 49

                                              Edmonton 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
                                              Mon 34 @ Edm 21 - O49
                                              Edm 38@Ham 23 – O49
                                              Cal 30@ Edm 20 – O49
                                              Edm 35@ Cal 7 – U49
                                              BC 36@Edm 1 – U49
                                              Edm 4@Mon 27 – U49
                                              Edm 16@Win 28 – U49
                                              Tor 25@Edm 26 – O49
                                              Edm 24@Cal 19 – U49
                                              BC 17@Edm 33 – O49
                                              Ham 10@Edm 28 – U49
                                              Edm 42@Sask 28 – O49

                                              BC 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
                                              BC 42@Sask 5 U49
                                              BC 32@Cal 19 – U49
                                              Tor 6@ BC 28 – U49
                                              BC 29@Tor 16 – U49
                                              BC 36@Edm 1 – U49
                                              Win 30@BC 17 – U49
                                              Sask 11@ BC 24 – U49
                                              BC 20@Win 25 – U49
                                              Ham 39@BC 31 – O49
                                              BC 17@Edm 33 – U49
                                              Cal 34@BC 32 – O49
                                              BC 26@Mon 30 – O49

                                              Head to Head 2011 Edm1-0
                                              (W3@Edm) - Edm 33-17, (W8@Edm) - BC 36-1

                                              Head to Head 2010 Edm 2-1
                                              Edmonton 2-1, (W1@Edm) BC 25-10, (W5@Edm) Edm 28-25, (W16@BC) Edm 31-28

                                              Tough game to measure, but we know BC hasn't scored LESS than 28 points in its last 4 games... good start to be a lower looking over.... BC looks amped up though to start up their first game in their New (old) stadium, but not like the city of Vancouver cares much... it's not even close to a sell out at this point... Vancouver/Tampa .. meh...

                                              From their last 5 games head to head, basically BC has showed up in all of them except when they looked terrible in week 3 this year scoring just 17 points... Esks have got into semi shootouts their last 3 and SHOULD have that big play ability to get to that magic 49, which has really been kept low because of the BC defense keeping everyone in check... With that said, there is some deception here of that Defense in that of the last 5, 2 were an inept Argos team... 1 the decimated Esks team... the inexplicable Calgary team, and the overrated Rider team... hey man, take the wins where you can get them, but a soft spot on the schedule has sure helped the cause...

                                              5x Edm/BC Over 49
                                              2x Esks +5.5
                                              Comment
                                              • BetterBizness
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 05-20-06
                                                • 5737

                                                #898
                                                Originally posted by ochenta y cinco
                                                Montreal wins by 2TD!
                                                These always look too good to be true... wtf... got to put the cash down on what looks right...
                                                Comment
                                                • Scully
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-21-06
                                                  • 1276

                                                  #899
                                                  BB the fact that the Als are playing back to back road games doesn\t sway your thinking at all in this match either?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BetterBizness
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 05-20-06
                                                    • 5737

                                                    #900
                                                    Originally posted by Scully
                                                    BB the fact that the Als are playing back to back road games doesn\t sway your thinking at all in this match either?
                                                    Not really... AC had the 2nd half off last game, seems healthy... He is only human though, and obviously he has to bounce back from an average performance 2 weeks ago at home... and I'm a big believer in the bounce back when it comes to motivation... and adjustments... Trestman is a good coach and will make them tonight...

                                                    RB Brandon Whitaker is also back and seems like the forgotten man that could play a role in this..

                                                    back to back on the road, happened to montreal twice this year... first one they crushed @ Toronto, and second one they lost @ Hamilton ... it's not a short week, so to me that doesn't play as big a role...

                                                    I know I sound square here to focus on injuries solely, but I would consider this bet the way the Bombers are giving up points even WITH Pierce playing... not 10x consideration, but to cover the original 6 points opening line, yes... Now you take OUT their running game, AND their sometimes there sometimes not passing game... says to me there will be alot of Montreal TOP... if that's the case, I'll take my chances basically if I believe the Al's will get at least 5-7 more minutes with the ball in their hands...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BetterBizness
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 05-20-06
                                                      • 5737

                                                      #901
                                                      Lets not forget what they are losing here...

                                                      Win RB Reid has 759 yards this year due for about 1200 before the season ending injury... Raned 2nd in the league.. .

                                                      QB Pierce has 253 yards (6.2 YPC), and we're taking away that threat with Brink (3.0 YPC)... huge difference when the pocket collapses... and I say WHEN the pocket collapses not IF... Something about motivating Defensive linemen with a young guy in the pocket which they want to crush...

                                                      Backup RB Volny has under 100 yards, but now if he's the backup... They have to go with Backup to the Backup Garrett... all 5'8 of him... The big thing is that the O Line is still intact, and maybe that's all they need...

                                                      Putting alot of stock in matchups here.. but i truly believe this line should be 10, not 7...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • djpremier36
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 12-11-08
                                                        • 3479

                                                        #902
                                                        Eskimos +6
                                                        Comment
                                                        • memo99
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-08-10
                                                          • 2368

                                                          #903
                                                          Wpg is a mess swaggerville is officially closed
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Scully
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-21-06
                                                            • 1276

                                                            #904
                                                            Bol guys.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-17-09
                                                              • 11939

                                                              #905
                                                              Teased the Alouettes down to -1
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BetterBizness
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 05-20-06
                                                                • 5737

                                                                #906
                                                                Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                                Teased the Alouettes down to -1
                                                                well.. anything can happen, but I like that play...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BetterBizness
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 05-20-06
                                                                  • 5737

                                                                  #907
                                                                  Ugh.. Brink driving from the first possession.. perfect...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BetterBizness
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 05-20-06
                                                                    • 5737

                                                                    #908
                                                                    ok.. Can't keep a good man down... AC with the huge gain... 7-3 Montreal is a good place to be ... putting the Peg in Catch up mode... lets put them on the BRINK!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BetterBizness
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 05-20-06
                                                                      • 5737

                                                                      #909
                                                                      slopppyyyy game... Winnipeg makes it so... wish Montreal could just get a break somewhere here...
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BetterBizness
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 05-20-06
                                                                        • 5737

                                                                        #910
                                                                        as expected... only thing keeping Bombers in this game is their Defense... Brink made a few long completions but nothing really sustaining....
                                                                        Comment
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