been barking loud this week... I'm gonna pass on the next round and then give it one last shot. See you in 2 weeks, gentlemen, GL!
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#877
Originally posted by BetterBizness
Winnipeg @ Montreal -7.5 O/U 52.5
The only real question here, is, is the Peg Done for the year? Maybe early to say it, but after those hard losses last week, do they bounce back or do they hit up a 3 game losing streak? The way my week has gone, I’m not one to pick the sides so well, but for the record, I think Winnipeg plays tough and keeps Calvillo to under 28… If that’s the case, them getting 21 isn’t out of the question…
Going to lay low on this one..
2x Win/Mon Under
Leaving the side alone
ok.. something went right again... don't tell anyone... Had Winnipeg 2H, even ML in a couple of parlays, I had to sweat it out with KC ML in a couple of those... I mean, it was 7-3 Lions after 1Q I think...
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#878
Originally posted by Scully
Now that's a perfect word for Burris: 'flaky'. Well done Smitty as I think that's the descriptive word I've been searching for him for so long until now. By george, I think you've got it.
Yesterdays key was when he missed Parker, that young reciever WIDE FN OPEN after he stepped up in the pocket mid way through the 3Q... and overthrew him by about 10 yards... It would have given them ALL the momentum in the world... INstead they punt, and I really don't remember what happened after that, except BC scoring like 20 more...
Edmonton 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
Edm 38@Ham 23 – O54
Cal 30@ Edm 20 – U54
Edm 35@ Cal 7 – U54
BC 36@Edm 1 – U54
Edm 4@Mon 27 – U54
Edm 16@Win 28 – U54
Tor 25@Edm 26 – O54
Edm 24@Cal 19 – U54
BC 17@Edm 33 – U54
Ham 10@Edm 28 – U54
Edm 42@Sask 28 – O54
Head to Head
2011: (W7@Mon) Mon 27-4
2010: (W2@Edm) Mon 33-23, (W12@Mon) Mon 31-14
This is going to be a great game, and the only thing I’m really going to comment on is the fact that Montreal is really struggling, well, for being Montreal… So in the end, I’m going to say that as they continue to struggle, now on the road, beating the Esks their last 4 games straight, that it’s about time that the Eskimos bring their best game forward, and I believe it will happen tonight, on a +1 line that if you weren’t an Eskimo fan, looks pretty enticing. This whole thing SCREAMS trap, and I am going to make a medium sized play against it… I have Never met a Total I don’t like, but this game confuses me big time… I think its correlated in the sense that if the Esks win, it means they’ve kept Calvillo at a relative comfort level, say 350 yards ish… and that will hopefully keep it lower…
3x Esks
2x Mon/Edm Under 54
0.5x Esks+Under 54
Comment
AndyCapper
SBR High Roller
08-12-10
113
#880
Brutal ending to kill the under. No need for the Esks to score that late TD.
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#881
Brutal...
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#882
BC @ Saskatchewan -1.5 O/U 50.5
BC 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
BC 32@Cal 19 – U50.5
Tor 6@ BC 28 – U50.5
BC 29@Tor 16 – U50.5
BC 36@Edm 1 – U50.5
Win 30@BC 17 – U50.5
Sask 11@ BC 24 – U50.5
BC 20@Win 25 – U50.5
Ham 39@BC 31 – O50.5
BC 17@Edm 33 – U50.5
Cal 34@BC 32 – O50.5
BC 26@Mon 30 – O50.5
Head to Head
2011 - (W6@BC) BC 24-11
2010 – Saskatchewan 3-1 (Includes Playoff)
(W2@BC) Sask 27-18, (W7@Sask) Sask 37-17, (W18@BC) BC 23-17, (West Semi-Final@Sask) Sask 41-38
Tough scenario here.. 2 teams I have undervalued a tonne in the past month both play each other… They met when they both sucked in week 6 where BC got their first win. I think as a pickem with Saskatchewan now getting their offense in stride that this has the makings of a shootout… I’m thinking that BC will finally lose but I’m really not putting a lot of stock in it because these ARE the 2 hottest teams in the league…
1x Riders
3x Sask/BC Over 50.5
Comment
Scully
SBR MVP
09-21-06
1276
#883
How many weeks ago was it that many of us, including yours truly, were all over the BC Lions football club? You know about how pathetic and disgustingly poor this team was playing and basically how it was a relatively easy victory for any of its' opponents in a head-on clash with the Lions. Well I'm not sure but man has this team ever turned their CFL season around in a hurry and in heavy duty style I might add, from the defensive, offensive and even the specialty teams area as well. I honestly thought that the way Saskatachewan had been coming on following the coaching change that they would stop the Lions in their tracks today but it is definitely not going to happen and the Leos are going to win their 5th consecutive game in a row and if the first half is any indication, they'll win it in convincing fashion right in Mosaic Stadium.
Comment
Scully
SBR MVP
09-21-06
1276
#884
Anyone with thoughts or plays on the Winnipeg-Toronto game tonight? This will be the Bombers second road game in succession as they won last week in Montreal. Never easy to win back to back road games in the CFL, let alone any sport for that matter.
Comment
AndyCapper
SBR High Roller
08-12-10
113
#885
If this doesn't go over after Sask had 1st down on the BC 1-yard line with 2 minutes left and couldn't score..... what a joke
Comment
Scully
SBR MVP
09-21-06
1276
#886
Saskatchewan was all the joking I had to see for today. Terrible game to watch apart from wagering.
Comment
AndyCapper
SBR High Roller
08-12-10
113
#887
Yup.... what a joke!!
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#888
shoot me...
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#889
it's like a fuking nightmare... 3 downs from the 1 and they are in shotgun... like one bad joke that never ends...
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#890
Winnipeg -3 @ Toronto O/U 48.5
Winnipeg Past Results (Most Recent First)
Sask 45@ Win 23 – U48.5
Win 7@ Sask 27 – U48.5
Ham 27@Win 30 – O48.5
Win 30 @ BC 17 – U48.5
Sask 11@BC 24 – U48.5
BC 20@Win 25 – U48.5
Win 33@Tor 24 – O48.5
Cal 21@Win 20 – U48.5
Tor 16@Win 22 – U48.5
Win 24@Ham 16 - U48.5
Toronto Past Results (Most Recent First)
Tor 6 @ BC 28 U48.5
BC 29@Tor 16 – U48.5
Sask 18@Tor 24 – U48.5
Tor 32@Ham 37 – O48.5
Mon 36@Tor 23 – O48.5
Tor 25@Edm 26 – O48.5
Win 33@Tor 24 – O48.5
Tor 17@Mon 40 – O48.5
Tor 16@Win 22 – U48.5
Tor 23@Cal 21 – U48.5
No write up...
0.5 x Tor +3
0.5 x Over 48.5
Comment
memo99
SBR MVP
01-08-10
2368
#891
the eastern division just got a whole lot weaker with Calvillo and Pierce hurt
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#892
no write up...
1x Hamilton +1
1x Ham/Cal Over 54
2x 7 point Teaser Ham +8 & O 47
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#893
Originally posted by BetterBizness
no write up...
1x Hamilton +1
1x Ham/Cal Over 54
2x 7 point Teaser Ham +8 & O 47
At half, Cats lead 24-14, and at least the teaser looks good...
Comment
Dharmonize
SBR MVP
10-10-10
1991
#894
Can't help it, I sort of like the Bombers today...
Head to Head
2011 - (W12@Mon) Win 25-23
2010 – (W8@Mon) Mon 39-17, (W13@Win) Mon 44-40, (W16@Mon) Mon 22-19
Line jumped a point since yesterday in the light of QB Brink taking over, and the entire Win backfield decimated by injuries... Wow I wish I would have reacted a little quicker to the 6 and not the 7 ... With that said, 7 is NOT the number in the CFL that it is in the NFL.. in 48 games this year .. just ONE game ended up by a 7 point margin... But with the NFL in full effect, especially for gamblers, 7 "looks" like a good cover number doesn't it.... No question I wanted the better number last night, but it is what it is... Montreal is down right pissed off and Motivated that THIS is their chance to take back the division vs a whole lot of NOTHING offensively... Defensively, "Swaggerville" is trying to cover up the entire campaign the past month, as they have allowed NO LESS than 23 points in their last 5, Toronto, Sask (Twice), Ham, and Mon (Oddly enough was the 23)... Problem is I'm not sure how without a leader at QB and anything to run with, they are going to keep MON QB A.C off the field...
To add to this, I remember I unloaded on Edmonton Last year in a similar situation when QB Gyles got hurt late, and Win in Edmonton with the Esks fighting for the playoffs... Esks won, but didn't cover... In this case I'm going to say the offenses are completely incomparable... I think Montreal wins in the first half...
This has the makings of something interesting... and despite the bad number... Try and get 7 as many places I am already seeing 7.5...
BC 2011 Past Results (Most Recent First)
BC 42@Sask 5 U49
BC 32@Cal 19 – U49
Tor 6@ BC 28 – U49
BC 29@Tor 16 – U49
BC 36@Edm 1 – U49
Win 30@BC 17 – U49
Sask 11@ BC 24 – U49
BC 20@Win 25 – U49
Ham 39@BC 31 – O49
BC 17@Edm 33 – U49
Cal 34@BC 32 – O49
BC 26@Mon 30 – O49
Head to Head 2011 Edm1-0
(W3@Edm) - Edm 33-17, (W8@Edm) - BC 36-1
Head to Head 2010 Edm 2-1
Edmonton 2-1, (W1@Edm) BC 25-10, (W5@Edm) Edm 28-25, (W16@BC) Edm 31-28
Tough game to measure, but we know BC hasn't scored LESS than 28 points in its last 4 games... good start to be a lower looking over.... BC looks amped up though to start up their first game in their New (old) stadium, but not like the city of Vancouver cares much... it's not even close to a sell out at this point... Vancouver/Tampa .. meh...
From their last 5 games head to head, basically BC has showed up in all of them except when they looked terrible in week 3 this year scoring just 17 points... Esks have got into semi shootouts their last 3 and SHOULD have that big play ability to get to that magic 49, which has really been kept low because of the BC defense keeping everyone in check... With that said, there is some deception here of that Defense in that of the last 5, 2 were an inept Argos team... 1 the decimated Esks team... the inexplicable Calgary team, and the overrated Rider team... hey man, take the wins where you can get them, but a soft spot on the schedule has sure helped the cause...
5x Edm/BC Over 49
2x Esks +5.5
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#898
Originally posted by ochenta y cinco
Montreal wins by 2TD!
These always look too good to be true... wtf... got to put the cash down on what looks right...
Comment
Scully
SBR MVP
09-21-06
1276
#899
BB the fact that the Als are playing back to back road games doesn\t sway your thinking at all in this match either?
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#900
Originally posted by Scully
BB the fact that the Als are playing back to back road games doesn\t sway your thinking at all in this match either?
Not really... AC had the 2nd half off last game, seems healthy... He is only human though, and obviously he has to bounce back from an average performance 2 weeks ago at home... and I'm a big believer in the bounce back when it comes to motivation... and adjustments... Trestman is a good coach and will make them tonight...
RB Brandon Whitaker is also back and seems like the forgotten man that could play a role in this..
back to back on the road, happened to montreal twice this year... first one they crushed @ Toronto, and second one they lost @ Hamilton ... it's not a short week, so to me that doesn't play as big a role...
I know I sound square here to focus on injuries solely, but I would consider this bet the way the Bombers are giving up points even WITH Pierce playing... not 10x consideration, but to cover the original 6 points opening line, yes... Now you take OUT their running game, AND their sometimes there sometimes not passing game... says to me there will be alot of Montreal TOP... if that's the case, I'll take my chances basically if I believe the Al's will get at least 5-7 more minutes with the ball in their hands...
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#901
Lets not forget what they are losing here...
Win RB Reid has 759 yards this year due for about 1200 before the season ending injury... Raned 2nd in the league.. .
QB Pierce has 253 yards (6.2 YPC), and we're taking away that threat with Brink (3.0 YPC)... huge difference when the pocket collapses... and I say WHEN the pocket collapses not IF... Something about motivating Defensive linemen with a young guy in the pocket which they want to crush...
Backup RB Volny has under 100 yards, but now if he's the backup... They have to go with Backup to the Backup Garrett... all 5'8 of him... The big thing is that the O Line is still intact, and maybe that's all they need...
Putting alot of stock in matchups here.. but i truly believe this line should be 10, not 7...
Comment
djpremier36
SBR MVP
12-11-08
3479
#902
Eskimos +6
Comment
memo99
SBR MVP
01-08-10
2368
#903
Wpg is a mess swaggerville is officially closed
Comment
Scully
SBR MVP
09-21-06
1276
#904
Bol guys.
Comment
D3 Mighty Ducks
SBR Posting Legend
12-17-09
11939
#905
Teased the Alouettes down to -1
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#906
Originally posted by D3 Mighty Ducks
Teased the Alouettes down to -1
well.. anything can happen, but I like that play...
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#907
Ugh.. Brink driving from the first possession.. perfect...
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#908
ok.. Can't keep a good man down... AC with the huge gain... 7-3 Montreal is a good place to be ... putting the Peg in Catch up mode... lets put them on the BRINK!
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#909
slopppyyyy game... Winnipeg makes it so... wish Montreal could just get a break somewhere here...
Comment
BetterBizness
SBR Hall of Famer
05-20-06
5737
#910
as expected... only thing keeping Bombers in this game is their Defense... Brink made a few long completions but nothing really sustaining....