Thinking seattle wins easy tonight...houston the better team on thursday but might hedge out of that or start a parlay the opposite way. As far as the game tonight, saints struggled last 2 weeks on offense...difference in the game tonight is gonna be who gets the TDs in the red zone and I think that goes to whoever has the strongest rushing attack...aka seattle. BOL I'm thinking 20-28 seattle.
For the sake of my dignity I might let this thread drop into oblivion if this loses...mostly because I'l prolly be taking a break till playoffs. Been betting out of character lately...I prosper when I avoid favorites and juice and those are two things I've been pretending I can read on...Just taking a look at this thread if I avoided all favorites I'd be in the + easy...
Either way BOL everyone. Finals this week so won't be around really.
Didn't make it in to post I was on wash +6 Seattle under and SF -4.5 looking like 2-1 but won't count for thread rec. 4 on clock I'm on jets raiders as underdogs and zona ml BOL.
8-3 up 4.8 units in the last 11 counted Washington last week cuz they were down when I posted didn't count the other 2 cuz they were in position to cover. Be back in a few days.
2-1 on the day makes me 11-4 in the last 15 up 6.8 units and up 5.9 for the thread. SF if anything tomorrow but might just hang it up for the weekend I have some real strong vibes about next week...
Been red hot lately...think that Denver is clearly the better team as most educated people do. Denver offense is very real and seattle offense is very fake. That said the line movement is very indicative of seattle being the play...I'm very confused as to what books are thinking...Denver ML if anything...very confusing game...
Denver ML -125 to win 1.5 units. If the line goes back towards seattle I think that will be a huge clue that denver is the play and I'll likely add a little bit more at a better price. I do think that Peyton will struggle a bit versus the seattle D but he will get at least 24 points and I don't think seattle can reach that number. 24-22 Denver D gets a stop on a 2 points conversion at the end.
YTD
35-30 spread/ml +8.8 units
2-4 parlay +.6 Units
+9.4 units
The spread/ml record might be off by a win or 2 or a loss or 2 but the units are correct. Not a bad thread for the season. Clearly made too many plays if I could scale it back I'm sure I'd be more in the positive. Only my second year betting so I'm sure I'll get better with time.
YTD
35-31 spread/ml +7 units
2-4 parlay +.6 Units
+7.6 units
That's how we ended. 15-6 to end the season in the green. Could have been better but this is only my second NFL season betting and I've managed to stay in the green both seasons so that's a decent achievement.
Gonna give it another shot this year. Found my way into the green last season. My goal this year is to beat last year. Mostly spreads and MLs, rarely parlays and totals. I'll post my record and units weekly. Probably not someone worth tailing...but who knows. Mostly just to track myself.
Didn't really like this weeks card but still made it out positive. Like next weeks a lil better. GB and ATL both leans especially GB but I'll let the lines move a lil see if I can get a better read. For now Tennessee +7.5 1.3 for 1. Chi town or nothing Monday night prolly nothing.
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