New here. Tracking NFL plays.

[Twiz]

Pats/Phins under 51.5 .86 for .8.
Phins ML +345 .15 to win .5.

Degen action.

[Twiz]

GB ML 1.38 to win 1

[Twiz]

Titans/Texans over 42.5 1.65 for 1.5

[Twiz]

9-7 : +1.79 (spread)
11-7 : +7.35 (totals)
9-5 : +5.2(ML)
0-3 : -1.64 (teasers/parlays)
+12.7 YTD

Pending:
Raiders/Jets over 44 1.1 for 1.
Jets -1 1.65 for 1.5
GB ML 1.38 to win 1

[Twiz]

9-8 : +.14 (spread)
12-7 : +8.35 (totals)
9-5 : +5.2(ML)
0-3 : -1.64 (teasers/parlays)
+12.05 YTD

GB ML still pending. Adding small GB -18.5 .14 to win .95.

Edit: Adding Packers TT over 24 1.1 for 1.

[Twiz]

9-9 : +0 (spread)
12-8 : +7.25 (totals)
9-6 : +3.82(ML)
0-3 : -1.64 (teasers/parlays)
+9.43 YTD

So the thinking tonight was that someone was going to win by multiple scores. I thought if Denver went up early, GB could battle back. Didn't think the same about the broncos if GB went up early...so that's why I had multiple plays on GB. No big deal I'll get back next week. Might start up an ML parlay with carolina tomorrow.

First losing week in the last 6 or 7...and only lost a unit or so..

[ekkyjaja]

BOL with your play tonight! let's turn it around

[Twiz]

Panthers ML 2.2 to win 1.

[Twiz]

9-9 : +0 (spread)
12-8 : +7.25 (totals)
10-6 : +4.82(ML)
0-3 : -1.64 (teasers/parlays)
+10.43 YTD

Couple early week 9 plays tomorrow like usual..

First losing week in awhile and only half a unit...back on track next week.

[Twiz]

Bengals/Browns over 46 1.1 for 1.

Think that line is volatile and don't want to get caught on wrong side of movement. Will add if it drops.

Same logic on Bucs +2.5 .55 for .5. Think it'll move to 3 at least and will likely add if it does.

[Twiz]

Panthers ML 1 to win 1.35

[Twiz]

Bengals/Browns over 45 1.1 for 1.

[Twiz]

Jets -7 1.65 for 1.5.
Jets/Jags over 42 1.65 for 1.5.

[Twiz]

9ers/ATL over 44 .77 for .7

[Twiz]

Jets ML 3.3 for 1.

[Twiz]

9-9 : +0 (spread)
12-9 : +5.05 (totals)
10-6 : +4.82(ML)
0-3 : -1.64 (teasers/parlays)
+8.23 YTD

Bucs +2.5 .55 for .5
Panthers ML 1 to win 1.35
Jets -7 1.65 for 1.5.
Jets/Jags over 42 1.65 for 1.5.
9ers/ATL over 44 .77 for .7
Jets ML 3.3 for 1.

Just tidying up. Rough start to the week with that missed total last night on a fairly big play, but got no doubts I'll get it back on sunday. Couple opportunities to go over last night but didn't happen. Think that was the first 2 unit play I missed...at least the first 2 unit total...

[Twiz]

9-11 : -2.2 (spread)
13-10 : +5.78 (totals)
12-6 : +7.17(ML)
0-3 : -1.64 (teasers/parlays)
+9.11 YTD

Boys/Eagles over 43.5 .76 for .7.

[Twiz]

9-11 : -2.2 (spread)
14-10 : +6.48 (totals)
12-6 : +7.17(ML)
0-3 : -1.64 (teasers/parlays)
+9.81 YTD

Grinded back after the 2x thursday play missed. Like bears and over mnf...gonna see if I can get a better line on either tomorrow...if not might tease those..

[Twiz]

Hate playing a square side especially on mnf but...

Bears/chargers over 49 .77 for .7.

Decided not to play bears cuz if game does get to 49 4.5 isn't worth as much...also both these teams are bad regardless of "weapons". Wouldn't surprise me to see a one sided game either way. BOL all.

[Twiz]

9-11 : -2.2 (spread)
14-11 : +5.71 (totals)
12-6 : +7.17(ML)
0-3 : -1.64 (teasers/parlays)
+9.04 YTD

Jets/Bills over 42 1.15 for 1.
Skins/Saints over 50.5 1.1 for 1.
Steelers/Browns over 41 1.65 for 1.5.
Ravens/Jags under 48 1.1 for 1.
Cincy/Houston over 47 1.65 for 1.5.
Panthers ML 2.2 for 1.

Those totals all off my numbers by 2-3 points...first time all season its been like this. Not sure what's up but not scared gonna fire away still. Will have some ats plays later in the week most likely. Philly, KC, and dallas stand out although not much value in laying 6 w/ philly and dallas gonna be one of the more square sides this week.

[Twiz]

Panthers/Rams/Eagles/Steelers ML parlay .5 to win 1.4.

I know panthers and steelers are real sucker picks...which is what is keeping me from betting the spread on either game. Still think they both do enough to get the win tho.

[Twiz]

Eagles/phins under 48 1.1 for 1.

[Twiz]

9-11 : -2.2 (spread)
14-12 : +4.56 (totals)
12-6 : +7.17(ML)
0-3 : -1.64 (teasers/parlays)
+7.89 YTD

Skins/Saints over 50.5 1.1 for 1.
Steelers/Browns over 41 1.65 for 1.5.
Ravens/Jags under 48 1.1 for 1.
Cincy/Houston over 47 1.65 for 1.5.
Panthers ML 2.2 for 1.
Panthers/Rams/Eagles/Steelers ML parlay .5 to win 1.4.
Eagles/phins under 48 1.1 for 1.
Adding: Rams -7 1 to win 1.

Tidying up after TNF loss. On a couple unit slide here but that's expected...not gonna slow me down. I'm still firing everywhere the numbers dictate. That's probably all my plays for this weekend...possible play on arizona if I'm up going into sunday night. BoL all and I'll be back sunday afternoon.

[Twiz]

9-12 : -3.2 (spread)
17-13 : +5.91 (totals)
13-6 : +8.17(ML)
0-4 : -2.14 (teasers/parlays)
+8.74 YTD

Pending:
Cincy/Houston over 47 1.65 for 1.5.

Thought the burgh game was an easy win but wasn't meant to be. Still up almost a unit on the day. Parlays killing me but I'll hit one soon...all it takes is one to cancel out the others. Really wanted to play KC but couldn't justify buying such a low number when it was closer to 6 at the beginning of week.

Gonna add Seahawks/Cardinals over 43.5 1.1 for 1

Been avoiding these type of bets this year..."this type" essentially being a gut feeling. My numbers put this at about 23-22 seattle...so I'm not gonna play a side although I sort of lean seahawks by at least 7...either way just a gut feeling bet..BOL all.

[Twiz]

9-12 : -3.2 (spread)
18-13 : +6.91 (totals)
13-6 : +8.17(ML)
0-4 : -2.14 (teasers/parlays)
+9.74 YTD

Pending:
Cincy/Houston over 47 1.65 for 1.5.

[Twiz]

9-12 : -3.2 (spread)
18-14 : +5.26 (totals)
13-6 : +8.17(ML)
0-4 : -2.14 (teasers/parlays)
+8.09 YTD

Missed the two big plays of the week. First time that's happened. Wish I could say that this would be the week where I turn this small slide around...but looking at the lines vs my numbers I don't see a lot of early week value. Was really looking forward to unloading on cardinals...thinking line would be 2.5 or 3 but no luck there. Think that match-up is hell for bengals and will most likely be at least a ML play for me.

For now...couple early ones.

Minnesota ML 1.1 for 1. Numbers actually dictate a slightly larger play but I'm wary. Might add to it later in the week. I do think vikings will easily get to 21...if I had faith in GB to do the same I could justify over but for now I'm laying off total.

Ravens/Rams under 42 1.1 for 1. Again numbers say this at least a 1.5x play but for now gonna play it 1x and see where line goes. Public unders scare me a bit and that's exactly what this is shaping up to be.

Indy/ATL over 47 1.15 for 1. I understand both offenses can sputter at times. But lot of 4th quarter action with these two teams and for that reason I can see plenty of ways this gets over. Like Indy getting all those points but think atl gets the win so gonna lay off a side for now and see what I can get later...7 would be automatic play on indy...even 6.5 might justify it.

Chargers/Chiefs over 44 2.2 for 2. This and minny pk are the two best valued picks this week on my spread sheet. I have this game at 27-23 chiefs which spells value. Chiefs will move the ball with ease. This bet lies on Rivers and whether he can keep it close/threaten late if they get down. Home divisional game...my money says he can.

I like both primetime overs again...but gonna lay off till closer to gametime. Spreadsheet has phins/boys under as 3rd best play even with romo starting. I think phins will really struggle to score here...lucky to get to 20. However I'm gonna wait and see what consensus is as its unlikely I play two unders that the public likes...I don't "fade the public" or any nonsense like that but I will back off a play if I smell a trap. Bears ats also fits to be a play but broncos haven't run well all season and I got a strong suspicion they get it going here so likely a no play.

BOL all.

[Twiz]

Jags ML .7 to win .5

[Twiz]

Jets/Texans over 40 1.7 for 1.5
Oak/Detroit under 50 1.1 for 1.

[Twiz]

9-12 : -3.2 (spread)
21-16 : +5.41 (totals)
14-7 : +7.57(ML)
0-4 : -2.14 (teasers/parlays)
+7.64 YTD

Missed the biggest play of the week again and that kept me from another positive week. Had most of the games spot on...broncos ran well...boys/phins went under...called the cards game perfectly just didn't get any plays down for the thread. Same with colts game. All good though the grind will continue.

Playing a couple odd ones tonight...not sure how it'll work...
Bills/Pats over 47 .55 for .5.
Bills +4.5 1H .55 for .5.
Bills +6.5 .5 for .6
Bills ML .33 to win 1.

Possibility these all could miss...which is why they're all small plays. I also think that the under would cater better to Bills side but my numbers put this game at 50 even so I can't lay off 3 points of value. Numbers also say no play on the side but gotta sneaky suspicion that Bills ML is a live play and that's why I got a few bills plays. BOL all. Down around half a unit on the week going into tonight so hopefully I can turn it into another positive week..

[Twiz]

Eagles +3 1.1 for 1

Will update record later after my mnf debacle. Will likely have another play or two today.

[Twiz]

Panthers ML 1 to win 1.
Bears +8 1.1 to win 1.

[Twiz]

Bills +6 1.1 for 1
Bills/Chiefs over 41.5 1.1 for 1

[Twiz]

Texans -3 1.65 for 1.5
Miami/NY over 42.5 1.1 for 1.
Skins/Giants under 47 1.65 for 1.5

[Twiz]

Jets ML 2 for 1

[Twiz]

Colts ML 1.34 for 1