New here. Tracking NFL plays.

[Twiz]

YEAR 1
35-31 spread/ml +7 units
2-4 parlay +.6 Units
+7.6 units

YEAR 2 (This year's final tally)
ML/Spread/totals: 34-34 -5.3 units
Parlay: 2-6 -1 units
YTD: -6.3 units

Total (13-14, 14-15)
Spread/ML/Totals: 69-65 +1.7 units
Parlay: 4-10 -.4 units
YTD: +1.3 units

150 bets later and I'm up 70$...that's sports betting for ya I guess...

Shitty year but could have been worse. Laid a lot of chalk on MLs. Lost big money on Manning and Sanchez (my IQ is clearly lower than I thought). Aside from that, I'd have been well into the green. Live and you learn. Also said I would make less bets this season to filter out the bad ones and failed to do that also. Will be back next year for sure. Going to go back when I have time and see how big I lost in primetime games (and totals) also.

See y'all in 7 months.

[Twiz]

8 teams I bet over 5 times in the last 2 seasons. Chargers, Colts, Pack, Panthers, Phins, Saints, Steelers, Texans. Total record of 42-22 with those teams. Well into the green on all but Chargers. (7-2 with panthers, phins...6-2 with pack but not quite as green because of MLs...)

When betting Cincy, bills, Browns, Bucs, Lions, skins...combined 1-18 (although granted a few of the skins and Bucs plays were small play prayer MLs...but still...).

Running through some stats from my bets so will probably edit this post later (if possible?) and add a few more things that stand out. The goal is to use a few of these trends to narrow my bets for next season. Majority of teams don't change TOO much year to year..

Games involving Bears, Cards, Cowboys, Dolphins, Jags, Panthers, Texans...I bet 41-14. Games involving Bucs, Eagles, Pats, Skins....I bet 12-27...Still plan on picking bets next season the same way as the first 2...Just might use some of these stats to filter some of my moves...

[Twiz]

Back for year #3. Thread mostly for my tracking purposes but any discussion obviously welcome.

Cowboys -6 1.1 to win 1.

Looking at Bears, Bengals, Texans, Bills. GL all.

[Twiz]

Falcons +3.5 1.15 to win 1.

[Twiz]

Vikings ML 1.39 for 1

[Twiz]

1-1 : -.1 (spread)
0-1 : -1.39 (ML)
-1.49

Chiefs/Broncos over 42. 2.1 to win 2.
Saints/Bucs over 47 .55 to win .5.

Like Skins and Jags although probably won't bet them, Jets, pixburgh and GB especially on the ML. Will post some plays before sunday.

[Twiz]

Bucs ML .27 for 1.
Bears +1.5 .55 for .5.

[Twiz]

Steelers ML 2.3 for 1.

[Twiz]

1-2 : -.1.55 (spread)
1-1 : +1.45 (totals)
2-1 : +.61 (ML)
+.51 YTD

GB -3 .6 to win .5.
GB ML 1 to win .6

[Twiz]

Slight miscalc above. Went from -.1 to -1.55 instead of -.65 after bears ATS loss. Real numbers after last night's 2-0...

2-2 : -.15 (spread)
1-1 : +1.45 (totals)
3-1 : +1.21 (ML)
+2.51 YTD

3 team 6 point teaser .51 to win .8
Jets +13
Jets/Colts Under 52
San Diego +8.5 vs Minny

If I hit tonight's legs might hedge with Minny ML in a parlay or something. Don't really ever play teasers but looking for some small degen action tonight and the line/total look spot on. Think both teams will be able to move the ball...just think we'll see FGs as opposed to TDs. If Ivory somehow drops over 30 I'll be in the running for a few thousand on draft kings.

Good luck all. Any discussion about the games/lines/etc is always welcome. Gotta good feeling bout this season grind.

[Twiz]

Pending:
3 team 6 point teaser .51 to win .8
Jets +13
Jets/Colts Under 52
San Diego +8.5 vs Minny

Don't really like the look of this week at first glance. Only team I really like is Browns at home. Gonna wait and see if the line will drop to 3. Sorta like Philly, sorta like Houston (definitely on the ML). Will likely add a play or two before sunday. For now...

Texans/Bucs Over 40.5 1.65 for 1.5.

[Twiz]

Browns -3 1.2 to win 1.

[Twiz]

Texans ML 2.75 to win 1

[Twiz]

2-3 : -1.35 (spread)
1-2 : -.2 (totals)
4-1 : +2.21 (ML)
0-1 : -.51 (teasers/parlays)
+.15 YTD

Back to where I started. Really should played a parlay involving minny ML I coulda hedged a bit on that teaser...had some value after hitting first 2 legs. Really didn't like SD just liked the number.

Waited all week to bang KC if the number got to 7 and here we are on monday night and its dropped all the way to 5.5. So gotta stay away and instead I'm riding small on GB ML 1.15 to win .5.

[Twiz]

2-3 : -1.35 (spread)
1-2 : -.2 (totals)
5-1 : +2.71 (ML)
0-1 : -.51 (teasers/parlays)
+.65 YTD

Bucs/Panthers over 40 1.65 to win 1.5.
Jags/Colts under 48 1 to win 1.

I like a lot of dogs ATS this week but can't see many of them winning straight up so don't know how many I'll actually back. If foster comes back I definitely like Houston. Sorta like the browns again but they burned me last week and I admittedly would rather see johnny at qb. First look I like cards and colts as favs especially on the ML. Will likely add a play or two later in the week.

[Twiz]

Small homer play Steelers +3 .77 for .7.

[Twiz]

Saints/Cowboys over 48 1.1 for 1.

[Twiz]

2-3 : -1.35 (spread)
3-2 : +2.3 (totals)
5-1 : +2.71 (ML)
0-1 : -.51 (teasers/parlays)
+3.15 YTD

Updated record with the push thursday and a play still pending tonight

[Twiz]

2-3 : -1.35 (spread)
3-3 : +1.3 (totals)
5-1 : +2.71 (ML)
0-1 : -.51 (teasers/parlays)
+2.15 YTD

Really liked the over tonight and almost laid more. Horrible red zone play. Small play Detroit ML tomorrow .25 to win 1.

[Twiz]

Detroit +10 .5 to win .5.

Over 43 .33 to win .3.

Seattle catching a lotta respect here and I'm not sold. Think they struggle to run and detroit has enough weapons to get to 20 easy if they get as many possessions as I think they will. 26-20.

[Twiz]

3-3 : -.85 (spread)
3-4 : +.97 (totals)
5-2 : +2.46 (ML)
0-1 : -.51 (teasers/parlays)
+2.07 YTD

Shoulda hit the ML too last night too. Also lost my fantasy matchup this week by 5.5 and had Calvin. Rough.

Not crazy about this weeks card. Couple plays that stick out but not sure if I'll add any more. Maybe some small ML plays or a ML parlay if anything.

Titans/Bills over 42 1.37 to win 1.25.
Bills ML 1.45 to win 1.
Steelers +3.5 1.15 to win 1.
Steelers ML 1.29 to win 2.
Skins +7.5 1.1 for 1.
Skins ML .33 to win 1.

[Twiz]

Teaser .77 for .7
Texans +7
Hou/Indy Over 38.5

[Twiz]

Hou/Indy over 41 2.2 for 2.
Indy ML .4 to win .8.

I know the QB situation in Indy isn't looking bright but this total is stupid low. Good value on the spread in the teaser...lost a few points on the total but still think it'll be fine. Covering my ass a bit with the Indy ML.

[Twiz]

Had a solid run from Thursday to now. Adding SF +7.5 1.1 for 1.

[Twiz]

5-3 : +1.15 (spread)
4-5 : +1.6 (totals)
7-3 : +3.93(ML)
0-1 : -.51 (teasers/parlays)
+6.17 YTD

Pending:
Steelers +3.5 1.15 to win 1.
Steelers ML 1.29 to win 2.

Feel comfy with 3.5 but not so sure on the ML. Over if anything. Solid season so far gonna try and keep it up.

[Twiz]

6-3 : +2.15 (spread)
4-5 : +1.6 (totals)
8-3 : +5.93(ML)
0-1 : -.51 (teasers/parlays)
+9.17 YTD

7-2 with a teaser push this week and +7 units or so. Like this week's card should have at least 5 or 6 plays.

For now...

Jets/skins over 40.5 2.2 for 2. Jets with a little more fire power this season than last few seasons. If desean comes back can't hurt. Skins defense catching some hype so I'm thinking that made books drop the number a point or so. Not sold. Lotta value on this stupid low number.

Lions/bears over 43 1.1 for 1.

Sorta like cleveland, and see at least 1 play in each primetime game that I'l likely play but I usually wait till closer to game time for those.

[Twiz]

Jets/skins over 40.5 2.2 for 2
Lions/bears over 43 1.1 for 1.

Adding: Bills +3.5 .88 for .8. Not sure where that line is heading but 3.5 plenty for me.

Colts/Pats under 55 1.1 for 1. Like under on both snf and mnf just betting this one early cuz 55 not too likely to move up.

Burgh +3 1 for 1. Slim chance big ben back but fact is steelers 7-3 ats last 3 seasons when 3 point dog or less (4-0 when exactly 3 point dog...couple pushes in there). Le'veon best back in the league...defense stepping up...lean under as well so getting points even more valuable. Could easily see 21-20 either way.

Be back thursday to pound over if it comes down a hair...lean atl but they're a little banged up and a road dog so prolly a no play for me.

BoL anyone who stumbles on this thread and any discussion welcome.

[Twiz]

7-4 : +2.27 (spread)
6-6 : +3.5 (totals)
8-3 : +5.93(ML)
0-1 : -.51 (teasers/parlays)
+11.19 YTD

Another positive week. Giants +5.5 1.1 for 1. Liked it at 4 but love it at 5.5. Eagles offense will struggle a bit.

[Twiz]

7-5 : +1.17 (spread)
6-6 : +3.5 (totals)
8-3 : +5.93(ML)
0-1 : -.51 (teasers/parlays)
+10.09 YTD

Knew my primetime luck had to end soon. Missed both SNF and MNF and didn't play the over like I planned for TNF. Still another week down, another week in the green. Really scared of this week's card.

For now:

Jags/Bills over 42 1.1 for 1.
Phins/Texans over 43.5 1.65 for 1.5.
Colts ML 1.08 to win .5.
Bills -4 1.18 to win 1.
Vikings -2.5 1.1 for 1.
Bills/Skins/Colts ML parlay .5 to win 1.2.

Doubt I'll add anything except maybe some SNF action. No thursday action unless total moves up or spread moves closer to 0.

[Twiz]

Burgh +3 1.2 for 1

[Twiz]

Panthers ML .72 for .5.

[Twiz]

8-7 : -.21 (spread)
8-6 : +6 (totals)
8-4 : +4.85(ML)
0-2 : -1.01 (teasers/parlays)
+9.63 YTD

Pending:
Panthers ML .72 for .5.

Need the panthers win to hit yet another week in the green (albeit barely). Knew this was going to be a tough week to cap so not too surprised with the results.

[Twiz]

8-7 : -.21 (spread)
8-6 : +6 (totals)
9-4 : +5.35(ML)
0-2 : -1.01 (teasers/parlays)
+10.13 YTD

Scary card but handled it well enough. Something like 5-6 straight weeks in the green. No play tomorrow unless the total comes up a point or two then I might play under. Looks like 27-17 type of game...not overly sold on how good cardinals look, but more so sold on how bad ravens look. If total doesn't move might start a small degen parlay w/ zona ML.

[Twiz]

Mnf Under 50 .77 for .7

[Twiz]

8-7 : -.21 (spread)
9-6 : +6.7 (totals)
9-4 : +5.35(ML)
0-2 : -1.01 (teasers/parlays)
+10.83 YTD

Been murdering these totals..

Week 8 for now...
Vikings pk 2.2 to win 2.
Vikings/bears over 42 1.65 to to win 1.5.
Raiders/Jets over 44 1.1 for 1.
Jets -1 1.65 for 1.5
Carolina/ATL/Zona ML parlay .63 for 1.

See 2-3 other plays I like but I think I can get better lines if I wait...ones I played already aren't going anywhere except against me...