RLM System Plays

[wiseguy007]

vandy i think should be removed from the list, kentucky is favored by 5.5 again

Still -5 here http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/CBB.html

[R19]

Hofstra is a team that needs to be removed from your rlm list because these fukks could not cover if the rlm was 10

May I place the Charlotte Bobcats on my sh1t list? I'm gonna start really looking at some of these NBA dogs. The usual suspects.

That's it. I think I will start at least building a sh1t list for NCAAB and NBA. Whether or not I act on it, I'll have to see.

[Night-Tripper]

Connecticut +10/450 L
Georgia +9.5/450 W
South Carolina +5.5/450 L
South Carolina +200/200 L

I'm sure there'll be more later

Adding:
UNLV -9.5/450 L
Hofstra +12/450 W

Adding:
Rhode Island +7/450 P
Rhode Island +260/200 L

Adding:
South Florida +1.5/450 W
Nuggets +3/550 W
Nuggets +130/200 W
Hofstra +600/200 L

Adding:
Duquesne +4/450 L
Duquesne +165/200 L

Adding:
Wichita State -0/450 W
GWU +7/450 W
GWU +250/200 W

Today obviously ain't the day to be playing moneylines... oh well. Turning everything left on my list now, because I'm going to be preoccupied tonight.

Arkansas State +6/450 W
Arkansas State +220/200 L
Auburn +7.5/450 W
Auburn +275/200 L
Austin Peay +11/450 L
Citadel +3.5/450 W
Citadel +145/200 L
Princeton +5.5/450 W
Princeton +200/200 W
Vanderbilt +5/450 L
Vanderbilt +175/200 L
FAU -5.5/450 L
San Jose State +7/450 W
San Jose State +270/200 L

Good luck to everyone RLM'ing tonight!

Didn't start out to well... but ended up having a decent day... and came damn close to having an outstanding day.

[wiseguy007]

RECORD UPDATE

Games to Watch 2/11/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up.

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from

http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing

them to your book.

4. NCAAB SPREADS 8PTS & UNDER, NBA SPREADS 11PTS & UNDER (IF

YOU WANT)


NCAAB

1:00pm 535 Connecticut Huskies OPEN +11 NOW +10 L

1:30pm 539 South Carolina Gamecocks OPEN +6.5 NOW +5.5 L

1:30pm 541 Georgia Bulldogs OPEN +10 NOW +9 W

4:00pm 571 South Florida Bulls OPEN +2 NOW +1.5 W

4:00pm 576 UNLV Runnin' Rebels OPEN -9.5 NOW -10 L

4:00pm 573 Hofstra Pride OPEN 13 NOW +11.5 W

6:30pm 608 Arizona State Sun Devils OPEN +4.5 NOW +3.5 L

7:00pm 628 Princeton Tigers OPEN +6 NOW +5 W

8:30pm 711 Austin Peay Governors OPEN +12 NOW +11 L

9:00pm 660 Vanderbilt Commodores OPEN +5.5 NOW +5 L

11:00pm 680 San Jose State Spartans OPEN +8 NOW +7 W


O/U:

1:00pm 535 Connecticut Huskies/536 Syracuse Orange OPEN 132.5 NOW 132 - PLAY UNDER 132 L

2/10/12: 0-1

2/10/12: 1-0

NCAAB O/U YTD: 2-1


NBA

7:05pm 503 Denver Nuggets OPEN +3.5 NOW +3 W

O/U:

8:05pm 509 San Antonio Spurs/510 New Jersey Nets OPEN 191.5 NOW 194 - PLAY OVER 194 L

2/11/12: 0-1

2/10/12: 2-0

NBA O/U YTD: 4-1


RECORD 2/11/12: 6-6

RECORD 2/10/12: 3-3

RECORD 2/9/12: 3-5

RECORD 2/8/12: 2-5

RECORD 2/7/12: 2-2

RECORD 2/6/12: 1-1

WEEK TOTAL: 2/6-2/11: 17-22

YTD: 87-71-1 55%


NHL PK LINE: 3-0

1:05pm 1 Nashville Predators OPEN +1.5 -240 NOW -225 W

10:05pm 24 Calgary Flames OPEN +1.5 -245 NOW -225 W


NHL ML: 0-1

[southpaw74]

Looks like setan hall is our early play

[wiseguy007]

UPDATE 10:27PM

Games to Watch 2/12/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up. (3000 TOTAL BETS & 63% ON ONE SIDE IF YOU WANT)

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.

4. NCAAB SPREADS 8PTS & UNDER, NBA SPREADS 11PTS & UNDER (IF YOU WANT)


WEEK TOTAL: 2/6-2/11: 17-22

YTD: 87-71-1 55%


NCAAB

12:00pm 814 Seton Hall Pirates OPEN -1.5 NOW -2

1:00pm 817 St. John's Red Storm OPEN 15.5 NOW +14

5:30pm 826 Oregon State Beavers OPEN -3 NOW -3.5


O/U:

1:00pm 815 Illinois Fighting Illini/816 Michigan Wolverines OPEN 119 NOW 118 - PLAY UNDER 118


2/10/12: 0-1

2/10/12: 1-0

NCAAB O/U YTD: 2-1


NBA

3:30pm 804 Boston Celtics OPEN +3.5 NOW +3

6:05pm 805 Washington Wizards OPEN +7 NOW +6

7:05pm 808 Atlanta Hawks OPEN +4.5 NOW +4


O/U:

3:30pm 803 Chicago Bulls/804 Boston Celtics OPEN 176 NOW 173 - PLAY UNDER 173

6:05pm 805 Washington Wizards/806 Detroit Pistons OPEN 191.5 NOW 192.5 - PLAY OVER 192.5

2/11/12: 0-1

2/10/12: 2-0

NBA O/U YTD: 4-1



NHL PK LINE: 3-0



NHL ML: 0-1

[R19]

Didn't start out to well... but ended up having a decent day... and came damn close to having an outstanding day.

Good to hear. This last week has been difficult. I was in the black yesterday, but expected a substantial up day given past Saturdays. I had opened up my approach to high spreads as well specifically for the day. Saturday is over and will run 8.0 max spread. Very interested in O/U's. Today there are several.

[DirkDiggs]

Feeling real nice about this Seton Hall game. I just doubled up.

[R19]

wiseguy007. Thanks for posting the plays on O/U's! If the trend continues, it will be a huge part of the RLM Strategy.

[wiseguy007]

UPDATE 12:40PM

Games to Watch 2/12/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up. (3000 TOTAL BETS & 63% ON ONE SIDE IF YOU WANT)

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.

4. NCAAB SPREADS 8PTS & UNDER, NBA SPREADS 11PTS & UNDER (IF YOU WANT)


NCAAB

12:00pm 814 Seton Hall Pirates OPEN -1.5 NOW -2

1:00pm 815 Illinois Fighting Illini OPEN +5.5 NOW +5

1:00pm 817 St. John's Red Storm OPEN 15.5 NOW +14

5:30pm 826 Oregon State Beavers OPEN -3 NOW -3.5


O/U:


2/11/12: 0-1

2/10/12: 1-0

NCAAB O/U YTD: 2-1


NBA

3:30pm 804 Boston Celtics OPEN +3.5 NOW +3

6:05pm 805 Washington Wizards OPEN +7 NOW +6

7:05pm 808 Atlanta Hawks OPEN +4.5 NOW +4


O/U:

3:30pm 803 Chicago Bulls/804 Boston Celtics OPEN 176 NOW 173 - PLAY UNDER 173

6:05pm 805 Washington Wizards/806 Detroit Pistons OPEN 191.5 NOW 192.5 - PLAY OVER 192.5

2/11/12: 0-1

2/10/12: 2-0

NBA O/U YTD: 4-1


WEEK TOTAL: 2/6-2/11: 17-22

YTD: 87-71-1 55%


NHL PK LINE: 3-0

6:05pm 58 Columbus Blue Jackets PK +1.5 OPEN -239 NOW -220

7:05pm 61 Tampa Bay Lightning PK +1.5 OPEN -165 NOW -155

7:35pm 63 Philadelphia Flyers PK +1.5 OPEN -220 NOW -200

NHL ML: 0-1

[wiseguy007]

wiseguy007. Thanks for posting the plays on O/U's! If the trend continues, it will be a huge part of the RLM Strategy.

Sure thing, I agree. could be much better then spreads.

[R19]

When both the spread and O/U's are in play, what are thoughts on a teaser or playing both positions plus a teaser? I understand that is requiring both sides to be winners, but you do receive extra points.

[detroitigerz]

Sure thing, I agree. could be much better then spreads.

How are you guys playing these O/U's? I'm not sure I understand how you're using the RLM for it.

[R19]

How are you guys playing these O/U's? I'm not sure I understand how you're using the RLM for it.

- Public 63% or greater on a side.
- Good number of plays. The plays are going to be much lower for O/U's.
- Static or RLM against the public from the opening O/U line.
- Position against the public.

[detroitigerz]

- Public 63% or greater on a side.
- Good number of plays. The plays are going to be much lower for O/U's.
- Static or RLM against the public from the opening O/U line.
- Position against the public.

Thanks, was looking in the wrong column so I couldn't understand all the picks haha. Yeah I could see how playing the O/U's might be better. Not to mention it's a WAY more fun way to watch the games haha. just my opinion..

In other news, Seton Hall!

[detroitigerz]

Jesus, I may be missing something... I'm sure I am but I just looked at last 3 days at NHL and the spreads. over 3000 bets, static or line movement, hasn't lost? Only loss I see in 3 days is that penguins game yesterday? Am I missing something? That would have been like 14-1?

[R19]

Jesus, I may be missing something... I'm sure I am but I just looked at last 3 days at NHL and the spreads. over 3000 bets, static or line movement, hasn't lost? Only loss I see in 3 days is that penguins game yesterday? Am I missing something? That would have been like 14-1?

Watching moneylines?

[detroitigerz]

No, Pucklines... same as spread. I mean these never move, and I'm guessing I'm doing something wrong but seriously, start with yesterday and work your way back on freesportsbets.com Over 3000 bets, 63% or more on one side. Static or line movement (pretty much only static).... I got all the way back to Jan 29th before freesports won't let me see the games. I saw MAYBE 4 losses in like 20 games.

[DirkDiggs]

Feeling real nice about this Seton Hall game. I just doubled up.

Also feeling quite nice about the Celtics and the under. I think I'm going to play both of these 2x. Also, Rose is out...

[wiseguy007]

UPDATE 2:52PM

Games to Watch 2/12/12

Based on this:

1. 3000 bets on one side with 63% & up. (3000 TOTAL BETS & 63% ON ONE SIDE IF YOU WANT)

2. Atleast .5pt Reverse Line Movement.

3. Using OPENING/CURRENT Lines from http://www.freesportsbet.com/consensus/NBA.html then comparing them to your book.

4. NCAAB SPREADS 8PTS & UNDER, NBA SPREADS 11PTS & UNDER (IF YOU WANT)


NCAAB

12:00pm 814 Seton Hall Pirates OPEN -1.5 NOW -2 W

1:00pm 815 Illinois Fighting Illini OPEN +5.5 NOW +5

1:00pm 817 St. John's Red Storm OPEN 15.5 NOW +14

4:00pm 835 Fairfield Stags OPEN +5 NOW +4

5:30pm 826 Oregon State Beavers OPEN -3 NOW -3.5


O/U:


2/11/12: 0-1

2/10/12: 1-0

NCAAB O/U YTD: 2-1


NBA

3:30pm 804 Boston Celtics OPEN +3.5 NOW +1

6:05pm 805 Washington Wizards OPEN +7 NOW +6

7:05pm 808 Atlanta Hawks OPEN +4.5 NOW +4


O/U:

3:30pm 803 Chicago Bulls/804 Boston Celtics OPEN 176 NOW 172 - PLAY UNDER 172

6:05pm 805 Washington Wizards/806 Detroit Pistons OPEN 191.5 NOW 192.5 - PLAY OVER 192.5

2/11/12: 0-1

2/10/12: 2-0

NBA O/U YTD: 4-1


WEEK TOTAL: 2/6-2/11: 17-22

YTD: 87-71-1 55%


NHL PK LINE: 3-0

6:05pm 58 Columbus Blue Jackets PK +1.5 OPEN -239 NOW -220

7:05pm 61 Tampa Bay Lightning PK +1.5 OPEN -165 NOW -155

7:35pm 63 Philadelphia Flyers PK +1.5 OPEN -220 NOW -200

NHL ML: 0-1

[R19]

No, Pucklines... same as spread. I mean these never move, and I'm guessing I'm doing something wrong but seriously, start with yesterday and work your way back on freesportsbets.com Over 3000 bets, 63% or more on one side. Static or line movement (pretty much only static).... I got all the way back to Jan 29th before freesports won't let me see the games. I saw MAYBE 4 losses in like 20 games.

I see it. Monster Vig, but Vig doesn't matter if you win that much. Am I missing something? If not, going to play, but have to wait for volume (number of plays).

[southpaw74]

Crazy moves on celtics game! Down to +1 and 171.5. That's a ton from opening

[Capybara]

Crazy moves on celtics game! Down to +1 and 171.5. That's a ton from opening

No Derrick Rose, that's why. I jumped on the C's, but now I learned no Oneil or Brandon Bass for C's... hmm... not feeling confident. This could be a big trap for the "sharps" and a cash cow for the public. We'll see.

[R19]

wiseguy007, what about LA Kings?

Also, since the Vig is so high on pucklines, would you risk a set about or place to win a certain amount?

[detroitigerz]

I see it. Monster Vig, but Vig doesn't matter if you win that much. Am I missing something? If not, going to play, but have to wait for volume (number of plays).

Damn, yeah didn't think about that the VIG is effin huge. Almost not worthwhile... I'm def gunna track this though I mean with that amount of wins compared to losses thats nuts.

[detroitigerz]

No Derrick Rose, that's why. I jumped on the C's, but now I learned no Oneil or Brandon Bass for C's... hmm... not feeling confident. This could be a big trap for the "sharps" and a cash cow for the public. We'll see.

I took the under at 172... Kinda hope they all get injured haha.

[R19]

Damn, yeah didn't think about that the VIG is effin huge. Almost not worthwhile... I'm def gunna track this though I mean with that amount of wins compared to losses thats nuts.

Can you run the numbers real quick on average -200 Vig on the recent record you see? I just ran 20-4 on -300 Vig which is never going to be the average, and it's still profitable.

75% win rate is profitable at -300 Vig.
72% win rate is break even at -250 Vig.

Illinois is on my sh1t list.

[wiseguy007]

wiseguy007, what about LA Kings?

Also, since the Vig is so high on pucklines, would you risk a set about or place to win a certain amount?

No play on the kings, line is moving the wrong way for a play.

Yeah I hate the High vig on puck lines but if they win at a high rate it will not matter.

Going to think of a better way to play these so far the only thing I come up with is a chase system but I hate them.

[southpaw74]

No Derrick Rose, that's why. I jumped on the C's, but now I learned no Oneil or Brandon Bass for C's... hmm... not feeling confident. This could be a big trap for the "sharps" and a cash cow for the public. We'll see.

Thanks! I didn't know that but thought something must be up. I just layed off

[R19]

No play on the kings, line is moving the wrong way for a play.

On LA Kings NHL, I see static pucklines and moneylines. Is it because you are looking for at least some RLM in the moneyline? Thanks.

[detroitigerz]

On LA Kings NHL, I see static pucklines and moneylines. Is it because you are looking for at least some RLM in the moneyline? Thanks.

Well going back to Jan 31st... (THIS DOESN'T HAVE ANYTHING TO DO WITH RLM) NHL Puck lines for games that ONLY requirement is over 63% are 38-30.... NHL Puck lines that have at least 3000 bets (total) and 63% on one side are 15-4. That's a 375% win rate haha.

375>75 for the -250 vig line you were talking about earlier R19.

Once again I wish I had more data on this (or could at least go back further) but I'm going to start playing NHL games with 3000 bets and at least 63%. NOT paying attention to which way the line is moving. Probably am going to pay for that...

[wiseguy007]

On LA Kings NHL, I see static pucklines and moneylines. Is it because you are looking for at least some RLM in the moneyline? Thanks.

Lets take the tampa game for example.

7:05pm 61 Tampa Bay Lightning 594 30 30% 1034 (24%) 24%
62 Pittsburgh Penguins 1417 70 70% 3211 (76%) 76%

So we have 70% on Pitt puckline, I'm looking for at least a 10cent RLM from tampa bay.

As you can see Tampa bay +1.5 open at -165 to now -155, same thing goes for ML plays. I look at them both as different plays.

So you can see Pitt open at -200 and now -220 ML so that is moving in the right direction, so it is a no play.

[DirkDiggs]

That's a 375% win rate haha.

375>75 for the -250 vig line you were talking about earlier R19.

The first part makes me think you are joking, but the second part makes me not so sure...

It's a 79% win rate.

[R19]

Thanks to everyone for the ice tips. Gonna put my blades on.

[detroitigerz]

The first part makes me think you are joking, but the second part makes me not so sure...

It's a 79% win rate.

Wow, I am totally slipping. Been doing homework all day guess my brain is friend. Or maybe I am an idiot, I'm not so sure anymore.