70kgman 11-12 hoops, ect...

[Cutler'sThumb]

Use twitter so you get all the plays. Scale back some until the tide turns. That's all you can do.

I have the Twitter feed to my phone, but I'm usually out and about so getting the bets in via my phone sometimes takes too long, or I can't drop what I'm doing at the right time, or sometimes it takes 3-7 minutes for the network to relay the tweet and it's too late by then. Whatever, I'm just frustrated like you guys. Hopefully these 2 games going will hit to stop the bleeding.

[dlunc3]

gonna need some ot in houston

[dlunc3]

tied up 97-97 with 22 seconds... lets go one stop for ot

[dlunc3]

HUGE

[dlunc3]

now we need 16 points in ot to take care of this over

[southpaw74]

Finally we catch a break and go to overtime!! I've noticed a ton of 4th quarters that teams are just horrible this season.

[southpaw74]

I have the Twitter feed to my phone, but I'm usually out and about so getting the bets in via my phone sometimes takes too long, or I can't drop what I'm doing at the right time, or sometimes it takes 3-7 minutes for the network to relay the tweet and it's too late by then. Whatever, I'm just frustrated like you guys. Hopefully these 2 games going will hit to stop the bleeding.

I hear ya...that must be frustrating! Im not at home or near a computer very often either. I get them right away and I just jump on 5dimes on my phone. Takes about 30 seconds usually.

[dlunc3]

Finally we catch a break and go to overtime!! I've noticed a ton of 4th quarters that teams are just horrible this season.

noone is scoring in ot

[dlunc3]

this is sick...looking like 0-2 here to end the night... could use some more ots

[dlunc3]

huge final minute in houston... ill take 1-1 for the late games after the way they were looking and run with it!

[Cutler'sThumb]

I hear ya...that must be frustrating! Im not at home or near a computer very often either. I get them right away and I just jump on 5dimes on my phone. Takes about 30 seconds usually.

I use Sprint. Maybe that's the problem. Whose network are you on?

...man, OT in the Houston and it still took divine intervention in the last minute to get the over. TCU is toast.

[southpaw74]

I use AT&T and an iPhone. I've never had an issue that I know of. I live in the Minneapolis suburbs.

[70kgman]

Well, at least I got lucky with that OT. Those last two wagers sum up why I hate unders in NCAA and hate overs in NBA. Way too unpredictable. The TCU game, it took combined shooting numbers over 60% and ridiculous 3 point numbers to score only 68 1st half points. Pace was sluggishly slow. 2H under looked gold at 79, and somehow they score 82 2H points. Must of went from a walking 1H pace to running and gunning all 2H. And it seems like every fast paced NBA 1H ends up half speed in the 2H.

[Dan Kelly]

I noticed that, about the NBA 1H's v. 2H's, and the books have it factored in pretty good - the 1H total is usually 1 - 2 pts higher than half the full game total - which makes no sense especially considering OT's - and I can not understand it. Why would teams change that much from 1H to 2H, the best explanation I can come up with is, for the NBA, defensive halftime adjustments are more effective than offensive halftime adjustments.

As always, Thanks for the work

KeeLoe, Thanks for being in my kids team SuperBowl Box fundraiser - ONLY 22 left, It is not possible to watch the SuperBowl without one
www.ljnljn.com/

BOL

[tonyp0387]

Whats his twitter

[southpaw74]

70kgmansbr

[70kgman]

1/15

1st Half: UCLA / USC Over 50

[truanswer]

What did u end up going yesterday?

[70kgman]

What did u end up going yesterday?

5-8.

3-2 on the 1H's . 2-6 on 2H's.

Hopefully I get these 2H's turned around. They were always my strongest plays... consitently around 64% last year, consistently around 64% the first couple months of this year. Brutal the past few weeks. Don't know what happened. Not doing anything I wasn't doing earlier.

[Cutler'sThumb]

Hopefully an avatar change will do the trick

[dlunc3]

great win! started off very slowed.. but great pace late in the half... good stuff man

[70kgman]

Hopefully an avatar change will do the trick

It was as soon as I changed my avatar a few weeks ago when I started going down the toilet. Back to the spacecraft.

The NCAA 1H's I wanted to play but were a point or two out of my comfort zone today went 4-0 too, 3 of them by winning by double digits. Sucks I didn't play any of them, but definitely a positive sign that I have a good thing going with the new NCAA 1H model. Since I tweaked the filters and parameters, it has been 6-2, should be 7-1, that Wright St. 1H not covering yesterday was BS.

p.s I will probably start back up with the NBA at some point later this week. I think there has been big enough sample size of games now where one anomaly of a game wont completely throw off my numbers like it was before.

[70kgman]

Updated Record: 79-64-2

NCAAB
1H: 6-4
2H: 58-45-2

NBA
1H: 5-6
2H: 10-9
FG: 0-2

[Cutler'sThumb]

My tail is defiantly between my legs, as I picked you up pretty much when things started going south. I'm sticking it out, however, as history says there's no way you're this bad. If I bail it's like chickening out when the stock market tanks and selling off at the bottom. I gotta give you time to let reality set in again.
I was sweating when that USC game was 9-9 around the 10 min mark. Nice hit in the end!

[aussieH]

Good win today. Recovered part of a bad day for me.

[70kgman]

1/16

1st Half: Pittsburgh / Syracuse Under 63.5

[aussieH]

[quote=70kgman;13276027][FONT=verdana][FONT=verdana]1/15

My book has 1st h u 63. But full game under 136. I have never noticed this descrepancy before in the cbb but in checking the other games are like this as well.

[70kgman]

My book has 1st h u 63. But full game under 136. I have never noticed this descrepancy before in the cbb but in checking the other games are like this as well.

Scoring distribution in NCAAB averages out around 46.8% 1st half / 53.2% 2nd half. So the 1st half line will be around 63, and the 2nd half total will open around 73, which is normal.

Completely different than NBA which is around 50.6% 1st half / 49.4% 2nd half on average.

...assuming that is what you meant by "discrepancy".

[southpaw74]

Yup that's pretty standard. College is about 8-10 points higher 2H and nba is usually around 2 points less.

[aussieH]

That is what I meant. Bug difference. Is it due to increase fouls or bigger blowouts

[70kgman]

That is what I meant. Bug difference. Is it due to increase fouls or bigger blowouts

Probably a combination of accounting for the intentional fouls at the end and either the offensive efficiency improving and/or defensive efficiency weakening in the 2nd half in general.

[SlickRick1382]

I noticed that, about the NBA 1H's v. 2H's, and the books have it factored in pretty good - the 1H total is usually 1 - 2 pts higher than half the full game total - which makes no sense especially considering OT's - and I can not understand it. Why would teams change that much from 1H to 2H, the best explanation I can come up with is, for the NBA, defensive halftime adjustments are more effective than offensive halftime adjustments. As always, Thanks for the work KeeLoe, Thanks for being in my kids team SuperBowl Box fundraiser - ONLY 22 left, It is not possible to watch the SuperBowl without one www.ljnljn.com/ BOL

I'll buy some squares. How do I get you the cash? paypal?

[dume walker]

1/16

1st Half: Pittsburgh / Syracuse Under 63.5

Whew! (Especially for those of us who got it at 62.5) Thanks for the winner, K Man!

[truanswer]

Ya nice winner. And how bout that and 1 dunk. Damn that was dirty

[Dan Kelly]

I'll buy some squares. How do I get you the cash? paypal?

THANKS RICK -

Go to the webpage, scroll down to the bottom, the info for paying is on there. Check, paypal you'll see my address. Thanks for the winners KeeLoe. And thanks for being in the kids pool.

www.ljnljn.com/