70kgman 11-12 hoops, ect...

[MatI]

Under is a still a chance!! Just hopefully no OT.

[zacblack]

yuk

[70kgman]

Meaningless 3 at the buzzer to lose by a half point. 185 was actually my cutoff number for that game too, but decided to make a half point exception.

[dume walker]

This kind of cancels out that last second, garbage-time 3 pointer that put us over in last night's Ole Miss/MSU game. Maybe you're not supposed to be watching these, K Man. The miracles seem to happen when you're busy with other things.

[70kgman]

This kind of cancels out that last second, garbage-time 3 pointer that put us over in last night's Ole Miss/MSU game. Maybe you're not supposed to be watching these, K Man. The miracles seem to happen when you're busy with other things.

It is funny because I had written it off as a loss already at halftime, started flipping through the channels and came across the game with just under 3 minutes left and was shocked to see I somehow had it covered by 12.5 points and it was on pace to win. Tough ending to watch though. If Utah didn't get that offensive rebound with 5 seconds left, I would of had it.

Free throws were the killer in that game, 48 total free throws and they shot 85.4% from the line. Well that, and one of the worst offensive efficiency teams in the NBA (Dallas) shooting 52.1% for the game.

[70kgman]

1/20

1st Half: Minnesota / LA Clippers Under 96.5

Sacramento / San Antonio Under 197

LA Lakers / Orlando Under 183

[70kgman]

Will likely add to that card later. Kind of lame that books are starting to release 1st half totals super late now after the bulk of the line movement happens on the full game total. Getting harder to get find good 1H numbers because of it.

[70kgman]

Added LAL/ORL under.

[70kgman]

Added MIN/LAC 1HU.

That should be final.

[70kgman]

Win or lose, got great numbers on both of those full game totals which puts us ahead before the game even starts. Lakers total down to 180, Spurs total down to 195.

[baskets]

love your thread, 70k

good luck

[70kgman]

2H: Memphis / Detroit Under 89

[baskets]

70k, how sound or unsound is this?


1050 egg

bet 330/300 a play

additional 55 made on each play. if a win comes up, roll that 105 onto the next play. stop at 2 and begin the process again

example:

1. win +300, +50 = 1400
2. win +300, +95 = 1795
3. loss -330, -55 = 1410
4. win +300, +50 = 1760
5. loss -330, -105 = 1325

6. loss -330, -55 = 940
7. win +300, +50 = 1290
8. win +300, +95 = 1685
9. loss -330, -55 = 1300
10. win +300, +50 = 1650

6-4 = +600 ... as opposed to ... 6-4 = +480

[Cutler'sThumb]

Maybe not the time for that involved a question...it's prime time for 70 right now, although a small card tonight means maybe just a few plays.

[dume walker]

2H: Memphis / Detroit Under 89

Detroit scores more in 3Q than they do in 1Q and 2Q combined. One of those anomalies you just can't account for.

[70kgman]

70k, how sound or unsound is this?


1050 egg

bet 330/300 a play

additional 55 made on each play. if a win comes up, roll that 105 onto the next play. stop at 2 and begin the process again

example:

1. win +300, +50 = 1400
2. win +300, +95 = 1795
3. loss -330, -55 = 1410
4. win +300, +50 = 1760
5. loss -330, -105 = 1325

6. loss -330, -55 = 940
7. win +300, +50 = 1290
8. win +300, +95 = 1685
9. loss -330, -55 = 1300
10. win +300, +50 = 1650

6-4 = +600 ... as opposed to ... 6-4 = +480

What is the 1050? I don't know what "egg" stands for.

[70kgman]

Detroit scores more in 3Q than they do in 1Q and 2Q combined. One of those anomalies you just can't account for.

Those hafltime blowouts can be unpredictable. I avoid them altogether in NCAA, but usually in the NBA it tends to lead toward low scoring 2nd halves where the losing team just lays down and dies more often than not, although sometimes you get...well...that Detroit 2nd half, fast loose play with little defense.

[dume walker]

Please, please, please, please, please let SA/Sac end in regulation...

Yes!!!

[No coincidences]

14 points in the last 1:10 of the 1Q in LA.

[70kgman]

How did that Minnesota 1st quarter end up with 53 points? There were 40 with just over a minute left last time I checked. That one doesn't have much of a chance now.

[No coincidences]

How did that Minnesota 1st quarter end up with 53 points? There were 40 with just over a minute left last time I checked. That one doesn't have much of a chance now.

NBA is just weird.

[70kgman]

Shooting well over 50% in FG% and 3pt% as well as 27 FT's in the 1H of that Min game. No chance even though I liked the pace. Oh well. 2-2 day. Big card tomorrow, should have a lot of plays. Hopefully have a great day.





Updated Record: 91-68-2

NCAAB
1H: 9-4
2H: 62-46-2

NBA
1H: 5-7
2H: 12-10
FG: 3-3

[70kgman]

1/21

1st Half: Kansas St. / Oklahoma St. over 64

1st Half: Arkansas LR / Western Kentucky Over 58.5

1st Half: California / Washington St. Under 62.5

1st Half: East Carolina / Houston Over 66.5

1st Half: Duquense / Saint Louis Over 63

1st Half: UL Lafayette / Arkansas St. Over 57.5

1st Half: Sacramento St. / Montana Over 59

[70kgman]

Will edit in NBA soon.

[70kgman]

DSI (and only DSI) made half point line moves to every single one of those immediately after I put in my wager which confirms my previous suspicion. Makes you respect line movement a lot less knowing books are moving lines based on small triple digit sized wagers just because someone has a history of winning at their book, huh?

[Cutler'sThumb]

Still probably makes you feel good to know they're wary of you.

[70kgman]

Most likely going to pass on NBA today. Was late looking at the games today and missed the big line movement spikes on the couple I liked, and most of the value has been sucked out of them. There is still one I might consider, but will probably make a late decision on.

[Full-Grown]

DSI (and only DSI) made half point line moves to every single one of those immediately after I put in my wager which confirms my previous suspicion. Makes you respect line movement a lot less knowing books are moving lines based on small triple digit sized wagers just because someone has a history of winning at their book, huh?

Not really Kilo. It just shows that it's not always big money moving the lines but it is smart money. And you're smart money.

[aussieH]

Good luck. Missed the first two but I am on the rest. Got your lines quoted as well.

[southpaw74]

Good luck. Missed the first two but I am on the rest. Got your lines quoted as well.

You are very lucky! First two weren't even close...poor shooting

[70kgman]

You are very lucky! First two weren't even close...poor shooting

K-St. Were 4-14 on free throws alone in that 1H.

I don't know what it is about Saturday's, I always get horrible shooting on all my overs every Saturday. Maybe because they are mostly afternoon games? Hopefully all the late games hit, or at least 4 of the 5.

[70kgman]

2H: Cincinnati / West Virginia Over 72

[dume walker]

K-St. Were 4-14 on free throws alone in that 1H.

I don't know what it is about Saturday's, I always get horrible shooting on all my overs every Saturday. Maybe because they are mostly afternoon games? Hopefully all the late games hit, or at least 4 of the 5.

This is what I was thinking too. College kids playing relatively early on a Saturday, having to get to the gym early, after however they may have been partying the Friday night before. Maybe this is a reason to be wary of early Saturday overs in college ball.

[southpaw74]

Cal game lights out...unreal. Wtf is going on

[70kgman]

Shooting way over 50% so far in that Cal game. Man, I really liked that one too. Neither of those teams have come even within 8 points of covering a 1H over in weeks, and I felt like I got a good number on it.