70kgman 11-12 hoops, ect...

[70kgman]

2H: Boston / Indiana Under 90.5

[70kgman]

2H: Houston / Oklahoma City Under 101

[socrates01]

wow in the boston game it's like two different teams came out for the second half...

[socrates01]

2H: Houston / Oklahoma City Under 101

Hey 70k, do you like this bet or the 1st half over in the phoenix game better? thanks!

[70kgman]

Hey 70k, do you like this bet or the 1st half over in the phoenix game better? thanks!

Didn't see this earlier. Looks like it is too late if you were going to choose one or the other, 2nd half already started in OKC.

[socrates01]

Didn't see this earlier. Looks like it is too late if you were going to choose one or the other, 2nd half already started in OKC.

No worries, I saw your rationale for the over in the phoenix game and am liking it. Let's get it... Thanks!

[70kgman]

wow in the boston game it's like two different teams came out for the second half...

Yeah. Pace isn't even close to the same as the 1st half and there is little defense being played. Shooting was terrible in the 1st half, but the pace was really slow too, even with average shooting in that 1st half, they still probably only would of reached 80-83 points or so. Oh well, bad pick. Throw that one away. Hopefully these last two plays hit.

[southpaw74]

We can't escape these losers...dang it! Bulls, okc and celtics go down. Come on suns

[TheAntFather]

Suns are my last hope, let's go Nash!!!!!

[blankoblanco]

doesn't look like it's gonna be close

[southpaw74]

Portland out of gas after beating lakers...not even close. Rough couple days.

[Not-A-Kid]

34 point quarter? Sweet.

[TheAntFather]

I got jacked up in NBA tonight. We'll get them tomorrow.

[70kgman]

1/7

1st Half: New York / Detroit Under 98.5

1st Half: Dallas / New Orleans Under 91

1st Half: Ohio State / Iowa Over 66

1st Half: Northern Arizona / Eastern Washington Over 62.5

[70kgman]

Added Ohio St. / Iowa 1H O66.

[70kgman]

Added N Ari / E Was 1H O62.5.

[SlickRick1382]

Knicks / Detroit line moved two full points. Guess it's a pass unfortunately .... Hope the others hit. Good Luck today

[70kgman]

Added Dallas/NO 1H U91.

That will likely be it for 1st half/full game stuff.

[aussieH]

Knicks game moved for me as well. Good luck though

[70kgman]

2H: Ohio / Bowling Green Under 70.5

[truanswer]

Wow. What the hell happened in bowling game?

[southpaw74]

Typical last second free throws kill us again...it's getting sick. Time for a break for me...that will be when you start winning again

[70kgman]

8 points in the final 50 seconds basically all on intentional free throws to push it over by a half point. Beat that NY 1H under closing line by 3.5 points which is probably the most I have ever seen a 1H total move, and that looks like it is going way over. I think it is time for a break myself.

[70kgman]

2H: George Washington / Saint Louis Over 65

[aussieH]

A couple of days off can be good but generally bad luck evens out

[dlunc3]

wow... this is my 4th day tailing... sorry for causing the downslide

[70kgman]

What is that? Like 11 losers in a row now? Anyway, I quit for a while.

Updated Record: 66-53-2

NCAAB
1H: 0-2
2H: 54-38-2

NBA
1H: 5-6
2H: 7-5
FG: 0-1

[Not-A-Kid]

Unreal run. The NBA game pending is toast.

[truanswer]

what was ur worst streak last year? there were quite a few bad beats during these 12 games, really sucks

[dume walker]

What is that? Like 11 losers in a row now? Anyway, I quit for a while.

I respect your decision if you decide to take a break for a while. I also accept that any good capper is going to hit some rough patches. I look forward to your next picks whenever you decide to gear back up.

[jayfly]

Wow what a tough run. Lots of close games with phony things happening to beat you. Things even out but you have true talent and when all is said and done you will be around 60% just like always.

[Club]

You have to keep playing. This is a bad run but everyone has that. If your system is legitimate, your system will have a very good run but you'll miss it because you are taking a break while that happens. If you don't have a good run and keep on this path then your system isn't good and you'd probably rather find that out sooner than later.

[truanswer]

i agree with club on sticking with it...maybe reduce bet size but dont stop making picks, in the long run the bad luck will even out, i look forward to my twitter picks from u everyday so keep at it....

[southpaw74]

Correct, keep it going but greatly reduce amount you bet until it turns.

[70kgman]

what was ur worst streak last year? there were quite a few bad beats during these 12 games, really sucks

I was not much better than 50/50 with lots of ups and downs from October to December last year, then consistently hit around 70%+ from January through March.

Hmm, Now that I bring that up, maybe I should just take a break from the math model stuff until close to mid season. Mid-season is when my model related plays started killing it last year. Most of my recent 2nd half losses have just been good picks that ran into flukey bad luck, I would only consider a couple of them bad picks even in hindsight. The model stuff has seemed to be more bad picks than bad luck. It has just kind of been overkill this week with both running bad at once.