Record: 20-18 [+0.20]
-
Comment -
2.27.11 (4:00pm ET) INDIANA-OHIO STATE OVER 137.5 [-105]
Ohio State averages nearly 80 ppg at home, while IU gives up nearly the same on the road. The Buckeyes' defense has been a bit leaky of late, allowing 52% shooting over their last five. They are usually rock solid at home though, while the Hoosiers have averaged around 69 ppg on the road. OVERs have been prevalent in Indiana road games, hitting in eight of eleven. Ohio State rolled over Indian 85-67 back in December on the road.
Comment -
2.27.11 (6:00pm ET) WISCONSIN TEAM TOTAL OVER 68.5 [-110]
Badgers are a highly efficient offensive team that puts up 75 ppg on 48% shooting. They're going up against a Northwestern defense that yields 74 ppg on the road on 51% shooting. The Badgers nail 44% of their shots from beyond the arc at home with the Wildcats allowing 39%. Wisconsin has scored 69 or more in five of eight Big 10 home games. They ravaged Northwestern for 78 on the road, shooting 55% from the field. Wisconsin is also a superb FT shooting team at 82%, so any extra chances they get there can only help.
Comment -
Record: 22-18 [+2.20]Comment -
are you playing UNC and UW laterComment -
3.1.11 (7:00pm ET) GREEN BAY-WRIGHT STATE OVER 128.5 [-110]
Wright State has been an effective OVERs team at home this season. They have hit OVERs in eleven of 13 at home and seven of their last eight. At home, they average 71 ppg on almost 47% shooting. In ten home games in Horizon League play, Wright State has only hit less than 67 at home ONCE this season. Green Bay is giving up about 71 ppg on the road. Green Bay has been okay on the road offensively, putting up around 65 ppg on 43% shooting. They should be able to meet around that number against State who has had some defensive lapses lately, allowing 51% shooting over their last five. At home, Wright State gives up 63 ppg on 47% shooting. The meeting at Wright State yielded 131 points, the meeting at Green Bay saw 125. If Wright State can meet close to their home average, that should mean Green Bay merely needs to hit 60 or better to give this a good shot. FTs may loom large here. Both shoot 70% plus from the line.
Comment -
Record: 22-19 [+1.10]
3.2.11 (7:00pm ET) MARYLAND-MIAMI OVER 144 [-105]
The Terps love to pump and dump tempo-wise and they'll look to continue that on the road against Miami. Maryland has a solid FG% on defense on the road [37%] but still manages to give up 66 ppg due to their tempo. Maryland has been rough around the edges especially of late on defense, giving up 70 or more in six of their last eight with 80 points or better in four of those. The Hurricanes as with most teams, shoot better at home. 47% to 44% on the seaon. From three, they have been deadly accurate at 40% at home. Miami has not shyed away from the up-tempo style of its opponents, choosing to push the pace with Duke, Wake Forest & UNC. Maryland has scored 72 or more in eight of their last nine and will need to establish pace early to equal that output. I think the key here is Miami shooting well. They are efficient when they play their best, but are not immune to horrible shooting days.
Comment -
Love the play, good luck eagles!Comment -
3.2.11 (8:30pm ET) RUTGERS-DePAUL OVER 137 [-110]
This is a simple play against a piss poor defense in DePaul that is allowing 75 ppg on 49% shooting. Yes, they play in the Big East and have come up against some good teams, but mostly they just cannot stop ANYONE. Witness their 86 pts. allowed last time out to South Florida. The Bulls rank near the bottom of D1 at 62 ppg and yet easily exploited this defense. That's why I think there is hope for Rutgers tonight. The Knights only average around 66 ppg, but with DePaul having allowed 70 or more in nine of their last ten - Rutgers has a shot to put up one of its better point totals. DePaul will be without Melvin who averaged double figures, but they shot well last time out and still found 76 against South Florida. DePaul nets almost 72 ppg at home and loves the up-tempo style of Coach Oliver Parnell. Rutgers has been steady defensively, but does give up points. In road games, OVERs have hit in five of eight posted games.Comment -
Record: 23-20 [+1.00]
To keep clutter down, will also be posting some Conference Tourney picks on sides in this thread for anyone who gives a rat's ass.
Comment -
3.3.11 (2:30pm ET) NORTH FLORIDA-JACKSONVILLE OVER 132 [-110]
Third meeting between these two, this one in the A-Sun tournament. The 1st meeting featured bad shooting and finished at 125 points in overtime. The 2nd saw North Florida shoot extremely well and Jacksonville take advantage from the FT line to finish at 140. North Florida has not been a great defensive team, allowing 71 ppg this season. In seven of their last nine, they have given up at least 69. Jacksonville prefers a bit quicker pace to the game and will need to refind their rhythm after slipping in their last two games. Prior to that stumble, Jacksonville had scored 70 or better in seven of their last eight. Defensively, they have been consistent, but beatable as NF showed by shooting 50% against them last time they met. FTs could make the difference. In the first meeting, the two teams missed 20-some odd shots from the line combined. Last time, Jacksonville was 26/29 and NF a at 12/20. Jacksonville also had HUGE rebounding edges in both regular season meetings which could help add to this with 2nd chance opportunities. Key here to me is Jacksonville working tempo and making shots early. I think this squeaks by in the mid to upper 130s.
Comment -
Record: 23-20-1 [+1.00]Comment -
3.3.11: (7:00pm ET) NEC: MT. ST.MARY'S +10 [-120]
Northeast Conference Tournament. Mt. St.Mary's on the road against #2 seed Quinnipiac. The Mount won the last meeting on their home court with Quinnipiac without one of their best players. The first meeting at Quinnipiac was a two point win for the Q. It's the slow down style of The Mount vs. Quinnipiac's preferred up tempo attack. Statistically, the two teams look similar. Neither shoots a high percentage [low 40s] and both give up around 66-67 ppg. The difference is points averaged where Quinnipiac trumps due to their tempo. Rebounding is a heavy advantage to Quinnipiac, but wasn't dominated on the glass in either meeting. The Q has not been dominant at home either, with only two of their eleven home games featuring double digit differentials. Out of nine conference roadies, The Mount was only blown out twice. FT shooting could be an Achilles' heel for Quinnipiac as they shoot just 60% for the season.
Comment -
nice write up EP and i like the pick good luck tonight
Comment -
Thanks
Comment -
3.3.11 (9:00pm ET) OREGON STATE-ARIZONA OVER 147 [-110]
The Beavers like to push the tempo and Arizona scores very well at home, a solid recipe to start an OVER. OSU only scores about 66 ppg, but Arizona is stout at home defensively anyway. The Cats allow just 63 ppg on 43% shooting. Their D has been a little sketchy lately though, yielding 65 or more in eight of nine. The Beavers defense on the road has been full of holes, allowing 79 ppg on 49% shooting. U of A shoots almost 50% from the floor at home and puts up about 80 ppg. The Cats have scored 80 or more in four of their last five at home, while the Beavers have given up 80+ in three straight overall. Six of Arizona's seven Pac-10 home games have gone OVERs.
Comment -
Perfect storm of shit. OSU 12 turnovers. Arizona shooting 30%. No chance in f-ing hell.
Comment
