Cheme82's CBB plays for November

[chilidog]

Alright, so I'm on:

NBA
New Jersey +9.5 2.8u
Cleveland +10 3.3u
Detroit +10 4.7u

CBB
Georgia +7 2.2u

Looks like we're on opposing sides, impper. Let's hope for some middles here!

[impper]

Looks good chili We're only opposed on the Detroit game... I'm also on New Jersey. Either abstaining from cleveland or playing Philadelphia, as Cleveland is HORRIBLE. FWIW I think the Rockets game should middle. It's unlikely they lose, but they probably don't blow Detroit out of the gym, as Detroit can straight-up score

I'm on Georgia as well, and Valparaiso +11, Lakers -9,

[chilidog]

Sweet, good luck to us both then I wonder what we can get our record up to for most winning days in a row. That'd be awesome, heh.

[impper]

I've got two winning days in a row so far. I had an amazing run like 2 weeks ago where my bankroll inflated to the stratosphere... Hopefully I can repeat the performance I imagine if I do with the size of my bankroll now I'll get kicked off Betus, haha

[chilidog]

Heh, yah, it's such a good feeling. I still get nervous everyday though, making the bets, paying attention to the scores, even watching the game if it's on TV.

[Gtownguy487]

Why no plays on Memphis/Kansas?

[impper]

Heh, yah, it's such a good feeling. I still get nervous everyday though, making the bets, paying attention to the scores, even watching the game if it's on TV.

Yep. I've been REALLY BAD about this because the system has us bet so many damn games. I compulsively check the scores, even when I"m trying to write or work . . . it's pathetic! If only my job went from 6 PM to midnight the time would fly

[impper]

Why no plays on Memphis/Kansas?

At the moment Kansas -8 is a small play.

[chilidog]

Why no plays on Memphis/Kansas?

Because pinny has them listed at -103/-107, and this early in the day, I just stick to -108+.

That being said, Kansas -8 would be the play, since it has a 1.03% edge, but it does not meet my criteria to make it an eligible bet.

[chilidog]

Yep. I've been REALLY BAD about this because the system has us bet so many damn games. I compulsively check the scores, even when I"m trying to write or work . . . it's pathetic! If only my job went from 6 PM to midnight the time would fly

I know the feeling alllll too well. And even if I try to not monitor the scores, I get so nervous that I simply HAVE to check the scores to ease my nerves. I perpetually have no fingernails because of this, lol.

Not only making so many bets, but tying up such a large portion of the bankroll on some days. I think the worst is on Saturdays, when there might be 30+ plays and nearly 100% of my bankroll is in play. I know that conventional money management says not to do this, but I'm not really considering this gambling. As cheme has said before, think of it as we're buying $1 bills for 90-99 cents. It's just that sometimes, those dollar bills cost us $1.50+.

[impper]

San Diego +4
East Carolina +10

[impper]

I perpetually have no fingernails because of this, lol.

Haha, I haven't come to this point yet, but look me up in a few months and I bet you I'll be there. Wanna lay some odds on it?

[chilidog]

So, you monitor the lines throughout the day, and make bets as they present themselves, instead of just doing it around the same time(s) per day?

[jolmscheid]

Way to go guys...I only had 2 bets last night and HOuston pushed and the Jazz won for me.....impper please let me know when you try to request a payout from BetUS...

ALSO, Chili since I cannot use BetJam anymore, I am wondering about the Labby's that you run....can you explain a little more about exactly how you do it (Like what % of bankroll, etc) and how you have done doing it that way the past few years??

I am thinking of doing seperate labbys for Morrison (Is it good to do it that way only buying like 1 point?), Sports Betting Professor System, Crusher's daily plays, PowerPlay Wins daily plays.....

I would really appreciate the help as I want to start using my BetJam account for something like this then...thanks bro

Will run my value plays now...

[impper]

I do most of my stuff earlier, but if I'm around and a game turns out to look good, I go ahead and bet it. Slow period atm, so here I am checking sbrodds...

[impper]

Neither East Carolina or San diego looked good earlier today around 11:30 but the juice has moved in both of their favors. Looks decent. SD might drop to PK

[chilidog]

so does purdue, utah and utah state, when I ran them like 30 minutes ago. i didn't bet them, just ran them and wrote em down. i like to track stuff before i take the plunge. unless i say otherwise, when i post with the actual units, then i've made the bet, which i typically do around 12 noon, and 5pm for the nba games.

[chilidog]

ALSO, Chili since I cannot use BetJam anymore, I am wondering about the Labby's that you run....can you explain a little more about exactly how you do it (Like what % of bankroll, etc) and how you have done doing it that way the past few years??

With JM NBA plays, you have to buy 3 points. Those 3 points have saved me so many times; it's just part of the system. SBP and crusher are good, though, since you don't have to buy points.

I have a separate sheet inside my main spreadsheet broken down by each system that I track and/or bet. I don't strictly follow the A-B-C bet progression. I have that day's plays in the spreadsheet. I move the oldest open labby down into play for whatever bet is next. With crusher, there are usually 2-3 bets per day, so I would move 2-3 of the oldest open labbys down for the 3 bets for the day. If there are no open labbys, then I start a new one with increased units. By doing it this way, I can avoid any possible long losing streaks, because I am not using the same labby when I have to play the next bet in the regular A-B-C series.

It's working for me, but do whatever is most comfortable for you. There is no right or wrong way to do labbys. Some people like to do 2-3 line labbys, and play the A-B-C bet on its own separate labby, etc. You can use 4 or 6 numbers in a labby. You can re-structure them daily if the bet amounts are getting too big, or the line is getting too long. It's completely customizable. The way I wrote about is just the way that I personally like to do them.

[jolmscheid]

Alrighty guys...my plays for tonight are:

Georgia +7
Utah -8
Utah State -10
Purdue -4
San Diego +4
New Jersey Nets +9.5

[jolmscheid]

With JM NBA plays, you have to buy 3 points. Those 3 points have saved me so many times; it's just part of the system. SBP and crusher are good, though, since you don't have to buy points.

I have a separate sheet inside my main spreadsheet broken down by each system that I track and/or bet. I don't strictly follow the A-B-C bet progression. I have that day's plays in the spreadsheet. I move the oldest open labby down into play for whatever bet is next. With crusher, there are usually 2-3 bets per day, so I would move 2-3 of the oldest open labbys down for the 3 bets for the day. If there are no open labbys, then I start a new one with increased units. By doing it this way, I can avoid any possible long losing streaks, because I am not using the same labby when I have to play the next bet in the regular A-B-C series.

It's working for me, but do whatever is most comfortable for you. There is no right or wrong way to do labbys. Some people like to do 2-3 line labbys, and play the A-B-C bet on its own separate labby, etc. You can use 4 or 6 numbers in a labby. You can re-structure them daily if the bet amounts are getting too big, or the line is getting too long. It's completely customizable. The way I wrote about is just the way that I personally like to do them.

Thanks for the reply Chili....so basically, I NEED to buy the 3 points in the JM systems for them to really be sucessful.....and how much % of your bankroll do you usually break up on each labby line?

I plan on doing a 3-Line Labby for SBP, Morrison, PowerPlay Wins daily play, and Crusher's plays all on seperate labbys...

[chilidog]

Thanks for the reply Chili....so basically, I NEED to buy the 3 points in the JM systems for them to really be sucessful.....and how much % of your bankroll do you usually break up on each labby line?

I plan on doing a 3-Line Labby for SBP, Morrison, PowerPlay Wins daily play, and Crusher's plays all on seperate labbys...

Yah, you need to buy the 3 points. I don't set a specific bankroll percentage when I start a labby. When I start tracking and/or betting a new system, I always set the labby line up as 10-10-10-10, and let the system prove itself.

[jolmscheid]

Gotcha thanks Chili....and it has been successful over the past few years?? Thanks for your help...

I am just wondering if it is better to do a labby or just bet the plays STRAIGHT.....??

[chilidog]

Definitely labby. And yes, the labby has been pretty successful for me, and takes the edge off of those nasty C bets.

[jolmscheid]

Thanks for the help Chili...will be doin that....prolly will just not use the Morrison system as I can't buy 3 points at BetJam

[chilidog]

Hey, I was just thinking about this, let me know what ya'll think. I'm not doing it, just thinking about it.

Take my entire bankroll, divide it into 5 parts. 1st part is for any games that I want to play for the day, independent of any system. 2nd part is for the games calculated at 11am. 3rd part is for games calculated at noon, 4th part is for games calculated at 1pm, and the 5th part is for the night games that I calculate at 5pm. By doing the calculations 4 times a day (assuming time provides so), I am aware that there will be multiple bets on the same team, and sometimes on opposing sides, but those usually work out for the best anyway.

I know that this is highly aggressive, and it will put nearly 100% of your bankroll into play per day. So, if you happen to have a 100% losing day (which hasn't happened yet), then there's barely any bankroll left to recover. But the rewards would also be rather nice.

I'm just thinking out loud at this point. What do you guys think?

[peteymal]

Alrighty guys...my plays for tonight are:

Georgia +7
Utah -8
Utah State -10
Purdue -4
San Diego +4
New Jersey Nets +9.5

where you guys getting these lines from?

georgia is +4 on bookmaker
nets is +6

[chilidog]

where you guys getting these lines from?

georgia is +4 on bookmaker
nets is +6

You should probably read the thread. We buy points where it creates an edge.

[jolmscheid]

I don't know Chili...that would get pretty complicated with your labbys that you already have going on too....just MO

[Deedrik]

jolmscheid, could you post your unit bets for each game? I'd like to get an idea how your confidence is spread out

[chilidog]

Well, I don't play the labbys on the same books that I play this system. I guess on 2nd thought, maybe it would be better if I only put half on my bankroll in play each day, and then divide it up into multiple parts. That way, at least if I do have a horrible day where I lose every single bet, my entire bankroll wouldn't be shattered.

[chilidog]

jolmscheid, could you post your unit bets for each game? I'd like to get an idea how your confidence is spread out

Has nothing to do with confidence. The calculator tells you what percentage edge that you have on that game.

[Deedrik]

Okay then the confidence in the edge? Or is your unit play directly correlated with the edge %?

[impper]

Hey, I was just thinking about this, let me know what ya'll think. I'm not doing it, just thinking about it.

Take my entire bankroll, divide it into 5 parts. 1st part is for any games that I want to play for the day, independent of any system. 2nd part is for the games calculated at 11am. 3rd part is for games calculated at noon, 4th part is for games calculated at 1pm, and the 5th part is for the night games that I calculate at 5pm. By doing the calculations 4 times a day (assuming time provides so), I am aware that there will be multiple bets on the same team, and sometimes on opposing sides, but those usually work out for the best anyway.

I know that this is highly aggressive, and it will put nearly 100% of your bankroll into play per day. So, if you happen to have a 100% losing day (which hasn't happened yet), then there's barely any bankroll left to recover. But the rewards would also be rather nice.

I'm just thinking out loud at this point. What do you guys think?

If you consistently do this over the long term, it would be very useful as a guide to what time of day running these calcs is the most profitable, at the very least...

We're working on one-day, three-day, one-week, two-week, one-month samples, which really isn't enough...

[chilidog]

If you consistently do this over the long term, it would be very useful as a guide to what time of day running these calcs is the most profitable, at the very least...

We're working on one-day, three-day, one-week, two-week, one-month samples, which really isn't enough...

Very true. But, do you think it's worth betting the games this way? I'm still on the fence, because I would be concerned about losing days, which is why I was thinking of doing 50% of my bankroll into play for the day, dividing it up into multiple spots. I would definitely like to be able to say which time of day consistently produces the most winners, but it could be profitable doing it anytime we wanted to.

[impper]

Yeah I feel a lot more comfortable only putting about 40-60% of the bankroll in play on any particular day.

However, that's probably psychological more than anything else. As long as you're not putting huge chunks of your bankroll on single plays, it should all be the same in the end. If you wager 50% of your bankroll on 10 games today and 50% of your bankroll on games tomorrow, that's essentially the same thing as wagering 50% of your bankroll on 10 games today and 50% of your bankroll on 10 different games today. These are still individual, non-correlated events, it's just that them happening on the same day links them up in our heads...