no College Plays tonight. just two games.
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LaSalle + 1 1/2 over Xavier
UC-Davis +7 over Hawaii
Eastern Washington + 6 1/2 over Northern Colorado
Pittsburgh - 9 1/2 (DOUBLE Play) over UCONN
Play on Oklahoma State (OS) as they take on Texas Tech (TT) in Big-12 action set to start at 2:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that OS will win this game by 21 or more points. OS has a solid defense ranking 22nd in the nation allowing 58.3 PPG and will make it very difficult for TT offense to reach their season average of 70.7 PPG that ranks 84th in the nation. TT has very poor ball movement and too many times relies on their leader Crockett to bail them out as the shot clock winds down. This poor ball movement is further weakened by the fact that OS ranks sixth in the nation allowing opponents an average of just 8.6 assists per game and seventh sporting a 0.573 opponent assists to turnover ration. TT ranks just 273rd with a 0.761 assists-to-turnover ratio and 18.2% of their possessions have resulted in a turnover. Sim shows a high probability that OS defense will limit TT to 60 or fewer points. OS is a rock solid 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game this season. Moreover, the sim shows that OS will score between 75 and 80 points and in past games they are a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they score 75 to 80 points in a game over the last 3 seasons. Take Oklahoma State.Comment -
January 19
LaSalle +1.5 LOSS
UC-Davis +7 WIN
Eastern Washington +6.5 LOSS
Pittsburgh -9.5 (double) LOSS
Oklahoma State -19 WIN
Season: 36-39-1 -3.02 unitsComment -
Play on Drake as they take on Northern Iowa set to start at 3:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Drake will lose this game by fewer than 10 points. Drake is projected to have 34 to 39 boards and are 12-2 ATS when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. Northern Iowa is coming off a 79-68 loss at Creighton and pushed as 11 point dogs. Northern Iowa is just 1-8 ATS after playing a game as an underdog this season; 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a road loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. Drake has struggled on the defensive end ranking 306th in the nation allowing 73.9 PPG, but are facing a NI team that has been largely inconsistent on offense and rank 179th scoring 66.2 PPG. Drakes offense has been solid and getting better ranking 68th scoring 72.1 PPG and I strongly believe they will execute a very high level against NI. Moreover, Drake is a vastly better ball handling team than NI and they will have a significant edge in the turnover department. All of these factors is what leads me to be confident Drake will make this a hotly contested game. Take Drake.Comment -
10* graded play on the Indiana Hoosiers as they take on Northwestern in a Big Ten Conference showdown set to start at 1:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Indiana will win this game by 15 or more points. They climbed back to No. 2 in the nation in the polls, but lost to Wisconsin at home Tuesday. They are 15-2 on the season and oddly both losses have occurred in front of the home folks. So, a little road trip to Chicago may be just the right remedy and add in the fact that No. 1 Louisville lost to conference rival Syracuse at home yesterday makes Indiana a very motivated and focused group. They probably won’t get the No. 1 or No.2 spot with a decisive win, but it will limit how far down the standings they will be ranked. Indiana is by far the better team in this matchup. The Hoosiers are the best offense in the land ranking first scoring 85.4 PPG, fifth with a very strong 0.484 FTA/FGA ratio, and fifth making 50.3% of all shot attempts. Northwestern ranks 191st scoring 65.9 PPG, 10th with a 0.381 FTA/FGA ratio, and 199th making just 42.1% of their shot attempts. Despite the high paced style of play, the Hoosiers have the 48th ranked defense allowing 606.6 PPG. This is mostly accomplished by strong rebounding at the defensive end leading to fast break scoring opportunities in transition. Moreover, the Hoosiers get the charity stripe a ton reflecting their abilities at all positions to get to the rim and score, get fouled, or both. They rank first averaging 20.5 FT made and first averaging 27.6 FT attempted per game. Northwestern does not have the bench to be able to keep the Hoosiers offense from running them off the court. Take Indiana.
Indiana -12
Drake +10
Comment -
January 20
Indiana -12 LOSS
Drake +10 LOSS
Season: 36-41-1 -5.22 unitsComment -
play on Wake Forest as they take on NC State in College Hardwood action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Wake will lose this game by fewer than seven points. NC State is a solid offensive team ranking ninth in the country averaging 78.9 PPG and eighth making 40% of their 3-point shot attempts. They actually do not rely on the three-point shot, but like to work the ball into the post and exploit zone defenses with solid ball movement. Wake, though, is a solid 23-10 against the money line (+18.7 Units) in home games when facing good 3 point shooting teams making >=37% of their attempts after 15+ games since 1997. Wake has a 9-8 record and they know a win here would be an excellent addition to their Tournament resume if they are going to be able to make a run for a Big Dance bid. Wake does an excellent job at getting to the charity stripe and rank 25th averaging 23.6 free throws per game. I strongly believe they will put it all together tonight and put immense pressure on the Wolf Pack to even win this game. Take Wake Forest.Comment -
January 22
Wake Forest +7 WIN
Season: 37-41-1 -4.22 unitsComment -
Nice call on Wake.Comment -
Play on Penn State as they take on Indiana in Big Ten action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that PSU will lose this game by fewer than 24 points. No upset bid here, but this is just too many points to be giving a pesky Lions squad, who will be catching the Hoosiers napping. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-9 ATS mark for a remarkable 78% winners since 1997. Play against favorites of 10 or more points that are an explosive offensive team scoring >=78 PPG and now facing a struggling offensive team averaging <=63 PPG after 15+ games and after allowing 60 points or less in the previous game. Indiana was poised to blowout Northwestern, but had to hang on to just get a 67-59 win. Indiana will be looking ahead to the big showdown Sunday when they host the Michigan State Spartans so it stands to reason that Indiana will not be nearly as focused tonight. I also believe that if Indiana gets out to a 15+ point lead, the coaches will use the bench players in this situation. First, it gives the starters much needed rest at this point of the season and give the bench players more game experience, both of whcih make yeams better come Tournament time. Take Penn State.Comment -
Thank you!Originally posted by numismatistComment -
Plays on: Denver + 2 over NM State
Drake +9 1/2 over Creighton
Georgia State - 7 1/2 over NC-Wilmington
TCU + 13 1/2 over WVUComment -
I like denver a bit as wellComment -
I can get two pages of stats but a team that only scored 29 points with 5 minutes to go(Denver).....lets just coin toss from here on out. I'm starting my own "gut theory blog" again.Comment -
January 23
Penn State +24 WIN
Denver +2 LOSS
Drake +9 WIN
Georgia State -7.5 WIN
TCU +13.5 LOSS
Season: 40-43-1 -3.42 unitsComment -
Arkansas Little Rock - 6 1/2 over Florida Atlanta
Citadel +17 1/2 over College of Charleston
Portland State + 2 1/2 over South Utah
Nebraska Omaha + 12 over South Dakota.Comment -
January 24
Arkansas-Little Rock -6.5 LOSS
Citadel +17.5 WIN
Portland State +2.5 LOSS
Nebraska-Omaha +12 WIN
Season: 42-45-1 -3.62 unitsComment -
First play - more to come.. stay tuned.
Play on Tennessee-Martinsville (TM) the as they take on SIU-Edwardsville (SIU) set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that (TM) will lose this game by fewer than five points. I like playing these dogs as a combination bet using an 8* amount on the line and a 2* amount using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 31-11 ATS mark good for 74% winners since 2006. Play against a home team (SIUE) that is an average defensive team allowing 42.5 to 45% shooting and is now facing a struggling defensive team allowing 45 to 47.5% shooting after 15+ games and in a game involving two average ball handling teams committing between 14.5 and 17.5 turnovers per game. SIUE plays a grinding methodical ‘old school’ style of game and this plays to the strengths of (TM). One thing that is absolutely required in defending a team like SIUE is patience on both ends of the court and this is something I see bing a strength of (TM) as they are a solid 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game over the last 3 seasons. Take Tennessee Martin.Comment -
Nevada + 2 1/2 over Boise State.Comment -
January 26
Tennessee-Martinville +6.5 WIN
Nevada +2.5 WIN
Season: 44-45-1 -1.62 unitsComment -
Nice Picks yesterday John, Who are you looking at today? Do you think Miami will have a letdown after that blowout of #1 Duke?Comment -
Any Picks tonight John?Comment -
ok.. pass yesterday obviously.
For Tuesday.
I like kentucky as a DOUBLE Play +3 1/2 over Mississippi.
Illinois State - 4 1/2 over BradleyComment -
some days all I get our my premium client picks that are 25* or 30* graded.. I can't give them away free since they are hitting at 63% ATS over the past 154 releases.Originally posted by ricky777Comment -
What's a double play john?Comment -
January 29
Kentucky +3.5 (double) WIN
Illinois State -4.5 LOSS
Season: 45-46-1 -0.72 unitsComment -
How do you become a premium client John? I could use another source producing over 60%Comment -
My other source has Virginia tech, Iowa st, northwestern, purdue, Oklahoma, and Stanford tonight! He is 23-7 ATS 2-0 on +300's I'm not bragging or boasting just simply sharing information that could be helpful thanks and I hope to hear soon on the premier client information John! Good luck to all you sharps!Comment -
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Memphis -9 (double Play) over East Carolina
Central Michigan +6 1/2 at Buffalo
Rice +5 at Houston
Missouri State +19 over Creighton.Comment -
January 30
Memphis -9 (double) LOSS
Central Michigan +6.5 LOSS
Rice +5 WIN
Missouri State +19 WIN
Season:47-48-1 -2.02 unitsComment -
Eastern Illinois + 2 1/2 over SIU-Edward
Citadel + 5 1/2 at FurmanComment -
February 2
Eastern Illinois +2.5 LOSS
Citadel +5.5 WIN
Season: 48-49-1 -2.12 unitsComment -
play on Pittsburgh as they host Seton Hall in Big east Conference action set to start 9:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Pitt will win this game by 16 or more points. Pitt is one of the best offenses in the country using superior ball movement to get the best possible ‘team’ look at the rim. They rank third in the nation posting a 1.594 assists-to-turnover ratio and fourth with a 17.2 average scoring margin. Pitt has the physicality and size to pound the paint tonight against an undersized Seton Hall team. Pitt only takes 14.1 3-point shots per game and that ranks 314th in the nation. Pitt ranks ninth in the nation making 49% of their shots and I highly expect they will shoot closer to 55% in this game tonight. Sim shows a high probability that Pittsburgh will hold SH to fewer than 60 points. Pitt is a perfect 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) when they allow 60 or less points in a game this season. Take Pittsburgh -15 1/2 -110Comment -
February 4
Pittsburgh -15.5 LOSS
Season: 48-50-1 -3.22 unitsComment
