Play on East Carolina as they take on Georgia State in College Hoops action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that ECU will win this game. ECU is off to a solid 4-0 start and granted, Georgia State, will be their most difficult test yet this season. However, they are playing sound fundamental team hoops rebounding well on the defensive end and taking care of the ball. In each of their games they have had fewer turnovers than their opponents. The same cannot be said for Georgia State as they have been largely inconsistent even against the inferior foes they defeated. One of the dominant reasons for this disparity between the two teams, is the fact that ECU returns four starters from last year’s team while Georgia State has returned just one. Team chemistry and experience is a valuable asset in the first third of the college hoops season and I strongly believe that will play out again in this game. Georgia State is just 3-8 against the money line (-12.5 Units) when facing good defensive teams allowing a shooting percentage of <=42% in games played over the last 2 seasons. Take the Pirates.
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I like Indiana -10 -105 and obviously if you can get 9 1/2 -110, but not higher than -110 than that is great.
I also like Harvard - 5 -105.Comment -
November 26
East Carolina ML (+155) WIN
November 27
Indiana -10 (-105) WIN
Harvard -5 (-105) LOSS
Season: 12-21 -10.40 unitsComment -
Wow, Does Indiana really look good this year!!!!Comment -
Pllay on St. Bonaventure as they take on Ohio University set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that St. Bonaventure (STB) will lose this game by 10 or fewer points. The pace of this game will be significantly slower than the average College game and this heavily favor STB to get the cover. The sim shows a high probability that STB will attempt between 46 and 53 shots, will attempt between four and nine more free throws, will have nine to 13 offensive boards and will win the battle of the boards by a margin of at least four boards. In past games, STB is a solid 21-9 ATS in slower paced games where they attempt 46 to 53 shots over the last 3 seasons; 27-13 ATS in road games when they attempt 4 to 9 more free throws than opponents in a game since 1997; 13-5 ATS when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons; 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games when they grab 4 to 9 more rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997. STB is coming off a 80-75 win over Niagara and solid free throw shooting was a major reason they held on to earn the win. STB is a solid 14-5 ATS after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last 3 seasons. Take St. Bonaventure.Comment -
November 28
St. Bonaventure +8 WIN
Season: 13-21 -9.40 unitsComment -
on the way back to profitability:
Play on Western Kentucky as they take on LA-Monroe in college hardwood action set to start at 8:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that WK will win this game by 12 or more points. They return four starters on this year’s edition and the that playing experience and chemistry is a huge advantage when facing an inferior foe in a rebuilding year with just one returning starter. Supporting this graded play further is a proven system posting a 40-13 ATS for 76% winners since 1997. Play against dogs of 10 to 19.5 points that is a poor shooting team from last season that made <=42% of their shot attempts and with just one or fewer starters returning from last year and with the current game being on of the first 10 games of the season. This underscores the chemistry advantage that a seasoned team with four or five returning starters has over a team that was struggling last year and now has to rebuild in the current season. Take Western Kentucky.Comment -
Great play. W Kent was also my top pick . cheersComment -
November 29
Western Kentucky +10.5 WIN
Season: 14-21 -8.40 unitsComment -
Thanks, battling our way back. one day at a time. NEVER try to recoup a losing week by doubleing or tripling up on one bet. That is how people lose houses, cars, marriages, and families.
I like Eastern Kentucky + 5 1/2 over Cal St. Fullerton.
Play on the the Auburn Tigers as they take on DePaul in College Hardwood action set to start at 9:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Auburn will win this game. Auburn has several game situations favoring them to cruise to a victory tonight. Auburn is a solid 11-2 ATS after having lost 4 of their last 5 games over the last 3 seasons; 15-4 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons; 9-0 ATS after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons. The simulator shows that DePaul will attempt between 14 and 18 free throws and that Auburn will have a strong rebounding game getting between 40 and 44 boards. In past games, DePaul is 3-17 against the money line (-14.8 Units) when they attempt 14 to 18 free throws in a game over the last 3 seasons. Auburn is a resounding 12-3 against the money line (+9.6 Units) in home games when they grab 40 to 44 rebounds in a game since 1997. Strong defensive rebounding serves to limit an opponent’s second chance scoring opportunities and this will be a dominant reason that Auburn wins this game.Comment -
Do you mean Eastern Washington?Comment -
November 30
Eastern Washington +5.5 WIN
Season: 15-21 -7.40Comment -
Florida Atlantic + 4 1/2 for SaturdayComment -
December 1
Florida Atlantic +4.5 WIN
Season: 16-21 -6.40 unitsComment -
No College Hoops plays for SundayComment -
December 3-- This pick was posted incorrectly in John's NBA thread.
Bradley -6 LOSS
Season: 16-22 -7.50 unitsComment -
Marshall + 6 over West Virginia
Niagara +6 over Loyola-Maryland
Southern Cal +9 over New MexicoComment -
December 5
Marshall +6 LOSS
Niagara +6 WIN
USC +9 WIN
Season: 18-23 -6.60 unitsComment -
Grinding our way back toward nbreak-even. Remember, when you have a bad day/week. NEVER try to win it back on one huge bet. That is a sure fire way to get into deep financial trouble. Sports wagering is for people, who have extra 'cabbage' and want to spend that dough betting on games. If it makes money, then all the better.
Iowa State +3 over IowaComment -
There is money to be made in college hoops long season keep up the good work.Comment -
December 7
Iowa State +3 LOSS
Season: 18-24 -7.70 unitsComment -
10* graded play on Brown University +23 as they take on Notre Dame set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Brown will lose this game by fewer than 20 points. Certainly not a call for the upset, like so many of my winning 25* Titan Dogs have done, but this is just far too many points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 39-13 ATS for 75% winners since 2006. Play on dogs of 10 or more points that are poor defensive teams posting a shooting percentage defense of >=45% on the season and now facing an opponent that is a hot shooting team posting 4 straight games making >=47% of their shots. There is truly no reason for Notre Dame to look to blow out Brown in this matchup. Many times in the past, Notre Dame has given greater minutes to bench players in these situations to build their team for the grueling months of February and March. With that said, ND is 13-28 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. Brey is 11-22 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record as the coach of Notre Dame.
10* graded play on the Southern Cal +9 as they take on Minnesota set to tip at 10:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that USC will lose this game by 6 or fewer points. Given these projections, I like playing a combination bet using an 8* amount with the points and a 2* amount using the money line. Minnesota is coming off a 88-64 win and cover over South Dakota State and shot 57% from the field. For any CBB team, it is difficult to put together back-to-back elite shooting games. Minnesota has eclipsed the 50% shooting mark twice before and failed to cover in the next game. Minnesota is very gifted, especially on the offensive glass and rank first in the nation in that category. However, USC, despite being largely inconsistent so far this season, has the physicality to negate this Minnesota talent and minimize second chance scoring opportunities. USC is not an elite offensive team, so you be assured the game plan is to rebound well on the defensive end and then look to fast break scoring opportunities in transition. I like USC in this matchup.Comment -
10* UNLV +1 1/2 over California
10* Creighton -10 over Akron
10* Siena + 6 1/2 over ManhattanComment -
From Post #2
I will be scoring all plays as 1 unit bets at -110 unless and until that statement changes.Originally posted by John RyanComment -
December 8
Brown +23 LOSS
USC +9 LOSS
December 9
UNLV +1.5 WIN
Creighton -10 WIN
Siena +6.5 LOSS
Season: 20-27 -9.00 unitsComment -
No college action for tonight.Comment -
sorry. I do have a play for Thuersday night
10* graded play on Seattle University as they take on Washington in College Hoops action set to start at 8:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Seattle will lose this game by fewer than eight points. In this particular situation, i don’t like playing the side as a combination bet involving the line and money line components. So, my recommendation is just bet it getting 8 ½ or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 82-43 ATS mark for 66% winners since 1997. Play on road teams as a favorite or pick that are off a home loss by three points or less and playing only their second game in 8 days. Seattle has a huge edge in the rebounding department and the sim shows that Seattle will have at least four more rebounds than Washington. In past games, Washington is 23-49 ATS when they grab 4 to 9 fewer rebounds than their opponents in a game since 1997. Washington is also just 16-32 ATS after playing three consecutive games as a home favorite since 1997. Take Seattle.Comment -
Seattle +8..Comment -
On that as well, BOLComment -
It is certainly with a heavy hearts that we have all learned of the horrific events in Newtown, CT. I personally have many close friends in that beautiful small town in CT. All are well fortunately. I am a father like many of you, and this news has been greatly upsetting to me to say the least. As President Obama stated, he was going to hug his children and hold them a bit tighter tonight and in the days ahead. I know I will.Comment -
No NBA tonight.. No picks. today's events warrant a night off..Comment -
December 13
Seattle U. +8 LOSS
Season: 20-28 -10.10 unitsComment -
Play on Georgia State as they take on Southern Mississippi in College Hardwood action set to start at 7:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that GS will lose this game by fewer than four points and may win the game straight up. I like splitting these dogs into combination bets. In the case of this dog play, I will be making an 8* amount using the line and a 2* amount using the money line. GS is a solid 24-9 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games since 1997; 11-3 ATS after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons. Georgia State is off a 10 point loss at Troy Saturday. GS is a very resilient team noting that head coach Hnter is a rock solid 11-2 against the money line (+10.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more in all games he has coached since 1997. Take Georgia State.Comment -
Georgia State +4 1/2Comment -
December 18
Georgia State +4.5 WIN
Season: 21-28 -9.10Comment
