NCAA Basketball with John Ryan 2012-2013

[John Ryan]

Play Miami (ohio) +16 at Akron
Southern Miss -6 at Marshall

[alexknyc]

March 5

Cleveland State +3.5 LOSS
Miami (Ohio) +16 WIN
Southern Mississippi -6 LOSS

Season: 64-72-1 -14.67 units

[John Ryan]

Georgetown pick-em over Villanova
Eastern Illinois + 3 1/2 over SE Missouri
Tulane + 3 1/2 over East Carolina
Texas A&M -5 1/2 over LSU
Colgate + 14 1/2 over Lehigh

[alexknyc]

March 6

Georgetown pk LOSS
Eastern Illinois +3.5 LOSS
Tulane +3.5 WIN
Texas A&M -5.5 LOSS
Colgate +14.5 WiN

Season: 66-75-1 -15.97 units

[John Ryan]

Play on The Citadel as they take on Western Carolina in the first round of the Southern Conference Tournament. The simulator shows a high probability that the Citadel will lose this game by fewer than eight points. SIM shows solid projections that WC will shoot less than 46% and will have between 34 and 39 boards. In past games, the Citadel is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when their opponents make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game over the last 2 seasons. WC has been a money burner noting they are 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) as a favorite this season. WC head coach Hunter has not done all that well against inferior type teams noting he is just 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing against a bad team with a win percentage of 20% to 40% of their games after 15 or more games have been completed. Take the Citadel and also consider adding a 2* amount using the money line looking for the SU upset win.

[John Ryan]

Loyola Marymount + 10 1/2 over Santa Clara

[John Ryan]

Play on Liberty as they take on Garner-Webb in the semifinals of the Big South Conference Tourney,net set to tip at 2:30. Liberty has a 13-20 record on the season, but have played monumentally better over their last three games. Since getting hammered by VMI on February 26, Liberty has used that humiliating loss as a motivation and it has certainly shown in their last three games. Their last two games have been quite impressive with wins at Coastal Carolina by 17 points and were installed as +375 dogs on the money line. In their last game, they defeated High Point 71-70 in the quarterfinals and were lined as +170 dogs. High Point was 12-4 in Conference play. This time of the year is all about Cinderella stories and Liberty is fast becoming one of the best. The two teams played on Feb 9 with GW winning 71-68 and I fully expect this game to go down to the wire. If there is an opportunity to play the money line, I would suggest playing an 8* amount on the line and a 2* amount using the money line. The other semifinal pits VMI against Charleston Southern. I expect Charleston Southern to win that matchup (not a call on the spread). Charleston Southern was the favorite entering this Tournament and it would be a monumental task for Liberty to post two more upset wins. However, this time of year is about CONFIDENCE and team chemistry and Liberty has it all going for them at the right time.

I have won 61% ATS of my last 101 College Hardwood Titans. I have been doing this for clients for 18 years and I am Wall Street veteran. If you want o make some money and elevate your 'game' above what i provide here, then check out my site and get on board.

[alexknyc]

March 8

Citadel +8 LOSS
Loyola Marymount +10.5 WIN

Season: 67-76-1 -16.07 units

[John Ryan]

Plays for Saturday:
San Diego State + 2 1/2 over Boise State (Double play)
Baylor + 3 1/2 (Double Play)
Utah + 4 1/2 over Oregon
UNC - 1 1/2 over Duke

[alexknyc]

March 9

Liberty +6 WIN
SD State +2.5 (double) LOSS
Baylor +3.5 (double) WIN
Utah +4.5 WIN
UNC -1.5 LOSS

Season: 70-78-1 -15.37 units

[John Ryan]

IUIPU - Ft. Wayne + 3 12. over Oakland
MD- Baltimore City +13 over Vermont
Wichita State + 2 1/2 over Creighton

Let's not overlook I had a 2* amount also on the Liberty SU win with a +290 money line Saturday.

[alexknyc]

Let's not overlook that, if we've been following what you said at the beginning, we are flat-betting each game, not following the 10*, 15* and 25* bets you sell.

Your paying customers may have split their 10* bet but, unless I've missed a change of instructions, we're still just flat-betting.

[alexknyc]

March 10

IPFW +3.5 WIN
UMBC +13 PUSH
Wichita State +2.5 LOSS

Season: 71-79-2 -15.47 units

[John Ryan]

DOUBLE play on Iona as they take on Manhattan in the Metro Atlantic Conference Tournament Championship game set to start at 7:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Iona will win this game by five or more points. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting an incredible 24-2 ATS mark for 92% winners since 1997. Play on neutral court teams revenging a straight up loss to the current opponent as a favorite and after 3 consecutive covers as a favorite. Moreover, Iona is a solid 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss to the current opponent since 1997. These two teams have played each other twice this season and Iona has failed to cover in both. Manhattan defeated them at home 74-73 with Iona failing to cover as 2 ½ point favorites February 15. Iona defeated Manhattan 78-70, but failed to cover installed as 13 12/ point favorites January 6. The disparity on offense is huge with Iona ranking first in the nation averaging 81.3 PPG and Manhattan ranking 328th scoring 58.3 PPG. Although the previous two games have been close, I feel that the Iona defense, which ranks 332nd allowing 76.2 PPG is playing far better right now than that stat reflects. I look for Iona to run Manhattan off the court.

[John Ryan]

won 30* Game of the Year on Liberty, who defeated Charleston Southern and I called it as an upset win too. Here is the report.

[John Ryan]

30* graded play on Liberty as they take on Charleston Southern in the Final of the Big South Conference Tournament. The winner gets an automatic bid to the Tournament. As I had mentioned in yesterday’s free member pick, Liberty’s season record is meaningless given the growing confidence this team has possessed in the recent weeks of play. They knocked North No. 1 seed High Point in the quarterfinal and then showed some serious tenacity and a will to win over Gardner-Webb to earn the right to play in this final. CS has a strong offense based on PPG, but they take a heck of a lot of shots. That fast paced style of game will be hard to get going against a Liberty defense that is playing with top chemistry. On offense, Liberty has dominated the pace of play and have made 22 FG exact in four of the last five games and made 20 FG in the fifth. CS is an excellent ball control team, but Liberty is not aggressive looking for steals and instead move defenders in anticipation of the ball movement with every shot being contested. CS show just 33.8% in their win over VMI with VMI playing a similar 2-3 and box-1 zone. I do think, their may be a wrinkle at times during the last 10 minutes of the first half. Not that it is a bold move, but Liberty will have an advantage starting a CS possession showing a 1-2-2 and then when ball movement is on the side of the court switch to a 2-3. So, whenever the ball goes to the top of the key, they will go to 1-2-2 and this makes for angles defending the passing lanes. It leaves the baseline open for 3‘s , but Liberty will be successful forcing CS into shot attempts from that area on the court. The simulator shows a high probability that Liberty will lose this game by six or fewer points and has a fantastic opportunity to get to the Tournament with a historic losing record on the season. As I said yesterday, team confidence and chemistry is everything for any team playing right now and Liberty has come together in a very big way. In yesterday’s game, Gardner-Webb failed to score in the final 3:21 and guard John Caleb Sanders, scored 19 points. The key to this team’s rise though is the offensive leadership that guard Davon Marshall ash shown down the stretch. He had 6 key assists yesterday and although he scored eight points his ‘generalship’ was a key to Liberty withstanding a big run by GW at the 10:00 minute mark. He can score a ton as well having had 28 points at Coastal Carolina March 5. His patience and ability to get all of his teammates involved in possessions is going to be a dominant reason they can see the Cinderella dream to it’s end in this Tournament. Take Liberty.

[Doeboy22]

?? Sunday?? Alteady played

[Doeboy22]

Iona 930 et. Im starting to think your smoking the same stuff your shoveling!!!!

[alexknyc]

March 11

Iona -4 (double) LOSS

Season: 71-80-2 -17.67 units

[John Ryan]

DePaul + 3 1/2 over Rutgers

[CBASS]

[alexknyc]

March 12

DePaul +3.5 LOSS

Season: 71-81-2 -18.77 units

[John Ryan]

OVER 129 Beth=Cook - Norfolk State
OVER 124 Rutgers-Notre Dame
Nicholls State - pick - over McNeese State

[John Ryan]

I will be setting up a forum on my johnryansports site where I can begin to describe adn teach the use of neural net simulation to predict not only sporting events, but stocks, currencies, commodities, ETF's etc. I was a chief Currency Strategist on Wall Street and retired in 2001. I have been doing this whole enterprise as a hobby and the hobby has turned into a significant business. I do this for fun and with all of you, who are genuinely interested in learning more about all of the aforementioned. You can always send me an e-mail at jrm1227@gmail.com.

[John Ryan]

March 5

Cleveland State +3.5 LOSS
Miami (Ohio) +16 WIN
Southern Mississippi -6 LOSS

Season: 64-72-1 -14.67 units

If I gave you a page to update on my site for records keeping - like you have done so admirably here - would you be interested? I woudl have PM you n this, but it seems to be down.. Thanks again for all your hard work here on the threads.. Just wish I had a better more exciting record for you to update, but that will come.

[John Ryan]

Play on LSU +1 over Georgia set to start at 1:00 PM ET.

[alexknyc]

March 13

Bethune-Cookman/Norfolk State OVER 129 WIN
Rutgers/Notre Dame OVER 124 WIN
Nicholls State pk LOSS

Season: 73-82-2 -17.87 units

March 14

LSU +1 WIN

Season: 74-82-2 -16.87 units

I'd be happy to keep the records for your site but I do wonder why you don't keep them.

[John Ryan]

Play DOUBLE VCU -8 1/2 over UMASS

play on NC State as they take on Miami (Fla) in the semifinals of the ACC Conference Tournament. The simulator shows a high probability that NC State will win this game. Given the skinny line, there is no opportunity to play this game as a combination wager. For those new to my work, I like to take significant dogs of greater than 3 ½ points and make a combination wager using, for example, a 20* amount on the line and then a 5* amount using the money line. SIM shows a high probability that NC State will shoot between 40 and 46% from the field and will score between 67 and 74 points. In past games, the Wolfpack is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons; 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Further, NC State is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots over the last 2 seasons; 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games facing low pressure defensive teams forcing <=14 turnovers per game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Take NC State.

[alexknyc]

March 16

VCU -8.5 (double) WIN
NC State M/L (+115) LOSS

Season: 75-83-2 -15.87 units

[John Ryan]

When filling out those brackets, I have a very high recommendation for your consideration. Do not expect Duke, Georgetown, Michigan, or Kansas to make the Final Four let alone the National Championship. Heres why. Only the 2001-02 Maryland National Champions suffered a loss greater than 20 points during the regular season dating back to 1994 Tournament action. Georgetown suffered their largest home loss since 1971 to Pittsburgh. Duke was trounced by 27 points at miami (Fla). You may say, but wait they didn’t have Kelly in that game. Well, the history shows that injuries are not an exception to this historical occurrence. Michigan lost to Michigan State by 23 points and scored a season low 52 points in that game. Baylor crushed Kansas by 23 points in a game where Kansas could have won the Big-12 regular season conference championship with a win. So, as it applies to Duke, I will recommend playing against them during the first two rounds ATS.

In the Albany matchup, Duke will advance. Only a tragic course of game events could I see Albany defeating Duke. Albany is a perfect 6-0 ATS when playing good ball handling teams committing <=14 turnovers per game over the last 2 seasons. Duke is just 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in road games when playing low pressure defensive teams forcing <=14 turnovers per game after 15+ games this season. I like Albany to cover ATS.

[John Ryan]

5-0- ATS start to the Tournament.

[John Ryan]

Double Play: Syracuse - 7

6-2-1 ATS with Tournament Plays

[John Ryan]

If you send me an e-mail. jrm1227@gmail.com, I will give you the next 5 days direct with writeups supporting the plays

[alexknyc]

March 22

Albany +17.5 WIN

Season: 76-83-2 -14.87 units

[alexknyc]

March 23

Syracuse -7 (double) LOSS

Season: 76-84-2 -17.07 units