John Morrison 2012-13 NBA Thread

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  • ghislaine
    SBR MVP
    • 11-14-10
    • 1131

    #3361
    for JM system
    Both plays cover !
    Comment
    • thelimit0310
      SBR MVP
      • 01-24-11
      • 1233

      #3362
      7/5 Plays MAR 4

      No Plays

      7/5 Plays MAR 5

      No Plays

      Results: -17.03
      Bet 1: 18-19
      Bet 2: 9-9
      Utah 11/2
      Portland 11/25
      Boston 12/14
      Houston 1/9
      Minnesota 1/9
      LA Lakers 1/20
      Orlando 1/28
      Golden State 2/5
      Charlotte 3/1

      Personal matters once again, I tried to bring my laptop with me but wasn't able to get a connection on my trip. If you missed anything due to my absence you missed a loss, so good for you! To everyone else I'm sorry for being a flake.


      Have a Question about 7/5?
      Click here for your Answer
      Last edited by thelimit0310; 03-05-13, 10:58 PM.
      Comment
      • ChiLLx
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 12-24-11
        • 5412

        #3363
        Originally posted by thelimit0310
        7/5 Plays MAR 4

        No Plays

        7/5 Plays MAR 5

        No Plays

        Results: -17.03
        Bet 1: 18-19
        Bet 2: 9-9
        Utah 11/2
        Portland 11/25
        Boston 12/14
        Houston 1/9
        Minnesota 1/9
        LA Lakers 1/20
        Orlando 1/28
        Golden State 2/5
        Charlotte 3/1

        Personal matters once again, I tried to bring my laptop with me but wasn't able to get a connection on my trip. If you missed anything due to my absence you missed a loss, so good for you! To everyone else I'm sorry for being a flake.

        Toronto Bet 2 is on 3/6

        Have a Question about 7/5?
        Click here for your Answer
        Curious as to why Toronto is a 7/5 Bet 2. They did not meet the lose by more than 3.5 to spread last night.
        Comment
        • imotiv8
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 12-28-09
          • 890

          #3364
          My records do not show Toronto as a 7/5 bet
          Comment
          • J.M. Disciple
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 11-16-10
            • 5140

            #3365
            Yesterday was a b bet. Did they lose "A bet" by 3.5pts? (rhetorical question) 7/5 rules do not state A and B must lose by 3.5 only A.
            Comment
            • ChiLLx
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 12-24-11
              • 5412

              #3366
              They lost the A bet vs. Milwaukee with a score of 122-114. The spread was 6.5 closing line. This means that for a 7/5 play it should have been at least a 10 point loss or more which they did not do. Again I don't think this qualifies as a 7/5 play.
              Comment
              • Kev the Brit
                SBR MVP
                • 10-25-09
                • 2027

                #3367
                Originally posted by ChiLLx
                They lost the A bet vs. Milwaukee with a score of 122-114. The spread was 6.5 closing line. This means that for a 7/5 play it should have been at least a 10 point loss or more which they did not do. Again I don't think this qualifies as a 7/5 play.
                thelimit is on the road at the moment without his laptop, hence he's not quite on top of his game. I'm sure he will come good before the end of his road trip; although he's on a personal C bet at the moment....
                Comment
                • Wallco99
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-01-11
                  • 7261

                  #3368
                  Originally posted by ChiLLx
                  They lost the A bet vs. Milwaukee with a score of 122-114. The spread was 6.5 closing line. This means that for a 7/5 play it should have been at least a 10 point loss or more which they did not do. Again I don't think this qualifies as a 7/5 play.
                  You are correct, Toronto is NOT a 7/5 play.
                  Comment
                  • ChiLLx
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 12-24-11
                    • 5412

                    #3369
                    Originally posted by Kev the Brit
                    thelimit is on the road at the moment without his laptop, hence he's not quite on top of his game. I'm sure he will come good before the end of his road trip; although he's on a personal C bet at the moment....
                    I mean no offense to thelimit at all. He's done a fantastic job so far with the plays. I just want to get this one correct since he is obviously concerned with other things.
                    Comment
                    • cambertos
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 06-16-12
                      • 329

                      #3370
                      Originally posted by ChiLLx
                      I mean no offense to thelimit at all. He's done a fantastic job so far with the plays. I just want to get this one correct since he is obviously concerned with other things.
                      Backhanded compliment... little dig at the end there
                      Comment
                      • hughesn2
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 01-14-13
                        • 229

                        #3371
                        Originally posted by parlay100
                        No shit really? OK 34% ATS. Much better. Keep 4 game chasing bottom feeders, makes no difference to me. Win % percentage is a pretty good way to gauge a teams performance against any spread. There is a reason the get 12-14 points on a regular basis.
                        You are wrong there! Look at the Wizards bud, they have the SECOND (yes, 2nd!!!!) best ATS record in the entire NBA, including the best AWAY ATS record in the NBA...BUT they have the 3rd WORST record in the NBA and the 3rd worst AWAY record. Yeah, great correlation.

                        Of the 5 worst NBA records, two of them have an above .500 ATS record (WSH and CLEV). Of the 9 best NBA records, three of them have an ATS record at 53% or less (MIA, NYK, GS), but again 6 of the best 7 NBA teams have at least +8 margin ATS
                        Comment
                        • dlunc3
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 10-31-09
                          • 9129

                          #3372
                          Originally posted by hughesn2
                          You are wrong there! Look at the Wizards bud, they have the SECOND (yes, 2nd!!!!) best ATS record in the entire NBA, including the best AWAY ATS record in the NBA...BUT they have the 3rd WORST record in the NBA and the 3rd worst AWAY record. Yeah, great correlation.

                          Of the 5 worst NBA records, two of them have an above .500 ATS record (WSH and CLEV). Of the 9 best NBA records, three of them have an ATS record at 53% or less (MIA, NYK, GS), but again 6 of the best 7 NBA teams have at least +8 margin ATS
                          Comment
                          • thelimit0310
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-24-11
                            • 1233

                            #3373
                            Whoops! You guys are correct I edited the Toronto play out of the post. Sorry fellas just trying to play catch up today, honest mistake.
                            Comment
                            • KennyM10
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 02-14-10
                              • 788

                              #3374
                              Originally posted by thelimit0310
                              Whoops! You guys are correct I edited the Toronto play out of the post. Sorry fellas just trying to play catch up today, honest mistake.
                              No
                              one cares
                              Comment
                              • Wallco99
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-01-11
                                • 7261

                                #3375
                                Wallco NBA Chase 110
                                2012-13 System to date: 62-3 (fin. series)
                                System profit/loss: -18.75 units (fin. series)
                                Current open series: 1 (-3.41 units)

                                v1 Plays
                                (A) 36-30
                                (B) 16-14

                                (C) 7-6
                                (D) 3-3
                                Losses: HOU (-35.91 u), ORL (-26.39 u), CHA (-18.46)


                                Games for (3/6/13):
                                #66 Toronto (M/L) @ Phoenix (C) (9:05 pm EST)
                                #67 Washington @ Minnesota (M/L) (A) (8:05 pm EST)
                                #68 Brooklyn @ Charlotte (+8) (A) (7:05 pm EST)


                                We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
                                System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.
                                Comment
                                • hagball52
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-22-10
                                  • 3053

                                  #3376
                                  Really scratching my head over that Toronto point spread. Phoenix has won 3 in a row and beat the Spurs on the road and Toronto has lost 5 SU and ATS. What gives? All I can think is that the oddsmakers know something and they're begging you to take the Suns.
                                  Comment
                                  • bisturis
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 04-03-11
                                    • 141

                                    #3377
                                    According to the ss we have PHI, MIL, POR, and HOU correct?

                                    And then TOR C bet IF you DONT buy points correct?

                                    Just want to make sure I have it right before I place my bets.
                                    Comment
                                    • J.M. Disciple
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 11-16-10
                                      • 5140

                                      #3378
                                      Originally posted by bisturis
                                      According to the ss we have PHI, MIL, POR, and HOU correct?

                                      And then TOR C bet IF you DONT buy points correct?

                                      Just want to make sure I have it right before I place my bets.
                                      YES
                                      Comment
                                      • thelimit0310
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-24-11
                                        • 1233

                                        #3379
                                        7/5 Plays MAR 5

                                        No Plays

                                        7/5 Plays MAR 6

                                        No Plays

                                        Results: -17.03
                                        Bet 1: 18-19
                                        Bet 2: 9-9
                                        Utah 11/2
                                        Portland 11/25
                                        Boston 12/14
                                        Houston 1/9
                                        Minnesota 1/9
                                        LA Lakers 1/20
                                        Orlando 1/28
                                        Golden State 2/5
                                        Charlotte 3/1


                                        Have a Question about 7/5?
                                        Click here for your Answer
                                        Comment
                                        • bisturis
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 04-03-11
                                          • 141

                                          #3380
                                          Thanks JM! I appreciate your help!
                                          Comment
                                          • hagball52
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-22-10
                                            • 3053

                                            #3381
                                            I haven't forgot about posting the NBA stats for the 3 versions. Just got busy. Will get it up by the weekend.
                                            Comment
                                            • ghislaine
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-14-10
                                              • 1131

                                              #3382
                                              Yup, so four A bets tonight with
                                              Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Portland and Houston.
                                              I got them buying three points at bet365 for
                                              PHI +11.5
                                              MIL +12.5
                                              POR +10
                                              HOU +5

                                              Very interesting to see what happens
                                              Comment
                                              • stevex
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 05-02-10
                                                • 5122

                                                #3383
                                                JM Traditional
                                                3/6/2013
                                                V1
                                                Current chase record W/OUT buying points: 33-2-1
                                                Current chase record WITH buying 3 points: 34-2
                                                Current series pending: 1
                                                1. Milwaukee Bucks A Bet +9.5 @ LA Clippers
                                                Milwaukee Bucks A Bet (if buying 3 points) +12.5 @ LA Clippers
                                                V2
                                                Current chase record W/OUT buying points: 22-3
                                                Current chase record WITH buying 3 points: 23-3
                                                Current series pending: 1 (Raptors straight up ATS)
                                                1. Toronto Raptors C Bet -1.5 @ Phoenix Suns
                                                V3
                                                Current chase record W/OUT buying points: 50-4-4
                                                Current chase record WITH buying 3 points: 55-3
                                                Current series pending: 3
                                                1. Philadelphia 76ers A Bet +8.5 @ Atlanta Hawks
                                                Philadelphia 76ers A Bet (if buying 3 points) +11.5 @ Atlanta Hawks
                                                2. Portland Trailblazers A Bet +7 @ Memphis Grizzlies
                                                Portland Trailblazers A Bet (if buying 3 points) +10 @ Memphis Grizzlies
                                                3. Houston Rockets A Bet +1.5 @ Dallas Mavericks
                                                Houston Rockets A Bet (if buying 3 points) +4.5 @ Dallas Mavericks
                                                Comment
                                                • Kev the Brit
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-25-09
                                                  • 2027

                                                  #3384
                                                  Whoops! You guys are correct I edited the Toronto play out of the post. Sorry fellas just trying to play catch up today, honest mistake.
                                                  Originally posted by KennyM10
                                                  No
                                                  one cares
                                                  Well, actually, Kenny, we do. But, in response to your post:
                                                  Originally posted by KennyM10
                                                  No
                                                  one cares
                                                  Last edited by Kev the Brit; 03-06-13, 07:05 PM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Kev the Brit
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-25-09
                                                    • 2027

                                                    #3385
                                                    Chase 110 tonight:
                                                    #68 Brooklyn @ Charlotte (+8) (A) (7:05 pm EST)
                                                    Ordinarily I wouldn't chase a spread bet on the worst team ATS (by far the worst - 32% chance).

                                                    However, I'm thinking that even they should win at least once ATS within the next 4 games, surely??

                                                    Has any team in recent times (or ever?) had an 11 game losing streak ATS? The bookies must surely ease the odds to get the business.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • hagball52
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-22-10
                                                      • 3053

                                                      #3386
                                                      Originally posted by Kev the Brit
                                                      Chase 110 tonight:
                                                      Ordinarily I wouldn't chase a spread bet on the worst team ATS (by far the worst - 32% chance).

                                                      However, I'm thinking that even they should win at least once ATS within the next 4 games, surely??

                                                      Has any team in recent times (or ever?) had an 11 game losing streak ATS? The bookies must surely ease the odds to get the business.
                                                      Since Wallco has been posting chase 110 I believe we have never had a series go past 9 SU and ATS losses.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • play4win
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 06-23-11
                                                        • 2208

                                                        #3387
                                                        why is charlotte a play? don't they have to lose 3 su/ats again after serie loss?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Wallco99
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-01-11
                                                          • 7261

                                                          #3388
                                                          Originally posted by play4win
                                                          why is charlotte a play? don't they have to lose 3 su/ats again after serie loss?
                                                          No, you made that up.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • KennyM10
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 02-14-10
                                                            • 788

                                                            #3389
                                                            Originally posted by hagball52
                                                            I haven't forgot about posting the NBA stats for the 3 versions. Just got busy. Will get it up by the weekend.
                                                            Do not flatter yourself, or waste your time this is a losing thread please do not confuse wallco with stats he prefers darts.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • KennyM10
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 02-14-10
                                                              • 788

                                                              #3390
                                                              Originally posted by play4win
                                                              why is charlotte a play? don't they have to lose 3 su/ats again after serie loss?
                                                              Yes you are correct and should now take over the posting of picks. Good call of course charlotte should not ever be a pick but in the world of monopoly money it does not matter.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • KennyM10
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 02-14-10
                                                                • 788

                                                                #3391
                                                                Kev the brit with your thinking on why to take charlotte have you ever thought of becoming walkcos assistant.
                                                                Last edited by KennyM10; 03-07-13, 01:43 AM.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Wallco99
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-01-11
                                                                  • 7261

                                                                  #3392
                                                                  Wallco NBA Chase 110
                                                                  2012-13 System to date: 64-3 (fin. series)
                                                                  System profit/loss: -16.75 units (fin. series)
                                                                  Current open series: 1 (-1.10 units)

                                                                  (3/6/13):
                                                                  #66 Toronto (M/L) (C) - Win
                                                                  #67 Minnesota (M/L) (A) - Win
                                                                  #68 Charlotte (+8) (A) - Loss

                                                                  v1 Plays
                                                                  (A) 37-31
                                                                  (B) 16-14

                                                                  (C) 8-6
                                                                  (D) 3-3
                                                                  Losses: HOU (-35.91 u), ORL (-26.39 u), CHA (-18.46)


                                                                  There are no system plays for (3/7/13):
                                                                  #68 Resumes (B) on 3/8/13


                                                                  We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
                                                                  System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BCC585
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 04-27-11
                                                                    • 603

                                                                    #3393
                                                                    Originally posted by KennyM10
                                                                    Do not flatter yourself, or waste your time this is a losing thread please do not confuse wallco with stats he prefers darts.
                                                                    So......... Why do you waste your time posting in this thread then?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • thelimit0310
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-24-11
                                                                      • 1233

                                                                      #3394
                                                                      7/5 Plays MAR 6

                                                                      No Plays

                                                                      7/5 Plays MAR 7

                                                                      No Plays

                                                                      Results: -17.03
                                                                      Bet 1: 18-19
                                                                      Bet 2: 9-9
                                                                      Utah 11/2
                                                                      Portland 11/25
                                                                      Boston 12/14
                                                                      Houston 1/9
                                                                      Minnesota 1/9
                                                                      LA Lakers 1/20
                                                                      Orlando 1/28
                                                                      Golden State 2/5
                                                                      Charlotte 3/1


                                                                      Milwaukee Bet 1 starts on March 9th

                                                                      Have a Question about 7/5?
                                                                      Click here for your Answer
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Wallco99
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 01-01-11
                                                                        • 7261

                                                                        #3395
                                                                        Wallco NBA Chase 110
                                                                        2012-13 System to date: 64-3 (fin. series)
                                                                        System profit/loss: -16.75 units (fin. series)
                                                                        Current open series: 1 (-1.10 units)

                                                                        v1 Plays
                                                                        (A) 37-31
                                                                        (B) 16-14

                                                                        (C) 8-6
                                                                        (D) 3-3
                                                                        Losses: HOU (-35.91 u), ORL (-26.39 u), CHA (-18.46)


                                                                        Games for (3/8/13):
                                                                        #68 Oklahoma City @ Charlotte (+14½) (B) (7:05 pm EST)
                                                                        #69 Dallas @ Detroit (**) (A) (7:35 pm EST)

                                                                        ** Denotes line not available at time of post


                                                                        We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
                                                                        System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.
                                                                        Comment
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