John Morrison 2012-13 NBA Thread

[Mrscofield25]

I've PM'ed you Wallco.

[kodiaker]

Until this week, no one has confused the two systems. What the hell is the problem this week?

Sorry, man. I get how the two systems work, just wasn't too clear on when a series starts vis a vis the schedule.

[BCC585]

I remember when I was a newly wet... I was also asking the same questions again and again. People became more and more irritated, the same did I. So I just thought f.u.c.k it, The I must find my info self. And I did. If you do your homework correct you will quickly understand how things work out. It's not easy if you're not an American, but with a little edge in English, things will come easier.

Same here. The best advice for the new people is to just read all of the thread to get the best understanding of the systems.
If people keep wanting to get spoon fed information, they're only going to receive a spoonful of information when the whole meal is in front of you.
New people, if you're truley hungry go read the whole thread and do some research to receive that t-bone steak. Yes it's a lot of reading but patience will pay off.

[kodiaker]

Right. Any news on Chris Paul? I got a line at Minny+17.

[BCC585]

Right. Any news on Chris Paul? I got a line at Minny+17.

Nothing yet on cp3 but the clips have been killing it with Bledsoe. +17 seems fair because minny has been playing god awful especially with k.love out

[MARCUS]

Sorry, I've only been directing people where to go for two years, my fault.

..ok..next time..i don't care what hagball say's..your aok in my book wallco

[cambertos]

I remember when I was a newly wet... I was also asking the same questions again and again. People became more and more irritated, the same did I. So I just thought f.u.c.k it, The I must find my info self. And I did. If you do your homework correct you will quickly understand how things work out. It's not easy if you're not an American, but with a little edge in English, things will come easier.

Yeah well said,I read every post at the start of the season to bring myself up to speed. Same thing happened in the mlb last year

[Mrscofield25]

Same here. The best advice for the new people is to just read all of the thread to get the best understanding of the systems.
If people keep wanting to get spoon fed information, they're only going to receive a spoonful of information when the whole meal is in front of you.
New people, if you're truley hungry go read the whole thread and do some research to receive that t-bone steak. Yes it's a lot of reading but patience will pay off.

Food... Did you have to mention it? Yes, there IS a lot of reading. But look at it in this way... How many years does it take to be a lawyer? If you want to be good at something and earn some good money on it, you have to educate yourself. Same goes with betting. Read first, ask afterwards. Read and learn. There is a lot of good guys in this thread and other threads to learn from. You will not be a lawyer in a year and you will not be good at betting in a year. It takes time to learn.

[cape07]

Why did you do that?

I dont know! Instinct i guess... Something told me +4 wasn't enough

[CrazyCarl]

Minnesota line seems pretty low..

[cambertos]

Minnesota line seems pretty low..

I can get +5.5, saw Betus has it at +4.5! Shithouse, I was hoping for at least +7

[thelimit0310]

7/5 Plays JAN 16

No Plays

7/5 Plays JAN 17

No Plays

Results:
Bet 1: 13-11
Bet 2: 6-5
Utah 11/2
Portland 11/25
Boston 12/14
Houston 1/9
Minnesota 1/9

Note: Will post again on January 19th

Have a Question about 7/5?
Click here for your Answer

[hagball52]

..ok..next time..i don't care what hagball say's..your aok in my book wallco

and....you know i know what i'm talking about !!

[clamchowder]

Minnesota line seems pretty low..

It is low given the way the Clippers been playing lately without CP3.

[Kev the Brit]

I dont know! Instinct i guess... Something told me +4 wasn't enough

Oh, so the system isn't good enough, then? Did you consider the cost of Houston losing by more than ATS+3? The C bet (and maybe the D Bet) would have been prohibitive.

Tread carefully. The system doesn't buy points for a very, very good reason

[Wallco99]

..ok..next time..i don't care what hagball say's..your aok in my book wallco

and....you know i know what i'm talking about !!

Did you bust on me and I missed it? What did you say that only the two of you seem to know?

[cape07]

Oh, so the system isn't good enough, then? Did you consider the cost of Houston losing by more than ATS+3? The C bet (and maybe the D Bet) would have been prohibitive.

Tread carefully. The system doesn't buy points for a very, very good reason

Yes, but I had the same bet (Houston) in 3 systems and one of them was C bet, one a B bet and the last an A bet. I was too scared of losing all that money

[MARCUS]

Minnesota line seems pretty low..

..home dog with'a bite..
The Los Angeles Clippers are overvalued heading into this road contest against the Minnesota Timberwolves. They have won back-to-back games over the Grizzlies and Rockets without Chris Paul thanks to some terrific shooting as they've averaged nearly 50% in those two wins.

Teams can play well without their star for a few games, but over time it proves to be detrimental more times than not. Paul is doubtful and expected to sit once again tonight, and I'm banking on the Clippers failing to shoot 50% or close to it against the Timberwolves.

Minnesota comes in highly motivated for a win tonight after going 0-4 in their last four games in a brutal road trip. They lost on the road to the Thunder, Hornets, Spurs and Mavericks. Now, they return home where they are 10-5 on the season. I certainly like their chances of staying within this 4.5-point spread while likely pulling off the upset in the process.

The Timberwolves are 17-6 ATS versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. Minnesota is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. The Timberwolves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The Clippers are one of the deepest teams in the league. The Timberwolves are short-handed due to injuries and illness. Minnesota practiced with just eight healthy bodies on Wednesday having to force their two assistant coaches to suit up in order to go 5-on-5.

It's tempting to also play the Clippers, too, in this matchup. But the Clippers are in a flat spot having won the first two games of their current three-game road swing with impressive victories against much tougher foes Houston and Memphis. The Clippers knocked off those two opponents by a combined 34 points. So it's going to be difficult for the Clippers to take the short-handed Timberwolves fully serious even though this game is on national television.

It can't be too fun for Los Angeles to be in Minneapolis in mid-January so the Clippers' full defensive concentration might not be there. It's the Clippers' third game in four days while the Timberwolves last played on Monday. Minnesota also has won seven of its last nine home contests.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2012-13 System to date: 38-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +38.00 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 2 (-5.57 units)

(1/16/13):
#40 Houston (+4) (B) - Loss

v1 Plays
(A) 22-18
(B) 10-7
(C) 6-0
(D) 0-0


Games for (1/17/13):
#39 L.A. Clippers @ Minnesota (+5) (B) (10:35 pm EST)
#40 Resumes (C) on 1/18/13


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.

[MARCUS]

....i promised not 2 tell..but u no he talks about what he nos

[cape07]

For those still wondering about the 7/5.. I found this: http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...l#post13698541

[thelimit0310]

For those still wondering about the 7/5.. I found this: http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basket...l#post13698541

That is linked in every play post already, but bringing it up again couldn't hurt

[CrazyCarl]

Who is that writeup from?

Also, I think you could get infracted for it, just an FYI.

But infractions aren't that big of a deal and I don't think this thread gets monitored very much.

[J.M. Disciple]

I am on to a big money maker.... very few plays a year, but looks to be undefeated. ... here is what I am testing.

Wait for a Jm series to lose ATS (-110) on their 3 game road trip. There next road trip begin an official series. I have not found a team that has lost yet on their next road trip. I found two teams that have had a C-bet, but both covered ATS.

Any info on this would be helpful... I am thinking if it goes undefeated doing a 10 unit chase.

I would not make it a totally different system. Keep playing JM the way it is played, but on the series losses, similar to how Limit tracks 7/5, just bet big on that teams next series. That way you have all the profit from JM or 7/5 + additional profit.

[J.M. Disciple]

....i promised not 2 tell..but u no he talks about what he nos

before reading that write up i got a unit on 1st quarter -1.5 (-120), 1st half -2.5 (-113), and whole game -5 (-110).

I did not see in that write up that kevin love MIN all star is out >.... and LAC has a way deeper bench.

[CrazyCarl]

Rubio is the worst player I've seen get the kind of playing time he does.

He is SO bad.



I read an ESPN article on him earlier that said

"The Wolves have been trying to ease him back into action by bringing him off the bench. He's been up and down in the 10 games he's played and was bothered by back and groin issues early in his return. But he's been playing pain-free for the past week or so while lobbying to get more playing time."

And I laughed out loud. He's been up and down? He's been DOWN, that's for sure. He's shooting 22% for 3.8 points per 20 minutes and doesn't even have a 2:1 assist to turnover ratio.

[BCC585]

I can't even watch minny games anymore it's becoming too painful to watch

[jackoffalltrades]

What happens with the Chase 110 if Houston loses tonight and then they play Minnesota 1/19/13 for simultaneous D bets. I guess we could hope the favorite wins and the underdog covers; or we could forgo the bet and save on the juice. Anyone have any other thoughts?

[kodiaker]

Okay, I more or less get exactly how this works now.

However, both Minnesota and Houston are currently running series in the Chase 110, right?

I checked ahead and saw that if Houston loses at Indiana tomorrow, the series shifts to Houston being a (D) bet, whereas their next game will be against the Wolves, who will be a scheduled (C) bet. What happens in that case? Shouldn't the head-to-head filter have not allowed this to happen?

EDIT: Alright, turns out I had the same question as the guy above.

[Wallco99]

What happens with the Chase 110 if Houston loses tonight and then they play Minnesota 1/19/13 for simultaneous D bets. I guess we could hope the favorite wins and the underdog covers; or we could forgo the bet and save on the juice. Anyone have any other thoughts?

One is on C, one is on D. We will play them both.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2012-13 System to date: 38-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +38.00 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 2 (-8.08 units)

(1/17/13):
#39 Minnesota (+5½) (B) - Loss

v1 Plays
(A) 22-18
(B) 10-8
(C) 6-0
(D) 0-0


Games for (1/18/13):
#39 Resumes (C) on 1/19/13
#40 Houston (+5½) @ Indiana (C) (7:05 pm EST)
#39 Sacramento @ Memphis (**) (A) (8:05 pm EST)

** Denotes line not available at time of post


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.

[MARCUS]

Same here. The best advice for the new people is to just read all of the thread to get the best understanding of the systems.
If people keep wanting to get spoon fed information, they're only going to receive a spoonful of information when the whole meal is in front of you.
New people, if you're truley hungry go read the whole thread and do some research to receive that t-bone steak. Yes it's a lot of reading but patience will pay off.

Food... Did you have to mention it? Yes, there IS a lot of reading. But look at it in this way... How many years does it take to be a lawyer? If you want to be good at something and earn some good money on it, you have to educate yourself. Same goes with betting. Read first, ask afterwards. Read and learn. There is a lot of good guys in this thread and other threads to learn from. You will not be a lawyer in a year and you will not be good at betting in a year. It takes time to learn.

..the right books.reading 1 hour a day,u can become a "trial lawyer" in a year..no bs..never worry about $$ again..a pretty good feeling...get $ome. ..knowledge is power.

[hagball52]

Did you bust on me and I missed it? What did you say that only the two of you seem to know?

just busting chops...no harm....just a little fun....marcus is a weird sort.....but you must know that by now

[MARCUS]

....i promised not 2 tell..but u no he talks about what he nos

just busting chops...no harm....just a little fun....marcus is a weird sort.....but you must know that by now

..he started it wallco !!

[dlunc3]

If houston doesnt cover tonight, looks like a C bet vs a D bet coming up (minny vs houst)