John Morrison 2012-13 NBA Thread

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  • Kev the Brit
    SBR MVP
    • 10-25-09
    • 2027

    #2311
    Memphis ML odds are very short tonight, guys. However, this season they are 61.5% successful on the ML and 60% successful ATS. Their opponents are 35% succesful on the ML and 43% succesful ATS but they haven't won ATS for 5 games, so they are kinda due a win ATS.

    I'm usually reluctant to bet ATS on big favs, cos I think (what do I know?) they ease down at the end of the 4th once they know they will win the game and the opponents can squeeze into the large spread, so IMHO tonight is either a ML bet or a no bet.

    This is only the A Bet, so there is no pressure whatsoever to play Memphis tonight.

    I'm passing on Memphis and I've already passed on Minnesota. I'm not going to miss the 2 units.

    Good luck everyone
    Kev the Cautious
    Comment
    • hagball52
      SBR MVP
      • 09-22-10
      • 3053

      #2312
      I smell a teaser on mem and hou. gl all
      Comment
      • brewersMKE
        SBR High Roller
        • 10-09-12
        • 105

        #2313
        Originally posted by Kev the Brit
        Memphis ML odds are very short tonight, guys. However, this season they are 61.5% successful on the ML and 60% successful ATS. Their opponents are 35% succesful on the ML and 43% succesful ATS but they haven't won ATS for 5 games, so they are kinda due a win ATS.

        I'm usually reluctant to bet ATS on big favs, cos I think (what do I know?) they ease down at the end of the 4th once they know they will win the game and the opponents can squeeze into the large spread, so IMHO tonight is either a ML bet or a no bet.

        This is only the A Bet, so there is no pressure whatsoever to play Memphis tonight.

        I'm passing on Memphis and I've already passed on Minnesota. I'm not going to miss the 2 units.

        Good luck everyone
        Kev the Cautious
        I totally agree
        Comment
        • overcome
          SBR Hustler
          • 12-19-12
          • 83

          #2314
          probably going to pass on houston tonight.. dont know how houston is going to beat pacers at home.. esp when harden cant shoot and lin is passive
          Comment
          • hazeee
            SBR Hustler
            • 03-18-11
            • 91

            #2315
            Originally posted by hagball52
            I smell a teaser on mem and hou. gl all
            along with GSW and DEN!
            Comment
            • hagball52
              SBR MVP
              • 09-22-10
              • 3053

              #2316
              Originally posted by hazeee
              along with GSW and DEN!
              I took HOU, MEM and GSW on an 8 pt. teaser at -130 odds.
              Comment
              • MARCUS
                SBR Sharp
                • 06-19-09
                • 358

                #2317
                Originally posted by Kev the Brit
                Memphis ML odds are very short tonight, guys. However, this season they are 61.5% successful on the ML and 60% successful ATS. Their opponents are 35% succesful on the ML and 43% succesful ATS but they haven't won ATS for 5 games, so they are kinda due a win ATS.

                I'm usually reluctant to bet ATS on big favs, cos I think (what do I know?) they ease down at the end of the 4th once they know they will win the game and the opponents can squeeze into the large spread, so IMHO tonight is either a ML bet or a no bet.

                This is only the A Bet, so there is no pressure whatsoever to play Memphis tonight.

                I'm passing on Memphis and I've already passed on Minnesota. I'm not going to miss the 2 units.

                Good luck everyone
                Kev the Cautious
                ..i would always prefer 2 b on the outside,wishing i could get in,vrs. being on the inside knowing i can't get out..however i like memphis who own the kings 8-2 L/10..5-0 at home winning avg. is 18.8 points..i look 4 a big bounce back having been blown out 3 straight..bol all.
                Comment
                • Andy Vix
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 11-19-10
                  • 67

                  #2318
                  Looking forward to jumping into the 7/5
                  Comment
                  • J.M. Disciple
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 11-16-10
                    • 5154

                    #2319
                    You guys are crazy. i considered taking Houston ML. Indy averages what... 90pts a game? Houston way too much fire power.Also read my past post... ever seen a team lose back to back series?

                    Houston cashes one of the next two. i will have decent money on Hou and okc tonight.
                    Comment
                    • overcome
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 12-19-12
                      • 83

                      #2320
                      Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                      You guys are crazy. i considered taking Houston ML. Indy averages what... 90pts a game? Houston way too much fire power.Also read my past post... ever seen a team lose back to back series?

                      Houston cashes one of the next two. i will have decent money on Hou and okc tonight.
                      jeremy lin might not even play today, but that might help the rockets.. also houston has absolutely garbage d so that 90 pts will probably be 100 pts. so are you taking the ML or the points? i really want to take these houston home, but dammit they played so bad the last 4 games ive watched, its so hard to pull the trigger.

                      edit: also looking h2h in the last 10 games, both teams have scored over 100 on avg. 103.4 houston and 103.2 pacers. i locked in the bet regardless. IN THE SYSTEM LETS DO IT.
                      Last edited by overcome; 01-18-13, 04:26 PM.
                      Comment
                      • analyzer
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-03-11
                        • 2049

                        #2321
                        Thanks, as always for the posts / updates folks.
                        Comment
                        • J.M. Disciple
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 11-16-10
                          • 5154

                          #2322
                          Originally posted by overcome
                          jeremy lin might not even play today, but that might help the rockets.. also houston has absolutely garbage d so that 90 pts will probably be 100 pts. so are you taking the ML or the points? i really want to take these houston home, but dammit they played so bad the last 4 games ive watched, its so hard to pull the trigger.

                          edit: also looking h2h in the last 10 games, both teams have scored over 100 on avg. 103.4 houston and 103.2 pacers. i locked in the bet regardless. IN THE SYSTEM LETS DO IT.
                          I am on OKC (-5)*(A&D bets for JM & STIFF), GSW +11.5 (C. for stiff), sac +9.5, & hou +4.5.

                          On covers Lin is expected to play with a bad ankle. Until Danny Granger comes back for INDY, they will be some what of a low scoring team.

                          Note* C bets = 64.85%
                          D bets = 74%
                          Flat bet these at least all day long...
                          Comment
                          • stevex
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 05-02-10
                            • 5122

                            #2323
                            JM Traditional

                            1/18/2013

                            V1

                            Current chase record W/OUT buying points: 27-1-1
                            Current chase record WITH buying 3 points: 28-1
                            Current series pending: 0

                            V2

                            Current chase record W/OUT buying point: 13-2
                            Current chase record WITH buying 3 points: 13-2
                            Current series pending: 0

                            V3

                            Current chase record W/OUT buying points: 32-2-4
                            Current chase record WITH buying 3 points: 37-2
                            Current series pending: 3 (Houston straight up)

                            1. Houston Rockets B Bet +4.5 @ Indiana Pacers

                            2. Oklahoma City Thunder A Bet -5 @ Dallas Mavericks
                            Oklahoma City Thunder A Bet (since > -3 play ML) @ Dallas Mavericks

                            3. Sacramento Kings A Bet +9.5 @ Memphis Grizzlies
                            Sacramento Kings A Bet (with buying 3 points) +12.5 @ Memphis Grizzlies
                            Comment
                            • brewersMKE
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 10-09-12
                              • 105

                              #2324
                              waiting on the 7/5 has got me all sorts of worked up, i hope it comes before i have to leave for the night.
                              Comment
                              • Postman78
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-28-10
                                • 1159

                                #2325
                                I feel stupid for askin this but can someone please explain the v3 system or tell me hat post its described on?
                                Comment
                                • dlunc3
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 10-31-09
                                  • 9129

                                  #2326
                                  Originally posted by brewersMKE
                                  waiting on the 7/5 has got me all sorts of worked up, i hope it comes before i have to leave for the night.
                                  the limit said his next 7/5 post wont be until 1/19
                                  Comment
                                  • brewersMKE
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 10-09-12
                                    • 105

                                    #2327
                                    ahh, i missed that post
                                    Comment
                                    • groovybrandone
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 02-22-12
                                      • 456

                                      #2328
                                      the 2 "A" bets from stevex's post have to lose by the spread plus an additional 3.5 more for a possible 7/5 play tomorrow
                                      Comment
                                      • J.M. Disciple
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 11-16-10
                                        • 5154

                                        #2329
                                        Originally posted by groovybrandone
                                        the 2 "A" bets from stevex's post have to lose by the spread plus an additional 3.5 more for a possible 7/5 play tomorrow
                                        Since OKC does not play tomorrow, only SAC will be a possible 7/5 play tomorrow. They have to lose by at least 14, since pushes do not count as a loss. Spread is 9.5 + 3.5 = 13. Very doubtful that MEM wins by 14 pts. No 7/5 plays for a while it looks like.
                                        Comment
                                        • Mrscofield25
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-23-11
                                          • 2483

                                          #2330
                                          Originally posted by Postman78
                                          I feel stupid for askin this but can someone please explain the v3 system or tell me hat post its described on?
                                          ​Post #140. And post #2266.

                                          You havn't done any reading by yourself I can see.
                                          Last edited by Mrscofield25; 01-18-13, 07:37 PM.
                                          Comment
                                          • Wallco99
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-01-11
                                            • 7261

                                            #2331
                                            Originally posted by MARCUS
                                            ..i would always prefer 2 b on the outside,wishing i could get in,vrs. being on the inside knowing i can't get out..however i like memphis who own the kings 8-2 L/10..5-0 at home winning avg. is 18.8 points..i look 4 a big bounce back having been blown out 3 straight..bol all.
                                            As the earth turns, the chair sits askew. The hole in the doughnut was like an owl in a tree. If I ride my scooter, will the house sell in less than a month? And don't forget....wku jfho'fh 'oai sfvja pg hjsaz. Finally picking up what you're putting down!
                                            Comment
                                            • yelohell
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 01-11-13
                                              • 47

                                              #2332
                                              Houston lost! We're having a D bet!
                                              Comment
                                              • Wallco99
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-01-11
                                                • 7261

                                                #2333
                                                Originally posted by yelohell
                                                Houston lost! We're having a D bet!
                                                It's been 2 1/2 months. It was bound to happen sooner or later.
                                                Comment
                                                • dlunc3
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 10-31-09
                                                  • 9129

                                                  #2334
                                                  Originally posted by Wallco99
                                                  It's been 2 1/2 months. It was bound to happen sooner or later.
                                                  Sucks its vs a C bet... Hopefully it works out on both sides
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Mrscofield25
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-23-11
                                                    • 2483

                                                    #2335
                                                    Originally posted by Wallco99
                                                    It's been 2 1/2 months. It was bound to happen sooner or later.
                                                    Wallco I've PM'ed you yesterday.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • clamchowder
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 02-26-11
                                                      • 471

                                                      #2336
                                                      Houston, we have a problem.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BCC585
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 04-27-11
                                                        • 603

                                                        #2337
                                                        Sh*t is about to get serious now boys hahaha
                                                        Comment
                                                        • BuckeyeKaptn
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 11-16-12
                                                          • 271

                                                          #2338
                                                          Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                                                          Since OKC does not play tomorrow, only SAC will be a possible 7/5 play tomorrow. They have to lose by at least 14, since pushes do not count as a loss. Spread is 9.5 + 3.5 = 13. Very doubtful that MEM wins by 14 pts. No 7/5 plays for a while it looks like.
                                                          Memph won by 16!! Dang
                                                          Comment
                                                          • overcome
                                                            SBR Hustler
                                                            • 12-19-12
                                                            • 83

                                                            #2339
                                                            friggin houston.. going to fade them next game. i shouldve done it this time.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Wallco99
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 01-01-11
                                                              • 7261

                                                              #2340
                                                              Originally posted by Mrscofield25
                                                              Wallco I've PM'ed you yesterday.
                                                              Send it again.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • J.M. Disciple
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 11-16-10
                                                                • 5154

                                                                #2341
                                                                so we have SAC and Hou tomorrow. Hou is unofficial JM if you did not buy 3 points on (A). I think SAC should cash vs CHA tomorrow, so looking to be a big pay day with at least 2 out of 3.

                                                                Good LUCK
                                                                Comment
                                                                • yelohell
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 01-11-13
                                                                  • 47

                                                                  #2342
                                                                  Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                                                                  so we have SAC and Hou tomorrow. Hou is unofficial JM if you did not buy 3 points on (A). I think SAC should cash vs CHA tomorrow, so looking to be a big pay day with at least 2 out of 3.

                                                                  Good LUCK
                                                                  Agree. I think Sac will win straight up for tomorrow, right after being manhandled by the Grizz last night!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Bdolan33
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-02-12
                                                                    • 1255

                                                                    #2343
                                                                    Brutal night
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Mrscofield25
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-23-11
                                                                      • 2483

                                                                      #2344
                                                                      Originally posted by Wallco99
                                                                      Send it again.
                                                                      Done.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • KennyM10
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 02-14-10
                                                                        • 788

                                                                        #2345
                                                                        LOL
                                                                        Comment
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