John Morrison 2012-13 NBA Thread

[clamchowder]

They are figuring Chris Paul won't play.

Clips are on a back to back game and Rockets are fresh off a two days rest. I like Houston -3 and over 206, no parlay.

[MARCUS]

Clips are on a back to back game and Rockets are fresh off a two days rest. I like Houston -3 and over 206, no parlay.

..no parlay?..c'mon man,$tack that cheddar up..what r u a man or a mouse?..squeak up.

[Boyne]

It has nothing to do with them being white that you guys have lost four in a row. The fact that you guys do not know Kevin Love is averaging 18 points a game and is out ten weeks make all of you a bookies and sbr's wet dream. You guys are always going to be welcome at sbr because in reality you all lose. Wait for wackos next -800 favorite.

Look, Ken, almost everyone following this thread will be well aware of the pros and cons of 'chase' betting. You've been on here a few times now spouting vitriol but no good advice. So, in the words of someone famous whose name escapes me - 'Put up or Shut up'. No offence.

[stevex]

JM Traditional

1/15/2013

V1

Current chase record W/OUT buying points: 25-1-1
Current chase record WITH buying 3 points: 26-1
Current series pending: 1 (New Orleans B Bet)

1. New Orleans Hornets B Bet +3 @ Philadelphia 76ers
New Orleans Hornets B Bet (with buying 3 points) +6 @ Philadelphia 76ers

V2

Current chase record W/OUT buying point: 13-2
Current chase record WITH buying 3 points: 13-2
Current series pending: 0

V3

Current chase record W/OUT buying points: 31-2-4
Current chase record WITH buying 3 points: 35-2
Current series pending: 1 (Indiana B Bet)

1. Indiana Pacers B Bet -8 @ Charlotte Bobcats
Indiana Pacers B Bet (since > -3 play ML) @ Charlotte Bobcats

[MLefty]

So just to clarify if we are following Wallco chase 110 system and our book site is giving us Houston -3.5 or Moneyline -160 than we should buy a .5 point because it will be cheaper than the moneyline?

[Kev the Brit]

It has nothing to do with them being white that you guys have lost four in a row. The fact that you guys do not know Kevin Love is averaging 18 points a game and is out ten weeks make all of you a bookies and sbr's wet dream. You guys are always going to be welcome at sbr because in reality you all lose. Wait for wackos next -800 favorite.

Its a fair point about Kevin Love. He is their most efficient player and therefore, we should not have played Minnesota. Yes, the spread should take care of injuries, but its not an exact science. The filter only needs to work once in 20 series to pay for itself. I'm out of this Chase 110 series. I will not miss the 1 unit if they win.

[MARCUS]

wallco,get some..lakers r 2-16 L/18 0n tu...buck$ +225$

[Wallco99]

Chase 110 is undefeated?Where can I find the records by seasons?

thx

Post #219

[Wallco99]

So just to clarify if we are following Wallco chase 110 system and our book site is giving us Houston -3.5 or Moneyline -160 than we should buy a .5 point because it will be cheaper than the moneyline?

NO, that's not what it says.

[CrazyCarl]

So just to clarify if we are following Wallco chase 110 system and our book site is giving us Houston -3.5 or Moneyline -160 than we should buy a .5 point because it will be cheaper than the moneyline?

When he said "buy down", what he really meant was "sell points", DOWN to a spread of 1/2.

So, no. Just play the M/L.

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2012-13 System to date: 38-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +38.00 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 1 (-1.10 units)

(1/14/13):
#38 Sacramento (M/L) (B) - Win
#39 Minnesota (+7½) (A) - Loss

v1 Plays
(A) 22-17
(B) 10-6
(C) 6-0
(D) 0-0


Games for (1/15/13):
#39 Resumes (B) on 1/17/13
#40 L.A. Clippers @ Houston (M/L) (A) (10:35 pm EST)


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.

[NYCWinner]

Does people usually buy the points for the JM system? Judging from the record, it seems like it doesn't matter that much. So it's a lot more profitable when you don't buy the 3 points.

Especially if you are using BetUS who will give you skewed lines anyway.

[CrazyCarl]

Does people usually buy the points for the JM system? Judging from the record, it seems like it doesn't matter that much. So it's a lot more profitable when you don't buy the 3 points.

Especially if you are using BetUS who will give you skewed lines anyway.

I think almost everyone just plays 7/5 instead.

[NYCWinner]

I think almost everyone just plays 7/5 instead.

What does 7/5 mean?

[BCC585]

What does 7/5 mean?

Post #149

[Mrscofield25]

Post #149

And post #2030.

[J.M. Disciple]

CASH THE B-BETS

[CrazyCarl]

Nice comeback for 7/5 tonight.

Thanks, Limit!

[samrock67]

Book it baby, 14 units!!!

[Huego]

nice night for 7/5

[clamchowder]

..no parlay?..c'mon man,$tack that cheddar up..what r u a man or a mouse?..squeak up.

Money management, squeak squeak :wink:

[MARCUS]

[ChiLLx]

And in 1 night 7/5 goes back positive. Remember that this is a marathon not a sprint

[knugen]

Woop woop

[J.M. Disciple]

Present for fellow labbiers. I ran a day to day test of last years John Morrison system based on -110 odds. Attached are all the plays from last year with the day to day running total of the labby line. Includes Risk, amount won, & running total.

Enjoy
Austin

edit... open 2nd file. This file does not contain the graph.

[J.M. Disciple]

I got the graph to work finally. I posted it on sheet two of the excel file. Now everyone can see the variance based on starting percentage of the labby. With 2% starting on your labby line you would only lose around 16% of your bankroll through out the season. I prefer to maximize my profit, so with a $4k bankroll and $40 unit size or 5% starting labby line you would make over 100 units through last years season. I prefer these bankroll requirements so you never lose more than 50% of your bankroll and make your 100% profit through out the season.

[Kev the Brit]

I got the graph to work finally. I posted it on sheet two of the excel file. Now everyone can see the variance based on starting percentage of the labby. With 2% starting on your labby line you would only lose around 16% of your bankroll through out the season. I prefer to maximize my profit, so with a $4k bankroll and $40 unit size or 5% starting labby line you would make over 100 units through last years season. I prefer these bankroll requirements so you never lose more than 50% of your bankroll and make your 100% profit through out the season.

Excellent work, JMD. There is no doubt that labby lines soften the blow of a lost series.

What do you do at the end of a season when you have outstanding lines?

[rina23]

nice win for the 7/5 system yesterday!!!

[Wallco99]

Wallco NBA Chase 110
2012-13 System to date: 38-0 (fin. series)
System profit/loss: +38.00 units (fin. series)
Current open series: 2 (-2.80 units)

(1/15/13):
#40 Houston (M/L) (A) - Loss

v1 Plays
(A) 22-18
(B) 10-6
(C) 6-0
(D) 0-0


Games for (1/16/13):
#39 Resumes (B) on 1/17/13
#40 Houston (**) @ Dallas (B) (8:05 pm EST)

** Denotes line not available at time of post


We will ALWAYS play the M/L on favorites and the point spread (-110) on dogs. The team underlined and highlighted blue is the play. There is no point buying in this system, with one exception, if your team is the favorite, and buying down to a (-½) point spread is cheaper than playing the M/L, then by all means, buy the points, otherwise, M/L on all favorites and point spread on dogs. All results will be based on this principle. All lines and standings are based on FINAL lines from ScoresandOdds.com/. If one of the teams we are playing switches from a favorite to a dog, after my initial post, make sure you get the appropriate line if it differs from what I have posted. The wins and losses will be based on who is the dog team, and who is the favorite on ScoresandOdds.com/ final lines. I will try to update my post as often as I can throughout the day, if the lines change. However, it is the individual bettor’s responsibility to get the appropriate line if it differs from the line in my post.
System rules and backtest can be found in post #219.

[kodiaker]

So for a bet in the schedule (the excel file) to qualify for 7/5 betting, it will have had to lose its previous game by the spread +3?

Therefore, the only play for today is Houston versus Dallas and not Washington versus Sacramento since Washington just got back from killing Orlando?

Is that right?

[Nino7]

So for a bet in the schedule (the excel file) to qualify for 7/5 betting, it will have had to lose its previous game by the spread +3?

Is that right?

+3,5 actually,a half a point filter was added.

[knugen]

So for a bet in the schedule (the excel file) to qualify for 7/5 betting, it will have had to lose its previous game by the spread +3?

Therefore, the only play for today is Houston versus Dallas and not Washington versus Sacramento since Washington just got back from killing Orlando?

Is that right?

houston and washington are A bets tonight, so if you only play 7/5 you skip these 2 bets and if any of them lose by 3,5 ATS they are 7/5 bet 1 in their next game.
hope you understand even if there are som grammar problems.

[kodiaker]

Oh, thanks a lot! I was under the impression that the excel file already cancelled all A bets, and that A bets under Wallco's chase system were tantamount to 7/5 A bets.

Thanks guys. Looking forward to utilizing this system.

[thelimit0310]

7/5 Plays JAN 15

Indiana Pacers -7.5 vs Charlotte - Bet 1
New Orleans +3 vs Philadelphia - Bet 1

7/5 Plays JAN 16

No Plays

Results:
Bet 1: 13-11
Bet 2: 6-5
Utah 11/2
Portland 11/25
Boston 12/14
Houston 1/9
Minnesota 1/9

Have a Question about 7/5?
Click here for your Answer

[Mrscofield25]

@ Thelimit.

The link isn't woking. Not by me. Nevermind. Now it is. Sorry!